Economy

Our coverage of global economics, from inflation-fighting central banks to apprehensive financial markets

The US economy

A Trump hat on a desk at the New York Stock Exchange in New York, United States, November 6th 2024

The return of Trumponomics excites markets but frightens the world

It may bring stronger growth, higher inflation and a global trade war

Construction workers at a high-rise jobsite in Miami.

American men are getting back to work

The ultra-gloomy picture painted by politicians is no longer accurate


America’s economy is bigger and better than ever

Will politics bring it back to Earth?


The American economy has left other rich countries in the dust

Expect that to continue, argue Simon Rabinovitch and Henry Curr

The US tax code will change next year; the presidential election will determine how

Donald Trump promises cuts galore, while Kamala Harris would target the middle-class

What America’s presidential election means for world trade

The first in a series of eight concise briefs on the consequences of the 2024 election

How America learned to love tariffs



China’s economy

A copper mine and smelting complex owned by Zijin Mining Group in Bor, Serbia, March 14th 2024

China is tightening its grip on the world’s minerals

That is making Western policymakers anxious

Xi jinping surrounded by a montage of unfinished highrises, two Chinese children, a woman holding a clothing sale sign, a woman pushing a shopping trolley and the People's Bank of China, against an abstract background of red and yellow blocks.

Why China may be saving its bazooka for Donald Trump

The Communist Party may be hoarding fiscal firepower to offset a possible trade war  


A chinese dragon made of of line modified by people.

Why investors should still avoid Chinese stocks

The debate about “uninvestability” obscures something important


China’s property crisis claims more victims: companies

Unsold homes are contributing to a balance-sheet recession

Don’t celebrate China’s stimulus just yet

It will take more than a spectacular stockmarket rally to revive the economy



Russia’s economy

How Vladimir Putin hopes to transform Russian trade

He believes the country’s future lies with China and India. What could go wrong?


How Vladimir Putin created a housing bubble

Prices have risen by 172% in Russia’s biggest cities over the past three years


Russia’s gas business will never recover from the war in Ukraine

Hopes of a Chinese rescue look increasingly vain

Frozen Russian assets will soon pay for Ukraine’s war

And America now hopes to convince others to make better use of the stash



Asia’s economies

An elephant putting a coin with his trunk on a top of a coin tower

How to protect India’s shareholder capitalism from itself

A surge in equity investment is threatened by risky derivatives trading


Commercial ships at sea in the Singapore Strait

Donald Trump would leave Asia with only bad options

The continent’s policymakers are too relaxed about the risks


South-East Asia’s stodgy conglomerates are holding it back

The region’s ageing corporate empires are stuck in the past—and too cosy with politicians



Europe’s economies

Ireland’s government has an unusual problem: too much money

A tax windfall has added to already overflowing coffers

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves carries the red budget box at Downing Street in London, United Kingdom on October 30th 2024

The British budget combines large numbers and a narrow vision

A bigger state but an irrational way to fund it


Dark rain clouds move over the port of Hamburg, Germany

Germany’s economy goes from bad to worse

Things may look brighter next year, but the relief will be short-lived


How bond investors soured on France

They now regard the euro zone’s second-largest economy as riskier than Spain



Data

Three charts show that America’s imports are booming

Here’s why that could spell trouble

A pedestrian carries a McDonald's bag in San Francisco, California,

The Big Mac index: where to buy a cheap hamburger

Meat-eaters may want to avoid Argentina


The world’s richest countries in 2024

Our annual ranking compares economies in three different ways


The economics of American lotteries

Our analysis shows poorer citizens spend a staggering amount on tickets



Latest coverage

Finance & economics

America’s strengthening dollar will rattle the rest of the world

Donald Trump’s policies could send the greenback soaring

China

China’s stimulus falls short, as a showdown with Trump looms

The country’s rulers may be saving their fiscal ammunition in case of a trade war

China

Chinese netizens wonder if their economy is in “garbage time”

As the government tries to stimulate growth, some gloomily ponder the long term

Leaders

How to protect India’s shareholder capitalism from itself

A surge in equity investment is threatened by risky derivatives trading

Finance & economics

The return of Trumponomics excites markets but frightens the world

It may bring stronger growth, higher inflation and a global trade war

Finance & economics

Why investors’ “Trump trade” might be flawed

Markets are betting Trump 2.0 would boost the dollar. It could fall instead

Britain

Labour’s budget has given the bond market indigestion

But this is not a repeat of the Liz Truss debacle

Finance & economics

Ireland’s government has an unusual problem: too much money

A tax windfall has added to already overflowing coffers

Finance & economics

Why China needs to fill its empty homes

The country’s economy is broken. A recovery requires a healthier property market

Britain

Britain’s budget is heavy on spending but light on reform

Rachel Reeves has raised both borrowing and taxes by historic amounts

Leaders

The British budget combines large numbers and a narrow vision

A bigger state but an irrational way to fund it

Finance & economics

Will bond vigilantes come for America’s next president?

Treasury yields are rising ominously

Finance & economics

America’s glorious economy should help Kamala Harris

Voters are starting to notice the good news just in time for the election

Business

South-East Asia’s stodgy conglomerates are holding it back

The region’s ageing corporate empires are stuck in the past—and too cosy with politicians

Leaders

The blistering rally in gold augurs ill for the power of the dollar

Central banks are shifting away from the greenback

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