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2020 Minnesota Democratic presidential primary

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2020 Minnesota Democratic presidential primary
← 2016 March 3, 2020 2024 →
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NC →
91 Democratic National Convention delegates (75 pledged with 49 on district-level and 26 statewide; 16 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren
Home state Delaware Vermont Massachusetts
Delegate count 38 27 10
Popular vote 287,553 222,431 114,674
Percentage 38.64% 29.89% 15.41%
 
Candidate Michael Bloomberg Amy Klobuchar
(withdrawn)[a]
Home state New York Minnesota
Delegate count 0 0
Popular vote 61,882 41,530
Percentage 8.32% 5.58%

Results by first place popular vote winner

  Joe Biden
  Amy Klobuchar
  Bernie Sanders
Elections in Minnesota
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Minneapolis
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Saint Paul
Mayoral elections
Pledged national
convention delegates
Type Del.
CD1 5
CD2 6
CD3 7
CD4 8
CD5 10
CD6 4
CD7 4
CD8 5
PLEO 10
At-large 16
Total pledged delegates 75

The 2020 Minnesota Democratic presidential primary took place on March 3, 2020, as one of 15 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Minnesota primary, only the fifth in the state's history and the first since 1992, was an open primary, with the state awarding 91 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 75 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary. Early voting was possible for just over six weeks beginning January 17, 2020.

Former vice president Joe Biden had played virtually no role in the polls heading into the primary but benefitted from the withdrawal and endorsement of senator Amy Klobuchar on the previous day, the original front-runner in her home state, and won with almost 39% of the vote, gathering 38 delegates and winning in 76 counties. Senator Bernie Sanders lost many counties he had won in 2016, when he won the state easily by double digit margins against Hillary Clinton, and placed second with around 30% and 27 delegates, his only strongholds having been in college towns, St. Cloud and the Minneapolis and St. Paul city limits.[1] While senator Elizabeth Warren narrowly surpassed the 15% threshold and won 10 delegates, former mayor Michael Bloomberg and Klobuchar, who despite her withdrawal had carried a number of counties due to early voting, placed fourth and fifth without winning delegates.

Procedure

[edit]

Minnesota was one of 14 states and one territory holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday".[2] While Party-run caucuses were still held in the state, they no longer included or influenced the presidential nomination question. Then-governor Mark Dayton had signed a bill on May 22, 2016, matching a national trend for the change from a traditional caucus system to presidential nominating contests,[3] marking the first binding Democratic primary in the state since 1956 (as the primary ordered by state law in 1992 had been ignored by the party and was therefore non-binding).

Absentee voting began on January 17, 2020.[4] A legal challenge was brought jointly by James Martin and a Republican candidate threatening to disrupt the process,[5] but was denied by the Minnesota Supreme Court.[6] Voting on Super Tuesday took place from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. in much of the state, with voting in certain townships starting at 10:00 a.m. Under Minnesota's open primary law, there were no qualifications that a candidate had to meet in order for that candidate's name to be printed on a primary ballot excepting only being included in the notice provided by the party's chair to the Minnesota Secretary of State; there were no restrictions as to what names the chair was allowed to give in its notice.[7] Under state party rules, however, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable.[8]

The 75 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of the 75 pledged delegates, between 4 and 10 were allocated to each of the state's 8 congressional districts and another 10 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 16 at-large delegates.[9] The Super Tuesday primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on the first shared date or on a March date in general.[10]

Following so-called "organizing unit conventions" between March 7, 2020, and April 19, 2020, during which delegates for the congressional district and state conventions were nominated, the congressional district conventions took place between May 2, 2020, and May 29, 2020, to select national convention district delegates. The state convention to vote on the 16 at-large and 10 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention was planned to be held virtually on May 31, 2020, but the speaking portion of it (not the online elections) were postponed to a later date due to the protests following the murder of George Floyd.[11] The delegation also included 16 unpledged PLEO delegates: 7 members of the Democratic National Committee, 7 members of Congress (both senators, notably Amy Klobuchar, and 5 representatives), the governor Tim Walz, and former vice president Walter Mondale.[9]

Candidates

[edit]

15 candidates and an uncommitted option were on the ballot in Minnesota:[12]

