2023 United States debt-ceiling crisis
On January 19, 2023, the United States hit its debt ceiling, leading to a debt-ceiling crisis, part of an ongoing political debate within Congress about federal government spending and the national debt that the U.S. government accrues.[1][2] In response, Janet Yellen, the secretary of the treasury, began enacting temporary "extraordinary measures". On May 1, 2023, Yellen warned these measures could be exhausted as early as June 1, 2023;[3][4] this date was later pushed to June 5.[5]
The debt ceiling had been increased multiple times through December 2021 since the 2013 debt-ceiling standoff, each time without budgetary preconditions attached.[6][7] In the 2023 impasse, Republicans proposed cutting spending back to 2022 levels as a precondition to raising the debt ceiling, while Democrats insisted on a "clean bill" without preconditions, as had been the case in raising the ceiling 3 times during the Donald Trump administration.[8]
If the government had run out of funds, the Treasury would have had to either default on payments to bondholders or immediately curtail payment of funds owed to various companies and individuals that had been mandated but not fully funded by Congress. Both situations had been expected to result in a global economic meltdown.[9] Additionally, if the federal government had been unable to issue new debt, it would have had to balance its budget by imposing budget cuts that, in total, would have equaled 5% of the size of the American economy.[10] Constitutional scholar Laurence Tribe said that a default would be unconstitutional due to the 14th Amendment and the government would be required to repay its debts despite hitting the debt ceiling.[11][12] President Joe Biden said that he was considering invoking the 14th amendment because he felt he had authority to do so, but questioned whether it could be done in time to avoid default given the possibility that it might be appealed.[13]
On May 27, Biden and then-House speaker Kevin McCarthy struck a deal to increase the debt-ceiling but cap federal spending;[14] the resulting bill, the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023, passed the House on May 31 and the Senate on June 1.[15] Biden signed it into law on June 3, bringing the crisis to an end.[16]
Background
editThe deficit and the national debt
editFederal budget and deficit
editIn 2019, just over 60% of the federal budget went to mandatory spending for programs like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, with another 30% going to discretionary spending (half of which went to defense). The remaining 9% went to pay for interest on the debt. Meanwhile, both mandatory spending programs and interest on the debt were expected to take up increasing shares of the federal budget, while tax revenues were expected to be stagnant.[17]
In the fiscal year 2022, the federal government brought in $4.90 trillion but spent $6.27 trillion, with a net budget deficit of $1.38 trillion (the fourth-highest of the 21st century). In addition, it has run deficits every year since 2001, when it last ran a surplus.[18] Financing a deficit requires that the government borrow money.[19]
However, based on Article 1, Section 8, Clause 2 of the United States Constitution, only Congress has the authority to borrow money "on the Credit of the United States".[20][21][22]
Debt ceiling
editThe United States debt ceiling is a legislative limit that determines how much debt the Treasury Department may incur.[23] It was introduced in 1917, when Congress voted to give Treasury the right to issue bonds for financing America participating in World War I,[24] rather than issuing them for individual projects, as had been the case in the past. In 1939, Congress gave the treasury the right to issue and manage debt—though it limited how much it could issue. From 1939 to 2018, the treasury increased the debt ceiling 98 times, decreasing it five times.[25] Whilst the treasury can borrow money to pay for federal expenditures, it is limited in power by Congress.[26]
In other words, the treasury can borrow money to pay for federal expenditures—but only as much as Congress lets it.[26]
National debt
editSince 2009, America's national debt has nearly tripled, with annual federal deficits averaging close to $1 trillion since 2001.[27] During the 21st century, it has gone up for various reasons, including tax cuts under presidents Bush and Trump, wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, entitlements like Medicare Part D, and spending in response to the Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. Currently, the U.S. is the industrialized country with the fourth highest debt-to-GDP ratio, behind Japan, Italy and Greece. Additionally, the national debt is forecast to be double the United States' GDP by 2051.[17]
Reducing the deficit and debt
editAccording to both policy experts and politicians, dealing with the deficit and debt will ultimately involve both raising taxes and decreasing spending. Past plans for taxes hikes have included reducing the number of deductions, increasing rates on higher earners, and making new taxes, while proposals for reducing spending have included reducing Social Security benefits, lowering payments for Medicaid and Medicare, and cutting defense spending, among others.[17]
However, it tends to be difficult to do so in practice, owing to citizens' reluctance to alter large programs like Social Security or the raising of taxes. Historically, no political party has been willing to reduce the deficit or debt when they have held power, although the issue is often a foundation of candidates' election campaigns.[28]
The U.S. dollar and borrowing
editThe United States dollar (used heavily in international trade) is considered to be the world's reserve currency for a variety of reasons including the sheer magnitude of the American economy, America's geopolitical strength, the dollar's relative stability, and the market for U.S. debt.[29]
