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2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout79.70% Increase
 
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 7 0
Popular vote 1,080,680 715,291
Percentage 59.24% 39.21%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Connecticut
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Mayoral Elections

The 2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Connecticut voted 16% more Democratic than the national average.

Primary elections

[edit]

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 19, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[4] Then on April 17, they were further pushed back to August 11.[5]

Republican primary

[edit]

The state had 28 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention, all going to Trump.[6]

2020 Connecticut Republican presidential primary[7]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent) 71,667 78.4% 28
Uncommitted 12,994 14.2%
Rocky De La Fuente (withdrawn) 6,791 7.4%
Total 91,452 100% 28

Democratic primary

[edit]
This section is an excerpt from 2020 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary § Results.[edit]
2020 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary[8]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[9]
Joe Biden 224,500 84.90 60
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 30,512 11.54
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 3,429 1.30
Uncommitted 5,975 2.26
Total 264,416 100% 60

Libertarian caucus

[edit]
Main article: 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
2020 Connecticut Libertarian presidential caucus
April 25–28, 2020 2024 →
← OH
NY →
 
Candidate Jacob Hornberger Jim Gray Jo Jorgensen
Home state Virginia California South Carolina
First vote 47
(31.7%) 		23
(13.8%) 		18
(10.8%)
Final vote 85
(66.9%) 		42
(33.1%) 		Eliminated
 
Candidate Adam Kokesh Vermin Supreme
Home state Indiana Massachusetts
First vote 14
(8.4%) 		14
(8.4%)
Final vote Eliminated Eliminated

Voting took place from April 25–28, 2020.[10]

Connecticut Libertarian presidential caucus[10]
Candidate Round 1 Round 19
Votes % Transfer Votes %
Jacob Hornberger 47 31.7% + 48 85 66.9%
James P. Gray 23 13.8% + 19 42 33.1%
Jo Jorgensen 18 10.8% - 34 Eliminated in round 18
Adam Kokesh 14 8.4% - 22 Eliminated in round 17
Vermin Supreme 14 8.4% - 16 Eliminated in round 16
Brian Ellison 6 3.6% - 11 Eliminated in round 15
Souraya Faas 4 2.4% - 8 Eliminated in round 14
N.O.T.A 8 4.2% - 8 Eliminated in round 13
Dan Behrman 5 3.0% - 5 Eliminated in round 12
Sorinne Ardeleanu 4 2.4% - 5 Eliminated in round 11
Sam Robb 4 2.4% - 5 Eliminated in round 10
Arvin Vohra 4 2.4% - 4 Eliminated in round 9
John Monds 4 2.4% - 4 Eliminated in round 8
Ken Armstrong 1 0.6% - 3 Eliminated in round 7
Phil Gray 2 1.2% - 2 Eliminated in round 6
Steve Richey 1 0.6% - 1 Eliminated in round 5
Erik Gerhardt 1 0.6% - 1 Eliminated in round 4
Jedidiah Hill 1 0.6% - 1 Eliminated in round 3
Louis Vanacore 1 0.6% - 1 Eliminated in round 2
Kenneth Blevins, James Ogle, Rhett Smith 0 0.0% - 0 Eliminated in round 1
Round 1 total 167 100.0% Round 9 total 167 (40 exhausted) 100.0%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[14] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[15] Likely D November 3, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[17] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[18] Safe D September 2, 2020
CBS News[19] Likely D August 16, 2020
270towin[20] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[21] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[22] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[23] Likely D August 6, 2020
538[24] Safe D September 9, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[a] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[25] until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 58.6% 32.4% 9.0% Biden +26.3