Running

Withdrawn

Campaign

[edit]
Sanders at a rally in Saint Paul, Minnesota on March 2, 2020

With the impeachment trial coming up and taking up the time of several of the top tier candidates, including Minnesota senator Amy Klobuchar, the start of early voting was extremely important to her and the state party. Several rallies featuring her and other top DFL officials were held on that day, January 17.[13]

Amy Klobuchar suspended her campaign one day before Super Tuesday, after 100,000 voters had already requested early voting ballots. This is likely to have contributed to her receiving 5.6 percent of the vote, and coming in first in several counties.[14]

Polling

[edit]

Amy Klobuchar led in pre-election polling, but withdrew from the race the night before the election and endorsed Joe Biden (who went on to win Minnesota).

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregation Date
updated 		Dates
polled 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Joe
Biden 		Michael
Bloomberg 		Tulsi
Gabbard 		Un-
decided[e]
270 to Win[15] Mar 2, 2020 Feb 20–22, 2020 28.0% 22.0% 13.5% 8.5% 6.0% 2.5% 19.5%
FiveThirtyEight[16] Mar 2, 2020 until Mar 2, 2020[f] 24.4% 26.2% 14.4% 10.7% 5.6% 1.5% 17.2%
Average 26.2% 24.1% 14.0% 9.6% 5.8% 2.0% 18.3%
Minnesota Primary results (March 3, 2020) 5.6% 29.9% 15.4% 38.6% 8.3% 0.3% 1.8%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Minnesota Democratic Primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden 		Michael
Bloomberg 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Beto
O'Rourke 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Other Undecided
Mar 2, 2020 Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Swayable[17] Mar 1–2, 2020 1,472 (LV) ± 4.0% 20% 14% 4% – 21% – 27% 8% 6%[h] –
Data for Progress[18] Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 650 (LV) ± 3.84% 27% 16% – – 2% – 32% 21% 1%[i] –
Mar 1, 2020 Buttigieg withdraws from the race
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune/
MPR News Minnesota[19] 		Feb 17–20, 2020 500(LV) ± 4.5% 8% 3% 3% – 29% – 23% 11% 2%[j] 21%
University of Massachusetts Lowell[20] Feb 12–19, 2020 450(LV) ± 6.4% 9% 9% 10% – 27% – 21% 16% 4%[k] 4%
Dec 3, 2019 Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 1, 2019 O'Rourke withdraws from the race
St. Cloud State University[21] Oct 14-Nov 1, 2019 177 (LV) – 15% – 2% – 15% – 12% 15% – –
Kaiser Family Foundation[22] Sep 23–Oct 15, 2019 249 – 14% – 7% 1% 15% 1% 13% 25% 5%[l] 21%
Change Research[23] Jun 8–12, 2019 772 ± 3.7% 20% – 11% 4% 16% 3% 19% 21% 5%[m] –

Results

[edit]
county
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Sanders—<30%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Klobuchar—<30%
  Klobuchar—30–40%
  Klobuchar—40–50%
congressional district
Popular vote share by congressional district
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Sanders—30–40%
2020 Minnesota Democratic presidential primary[24]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[25]
Joe Biden 287,553 38.64 38
Bernie Sanders 222,431 29.89 27
Elizabeth Warren 114,674 15.41 10
Michael Bloomberg 61,882 8.32
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[c] 41,530 5.58
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[c] 7,616 1.02
Tulsi Gabbard 2,504 0.34
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)[b] 1,749 0.24
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[c] 551 0.07
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)[b] 315 0.04
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 226 0.03
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 197 0.03
John Delaney (withdrawn)[d] 172 0.02
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 114 0.02
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)[n] 72 0.01
Uncommitted 2,612 0.35
Total 744,198 100% 75

Results by county

[edit]
2020 Minnesota Democratic primary

(results per county)[26][o]

County Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg Amy Klobuchar Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Andrew Yang Tom Steyer Michael Bennet Marianne Williamson Cory Booker John Delaney Julian Castro Deval Patrick Uncommitted Total votes cast
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Aitkin 510 32.84 260 16.74 84 5.41 228 14.68 395 25.43 36 2.32 4 0.26 1 0.06 8 0.52 0 0 1 0.06 0 0 2 0.13 0 0 1 0.06 23 1.48 1,553
Anoka 15,176 42.20 11,280 31.37 4,156 11.56 3,303 9.18 1,425 3.96 221 0.61 133 0.37 105 0.29 19 0.05 15 0.04 9 0.03 1 0.00 4 0.01 3 0.01 1 0.00 111 0.31 35,962
Becker 1,120 50.61 440 19.88 188 8.50 187 8.45 211 9.53 26 1.17 11 0.50 5 0.23 4 0.18 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.09 1 0.05 0 0 18 0.81 2,213
Beltrami 1,450 32.78 1,720 38.89 407 9.20 362 8.18 357 8.07 58 1.31 23 0.52 6 0.14 5 0.11 5 0.11 1 0.02 0 0 2 0.05 1 0.02 0 0 26 0.59 4,423
Benton 982 40.31 817 33.54 244 10.02 221 9.07 120 4.93 15 0.62 11 0.45 4 0.16 1 0.04 3 0.12 0 0 2 0.08 2 0.08 1 0.04 1 0.04 12 0.49 2,436
Big Stone 123 26.00 56 11.84 29 6.13 58 12.26 175 37.00 17 3.59 3 0.63 1 0.21 3 0.63 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1.69 473
Blue Earth 2,417 32.61 2,766 37.32 825 11.13 553 7.46 632 8.53 119 1.61 31 0.42 22 0.30 7 0.09 4 0.05 2 0.03 3 0.04 1 0.01 3 0.04 1 0.01 26 0.35 7,412
Brown 650 39.90 336 20.63 148 9.09 218 13.38 215 13.20 32 1.96 6 0.37 0 0 4 0.25 0 0 1 0.06 1 0.06 0 0 1 0.06 0 0 17 1.04 1,629
Carlton 2,056 45.17 1,134 24.91 329 7.23 515 11.31 389 8.55 56 1.23 19 0.42 8 0.18 6 0.13 3 0.07 2 0.04 3 0.07 2 0.04 0 0 1 0.02 29 0.64 4,552
Carver 5,165 48.14 2,417 22.53 1,386 12.92 1,044 9.73 514 4.79 120 1.12 34 0.32 14 0.13 9 0.08 0 0 3 0.03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 0.21 10,729
Cass 903 35.76 615 24.36 165 6.53 371 14.69 342 13.54 76 3.01 10 0.40 9 0.36 6 0.24 3 0.12 4 0.16 0 0 1 0.04 2 0.08 0 0 18 0.71 2,525
Chippewa 319 38.57 149 18.02 57 6.89 86 10.40 179 21.64 18 2.18 5 0.60 0 0 1 0.12 0 0 0 0 1 0.12 2 0.24 1 0.12 0 0 9 1.09 827
Chisago 2,030 48.54 973 23.27 436 10.43 474 11.33 182 4.35 32 0.77 19 0.45 7 0.17 2 0.05 2 0.05 3 0.07 0 0 3 0.07 0 0 0 0 19 0.45 4,182
Clay 2,281 39.27 1,768 30.44 761 13.10 360 6.20 499 8.59 59 1.02 22 0.38 7 0.12 4 0.07 1 0.02 2 0.03 2 0.03 2 0.03 0 0 2 0.03 38 0.65 5,808
Clearwater 255 51.00 129 25.80 22 4.40 33 6.60 45 9.00 4 0.80 1 0.20 2 0.40 1 0.20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1.60 500
Cook 333 21.43 376 24.20 271 17.44 126 8.11 339 21.81 78 5.02 11 0.71 0 0 3 0.19 0 0 1 0.06 1 0.06 2 0.13 1 0.06 0 0 12 0.77 1,554