As well, the Compromise of 1790 (when Treasury Secretary Alexander Hamilton got both Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson and Representative James Madison to agree to take on Revolutionary War debts assumed by the states and the Continental Congress in exchange for locating the capital on the Potomac River by Virginia[30]) played a role with this: Because Revolutionary War bondholders were paid 100 cents on the dollar, America made good on its debt and established good credit. This, in turn, helped contribute to the dollar becoming the world's reserve currency.[31]
As a result, foreign creditors (including China, Japan, and the United Kingdom) are large markets for the currency. This makes it easier for the U.S. government to finance the national debt via being charged lower interest rates for borrowing money.[17]
Reactions
editCongress and the president
editThe House of Representatives and the White House disagreed on how to resolve this crisis.[32][33][34] Former House speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) called for negotiations to reduce federal spending in exchange for increasing the debt ceiling,[2] including making possible cuts to Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security,[1] or otherwise possibly overhauling entitlements. In contrast, the Biden administration declared that raising the debt ceiling is non-negotiable, and that Congress is obligated to increase it.[35][36] Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) had said that there will be no default,[33] though he also said that dealing with the debt ceiling would be up to President Biden and Speaker McCarthy.[37]
As well, members of the House Freedom Caucus (and a few other Republicans who were not part of it, such as Representative Matt Gaetz) had raised a significant portion of funding for their 2022 election campaigns from small donors, which made it easier for them to resist pressure from business groups to raise the debt ceiling.[38] Indeed, the debt ceiling fight was viewed by some as being an example of widening divisions between corporate America and the Republican Party, which had begun during the Trump presidency.[39] On May 5, 2023, the president's senior advisor, Mitch Landrieu, appeared on TV to field questions on the White House response to the debt-ceiling crisis and the banking crisis.[40] A week later, Landrieu held a press conference at the White House to underscore the serious threat to the national economy of the 'manufactured crisis' of the debt-ceiling standoff.[41][42]
Treasury Department
editSecretary Yellen's comments
editTreasury Secretary Janet Yellen told the Associated Press that, while she expected that Congress would eventually raise the debt ceiling, demanding spending cuts in exchange for doing so would be irresponsible and that increasing it was about ensuring that the federal government could pay for spending that Congress had already approved, rather than about new spending.[43] Yellen made similar points in her January 13, 2023, letter to Congress, also warning that if they did not suspend or raise it, they would harm the American economy, the American people, and the global financial system's stability.[44]
"Extraordinary measures"
editAs a result of reaching the debt ceiling, the Treasury Department began considering implementation of "extraordinary measures"[45] to prevent a default for a few months, so as to give Congress time to increase the debt ceiling, explained in a memo it issued on January 19, 2023.[45] However, it would only be able to use them for a few months.[46] Extraordinary measures are accounting maneuvers that the Treasury uses to enable the federal government to continue to meet its various financial obligations while there is an impasse over the debt ceiling. Said measures were first used by it in 1985, and Congress granted the Treasury permission to continue using them the following year.[6]
Secretary Yellen also initiated a "debt issuance suspension period" through June 5,[47] and has rejected the minting of a trillion-dollar coin (which would have created $1 trillion in seigniorage).[48]
Markets
editAnalysts were monitoring the ongoing debate over raising the debt ceiling, and were keeping investors informed of it and similarly warning about the potential consequences of a default.[49][50][51][52][53] However, as of January 23, 2023, markets were not reacting to the debt ceiling debate,[51] as the expectation was that the debt ceiling would be raised in time to prevent default.[52][50][51] Analysts wrote that, with the exception of the 2011 debt ceiling crisis, markets had historically not reacted to debates over raising it.[49] On the other hand, they wrote that if the debt ceiling wasn't increased as the deadline for doing so drew nearer, stock prices would start dropping and interest rates would begin to rise.[51]
On May 5, 2023, European credit rating agency Scope placed the United States' AA sovereign rating under review for downgrade.[54]
Responses and analysis
editComparisons to the 2011 debt ceiling crisis
editThe Associated Press has noted similarities between the 2023 debt ceiling crisis and the one in 2011, including how both involved the GOP-controlled House of Representatives demanding spending cuts in exchange for increasing the debt limit.[55]
In 2011, both the House and the Obama administration negotiated for months on it until talks collapsed.[55] As a result, markets experienced turmoil, with the S&P 500 dropping by over 16% in the final month before the deadline.[52] In August 2011,[55] two days before the government would have defaulted,[27] there was a compromise between Democrats and Senate Republicans to create a committee to look into cutting spending,[55] and to also increase the debt ceiling.[6] As a result of the near-default, America's credit rating was downgraded[55] to AA+[6] by Standard and Poor's,[56] as American borrowing costs went up by $1.3 billion that year.[27]
Potential consequences of a default