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 2,031 (LV) ± 3.5% 38%[c] 60% - - – –
Swayable[27][d] Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 367 (LV) ± 6.2% 33% 64% 2% 1% – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26] Oct 1–28, 2020 3,782 (LV) – 35% 63% - - – –
Sacred Heart University[28][e] Oct 8–21, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.02% 26% 51% - - 2% 20%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26] Sep 1–30, 2020 1,415 (LV) – 37% 61% - - – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26] Aug 1–31, 2020 1,009 (LV) – 35% 64% - - – 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26] Jul 1–31, 2020 1,360 (LV) – 39% 59% - - – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[26] Jun 8–30, 2020 574 (LV) – 32% 65% - - – 3%
SurveyUSA[29] May 19–24, 2020 808 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 52% - - 7%[f] 8%
Quinnipiac University[30] Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 945 (RV) ± 3.2% 33% 56% - - 3%[g] 7%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[31] Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 34% 47% - - – –
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[32] Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 36% 52% - - – –
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[33] Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 32% 52% - - – 16%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[34] Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 33% 52% - - – 15%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy[35] Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1000 (A) ± 3.% 33% 47% 20%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[34] Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 34% 46% 20%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[34] Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 34% 47% 19%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[31] Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 37% 48% –
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[32] Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 38% 50% –
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[33] Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 35% 52% 13%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[34] Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 35% 51% 14%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy[35] Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 1000 (A) ± 3.0% 36% 49% 16%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[34] Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 35% 49% 16%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut[36]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		1,080,831 59.24% +4.67%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		715,291 39.21% −1.72%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		20,227 1.11% −1.85%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker 		7,538 0.41% −0.98%
Write-in 544 0.03%
Total votes 1,824,280 100.00%

By county

[edit]
County Joe Biden
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Fairfield 297,505 62.90% 169,039 35.74% 6,446 1.36% 128,466 27.16% 472,990
Hartford 283,368 63.06% 159,024 35.39% 6,944 1.55% 124,344 27.67% 449,336
Litchfield 50,164 46.65% 55,601 51.70% 1,779 1.65% -5,437 -5.05% 107,544
Middlesex 56,848 57.30% 40,665 40.99% 1,690 1.70% 16,183 16.31% 99,203
New Haven 242,630 58.05% 169,893 40.65% 5,460 1.31% 72,737 17.40% 417,983
New London 79,459 56.92% 57,110 40.91% 3,035 2.17% 22,349 16.01% 139,604
Tolland 44,151 54.70% 34,838 43.16% 1,725 2.14% 9,313 11.54% 80,714
Windham 26,706 46.79% 29,141 51.05% 1,235 2.16% -2,435 -4.26% 57,082
Total 1,080,831 59.24% 715,291 39.21% 28,309 1.55% 365,389 20.03% 1,824,280