Cottonwood 275 51.02 107 19.85 52 9.65 73 13.54 21 3.90 4 0.74 1 0.19 1 0.19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0.93 539
Crow Wing 2,325 45.49 1,139 22.29 438 8.57 576 11.27 476 9.31 89 1.74 17 0.33 9 0.18 3 0.06 4 0.08 3 0.06 0 0 1 0.02 1 0.02 0 0 30 0.59 5,111
Dakota 24,759 43.84 15,479 27.41 7,457 13.20 5,115 9.06 2,622 4.64 519 0.92 182 0.32 106 0.19 24 0.04 13 0.02 17 0.03 14 0.02 7 0.01 12 0.02 2 0.00 147 0.26 56,475
Dodge 685 52.53 301 23.08 128 9.82 109 8.36 59 4.52 7 0.54 5 0.38 3 0.23 2 0.15 0 0 0 0 1 0.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0.31 1,304
Douglas 1,445 52.93 468 17.14 245 8.97 340 12.45 175 6.41 22 0.81 12 0.44 3 0.11 2 0.07 3 0.11 4 0.15 0 0 0 0 1 0.04 0 0 10 0.37 2,730
Faribault 398 47.72 148 17.75 60 7.19 129 15.47 74 8.87 9 1.08 2 0.24 1 0.12 2 0.24 0 0 1 0.12 1 0.12 1 0.12 2 0.24 0 0 6 0.72 834
Fillmore 786 45.67 344 19.99 162 9.41 166 9.65 194 11.27 30 1.74 4 0.23 12 0.70 9 0.52 2 0.12 0 0 1 0.06 1 0.06 0 0 0 0 10 0.58 1,721
Freeborn 1,315 49.79 656 24.84 143 5.41 255 9.66 205 7.76 28 1.06 7 0.27 6 0.23 4 0.15 4 0.15 0 0 1 0.04 1 0.04 0 0 0 0 16 0.61 2,641
Goodhue 2,178 47.94 960 21.13 492 10.83 509 11.20 289 6.36 49 1.08 28 0.62 8 0.18 6 0.13 1 0.02 0 0 1 0.02 1 0.02 1 0.02 0 0 20 0.44 4,543
Grant 115 18.95 80 13.18 28 4.61 89 14.66 236 38.88 29 4.78 6 0.99 5 0.82 0 0 0 0 1 0.16 1 0.16 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 2.80 607
Hennepin 92,107 34.52 88,560 33.19 51,339 19.24 19,072 7.15 10,991 4.12 2,504 0.94 734 0.28 532 0.20 127 0.05 84 0.03 66 0.02 67 0.03 49 0.02 31 0.01 19 0.01 515 0.19 266,797
Houston 964 49.16 506 25.80 196 9.99 189 9.64 74 3.77 6 0.31 8 0.41 0 0 1 0.05 1 0.05 0 0 0 0 1 0.05 0 0 0 0 15 0.76 1,961
Hubbard 788 43.20 421 23.08 149 8.17 209 11.46 196 10.75 28 1.54 5 0.27 3 0.16 8 0.44 1 0.05 0 0 0 0 2 0.11 0 0 0 0 14 0.77 1,824
Isanti 1,217 49.27 595 24.09 195 7.89 292 11.82 124 5.02 12 0.49 15 0.61 6 0.24 1 0.04 1 0.04 0 0 1 0.04 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0.45 2,470
Itasca 1,988 38.33 1,001 19.30 340 6.55 667 12.86 879 16.95 156 3.01 27 0.52 15 0.29 13 0.25 4 0.08 3 0.06 5 0.10 1 0.02 2 0.04 3 0.06 83 1.60 5,187
Jackson 282 45.71 107 17.34 36 5.83 74 11.99 95 15.40 7 1.13 3 0.49 1 0.16 2 0.32 3 0.49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1.13 617
Kanabec 513 51.61 228 22.94 82 8.25 106 10.66 40 4.02 10 1.01 3 0.30 2 0.20 0 0 0 0 1 0.10 1 0.10 1 0.10 1 0.10 0 0 6 0.60 994
Kandiyohi 1,496 49.68 589 19.56 236 7.84 371 12.32 238 7.90 31 1.03 8 0.27 12 0.40 3 0.10 3 0.10 3 0.10 3 0.10 1 0.03 1 0.03 0 0 16 0.53 3,011