editIncreasing political polarization since 2011 has made votes to raise the debt ceiling more contentious than before, with economists now considering what would happen if the federal government defaulted on its loans.[27] One analysis from September 2021 (during a previous debt limit standoff) said that, if the federal government defaulted, America's credit rating would experience a drastic downgrade, interest rates on Treasury bonds would go up sharply, interest rates both in the U.S. and worldwide would spike, and payments on benefits (such as social security) and salaries for the military would be stopped.[57] Other potential consequences of a default would include reduced consumer confidence, a recession, immediately stopping about 10% of the American economy, increasing the cost of a 30-year mortgage, losing three million jobs in the U.S., and increasing the national debt due to higher interest rates.[27]
Moody's Analytics warned that Congress may not be able to avoid breaching the debt limit. This warning was based on both the difficulty the House had in electing Kevin McCarthy as Speaker, and how some lawmakers (mostly Republican) were wondering if the Treasury would be able to prioritize paying bondholders if it was breached.[51]
Fundraising off of the debt ceiling fight
editEven with the ongoing fight over raising the debt ceiling, party leaders in Congress were busy raising money, with Republican Congressional leaders raising about $10.4 million and Democratic ones raising $5.7 million during the first three months of 2023.[58]
A number of moderate and progressive Democrats in the House and Senate had explicitly brought up the current debt ceiling fight in fundraising appeals to their supporters, and had framed it in terms of warning about potential consequences of a default. Messages about this came from Senate majority leader Chuck Schumer, moderates like senators Jon Tester and Sherrod Brown, and progressives like Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Senator Elizabeth Warren.[59]
Meanwhile, Republican senator Tim Scott explicitly brought up the debt ceiling fight in his fundraising emails, though he wrote about it in terms of limiting government spending.[59] At the same time, far Right Republicans in Congress had been using the debt ceiling over the past few years to galvanize their supporters and to do fundraising based on it.[39]
Possible scenarios for how the impasse would end
editIn March 2023, economists with Moody's Analytics analyzed five different scenarios for dealing with the debt limit. They included the following in their report on this:[31]
- Increasing it right before x-date without any conditions (possibly by suspending it until October 1, and then increasing it again to last until sometime in early 2025), thereby avoiding damage to the economy. This would also be what they had done on previous occasions when there was debate over increasing the debt ceiling, and which report indicated would be the most likely possibility for resolving it this time.[31]
- Unilateral action by the executive branch to avert default, which could include:[31]
- President Biden invoking the 14th Amendment (Section 4) in case no agreement had been made by x-date to increase the debt ceiling. Though it would avert default, it could cause a constitutional crisis and the Supreme Court could have to intervene.
- The Treasury minting a trillion-dollar coin with its authority under 31 U.S.C. Section 5112, depositing it at the Federal Reserve, and drawing it down to pay the government's bills.
- The Treasury issuing premium bonds rather than par bonds as Treasury debt comes due, lowering the face amount of debt outstanding and subject to the debt limit.
- The Treasury prioritizing payments for a few days, which would cause interest rates to spike, would cause chaos in the markets, and would increase the odds of a mild recession starting in late 2023. As well, it is unknown if the Treasury Department would be legally allowed to do this, or if it would be able to, plus effects on the United States' credit rating are unknown.[31]
- Adopting ideas the House Republicans were suggesting in March 2023, including cutting both Medicaid and nondefense-related discretionary spending. Results of this would include a recession and reduced economic growth for the next decade (the borrowing would be significantly reduced, so interest rates would be lower), with people with lower incomes being more likely to suffer financially due to losing both government benefits and jobs.[31]
- A lengthy default that would last for weeks. Results of this would include Treasury debt being downgraded by credit rating agencies, reduced treasury spending, a severe recession, higher interest rates, and a long-term diminution of the U.S. dollar's status as the world's reserve currency, among other effects.[31]
Potential debt ceiling workarounds
editFourteenth Amendment
editWhile the Fourteenth Amendment, ratified in 1866, is more widely known for its provisions granting citizenship to freed slaves and establishing equal rights, it also contains a long-forgotten provision, Section 4, that states, in part, "The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law, including debts incurred for payment of pensions and bounties for services in suppressing insurrection or rebellion, shall not be questioned." With former Confederate states being admitted back into the Union at the time of the 14th amendment's ratification, many pro-Union members of Congress feared that if the South were to take back a significant amount of Congress, or were to retake the Presidency, they would refuse to pay the debt incurred by the Union during the Civil War, or pay debts incurred by the Confederacy to support its war effort against the United States. Section 4 confirmed the legitimacy of all U.S. debt to stop this from ever happening.
While Section 4's original purpose has long become moot, many constitutional legal scholars believe that Section 4 of the 14th amendment makes the debt ceiling unconstitutional.[60] President Biden could, in theory, end the crisis by avoiding Congress altogether, issuing an executive order invoking Section 4 and ordering the Treasury to continue making payments, even if that pushed the public debt above $31.4 trillion.
