Handout # 1
Handout # 1
Handout # 1
of Significance
In a two-tailed test, the rejection region is on both sides of the curve. If the
alternative hypothesis contains the inequality (≠) symbol, then the test is two-tailed. Alpha
α which corresponds to the rejection region is divided equally between the two tails.
In a one-tailed test, the alternative hypothesis if of the form 𝜇 > c, 𝜇< c, p > p, or p
< p. The rejection region is on one side of the curve depending on how the alternative
hypothesis is stated. If the hypothesis contains the greater than symbol (>), then the
rejection region is on the right tail of the curve. If the hypothesis contains the less than
symbol (<), then, the rejection region is on the left tail of the curve. The total area of alpha
α which corresponds to the rejection region is placed on one tail only.
Non-directional
(Two-tailed)
Directional
(One-tailed, left tail)
Directional
(One-tailed, right tail)
Types of Errors
1. Type I error
A Type I error is committed when the researcher rejects a null hypothesis
when in fact it is true. The probability of committing Type I error is also called the
level of significance. For a 90% confidence level, the level of significance or the
value of alpha is 0.1. This means that there is a 10% probability that the researcher
will reject a true null hypothesis. For a 99% confidence level, the level of
significance is 0.01. This means that there is a 1% probability that the researcher
will reject null hypothesis that is true. But if the researcher rejects null hypothesis
that is false, then he has reached a correct decision. Alpha ∝ is used to represent
the probability of Type I error.
2. Type II error
A Type II error is committed when the researcher fails to reject a null hypothesis
that is false. But if the researcher fails to reject a true hypothesis, then, there is no
error committed. Beta 𝛽 is used to represent the probability of a Type II error.
We can control the errors by assigning small probability values to each of them. The most
frequently used probability values for α and β are 0.05 and 0.01. the probability assigned
to each depends on its seriousness. The more serious the errors, the less willing we are
to have it occur. So, a smaller probability is assigned. The symbols α and β are each
probabilities of error, each under separate conditions, and they cannot be combined.
Therefore, there is no single probability for making an incorrect decision. In like manner,
the two correct decisions are distinct and each has its own probability. In table 2, 1 – 𝛼
is the probability of a correct decision when the null hypothesis is true, and 1 - 𝛽 is the
probability of a correct decision when the null hypothesis is false. 1 - 𝛽 is called the power
of the statistical test since it is the measure of the ability of a hypothesis test to reject a
false null hypothesis which is considered very important (Mc Clave & Sincich 2003)
Under the normal curve, the rejection region refers to the region
where the value of the test statistic lies for which we will reject
the null hypothesis. This region is also called the critical region.
So, if your computed statistic is found in the rejection region, then you reject Ho. If it is
found outside the rejection region, you accept Ho.
Note also that the line that separates the rejection region from the non-rejection region (1
– 𝛼). This line passes through the confidence coefficients, which are also called critical
values. The critical values can be obtained from the critical values of table of the test
statistic. For example, if the test statistic is a z, the critical values can be obtained from
the z-table. So, for a 95% confidence level, the critical values for a non-directional test
are -1.96 and + 1.96. When the confidence level is 99%, for a non-directional test, the
critical values are -2.58 and + 2.58.
A. Directional or Non-Directional
1. Bottled Fruit Juice Content
The owner of a factory that sells a particular bottled fruit juice claims that the
average capacity of a bottle of their product is 250 ml. Is the claim true?
To test the claim, the members of a consumer group did the following
a. Get a sample of 100 such bottles.
b. Calculate the capacity of each bottle.
c. Compare the sample mean and the claim.
The observed mean capacity X of the 100 bottles is 243 ml. The sample
standard deviation is 10 ml. State the null and the alternative hypotheses in
words and in symbols.
Answer:
The consumer group has a purpose, it is directional
3. Organic Fertilizers
A farmer believes that using organic fertilizers on his plants will yield greater
income. His average income from the past was P200, 000.00 per year. State the
hypotheses in symbols.
Answer:
The phrase greater income is associated with the greater than direction.
B. Study the following examples carefully and the notes that follow. Identify the Type
of error committed.
1. Maria’s Age
Maria insists that she is 30 years when, in fact, she is 32 years old. What error is
Mary committing?
2. Stephen’s Hairline
Solution: Yes. A receding hairline indicates balding. This is a Type I error. Stephen
action may be to find remedial measures to stop falling hair.
Solution: Hunting the Philippine eagle is prohibited by law. Thus, it is not good
sport. It is a type II error. Since hunting the Philippine monkey-eating eagle is
against the law, the man may find himself in jail if he goes out of his way hunting
endangered species.
Figure