Kittson 158 31.10 50 9.84 28 5.51 39 7.68 198 38.98 13 2.56 3 0.59 0 0 0 0 3 0.59 0 0 0 0 1 0.20 1 0.20 0 0 14 2.76 508
Koochiching 535 42.80 212 16.96 67 5.36 201 16.08 185 14.80 26 2.08 4 0.32 0 0 4 0.32 1 0.08 1 0.08 0 0 0 0 1 0.08 0 0 13 1.04 1,250
Lac qui Parle 221 35.02 75 11.89 29 4.60 71 11.25 201 31.85 17 2.69 1 0.16 0 0 1 0.16 1 0.16 1 0.16 0 0 0 0 1 0.16 0 0 12 1.90 631
Lake 812 44.18 459 24.97 184 10.01 211 11.48 122 6.64 21 1.14 3 0.16 4 0.22 7 0.38 1 0.05 0 0 0 0 1 0.05 0 0 0 0 13 0.71 1,838
Lake of the Woods 99 28.53 42 12.10 9 2.59 36 10.37 115 33.14 28 8.07 3 0.86 1 0.29 2 0.58 0 0 2 0.58 1 0.29 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 2.59 347
Le Sueur 735 37.50 345 17.60 142 7.24 255 13.01 402 20.51 35 1.79 13 0.66 4 0.20 1 0.05 2 0.10 2 0.10 0 0 1 0.05 1 0.05 0 0 22 1.12 1,960
Lincoln 209 65.31 47 14.69 15 4.69 24 7.50 17 5.31 1 0.31 3 0.94 2 0.63 1 0.31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.31 320
Lyon 616 39.04 388 24.59 150 9.51 162 10.27 199 12.61 28 1.77 7 0.44 5 0.32 3 0.19 1 0.06 1 0.06 0 0 1 0.06 0 0 0 0 17 1.08 1,578
Mahnomen 864 46.15 482 25.75 156 8.33 237 12.66 95 5.07 13 0.69 9 0.48 8 0.43 1 0.05 0 0 0 0 1 0.05 1 0.05 0 0 0 0 5 0.27 1,872
Marshall 105 23.65 124 27.93 11 2.48 53 11.94 125 28.15 8 1.80 3 0.68 0 0 2 0.45 2 0.45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.23 10 2.25 444
Martin 166 27.39 74 12.21 24 3.96 69 11.39 206 33.99 40 6.60 3 0.50 4 0.66 3 0.50 1 0.17 0 0 1 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 2.48 606
McLeod 450 50.00 177 19.67 95 10.56 104 11.56 50 5.56 7 0.78 2 0.22 2 0.22 1 0.11 1 0.11 0 0 1 0.11 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 1.11 900
Meeker 536 42.01 221 17.32 90 7.05 164 12.85 211 16.54 31 2.43 4 0.31 5 0.39 0 0 2 0.16 1 0.08 2 0.16 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0.71 1,276
Mille Lacs 653 44.06 413 27.87 110 7.42 196 13.23 91 6.14 13 0.88 3 0.20 0 0 1 0.07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0.13 1,482
Morrison 706 43.18 318 19.45 109 6.67 204 12.48 221 13.52 26 1.59 11 0.67 6 0.37 3 0.18 1 0.06 4 0.24 0 0 1 0.06 0 0 1 0.06 24 1.47 1,635
Mower 1,499 45.00 781 23.45 200 6.00 370 11.11 317 9.52 75 2.25 15 0.45 28 0.84 13 0.39 4 0.12 2 0.06 0 0 2 0.06 2 0.06 0 0 23 0.69 3,331
Murray 270 44.63 89 14.71 31 5.12 58 9.59 115 19.01 21 3.47 2 0.33 0 0 2 0.33 0 0 1 0.17 0 0 2 0.33 0 0 0 0 14 2.31 605
Nicollet 1,554 35.86 1,331 30.72 638 14.72 387 8.93 322 7.43 55 1.27 11 0.25 9 0.21 6 0.14 1 0.02 1 0.02 1 0.02 1 0.02 1 0.02 0 0 15 0.35 4,333
Nobles 344 37.19 253 27.35 51 5.51 107 11.57 117 12.65 23 2.49 6 0.65 0 0 2 0.22 0 0 3 0.32 1 0.11 2 0.22 0 0 0 0 16 1.73 925