By town

[edit]
Town Joe Biden

Democratic

Donald Trump

Republican

Jo Jorgensen

Libertarian

Howie Hawkins

Green

Various candidates

Other parties

Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Andover 1,058 50.60% 998 47.73% 27 1.29% 8 0.38% 0 0.00% 60 2.87% 2,091
Ansonia 4,521 53.70% 3,797 45.10% 63 0.75% 37 0.44% 1 0.01% 724 8.60% 8,419
Ashford 1,330 52.28% 1,160 45.60% 35 1.38% 17 0.67% 2 0.08% 170 6.68% 2,544
Avon 7,299 60.89% 4,469 37.28% 169 1.41% 49 0.41% 1 0.01% 2,830 23.61% 11,987
Barkhamsted 1,154 47.26% 1,228 50.29% 42 1.72% 16 0.66% 2 0.08% -74 -3.03% 2,442
Beacon Falls 1,543 40.57% 2,191 57.61% 57 1.50% 12 0.32% 0 0.00% -648 -17.04% 3,803
Berlin 6,008 46.67% 6,687 51.95% 136 1.06% 41 0.32% 1 0.01% -679 -5.27% 12,873
Bethany 1,912 51.70% 1,718 46.46% 46 1.24% 22 0.59% 0 0.00% 194 5.25% 3,698
Bethel 6,270 56.12% 4,734 42.37% 114 1.02% 51 0.46% 3 0.03% 1,536 13.75% 11,172
Bethlehem 937 39.59% 1,393 58.85% 21 0.89% 15 0.63% 1 0.04% -456 -19.26% 2,367
Bloomfield 11,007 85.85% 1,698 13.24% 78 0.61% 34 0.27% 4 0.03% 9,309 72.61% 12,821
Bolton 1,727 52.52% 1,482 45.07% 54 1.64% 23 0.70% 2 0.06% 245 7.45% 3,288
Bozrah 703 45.41% 817 52.78% 23 1.49% 5 0.32% 0 0.00% -114 -7.36% 1,548
Branford 10,562 58.96% 7,098 39.62% 178 0.99% 68 0.38% 7 0.04% 3,464 19.34% 17,913
Bridgeport 33,515 79.44% 8,269 19.60% 200 0.47% 153 0.36% 51 0.12% 25,246 59.84% 42,188
Bridgewater 667 54.10% 549 44.53% 10 0.81% 7 0.57% 0 0.00% 118 9.57% 1,233
Bristol 15,462 51.89% 13,834 46.42% 357 1.20% 121 0.41% 25 0.08% 1,628 5.46% 29,799
Brookfield 5,426 50.21% 5,226 48.36% 111 1.03% 39 0.36% 5 0.05% 200 1.85% 10,807
Brooklyn 1,876 44.43% 2,262 53.58% 70 1.66% 13 0.31% 1 0.02% -386 -9.14% 4,222
Burlington 3,099 49.72% 3,034 48.68% 76 1.22% 22 0.35% 2 0.03% 65 1.04% 6,233
Canaan 437 66.72% 209 31.91% 6 0.92% 2 0.31% 1 0.15% 228 34.81% 655
Canterbury 1,182 39.24% 1,755 58.27% 58 1.93% 17 0.56% 0 0.00% -573 -19.02% 3,012
Canton 3,878 58.20% 2,663 39.97% 97 1.46% 23 0.35% 2 0.03% 1,215 18.24% 6,663
Chaplin 598 46.36% 662 51.32% 22 1.71% 8 0.62% 0 0.00% -64 -4.96% 1,290
Cheshire 9,745 55.95% 7,349 42.19% 237 1.36% 86 0.49% 1 0.01% 2,396 13.76% 17,418
Chester 1,701 65.52% 853 32.86% 29 1.12% 11 0.42% 2 0.08% 848 32.67% 2,596
Clinton 4,368 55.97% 3,312 42.44% 99 1.27% 25 0.32% 0 0.00% 1,056 13.53% 7,804
Colchester 5,216 53.82% 4,243 43.78% 178 1.84% 54 0.56% 0 0.00% 973 10.04% 9,691
Colebrook 403 40.79% 563 56.98% 19 1.92% 3 0.30% 0 0.00% -160 -16.19% 988
Columbia 1,888 52.91% 1,600 44.84% 61 1.71% 18 0.50% 1 0.03% 288 8.07% 3,568
Cornwall 760 73.64% 250 24.22% 9 0.87% 13 1.26% 0 0.00% 510 49.42% 1,032
Coventry 4,011 51.61% 3,545 45.61% 154 1.98% 49 0.63% 13 0.17% 466 6.00% 7,772
Cromwell 4,872 55.47% 3,749 42.68% 110 1.25% 42 0.48% 10 0.11% 1,123 12.79% 8,783