However, an invocation of the 14th amendment by President Biden would come with serious pitfalls. Legal scholars are divided as to whether or not it would be legally permissible for Biden to take such an action.[61][62][63] His executive order might not be accepted by the courts, and even if it were eventually upheld by the United States Supreme Court, the uncertainty leading up to a decision might cause turmoil in the markets and a spike in interest rates.[64][51]
Trillion-dollar coin
editIn 1997, Congress passed a law that vested power to the Treasury to mint commemorative platinum coins of any denomination.[65] The law, 31 U.S.C. Section 5112, was originally intended to help the Treasury make money off of coin collectors, an idea penned by Delaware's at-large representative, Republican Mike Castle. The text of the statute did not specify any limitations on how high the denomination of the coin could be.[66][67]
An idea, which first emerged just prior to the 2011 debt ceiling crisis, is that the treasury secretary could instruct the US Mint to issue a trillion-dollar coin, and deposit it with the Federal Reserve.[68]
According to economist Mark Zandi, using the coin in such a way would be inflationary.[69] An opinion article in National Review likened it to the government "printing money" to pay off debt.[70] However, according to economist Paul Krugman, the move would not be inflationary, saying on Twitter, "The Fed would surely sterilize any impact on the monetary base by selling off some of its huge portfolio of US debt."[71][72]
Current treasury secretary Janet Yellen dismissed the plan as a "gimmick", saying that the Federal Reserve isn't required to accept the coin for deposit, and likely would not.[73] Krugman expressed a different opinion, saying on Twitter, "As for claims that Powell would refuse to accept the coin, or the Supremes would block premium bonds — well, nobody knows. But my guess is that nobody wants to be the guy who destroys the world economy. Even people happy to see it burn don't want their fingerprints on it."[74]
Attempts to raise the debt ceiling
editHaving recently regained control of the House, Republicans demanded deep spending cuts as a precondition to raising the debt ceiling, while Democrats insisted on a "clean bill" without preconditions, as had been the case in raising the ceiling in 2017, 2018, and 2019, during the Trump administration.[8]
Meetings between Biden and McCarthy
editFebruary
editOn Wednesday, February 1, 2023, President Biden and Speaker McCarthy met for an hour in the Oval Office[75] to discuss how to raise the debt ceiling. The two did not reach agreement – the president called for a clean debt ceiling increase, while the speaker demanded cuts to spending in exchange for raising it – though both agreed they would continue talking about it.[76][77]
May
editBiden and McCarthy met several times in May to try and find a way to solve the crisis, ultimately coming to an agreement on May 27.[78][79]
March 9 presidential budget
editOn March 9, 2023, President Biden released a potential budget for 2023.[80] At 184 pages, this budget included $3 trillion to reduce the deficit, with savings largely coming from increased taxes on the wealthy and corporations.[81]
Limit, Save, Grow Act
editLong title | To provide for a responsible increase to the debt ceiling, and for other purposes. |
---|---|
Announced in | the 118th United States Congress |
Number of co-sponsors | 19 |
Legislative history | |
|
On April 19, Speaker McCarthy unveiled the Limit, Save, Grow Act, a 320-page House bill which would have raised the debt ceiling by $1.5 trillion (enough to last until at least March 31, 2024) while at the same time providing for significant spending cuts. More specifically, the proposals contained in the draft law included eliminating the partial federal student loan forgiveness program put in place by the Biden administration, introducing work requirements for Medicaid, withdrawing IRS enforcement funding for audits, and eliminating several clean energy subsidies.[82]
In its April 25 analysis of the bill, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that it would reduce federal budget deficits from 2023 to 2033 by a total of around $4.8 trillion, with two-thirds of that coming from reduced discretionary outlays and the rest coming from lower mandatory spending, increased Revenue, and lower interest payments on the national debt.[83]
Responses to the bill were mixed. House Budget Committee chairman Jodey Arrington, who filed the bill, criticized the Biden administration's spending while saying that the plan would address that.[84] Meanwhile, the House Budget Committee's Democratic members referred to it as "The Default on America Act",[85] or DOA for short. President Biden said on April 25 that, had the bill passed Congress, he would have vetoed it.[86]
It was originally reported that a considerable amount of Republican Representatives would not have supported the bill.[87][88] However, on April 26, following several days of negotiations and last-minute changes to the bill, the latter managed to pass in the House of Representatives by a vote of 217 to 215,[89][90] with Republicans Andy Biggs of Arizona, Ken Buck of Colorado, Tim Burchett of Tennessee and Matt Gaetz of Florida joining all Democrats present in voting against it.[90]
The bill was highly unlikely to pass in the Senate. Nonetheless, it was viewed by House Republicans as a stepping stone for further negotiations with President Biden on the debt ceiling and spending cuts.[89][90]
Discharge petition
editLong title | To advance commonsense policy priorities, and for other purposes |
---|---|
Announced in | the 118th United States Congress |
Number of co-sponsors | 0 |
Legislative history | |
|
On May 17, Democratic representative Brendan Boyle introduced a discharge petition to force a vote on House Resolution 350, a special rule providing for immediate consideration of the so-called Breaking the Gridlock Act and of one amendment to the same, to be offered by the most senior ranking minority member of the Committee on Ways and Means. Democrats intended to use the amendment to replace the original text of the draft law in its entirety, turning it into a bill raising the debt ceiling.[91]
By May 27, all 213 Democratic representatives had signed the petition.[92] Nonetheless, the petition failed to obtain the 218 signatures needed for consideration because no Republican signed it.[93]
Agreement
editLong title | To provide for a responsible increase to the debt ceiling. |
---|---|
Enacted by | the 118th United States Congress |
Effective | June 3, 2023 |
Citations | |
Public law | Pub. L. 118–5 (text) (PDF) |
Statutes at Large | 137 Stat. 10 |
Codification | |
Acts affected | Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 Food and Nutrition Act of 2008 Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 |
Legislative history | |
|
The Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 is an act of the 118th United States Congress that suspended the debt limit until January 2025, bringing an end to the crisis.[94] The bipartisan piece of legislation, endorsed by both Republican and Democratic leadership, was introduced by Patrick McHenry on May 29, 2023, to implement the agreement negotiated between Biden and McCarthy. On May 30, the Rules Committee agreed to send the bill to the Floor of the House by a vote of 7 to 6, with Republicans Ralph Norman and Chip Roy joining all Democratic members of the Committee in voting against.[95] It was agreed to by the House on May 31, with a bipartisan coalition having voted 314–117 in favor, while the Senate passed it the following day in a 63–36 vote. It was signed into law by President Biden on June 3.[96]
Provisions
editThe Fiscal Responsibility Act includes the following provisions:[97][98][99][100][101][102][103]
- The debt limit is suspended until January 1, 2025.
