Geothermal Power Development: Presentation To Institutional Investor Africa Investment Conference

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Geothermal Power

Development
Presentation to Institutional Investor
Africa Investment Conference
Project Profile
 Drilling of 900 geothermal wells in Kenya’s Great
Rift Valley.
Project  Construction of 3,200MWe power plants by 2016
Profile
 1,000MWe by 2014
 2,200MWe by 2016

 Provision of reliable base-load electricity supply


Economic
 Reduced cost of electricity to improve economic
Benefits competitiveness.
 Reduced country reliance on imported fossil fuels
and weather-dependent hydro

 Mitigate climate change


Social
Benefits  Increase electrification access and reduce poverty
 Improve quality of life
Sponsors Profile
 Ownership: 70% by Government of
Kenya Kenya and 30% private
Electricity  Asset Base: US$ 1.9 billion
Generating
 Total installed capacity: 1,195MW
Company Ltd
(KENGEN)  Market share: 80%
 Mandate: Power Generation

 Ownership: 100% by Government of Kenya

Geothermal  Mandate: Geothermal Resource


Development Development
Company  Drilling Capacity: 5 Rigs (procuring others)
(GDC)
 Resource Capacity: 10,000MWe (Steam
Equivalent)
Project Drivers
 Stabilize and meet power supply demand
 Reduce reliance on hydro and fossil fuel

1500 Peak Demand (MW)


1450
1400
1350 1,342
1300
1250
1200 1,188
1150
1100 1,107
1050 1,050
1000 1,010
983
950
900 916
850 867
828
800 780
750
700
650
600
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Project Drivers
 Peak Demand Projections

2010/11 2014/15 2018/19 2023/24 2026/27 2029/30


Project Drivers
 Earmarked Energy Sources 33,330

Kenya plans
to tap 6,200
10,000MWe
of geothermal
power by
2030
12,100

9,900

* * * * * * *
Project Description
Phase I & II
Year No. of Wells Capacity (MW)

2013 150 -
Phase 1 2014 150 1,000

PHASE I 1,000

Year No. of Wells Capacity (MW)

2015 300 -
Phase 2
2016 300 2,200

PHASE II 2,200
Project Description
Project Sites 3.Bogoria-Silali Block
• 3,000MWe potential
(800MWe by 2016)

2.Menengai Block
• 1,600MWe potential
(400MWe by 2014
and 1000MWe by
2016)

1.Olkaria Block
• 1,200MWe potential
by 2016
• 150MWe currently
online
Project
Description
Institutional Framework
National
Off-Taker 2 Off-Taker 3
Distributor
Power Purchase
Agreement

KENGEN or IPPs

Geothermal Prospects
Mene-
Olkaria Paka Silali
ngai Bogoria

Geothermal Resource
Assessment & Development

Geothermal Development Local & Foreign


Company Sources of Financing
Project Description
Current Status - 2011
Capital Costs
US$ million
Risk Mitigation
12,000

1.Government setting-up a
3,500 fund for underwriting drilling
risk
2.Geothermal Development
Company(GDC) will guarantee
steam availability

5,500

500

Total Drilling Steam Power Substation Consul- Admin- Interest

Fiel Pla & tant strat During


d nt Transm s ion Constr
ission uction
Expected Tariff-USD
0.09/KWh

  Revenue Streams Units Amount

Phase I Phase II
      (2014) (2016)
(1,000MWe) (2,200MWe)
Fixed Capacity Charge Rate
1 USD/kW/yr 579 576
(FCCR)
Fixed Operations & Maintenance
2 USD/kW/yr 84 84
Charge Rate (FOMCR) - Escalable

Variable Operating & Maintenance


3 USD/kWh 0.009 0.009
Charge Rate ((VOMCR)
Capacity Payments
4  USD/kW/yr 663 660
(FCCR+FOMCR)
  Total Annual Revenues USD Million 704 1,545
Financial & Technical Inputs

Financial Inputs Technical Inputs


1.ROE(net of tax) = 1.Term (PPA) =
17% 25yrs

2.Auxiliary Capacity = 5%
2.Debt: Equity = 75:25
3.Average Load = 95%
3.Cost of Debt = 6.5%
Green Energy Initiative– (A Case for Oserian
Flowers
Kenya gearingin
up Kenya)
to be the top Green Economy in Africa

i) Roses Greenhouse
Heating and Injection
of CO2 to aid in
photosynthesis

ii) Soil fumigation and


sterilization of liquid
recycled plant
fertilizers
Geotherman Energy – Generating over 4 million
CERs p.a by power
Current Kenya’s 2016sources are 63% from
green sources
Geothermal Sites Cumulative Carbon Reductions - CERs
Million tonnes of CO2 equivalents 8.24

7.24

6.24

Olkaria II geothermal
5.24
project was
2.5 MW Eburu 2011
140 MW Menengai 2016 registered for CDM
4.24
140 MW Menengai 2015
140 MW Menengai II 2014
on 4th Dec. 2010
140 MW Olkaria 2013
140 MW Olkaria 2012 3.24
35 MW Olkaria 3rd unit 2010
280 MW Menengai 2018
2.24
2.00

0.40
0.20

* * * * * * * * * 2020
THANK YOU

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