Norman 183 30.20 102 16.83 42 6.93 59 9.74 171 28.22 30 4.95 2 0.33 3 0.50 3 0.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.17 0 0 0 0 10 1.65 606
Olmsted 8,524 42.76 5,462 27.40 2,748 13.78 1,382 6.93 1,331 6.68 236 1.18 73 0.37 53 0.27 12 0.06 7 0.04 4 0.02 5 0.03 5 0.03 3 0.02 3 0.02 87 0.44 19,935
Otter Tail 2,166 52.03 800 19.22 404 9.70 388 9.32 284 6.82 33 0.79 31 0.74 15 0.36 3 0.07 1 0.02 0 0 3 0.07 3 0.07 1 0.02 0 0 31 0.74 4,163
Pennington 364 47.21 193 25.03 47 6.10 47 6.10 89 11.54 12 1.56 4 0.52 7 0.91 1 0.13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0.91 771
Pine 915 43.14 474 22.35 175 8.25 282 13.30 200 9.43 33 1.56 10 0.47 2 0.09 2 0.09 2 0.09 1 0.05 0 0 0 0 1 0.05 0 0 24 1.13 2,121
Pipestone 207 42.77 82 16.94 26 5.37 55 11.36 85 17.56 11 2.27 5 1.03 1 0.21 4 0.83 1 0.21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1.45 484
Polk 796 38.44 400 19.31 144 6.95 171 8.26 422 20.38 64 3.09 11 0.53 10 0.48 7 0.34 2 0.10 3 0.14 2 0.10 0 0 1 0.05 2 0.10 36 1.74 2,071
Pope 430 49.09 130 14.84 47 5.37 109 12.44 137 15.64 8 0.91 5 0.57 1 0.11 2 0.23 1 0.11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.11 5 0.57 876
Ramsey 34,706 33.13 34,498 32.93 21,971 20.97 6,928 6.61 4,631 4.42 905 0.86 303 0.29 366 0.35 55 0.05 41 0.04 29 0.03 33 0.03 31 0.03 12 0.01 13 0.01 239 0.23 104,761
Red Lake 70 25.64 35 12.82 16 5.86 15 5.49 113 41.39 12 4.40 2 0.73 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 3.66 273
Redwood 344 50.89 163 24.11 55 8.14 55 8.14 36 5.33 5 0.74 5 0.74 5 0.74 2 0.30 1 0.15 1 0.15 0 0 1 0.15 0 0 0 0 3 0.44 676
Renville 370 49.60 156 20.91 52 6.97 104 13.94 51 6.84 4 0.54 3 0.40 1 0.13 0 0 3 0.40 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.13 0 0 1 0.13 746
Rice 3,212 37.02 2,853 32.88 1,484 17.10 571 6.58 395 4.55 73 0.84 36 0.41 11 0.13 4 0.05 5 0.06 3 0.03 2 0.02 3 0.03 1 0.01 1 0.01 22 0.25 8,676
Rock 223 38.65 102 17.68 40 6.93 42 7.28 134 23.22 22 3.81 6 1.04 0 0 3 0.52 0 0 0 0 1 0.17 0 0 1 0.17 0 0 3 0.52 577
Roseau 270 37.71 105 14.66 47 6.56 80 11.17 142 19.83 23 3.21 11 1.54 6 0.84 0 0 1 0.14 1 0.14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 4.19 716
Saint Louis 14,115 42.38 10,054 30.18 3,682 11.05 3,228 9.69 1,528 4.59 233 0.70 137 0.41 63 0.19 35 0.11 16 0.05 10 0.03 6 0.02 4 0.01 5 0.02 7 0.02 185 0.56 33,308
Scott 5,820 45.05 3,544 27.43 1,493 11.56 1,204 9.32 590 4.57 121 0.94 59 0.46 25 0.19 9 0.07 2 0.02 2 0.02 1 0.01 4 0.03 1 0.01 1 0.01 44 0.34 12,920
Sherburne 2,794 46.23 1,640 27.13 583 9.65 625 10.34 280 4.63 47 0.78 28 0.46 5 0.08 4 0.07 9 0.15 2 0.03 0 0 1 0.02 0 0 3 0.05 23 0.38 6,044