Danbury 18,869 58.93% 12,788 39.94% 261 0.82% 100 0.31% 3 0.01% 6,081 18.99% 32,021
Darien 7,876 60.50% 4,921 37.80% 174 1.34% 47 0.36% 0 0.00% 2,955 22.70% 13,018
Deep River 1,785 61.51% 1,076 37.08% 29 1.00% 12 0.41% 0 0.00% 709 24.43% 2,902
Derby 2,963 51.28% 2,749 47.58% 49 0.85% 17 0.29% 0 0.00% 214 3.70% 5,778
Durham 2,363 49.41% 2,330 48.72% 65 1.36% 22 0.46% 2 0.04% 33 0.69% 4,782
East Granby 1,789 54.81% 1,405 43.05% 55 1.69% 15 0.46% 0 0.00% 384 11.76% 3,264
East Haddam 2,980 51.16% 2,731 46.88% 88 1.51% 25 0.43% 1 0.02% 249 4.27% 5,825
East Hampton 4,051 50.71% 3,746 46.90% 139 1.74% 48 0.60% 4 0.05% 305 3.82% 7,988
East Hartford 14,787 71.76% 5,524 26.81% 227 1.10% 67 0.33% 2 0.01% 9,263 44.95% 20,607
East Haven 6,757 46.60% 7,572 52.22% 111 0.77% 58 0.40% 3 0.02% -815 -5.62% 14,501
East Lyme 7,290 62.01% 4,285 36.45% 145 1.23% 36 0.31% 0 0.00% 3,005 25.56% 11,756
East Windsor 3,008 53.22% 2,541 44.96% 82 1.45% 20 0.35% 1 0.02% 467 8.26% 5,652
Eastford 464 43.49% 572 53.61% 23 2.16% 8 0.75% 0 0.00% -108 -10.12% 1,067
Easton 2,777 55.29% 2,178 43.36% 46 0.92% 19 0.38% 3 0.06% 599 11.93% 5,023
Ellington 4,787 50.44% 4,515 47.57% 142 1.50% 36 0.38% 11 0.12% 272 2.87% 9,491
Enfield 11,263 53.82% 9,298 44.43% 272 1.30% 85 0.41% 11 0.05% 1,965 9.39% 20,929
Essex 3,011 63.86% 1,635 34.68% 44 0.93% 23 0.49% 2 0.04% 1,376 29.18% 4,715
Fairfield 22,861 64.55% 12,052 34.03% 377 1.06% 116 0.33% 8 0.02% 10,809 30.52% 35,414
Farmington 9,616 59.96% 6,160 38.41% 202 1.26% 56 0.35% 3 0.02% 3,456 21.55% 16,037
Franklin 553 43.85% 674 53.45% 28 2.22% 5 0.40% 1 0.08% -121 -9.60% 1,261
Glastonbury 13,990 62.53% 7,998 35.75% 290 1.30% 96 0.43% 0 0.00% 5,992 26.78% 22,374
Goshen 902 42.95% 1,161 55.29% 32 1.52% 5 0.24% 0 0.00% -259 -12.33% 2,100
Granby 4,029 54.65% 3,166 42.94% 138 1.87% 35 0.47% 5 0.07% 863 11.70% 7,373
Greenwich 22,243 61.59% 13,269 36.74% 488 1.35% 94 0.26% 18 0.05% 8,974 24.85% 36,112
Griswold 2,565 42.89% 3,257 54.46% 116 1.94% 42 0.70% 1 0.02% -692 -11.57% 5,981
Groton 10,699 61.53% 6,272 36.07% 319 1.83% 92 0.53% 7 0.04% 4,427 25.46% 17,389
Guilford 9,616 64.68% 5,050 33.97% 135 0.91% 63 0.42% 3 0.02% 4,566 30.71% 14,867
Haddam 2,728 49.49% 2,693 48.86% 67 1.22% 23 0.42% 1 0.02% 35 0.63% 5,512
Hamden 21,652 74.40% 7,139 24.53% 174 0.60% 139 0.48% 0 0.00% 14,513 49.87% 29,104
Hampton 572 50.22% 551 48.38% 9 0.79% 6 0.53% 1 0.09% 21 1.84% 1,139
Hartford 28,301 86.58% 4,116 12.59% 135 0.41% 134 0.41% 1 0.00% 24,185 73.99% 32,687
Hartland 457 35.37% 818 63.31% 11 0.85% 5 0.39% 1 0.08% -361 -27.94% 1,292
Harwinton 1,397 37.75% 2,229 60.23% 53 1.43% 21 0.57% 1 0.03% -832 -22.48% 3,701
Hebron 3,388 54.07% 2,731 43.58% 121 1.93% 26 0.41% 0 0.00% 657 10.49% 6,266