- Discretionary spending is capped during fiscal years 2024 and 2025.
- All unused funds appropriated during the COVID-19 pandemic are rescinded.
- $1.4 billion of the $80 billion[104] of additional funding for the Internal Revenue Service provided by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 is rescinded.
- The administration is required to operate under a PAYGO system in which any executive regulation whose implementation costs more money than it brings in can only be made if an equal or greater amount of money is rescinded from other federal programs; this requirement is waivable by the Office of Management and Budget.
- The student loans payment moratorium enacted in 2020 ends on September 1, 2023; the partial student loan forgiveness plan introduced by the Biden administration remains unaffected.
- Work requirements for adult SNAP recipients with no dependents are broadened so as to apply to all aged under 51 in fiscal year 2023, to all aged under 53 in fiscal year 2024, and to all aged under 55 in fiscal years 2025 to 2030 (prior to the bill's passage, only those under 50 were required to work in order to be eligible). Veterans and homeless people are exempt from this provision.
- Obtaining a federal permit for energy projects is made easier, especially for select long-distance grid transmission projects, and what concerns the construction of the Mountain Valley Pipeline.
Vote summaries
editHouse of Representatives
editCommittee votes
editVote by the Committee on Rules to send the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 to the full House | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
May 30, 2023 | Party | Total votes | ||
Democratic | Republican | |||
Yes | 0 | 7 | 7 (53.85%) | |
No | 4 | 2 | 6 (46.15%) | |
Not voting |
0 | 0 | 0 (0.00%) | |
Result: Passed |
Votes by the full House
editProcedural vote to provide for consideration of the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023[105] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
May 31, 2023 | Party | Total votes | ||
Democratic | Republican | |||
Yes | 52 | 189 | 241 (55.40%) | |
No | 158 | 29 | 187 (42.99%) | |
Not voting | 4 | 3 | 7 (1.61%) | |
Result: Passed |
Final vote on the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023[106] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
May 31, 2023 | Party | Total votes | ||
Democratic | Republican | |||
Yes | 165 | 149 | 314 (72.18%) | |
No | 46 | 71 | 117 (26.90%) | |
Not voting | 2 | 2 | 4 (0.92%) | |
Result: Passed |
Senate
editFinal vote on the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023[107] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
June 1, 2023 | Party | Total votes | ||
Democratic | Republican | Independent [a] | ||
Yes | 44 | 17 | 2 | 63 (63.00%) |
No | 4 | 31 | 1 | 36 (36.00%) |
Not voting | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 (1.00%) |
Result: Passed |
Aftermath
editThe Fiscal Responsibility Act angered some members of the far-right Republican House Freedom Caucus who believed that the bill was not conservative enough.[108] In protest, on June 6, 11 members of the Freedom Caucus voted with Democrats to block a procedural rules vote on a Republican bill that would hinder the federal government's ability to regulate gas stoves.[109] On June 12, 2023, the Freedom Caucus and McCarthy reached an agreement that resulted in the Freedom Caucus not blocking procedural votes in exchange for more conservative legislation being brought to the floor.[110]
See also
edit- History of the United States debt ceiling
- 1995–1996 United States federal government shutdowns, which included a dispute about the debt ceiling
- 2011 United States debt-ceiling crisis
- 2013 United States debt ceiling crisis
Notes
edit- ^ All three independent senators caucus with the Democrats.
References
edit- ^ a b "What's the Debt Ceiling, and Will the US Raise It?". Bloomberg.com. January 13, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ a b "US hits debt ceiling, prompting Treasury to take extraordinary measures". NBC Palm Springs. January 19, 2023. Archived from the original on January 22, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ "The U.S. Could hit the debt ceiling by June 1, much sooner than expected, Yellen warns". CNBC. May 2023. Archived from the original on May 1, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
- ^ "US may default on debt as soon as June 1, Yellen reaffirms". CNN. May 15, 2023. Archived from the original on May 17, 2023. Retrieved May 17, 2023.
- ^ Rappeport, Alan (May 26, 2023). "Yellen Expects U.S. to Run Out of Cash by June 5 as Debt Talks Continue". The New York Times. Archived from the original on May 26, 2023. Retrieved May 26, 2023.
- ^ a b c d "The Debt Limit Through the Years | Bipartisan Policy Center". bipartisanpolicy.org. Archived from the original on January 27, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ Croce, Brian (January 18, 2023). "Debt ceiling debate explained amid global economic uncertainty". Pensions & Investments. Archived from the original on January 18, 2023. Retrieved January 19, 2023.
- ^ a b Jayshi, Damakant (May 3, 2023). "Did GOP Vote To Raise Debt Ceiling 3 Times with No Preconditions During Trump Era?". Snopes. Archived from the original on May 6, 2023. Retrieved May 6, 2023.