Sibley 328 41.31 135 17.00 59 7.43 119 14.99 115 14.48 19 2.39 6 0.76 1 0.13 2 0.25 1 0.13 0 0 0 0 1 0.13 0 0 0 0 8 1.01 794
Stearns 4,204 38.60 3,355 30.81 1,271 11.67 998 9.16 773 7.10 134 1.23 44 0.40 26 0.24 12 0.11 7 0.06 5 0.05 4 0.04 3 0.03 4 0.04 1 0.01 50 0.46 10,891
Steele 1,142 43.89 671 25.79 257 9.88 310 11.91 156 6.00 21 0.81 13 0.50 6 0.23 2 0.08 3 0.12 0 0 4 0.15 3 0.12 1 0.04 0 0 13 0.50 2,602
Stevens 227 22.10 370 36.03 151 14.70 69 6.72 171 16.65 18 1.75 5 0.49 1 0.10 5 0.49 1 0.10 2 0.19 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.10 6 0.58 1,027
Swift 291 37.31 114 14.62 47 6.03 112 14.36 192 24.62 9 1.15 2 0.26 2 0.26 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.13 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 1.28 780
Todd 605 53.30 239 21.06 92 8.11 116 10.22 59 5.20 3 0.26 3 0.26 1 0.09 0 0 0 0 1 0.09 1 0.09 0 0 0 0 2 0.18 13 1.15 1,135
Traverse 110 39.71 38 13.72 8 2.89 31 11.19 78 28.16 10 3.61 0 0 1 0.36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.36 277
Wabasha 841 49.24 350 20.49 146 8.55 207 12.12 124 7.26 19 1.11 7 0.41 4 0.23 3 0.18 1 0.06 1 0.06 1 0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0.23 1,708
Wadena 336 48.28 175 25.14 51 7.33 69 9.91 46 6.61 9 1.29 3 0.43 1 0.14 2 0.29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.14 3 0.43 696
Waseca 616 51.59 282 23.62 106 8.88 115 9.63 52 4.36 5 0.42 6 0.50 1 0.08 2 0.17 3 0.25 1 0.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0.42 1,194
Washington 16,244 46.18 8,827 25.09 4,241 12.06 3,297 9.37 1,874 5.33 355 1.01 103 0.29 98 0.28 20 0.06 17 0.05 7 0.02 10 0.03 5 0.01 6 0.02 1 0.00 71 0.20 35,176
Watonwan 251 32.43 141 18.22 58 7.49 114 14.73 170 21.96 20 2.58 2 0.26 2 0.26 2 0.26 3 0.39 0 0 1 0.13 0 0 1 0.13 0 0 9 1.16 774
Wilkin 130 32.18 55 13.61 21 5.20 45 11.14 127 31.44 14 3.47 2 0.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 9 2.23 404
Winona 2,221 38.77 1,916 33.44 773 13.49 523 9.13 186 3.25 34 0.59 24 0.42 13 0.23 2 0.03 1 0.02 4 0.07 2 0.03 0 0 1 0.02 1 0.02 28 0.49 5,729
Wright 4,294 49.12 2,053 23.49 880 10.07 933 10.67 395 4.52 77 0.88 36 0.41 22 0.25 7 0.08 5 0.06 2 0.02 1 0.01 2 0.02 1 0.01 0 0 33 0.38 8,741
Yellow Medicine 266 47.42 111 19.79 32 5.70 51 9.09 77 13.73 9 1.60 1 0.18 2 0.36 3 0.53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 1.60 561
Total 287,553 38.64 222,431 29.89 114,674 15.41 61,882 8.32 41,530 5.58 7,616 1.02 2,504 0.34 1,749 0.24 551 0.07 315 0.04 226 0.03 197 0.03 172 0.02 114 0.02 72 0.01 2,612 0.35 744,198