Kent 1,277 68.47% 568 30.46% 12 0.64% 7 0.38% 1 0.05% 709 38.02% 1,865
Killingly 3,402 41.07% 4,678 56.48% 147 1.77% 54 0.65% 2 0.02% -1,276 -15.41% 8,283
Killingworth 2,343 53.41% 1,979 45.11% 44 1.00% 20 0.46% 1 0.02% 364 8.30% 4,387
Lebanon 2,052 46.24% 2,268 51.10% 84 1.89% 34 0.77% 0 0.00% -216 -4.87% 4,438
Ledyard 4,534 53.80% 3,664 43.48% 177 2.10% 50 0.59% 2 0.02% 870 10.32% 8,427
Lisbon 1,099 44.14% 1,331 53.45% 44 1.77% 16 0.64% 0 0.00% -232 -9.32% 2,490
Litchfield 2,673 50.04% 2,555 47.83% 74 1.39% 39 0.73% 1 0.02% 118 2.21% 5,342
Lyme 1,165 65.74% 576 32.51% 27 1.52% 4 0.23% 0 0.00% 589 33.24% 1,772
Madison 7,625 61.31% 4,638 37.29% 118 0.95% 50 0.40% 6 0.05% 2,987 24.02% 12,437
Manchester 19,455 68.34% 8,530 29.97% 354 1.24% 110 0.39% 17 0.06% 10,925 38.38% 28,466
Mansfield 5,753 75.18% 1,727 22.57% 124 1.62% 46 0.60% 2 0.03% 4,026 52.61% 7,652
Marlborough 2,119 52.17% 1,861 45.81% 68 1.67% 11 0.27% 3 0.07% 258 6.35% 4,062
Meriden 14,955 59.05% 9,981 39.41% 278 1.10% 102 0.40% 10 0.04% 4,974 19.64% 25,326
Middlebury 2,259 44.49% 2,741 53.98% 58 1.14% 16 0.32% 4 0.08% -482 -9.49% 5,078
Middlefield 1,442 50.54% 1,356 47.53% 39 1.37% 15 0.53% 1 0.04% 86 3.01% 2,853
Middletown 15,508 65.97% 7,611 32.37% 273 1.16% 113 0.48% 4 0.02% 7,897 33.59% 23,509
Milford 17,626 54.97% 13,997 43.66% 309 0.96% 120 0.37% 10 0.03% 3,629 11.32% 32,062
Monroe 5,838 48.64% 5,989 49.90% 128 1.07% 47 0.39% 0 0.00% -151 -1.26% 12,002
Montville 4,406 49.66% 4,242 47.81% 173 1.95% 50 0.56% 2 0.02% 164 1.85% 8,873
Morris 653 41.83% 874 55.99% 20 1.28% 12 0.77% 2 0.13% -221 -14.16% 1,561
Naugatuck 6,923 46.45% 7,740 51.93% 161 1.08% 79 0.53% 1 0.01% -817 -5.48% 14,904
New Britain 16,031 66.60% 7,724 32.09% 211 0.88% 105 0.44% 0 0.00% 8,307 34.51% 24,071
New Canaan 7,298 59.02% 4,855 39.26% 169 1.37% 37 0.30% 6 0.05% 2,443 19.76% 12,365
New Fairfield 4,101 47.92% 4,343 50.75% 95 1.11% 16 0.19% 3 0.04% -242 -2.83% 8,558
New Hartford 2,089 45.64% 2,382 52.04% 82 1.79% 22 0.48% 2 0.04% -293 -6.40% 4,577
New Haven 35,521 84.37% 6,146 14.60% 201 0.48% 208 0.49% 26 0.06% 29,375 69.77% 42,102
New London 6,912 75.76% 2,045 22.42% 99 1.09% 67 0.73% 0 0.00% 4,867 53.35% 9,123
New Milford 8,004 50.87% 7,493 47.62% 161 1.02% 76 0.48% 0 0.00% 511 3.25% 15,734
Newington 10,031 57.80% 7,074 40.76% 179 1.03% 68 0.39% 3 0.02% 2,957 17.04% 17,355
Newtown 9,695 56.14% 7,292 42.23% 200 1.16% 69 0.40% 13 0.08% 2,403 13.92% 17,269
Norfolk 659 62.17% 381 35.94% 17 1.60% 3 0.28% 0 0.00% 278 26.23% 1,060
North Branford 3,718 43.08% 4,786 55.45% 88 1.02% 38 0.44% 1 0.01% -1,068 -12.37% 8,631
North Canaan 862 50.56% 812 47.62% 27 1.58% 4 0.23% 0 0.00% 50 2.93% 1,705
North Haven 7,389 47.85% 7,879 51.03% 113 0.73% 56 0.36% 4 0.03% -490 -3.17% 15,441
North Stonington 1,601 47.44% 1,710 50.67% 49 1.45% 15 0.44% 0 0.00% -109 -3.23% 3,375