- ^ "Debt ceiling: America's budget crisis of its own creation". BBC News. January 20, 2023. Archived from the original on January 20, 2023. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
- ^ "US Treasury buys time for Biden and GOP on debt limit deal". Associated Press. January 19, 2023. Archived from the original on January 22, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ Writer, Christina Pazzanese Harvard Staff (May 15, 2023). "Laurence Tribe explains how 14th Amendment can help Biden avoid default". Harvard Gazette. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ Swan, Betsy Woodruff (May 14, 2023). "How the Supreme Court might view the debt limit fight". POLITICO. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ House, The White (May 21, 2023). "Remarks by President Biden in a Press Conference". The White House. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ Tankersley, Jim; Edmondson, Catie; Broadwater, Luke (May 27, 2023). "White House and G.O.P. Strike Debt Limit Deal to Avert Default". The New York Times. Archived from the original on May 28, 2023. Retrieved May 27, 2023.
- ^ Yilek, Caitlyn (June 1, 2023). "Senate passes debt ceiling bill, sending measure to Biden to avert default". CBS News. Archived from the original on June 2, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
- ^ "Biden signs debt ceiling bill that pulls US back from brink of unprecedented default". Associated Press. June 3, 2023. Archived from the original on June 3, 2023. Retrieved June 3, 2023.
- ^ a b c d McBride, James, Anshu Siripurapu (October 1, 2021). "The National Debt Dilemma". Council on Foreign Relations. Archived from the original on January 21, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ "Fiscal Data Explains the National Deficit". U.S. Department of the Treasury. Archived from the original on January 26, 2023. Retrieved January 27, 2023.
- ^ "Federal Deficits, Growing Debt, and the Economy in the Wake of COVID-19". Congressional Research Service. March 23, 2021. Archived from the original on January 27, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ Hall, George J.; Sargent, Thomas J. (March 20, 2018). "Brief history of US debt limits before 1939". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 115 (12): 2942–2945. Bibcode:2018PNAS..115.2942H. doi:10.1073/pnas.1719687115. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 5866584. PMID 29507220.
- ^ "The 1st Article of the U.S. Constitution". National Constitution Center – constitutioncenter.org. Archived from the original on January 19, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution: The Powers of Congress". ThoughtCo. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Debt ceiling: What's next for the US debt limit". BBC News. October 15, 2021. Archived from the original on October 23, 2021. Retrieved October 23, 2021.
- ^ "What Is the U.S. Debt Ceiling?". dummies. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ Hall, George J.; Sargent, Thomas J. (March 20, 2018). "Brief history of US debt limits before 1939". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 115 (12): 2942–2945. Bibcode:2018PNAS..115.2942H. doi:10.1073/pnas.1719687115. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 5866584. PMID 29507220.
- ^ a b "The Debt Limit" (PDF). Congressional Research Service. November 22, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e Berman, Noah (January 20, 2023). "What Happens When the U.S. Hits Its Debt Ceiling?". Council on Foreign Relations. Archived from the original on January 26, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ Kane, John V., Ian G. Anson (February 27, 2020). "Americans start caring more about deficits and the national debt when the party they oppose runs them up". The London School of Economics and Political Science. Archived from the original on January 27, 2023. Retrieved January 27, 2023.
- ^ Siripurapu, Anshu (September 29, 2020). "The Dollar: The World's Currency". Council on Foreign Relations. Archived from the original on February 2, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ Rakove, Jack. "The Compromise of 1790". Bill of Rights Institute. Archived from the original on March 9, 2023. Retrieved April 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g Zandi, Mark; deRitis, Cristian; Yaros, Bernard (March 2023). "Going Down the Debt Limit Rabbit Hole" (PDF). Moody's Analytics. Archived (PDF) from the original on April 2, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ "White House to McCarthy: No negotiations on debt limit". AP NEWS. January 21, 2023. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ a b "Treasury takes another 'extraordinary' step on debt limit". AP NEWS. January 24, 2023. Archived from the original on January 24, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "EXPLAINER: How ominous is the debt limit problem?". AP NEWS. January 17, 2023. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "White House to House Speaker McCarthy: No negotiations on debt limit". KCRA. January 21, 2023. Archived from the original on January 22, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ "White House to McCarthy: No negotiations on debt limit". AP NEWS. January 21, 2023. Archived from the original on January 22, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ "McConnell: U.S. debt limit solution must come from Biden, McCarthy". 95 KQDS. Archived from the original on February 2, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ Lange, Jason; Slattery, Gram; Morgan, David; Slattery, Gram (February 14, 2023). "Why Republican hardliners can afford to say no to U.S. debt ceiling increase". Reuters. Archived from the original on April 28, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ a b Pettypiece, Shannon (January 24, 2023). "Debt ceiling fight threatens to deepen divide between GOP and corporate America". NBC News. Archived from the original on April 28, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ Ana Cabrera. (5 May 2023). "WH senior Advisor on Banking Chaos: 'There's a little bit of turmoil but it's about how you manage it'"MSNBC website Archived May 13, 2023, at the Wayback Machine Retrieved 12 May 2023.
- ^ Jennifer Jacobs. (12 May 2023). "Biden Czar Warns Default Would Halt Key Infrastructure Projects". BNN Bloomberg website Archived May 23, 2023, at the Wayback Machine Retrieved 23 May 2023.