Exit polling

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Gender

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Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders had a fairly even split among male voters (39 and 37 percent respectively), but Biden had a clear lead among female voters (41%). Elizabeth Warren performed notably better among women than men.[27]

Race

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CNN's exit poll was 85% white and 15% non-white. Among white voters, 42% supported Biden, 27% supported Warren, and 17% supported Sanders. Black voters were split between Biden (47%) and Sanders (43%).[27]

Age

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Young voters (17–29) overwhelmingly supported Sanders. Biden dominated the older age groups (45 and older), particularly those 65 and older. Warren and Sanders had more balanced support across the 30-44 age group.[27]

Education

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Joe Biden's support was notable across all education levels, but it was particularly strong among voters who had never attended college, where he received 54% of the vote, and among voters with advanced degrees (44%). In contrast, Bernie Sanders resonated more with voters who had some college education or an associate degree, securing 42% and 33% in these groups, respectively. Elizabeth Warren found significant support among voters with advanced degrees, capturing 23% of their votes.[27]

Ideology

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Among among the 1,765 respondents, 24% were very liberal, 42% somewhat liberal, 29% moderate, and 5% conservative. Bernie Sanders was the dominant choice among very liberal voters, capturing 51% of their support. Joe Biden, conversely, was particularly strong with moderate voters, receiving 60% of their votes. Elizabeth Warren found her strongest support among very liberal voters (26%), but like Sanders, her appeal decreased among somewhat liberal and moderate voters (18% and 6%, respectively).[27]

Notes

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  1. ^ Klobuchar withdrew on March 2, 2020, the day before the primary. Absentee voting had already occurred.
  2. ^ a b c d e Candidate withdrew after the New Hampshire primary when absentee voting had already begun.
  3. ^ a b c d e f Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary when absentee voting had already begun.
  4. ^ a b Candidate withdrew during the first days of absentee voting.
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  6. ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  7. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
  9. ^ Gabbard with 1%
  10. ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
  11. ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer and "Another Candidate" with 0%
  12. ^ Yang with 4%; Booker with 1%; Steyer, Castro, and Refused to answer with 0%; Someone else not reported
  13. ^ Yang with 2%; Booker, Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
  14. ^ Candidate withdrew after in-person absentee voting started on January 17, 2020.
  15. ^ The results are official because they were certified by the State Canvassing Board on March 10, 2020[24] before being retrieved on April 2, 2020.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Smart, Charlie; Lu, Denise; Bloch, Matthew; Smithgall, Ben; Bui, Quoctrung (June 29, 2020). "Results: The Most Detailed Map of the Minnesota Democratic Primary". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved December 12, 2020.
  2. ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  3. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (May 22, 2016). "Minnesota moves to presidential primary in 2020". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  4. ^ "Minnesota Secretary Of State - Presidential primary". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved January 14, 2020.
  5. ^ McKinney, Matt (December 20, 2019). "Challenge to Minnesota's Trump-only Republican ballot leaves early voting in limbo". StarTribune.com. Star Tribune. Retrieved December 27, 2019. State officials warned the Supreme Court in papers filed this week that unless the ballot question is settled 'within the first few days of January,' they may not have enough time to print and distribute ballots for the start of early voting on Jan. 17.
  6. ^ "MN Supreme Court ruling: Primary ballot will stay as it is". MPR News. January 9, 2020. Retrieved January 14, 2020.
  7. ^ Form Of Ballots; Candidates On Ballots (Statute §207A.13, subd. 2(a)). Minnesota. 2019.
  8. ^ "Minnesota DFL 2020-21 Official Call of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party of Minnesota" (PDF). www.dfl.org. p. 22. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 1, 2020. Retrieved March 1, 2020.
  9. ^ a b "Minnesota Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  10. ^ "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  11. ^ "Minnesota DFL postpones 2020 virtual state convention". KSTP.com. May 29, 2020. Retrieved September 24, 2022.
  12. ^ "DFL Announces 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot". dfl.org. Democratic Farmers-Labors Union. December 17, 2019. Archived from the original on December 17, 2019. Retrieved December 27, 2019.
  13. ^ Dave Orrick (January 19, 2020). "Minnesota's Democratic who's who comes out for Klobuchar". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  14. ^ "Turnout strong for Minnesota's first Super Tuesday vote". Twin Cities. March 4, 2020. Retrieved March 5, 2020.
  15. ^ 270 to Win
  16. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  17. ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
  18. ^ Data for Progress
  19. ^ Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune/
    MPR News Minnesota
  20. ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
  21. ^ St. Cloud State University
  22. ^ Kaiser Family Foundation
  23. ^ Change Research
  24. ^ a b "State Canvassing Board Certificate 2020 Presidential Nomination Primary". Minnesota. Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State. March 10, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
  25. ^ "Delegate Tracker". Associated Press. August 17, 2020. Retrieved November 24, 2022.
  26. ^ "Unofficial Results Tuesday, March 3, 2020". Minnesota. Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State. March 10, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
  27. ^ a b c d e "Exit and entrance polls from the 2020 primaries and caucuses". CNN. January 1, 2000. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
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