Norwalk 29,382 67.98% 13,311 30.80% 355 0.82% 166 0.38% 5 0.01% 16,071 37.19% 43,219
Norwich 9,306 60.86% 5,643 36.91% 245 1.60% 95 0.62% 1 0.01% 3,663 23.96% 15,290
Old Lyme 3,226 59.60% 2,099 38.78% 68 1.26% 20 0.37% 0 0.00% 1,127 20.82% 5,413
Old Saybrook 4,253 57.92% 2,995 40.79% 67 0.91% 28 0.38% 0 0.00% 1,258 17.13% 7,343
Orange 4,816 52.05% 4,317 46.66% 78 0.84% 38 0.41% 4 0.04% 499 5.39% 9,253
Oxford 3,269 38.40% 5,118 60.11% 107 1.26% 17 0.20% 3 0.04% -1,849 -21.72% 8,514
Plainfield 2,854 40.25% 4,080 57.54% 124 1.75% 33 0.47% 0 0.00% -1,226 -17.29% 7,091
Plainville 4,670 48.41% 4,811 49.87% 122 1.26% 44 0.46% 0 0.00% -141 -1.46% 9,647
Plymouth 2,477 37.57% 3,984 60.43% 99 1.50% 33 0.50% 0 0.00% -1,507 -22.86% 6,593
Pomfret 1,357 53.76% 1,113 44.10% 39 1.55% 13 0.52% 2 0.08% 244 9.67% 2,524
Portland 3,155 53.58% 2,641 44.85% 72 1.22% 19 0.32% 1 0.02% 514 8.73% 5,888
Preston 1,270 44.28% 1,529 53.31% 50 1.74% 19 0.66% 0 0.00% -259 -9.03% 2,868
Prospect 2,110 34.53% 3,935 64.39% 47 0.77% 18 0.29% 1 0.02% -1,825 -29.86% 6,111
Putnam 2,063 47.43% 2,193 50.41% 77 1.77% 16 0.37% 1 0.02% -130 -2.99% 4,350
Redding 3,829 64.08% 2,052 34.34% 65 1.09% 24 0.40% 5 0.08% 1,777 29.74% 5,975
Ridgefield 10,278 63.27% 5,689 35.02% 213 1.31% 55 0.34% 10 0.06% 4,589 28.25% 16,245
Rocky Hill 6,115 55.90% 4,670 42.69% 112 1.02% 40 0.37% 3 0.03% 1,445 13.21% 10,940
Roxbury 937 57.77% 660 40.69% 18 1.11% 7 0.43% 0 0.00% 277 17.08% 1,622
Salem 1,285 48.99% 1,291 49.22% 28 1.07% 15 0.57% 4 0.15% -6 -0.23% 2,623
Salisbury 2,023 79.18% 502 19.65% 17 0.67% 13 0.51% 0 0.00% 1,521 59.53% 2,555
Scotland 406 41.86% 537 55.36% 23 2.37% 4 0.41% 0 0.00% -131 -13.51% 970
Seymour 4,011 42.71% 5,242 55.81% 96 1.02% 43 0.46% 0 0.00% -1,231 -13.11% 9,392
Sharon 1,019 65.53% 510 32.80% 17 1.09% 9 0.58% 0 0.00% 509 32.73% 1,555
Shelton 10,837 45.36% 12,747 53.35% 206 0.86% 92 0.39% 10 0.04% -1,910 -7.99% 23,892
Sherman 1,234 52.83% 1,076 46.06% 22 0.94% 4 0.17% 0 0.00% 158 6.76% 2,336
Simsbury 10,296 63.66% 5,575 34.47% 225 1.39% 71 0.44% 7 0.04% 4,721 29.19% 16,174
Somers 2,445 42.66% 3,204 55.91% 54 0.94% 17 0.30% 11 0.19% -759 -13.24% 5,731
South Windsor 9,596 61.82% 5,630 36.27% 211 1.36% 81 0.52% 5 0.03% 3,966 25.55% 15,523
Southbury 6,570 50.58% 6,260 48.19% 119 0.92% 41 0.32% 0 0.00% 310 2.39% 12,990
Southington 12,855 48.11% 13,473 50.43% 285 1.07% 101 0.38% 4 0.01% -618 -2.31% 26,718
Sprague 641 41.17% 882 56.65% 26 1.67% 8 0.51% 0 0.00% -241 -15.48% 1,557
Stafford 2,809 43.74% 3,461 53.89% 117 1.82% 33 0.51% 2 0.03% -652 -10.15% 6,422
Stamford 40,437 68.06% 18,242 30.70% 496 0.83% 224 0.38% 13 0.02% 22,195 37.36% 59,412
Sterling 639 33.49% 1,229 64.41% 25 1.31% 14 0.73% 1 0.05% -590 -30.92% 1,908