- ^ The White House. (12 May 2023). "White House Daily Briefing: Infrastructure Coordinator Warns of Negative Impact of Debt Limit Default".C-Span website Archived May 13, 2023, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "The AP Interview: Yellen says debt standoff risks 'calamity'". AP NEWS. January 21, 2023. Archived from the original on January 21, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ Yellen, Janet (January 13, 2023). "Debt Limit Letter to Congress 1/13/2023" (PDF). U.S. Department of the Treasury. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ a b The Department of the Treasury (January 19, 2023). "Description of the Extraordinary Measures" (PDF). U.S. Department of the Treasury. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2023. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
- ^ Boak, Josh (January 19, 2023). "Treasury Department now taking 'extraordinary measures' on debt". Federal Times. Archived from the original on February 2, 2023. Retrieved January 27, 2023.
- ^ Rappaport, Alan; Cochrane, Emily (January 23, 2023). "4 Questions about the Debt Ceiling, Answered". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 23, 2023. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
- ^ Andrew Duehren (January 22, 2023). "Janet Yellen Dismisses Minting $1 Trillion Coin to Avoid Default". The Wall Street Journal. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ a b Faller, Madison, Chris Seter, and Sam Zief (January 20, 2023). "Debt ceiling drama: What you need to know". J.P. Morgan. Archived from the original on January 27, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ a b Caldwell, Preston (January 25, 2023). "Should Investors Be Worried About the Debt Ceiling?". Morningstar. Archived from the original on January 26, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f Zandi, Mark (January 23, 2023). "Debt Limit Brinkmanship (Again)" (PDF). Moody's Analytics. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 23, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ a b c Townsend, Michael. "U.S. Hits Debt Ceiling: Will It Impact Investors?". Schwab Brokerage. Archived from the original on January 26, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ "The debt ceiling debate in focus". U.S. Bank. January 20, 2023. Archived from the original on January 27, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ "Scope Ratings places U.S. credit ratings under review for possible downgrade". CNBC. May 6, 2023. Archived from the original on May 13, 2023. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e "Debt ceiling: 2011 showdown leaves lessons for Biden, GOP". AP NEWS. January 24, 2023. Archived from the original on January 26, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ "U.S. Hits Debt Ceiling: Will It Impact Investors?". Schwab Brokerage. Archived from the original on January 26, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ Ferguson, Roger W. Jr. (September 28, 2021). "What's at Stake in the Debt Ceiling Showdown". Council on Foreign Relations. Archived from the original on January 21, 2023. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
- ^ Sayki, Insi (April 27, 2023). "House party leaders bring in millions in the first quarter of 2023 amid heated debt ceiling proposal". OpenSecrets News. Archived from the original on April 28, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ a b Allison, Bill; Davison, Laura (February 3, 2023). "The Debt Ceiling Is All the Rage in Democrats' Fundraising Emails". Bloomberg.com. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ Foner, Eric (January 23, 2023). "The Constitution Has a 155-Year-Old Answer to the Debt Ceiling". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 24, 2023. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
- ^ Bomboy, Scott (August 22, 2017). "Can a President invoke the 14th Amendment to raise the debt ceiling?". National Constitution Center – constitutioncenter.org. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ Kurtzleben, Danielle (January 18, 2023). "4 ways around a debt ceiling crisis — and why they might not work". GBH. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ Prakash, Saikrishna (May 17, 2023). "Opinion | The '14th Amendment Option' Is a Trap for Biden". Wall Street Journal. Archived from the original on May 17, 2023. Retrieved May 17, 2023 – via www.wsj.com.
- ^ Two experts debate 14th amendment and the debt limit, May 18, 2023, archived from the original on May 23, 2023, retrieved May 23, 2023
- ^ "31 U.S. Code § 5112 - Denominations, specifications, and design of coins". LII / Legal Information Institute. Archived from the original on April 3, 2015. Retrieved May 23, 2023.
- ^ Rappeport, Alan (February 2, 2023). "The Trillion-Dollar Question: Could a Coin Save the Day?". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on May 23, 2023. Retrieved May 23, 2023.
- ^ "Michael Castle: Unsuspecting godfather of the $1 trillion coin solution". Washington Post. November 25, 2021. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on March 30, 2023. Retrieved May 23, 2023.
- ^ Rappeport, Alan (February 2, 2023). "The Trillion-Dollar Question: Could a Coin Save the Day?". New York Times. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ De Mott, Filip (March 7, 2023). "Minting a $1 trillion coin may be legal but is an 'unworkable' option to avoid a catastrophic US debt default, Moody's Analytics chief economist says". Markets Insider. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ "Why Minting a Trillion-Dollar Coin Would Be a Horribly Inflationary Idea". National Review. January 31, 2023. Archived from the original on May 23, 2023. Retrieved May 23, 2023.
- ^ Sor, Jennifer. "Nobel economist Paul Krugman says minting a $1 trillion coin to prevent a debt ceiling crisis wouldn't be inflationary". Markets Insider. Archived from the original on May 23, 2023. Retrieved May 23, 2023.
- ^ Krugman, Paul (May 3, 2023). "About possible end runs around the debt ceiling". Twitter. Archived from the original on May 26, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ Duehren, Andrew (January 22, 2023). "WSJ News Exclusive | Janet Yellen Dismisses Minting $1 Trillion Coin to Avoid Default". Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660. Archived from the original on January 25, 2023. Retrieved May 23, 2023.
