The Hub Power Company Limited

Analyst Briefing
April 2, 2019
A Brief History of HUBCO

HUB(1,292 MW)
LARAIB (84MW) O&M NAROWAL (225 ACQUIRED 38.3% EQUITY
CONSTRUCTION
RUN OF THE RIVER MW) HUBCO (HPSL) STAKE AND MANAGEMENT
COMPLETION OIL FIRED
HYDEL PLANT AT MIRPUR UNDERTAKES O&M OF CONTROL IN THALNOVA
IPP – 1ST IN THE HISTORY
AJ&K - 1ST HYDEL IPP OF NAROWAL PLANT ON POWER THAR (PVT.) LTD
OF PAKISTAN
PAKISTAN APRIL 22, 2016

1997 2011 2013 2015 2016 2018 2019

SUBSIDIARIES ESTABLISHED: O&M LARAIB (84 MW)

NAROWAL(225 MW)
1. HUB POWER SERVICES LTD (HPSL) HUBCO (HPSL)
HUBCO-NAROWAL
2. HUB POWER HOLDINGS LTD UNDERTAKES O&M OF
POWER PLANT, 225MW
(HPHL) LARAIB PLANT ON
THERMAL POWER
3. NAROWAL ENERGY LTD (NEL) MARCH 23, 2018
PROJECT NAROWAL
O&M HUB (1,292 MW)
HUBCO (HPSL) UNDERTAKES O&M
OF HUB PLANT ON AUGUST 1, 2015

GROWTH PROJECTS
1. CHINA POWER HUB GENERATION
COMPANY
2. SINDH ENGRO COAL MINING
COMPANY 3
3. THAR ENERGY LIMITED
HUBCO’s Project Portfolio : Existing Operations

EXISTING OPERATIONS
Category Furnace Oil Furnace Oil Hydro
Name Hub Power Plant Narowal Laraib
Location Balochistan Punjab Jammu/Kashmir
COD 1997 2011 2013
Capacity 1292 MW 213 MW 84 MW
Project Cost US$ 1,600 MN US$ 270 MN US$ 220 MN

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Financials

Standalone Financials

(FYE 30 June, PkR million) FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018

Revenue 86,415 78,590 76,676
EBITDA 17,691 12,111 12,969
EPS 10.00 8.29 7.40

Consolidated Financials
(FYE 30 June, PkR million) FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018
Revenue 91,595 101,188 99,999
EBITDA 20,679 19,694 20,832
EPS 10.29 9.24 9.56

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Project Portfolio : Projects Under Execution

US$ 4.0 BN
Category Imported Coal Thar Coal Thar Coal Thar Mining
Name China Power Thar Energy ThalNova SECMC
Location Balochistan Sindh Sindh Sindh
Status COD - 2019 COD - 2021 COD - 2021 COD – 2019
Capacity 1320 MW 330 MW 330 MW 26.4 MTPA
Project Cost US$ 1,900 MN US$ 520 MN US$ 527 MN US$ 1,259 MN

All four projects are classified under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)
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Expected Returns from Growth Projects in Execution

Hubco’s Equity Hubco’s Equity

Capacity IRR* COD
Stake (US$ M)

CPHGC 1320 MW 46%** 249 17% 08/2019

TEL 330 MW 60% 78 20% 03/2021

ThalNova 330 MW 38.3% 50 20% 12/2021

SECMC 26.4 MTPA 8% 25 20% 06/2019

Total 402

* IRR is also applicable on the construction period

**Hubco currently holds 26% and has exercised its right under the Shareholders’ Agreement (the “Call Option”) to increase its
shareholding to 47.5% which will reduce to 46% after transfer of 1.5% stake to GOB under the terms of a MOU

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Financing Plan for Growth Projects