Stonington 7,453 62.69% 4,240 35.66% 155 1.30% 40 0.34% 1 0.01% 3,213 27.02% 11,889
Stratford 17,363 61.58% 10,516 37.30% 183 0.65% 132 0.47% 0 0.00% 6,847 24.29% 28,194
Suffield 4,363 50.23% 4,155 47.84% 140 1.61% 26 0.30% 2 0.02% 208 2.39% 8,686
Thomaston 1,528 34.93% 2,768 63.28% 65 1.49% 13 0.30% 0 0.00% -1,240 -28.35% 4,374
Thompson 2,050 39.77% 3,005 58.29% 80 1.55% 20 0.39% 0 0.00% -955 -18.53% 5,155
Tolland 5,103 55.13% 3,975 42.94% 134 1.45% 43 0.46% 2 0.02% 1,128 12.19% 9,257
Torrington 7,283 43.29% 9,220 54.80% 235 1.40% 83 0.49% 3 0.02% -1,937 -11.51% 16,824
Trumbull 11,919 55.68% 9,175 42.86% 231 1.08% 76 0.36% 7 0.03% 2,744 12.82% 21,408
Union 249 43.61% 307 53.77% 12 2.10% 3 0.53% 0 0.00% -58 -10.16% 571
Vernon 9,259 60.12% 5,848 37.97% 216 1.40% 76 0.49% 1 0.01% 3,411 22.15% 15,400
Voluntown 566 37.14% 918 60.24% 32 2.10% 8 0.52% 0 0.00% -352 -23.10% 1,524
Wallingford 13,560 52.59% 11,831 45.88% 302 1.17% 86 0.33% 6 0.02% 1,729 6.71% 25,785
Warren 465 49.21% 470 49.74% 9 0.95% 1 0.11% 0 0.00% -5 -0.53% 945
Washington 1,461 64.42% 770 33.95% 25 1.10% 12 0.53% 0 0.00% 691 30.47% 2,268
Waterbury 21,573 59.75% 14,157 39.21% 249 0.69% 118 0.33% 10 0.03% 7,416 20.54% 36,107
Waterford 6,917 56.16% 5,124 41.60% 190 1.54% 82 0.67% 3 0.02% 1,793 14.56% 12,316
Watertown 4,612 36.16% 7,976 62.54% 128 1.00% 38 0.30% 0 0.00% -3,364 -26.38% 12,754
West Hartford 27,298 75.22% 8,451 23.29% 379 1.04% 143 0.39% 20 0.06% 18,847 51.93% 36,291
West Haven 14,245 63.02% 8,126 35.95% 145 0.64% 89 0.39% 0 0.00% 6,119 27.07% 22,605
Westbrook 2,288 53.07% 1,958 45.42% 45 1.04% 18 0.42% 2 0.05% 330 7.65% 4,311
Weston 4,733 72.50% 1,680 25.74% 84 1.29% 25 0.38% 6 0.09% 3,053 46.77% 6,528
Westport 13,048 74.46% 4,222 24.09% 206 1.18% 46 0.26% 1 0.01% 8,826 50.37% 17,523
Wethersfield 9,612 59.05% 6,413 39.40% 172 1.06% 77 0.47% 3 0.02% 3,199 19.65% 16,277
Willington 1,674 52.25% 1,445 45.10% 61 1.90% 20 0.62% 4 0.12% 229 7.15% 3,204
Wilton 7,676 65.52% 3,819 32.60% 169 1.44% 49 0.42% 2 0.02% 3,857 32.92% 11,715
Winchester 2,304 44.89% 2,799 54.53% 13 0.25% 17 0.33% 0 0.00% -495 -9.64% 5,133
Windham 5,365 64.27% 2,824 33.83% 95 1.14% 61 0.73% 3 0.04% 2,541 30.44% 8,348
Windsor 13,183 75.27% 4,090 23.35% 175 1.00% 61 0.35% 5 0.03% 9,093 51.92% 17,514
Windsor Locks 3,751 53.43% 3,156 44.95% 81 1.15% 32 0.46% 1 0.01% 595 8.47% 7,021
Wolcott 3,333 33.32% 6,519 65.18% 105 1.05% 41 0.41% 4 0.04% -3,186 -31.85% 10,002
Woodbridge 3,856 67.15% 1,817 31.64% 37 0.64% 31 0.54% 1 0.02% 2,039 35.51% 5,742
Woodbury 3,181 48.50% 3,295 50.24% 69 1.05% 14 0.21% 0 0.00% -114 -1.74% 6,559
Woodstock 2,548 49.20% 2,520 48.66% 87 1.68% 23 0.44% 1 0.02% 28 0.54% 5,179
Totals 1,080,831 59.26% 714,717 39.19% 20,230 1.11% 7,538 0.41% 540 0.03% 366,114 20.07% 1,823,856