❑ A Syndicated Term Facility of PkR26.5 Bn was

arranged for funding equity commitments for
first growth phase comprising of: US$ M
▪ 26% stake in CPHGC
HBL Equity Loan 208
▪ 60% stake in TEL; and
Commercial Paper 60
▪ 8% stake in SECMC
Non Bank TFCs 50
❑ A second round of funding has been initiated to
fund the incremental equity commitment from: Internal Cash Flows 34

▪ Exercise of Call Option for increasing equity Rights Issue 50

stake in CPHGC by 21.5%; and
Total 402
▪ Acquisition 38.3% stake in ThalNova
❑ The Rights Issue is a part of this second round
funding

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Features of the Rights Issue

Issue Size Issue Price Number of Rights

(PkR Bn) (PkR) (Mn)

7 50 140
Purpose
Percentage of Existing
Paid up Capital
To fund the exercise of Call
12.1% Option to increase equity stake
in CPHGC by 21.5%

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CPHGC – Project Highlights
Project Cost &
Scope & Project
Location Expected Construction
Capacity Financing
Returns
• 2x660 (1320) • Mouza Kund, • US$1,995 M • Project Debt • Construction
MW Coal Fired Lasbela, of US$1,496 M started in 2016
Power Plant Baluchistan • Debt-to-Equity fully arranged
based on Ultra Ratio of 75:25 on limited • First Unit
Super Critical • Adjacent to recourse basis synchronized
Hubco’s • Project’s with National
Technology expected in Dollars
existing outside Grid on
• Captive Barge 1292MW Equity IRR is December 28,
17% Pakistan from
Jetty with Power Plant a consortium 2018
Coal of Chinese
Transshipment • Synchronizatio
banks led by n of Second
Capacity of China
4.2 MTPA Unit expected
Development in May 2019
• Only imported Bank (CDB) followed by
coal based • Financial COD in August
power plant Close 2019
with European achieved in
Boiler Jan 2018
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CPHGC – Project in Pictures

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CPHGC – Project in Pictures

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Financing the Exercise of Call Option

Incremental Funds Required (US$ M) Incremental Financing

Rights

119 Issue,
42% Debt,
58%

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Abridged Financial Projections – HUBCO Standalone
(FYE 30 June, PkR million) FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023
Gross Profit 11,500 14,884 15,578 18,730 20,880
Profit After Tax 6,996 11,764 24,033 27,813 32,453
EPS (PkR)* 6.05 9.07 18.53 21.44 25.02
Share Capital 12,971 12,971 12,971 12,971 12,971
* FY 2019 EPS is based on pre rights number of shares

FY2020 vs FY2019 FY2021 vs FY2020 FY2022 vs FY2021 FY2023 vs FY2022

▪ Exchange Rate Indexation ▪ Start of dividend from ▪ Higher dividends from NEL ▪ Start of dividend from TN 
due to significant CPHGC (First year dividend due to full settlement of
devaluation in FY2019  is higher due to Project Debt  ▪ Lower financing cost of
growth projects due to
Reasons for Variation

accumulation of profits of 2
▪ Decrease in R&M due to years)  ▪ Start of dividend from TEL  principal repayment 
lower expected load factor
 ▪ Lower financing cost of
growth projects due to start
▪ Higher dividends from of principal repayment in
operating subsidiaries and 2021 
Start of dividend from
SECMC 

▪ Higher financing cost of

growth projects  13
Circular Debt & its Resolution

Measures to Resolve Circular Debt

Immediate Measure

Expensive • Resolving the liquidity issues of power sector

T&D Losses
Fuel Mix through raising funds from Sukuks/Bonds
& Theft
• Clamp down of power theft resulting in 1.5%
reduction in T&D losses (~PkR40 Bn) in last 6
Poor months
Revenue
Collection
by DISCOs Medium / Long Term Measures

• Improving the Fuel Mix – Future capacity

additions to be on renewables, local
indigenous fuel
• Investment in T&D infrastructure and various
Circular Debt technology interventions to reduce T&D
Losses
• Instituting reforms in power regulatory bodies

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