By congressional district

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Biden won all five congressional districts.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 35.3% 63.3% John Larson
2nd 43.5% 54.5% Joe Courtney
3rd 38.8% 59.9% Rosa DeLauro
4th 34.5% 64.2% Jim Himes
5th 43.9% 54.6% Jahana Hayes

Analysis

[edit]

Biden won the state by 20 points, a notable improvement from Hillary Clinton's 13-point win in the state in 2016. He fared especially well in Fairfield County, an ancestrally Republican area, as well as the Hartford suburbs. Biden also came within 5 points of flipping traditionally Republican Litchfield County, which had previously voted Democratic in 2008; and 4.2 points of flipping traditionally Democratic Windham County, which had previously voted Democratic in 2012.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Connecticut came from college-educated and high income voters.[37] Biden won a combined 70% in large cities and 62% in suburban areas, a key demographic in a heavily suburban state. Biden built on Hillary Clinton's gains in suburban Fairfield County, even flipping three towns: Trumbull, Brookfield, and Sherman.[38][39] Trumbull and Brookfield last voted Democratic in 1964, while Sherman last voted Democratic in 2008.[40]

Biden is the first presidential nominee ever to exceed 1 million votes in the state. Additionally, his total is currently the highest that any candidate in any race in Connecticut has received, surpassing the previous record of 1,008,714 that Richard Blumenthal received in his 2016 Senate race. At the same time, Biden became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Windham County since Woodrow Wilson in 1916.[41] He also become the first Democrat to win without the town of Griswold since 1888, the first to win without the town of Sprague since 1892, the first to win without the towns of Killingly, Plainfield, Putnam, and Stafford since 1916, the first to win without Lisbon and Plainville since 1948, and the first to win without the town of Salem since 1960.[42][failed verification]

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  5. ^ Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Connecticut Election Results 2020". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Connecticut governor says primaries moved to June". CNN. March 19, 2020.
  5. ^ Dixon, Ken (April 17, 2020). "Connecticut's presidential primary will be delayed further by coronavirus: August 11". Connecticut Post. Archived from the original on April 18, 2020. Retrieved April 20, 2020.
  6. ^ "Connecticut Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
  7. ^ "Connecticut Presidential Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. August 11, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved April 26, 2021.
  8. ^ "August 2020 Democratic Presidential Preference Primary". Connecticut Secretary of State. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  9. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Connecticut Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  10. ^ a b "Hornberger wins Connecticut". Op A Vote. Libertarian Party of Connecticut. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 3, 2020. Retrieved April 28, 2020.
  11. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  15. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  16. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  17. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  18. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  20. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  21. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  22. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  23. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  24. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  25. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  26. ^ a b c d e f SurveyMonkey/Axios
  27. ^ "Swayable". Archived from the original on November 27, 2020. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  28. ^ "Sacred Heart University" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 1, 2020. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  29. ^ SurveyUSA
  30. ^ Quinnipiac University
  31. ^ a b Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant
  32. ^ a b Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant
  33. ^ a b Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant
  34. ^ a b c d e Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant
  35. ^ a b Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy
  36. ^ "Candidate List November 2020 Election". Connecticut Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  37. ^ "Connecticut Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  38. ^ Statement of Vote
  39. ^ Statement of Vote
  40. ^ "General Elections Statement of Vote 1922". CT.gov - Connecticut's Official State Website. Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  41. ^ "The Political Graveyard: Windham County, Conn". politicalgraveyard.com. Retrieved November 28, 2020.
  42. ^ "Connecticut Secretary of the State". CT.gov - Connecticut's Official State Website. Retrieved September 10, 2022.

Further reading

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