- ^ Krugman, Paul (May 3, 2023). "About possible end runs around the debt ceiling". Twitter. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
- ^ The White House Briefing Room (February 1, 2023). "Readout of President Biden's Meeting with Speaker McCarthy". The White House. Archived from the original on April 29, 2023. Retrieved April 29, 2023.
- ^ Mascaro, Lisa; Kim, Seung Min (February 1, 2023). "Biden, McCarthy meet face-to-face on debt crisis worries". AP NEWS. Archived from the original on April 29, 2023. Retrieved April 29, 2023.
- ^ Schapitl, Lexie; Jones, Dustin (February 1, 2023). "After meeting with Biden, McCarthy says he won't agree to clean debt ceiling increase". NPR. Archived from the original on April 27, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ Faulders, Katherine; Ferris, Gabe; Pecorin, Allison (May 26, 2023). "Negotiators have 'made progress' but no debt limit deal as deadline nears: McCarthy". ABC News. Archived from the original on May 26, 2023. Retrieved May 26, 2023.
- ^ Drenon, Brandon (May 23, 2023). "US debt ceiling talks described as productive but no deal yet". BBC News. Archived from the original on May 23, 2023. Retrieved May 23, 2023.
- ^ "President's Budget | the White House". whitehouse.gov. Archived from the original on March 30, 2021. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
- ^ Tankersley, Jim (May 8, 2023). "In Debt Limit Talks, Biden and Republicans Start Far Apart". The New York times. Archived from the original on May 9, 2023. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
- ^ Mascaro, Lisa; Freking, Kevin (April 19, 2023). "Speaker McCarthy unveils $1.5T debt bill, pushes toward vote". AP NEWS. Archived from the original on April 28, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ Swagel, Phillip (April 25, 2023). "Re: CBO's Estimate of the Budgetary Effects of H.R. 2811, the Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023" (PDF). Congressional Budget Office. Archived (PDF) from the original on April 27, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ "Arrington Introduces Republican's Responsible Debt Ceiling Proposal". House Budget Committee. April 25, 2023. Archived from the original on April 28, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ "House Republicans' Default On America Act". House Budget Committee Democrats. April 23, 2023. Archived from the original on April 27, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
- ^ Singh, Kanishka (April 25, 2023). "Biden will veto US House Speaker McCarthy's debt bill if it passed Congress". Reuters. Archived from the original on April 27, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
- ^ Neukam, Steve (April 23, 2023). "Dingell says McCarthy might not have votes to pass budget proposal". thehill.com. Archived from the original on May 20, 2023. Retrieved May 20, 2023.
- ^ Solender, Andrew. "House Republicans won't commit to McCarthy's debt ceiling plan". Archived from the original on May 20, 2023. Retrieved May 20, 2023.
- ^ a b Mascaro, Lisa; Freking, Kevin (April 27, 2023). "House Republicans pass US debt bill, push Biden on spending". AP News. Archived from the original on April 27, 2023. Retrieved April 28, 2023.
- ^ a b c Zanona, Melanie; Wilson, Kristin; Fox, Lauren; Raju, Manju; Talbot, Haley (April 26, 2023). "House votes to pass debt ceiling bill in win for McCarthy". CNN. Archived from the original on April 27, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
- ^ "Democrats to take next step with discharge petition in bid to bypass GOP on debt limit". May 17, 2023. Archived from the original on May 17, 2023. Retrieved May 17, 2023.
- ^ "Discharge Petition No. 1, 118th Congress, 1st session". Archived from the original on May 25, 2023. Retrieved May 24, 2023.
- ^ "Democrats to launch discharge petition and are aiming to force debt ceiling vote – WSJ". May 17, 2023. Archived from the original on May 17, 2023. Retrieved May 17, 2023.
- ^ Foran, Clare; Robertson, Nicky; Wilson, Kristin (June 1, 2023). "Senate passes debt limit deal to avert default". CNN. Archived from the original on June 1, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
- ^ Hulse, Carl; Edmondson, Catie (May 30, 2023). "G.O.P. Revolts Over Debt Limit Deal as Bill Moves Toward a House Vote". The New York Times. Archived from the original on May 31, 2023. Retrieved May 30, 2023.
- ^ Gregorian, Dareh (June 3, 2023). "Biden signs bipartisan debt ceiling bill to avert government default". NBC News. Archived from the original on June 3, 2023. Retrieved June 3, 2023.
- ^ "Here are the 6 must-know provisions of the new debt ceiling deal". POLITICO. May 28, 2023. Archived from the original on May 28, 2023. Retrieved May 28, 2023.
- ^ Luhby, Tami (May 30, 2023). "Here's what's in the debt ceiling deal | CNN Politics". CNN. Archived from the original on May 30, 2023. Retrieved May 30, 2023.
- ^ Walters, Joanna (May 29, 2023). "Biden hails debt ceiling deal and urges lawmakers to pass agreement". The Guardian. Archived from the original on May 30, 2023. Retrieved May 30, 2023.
- ^ Politi, James; Williams, Aime (May 28, 2023). "US debt crisis: Joe Biden gets the deal done but at a cost". Financial Times. Archived from the original on May 28, 2023. Retrieved May 28, 2023.
- ^ What to know about the Mountain Valley Pipeline in the debt ceiling deal Archived June 1, 2023, at the Wayback Machine NPR
- ^ "New Details in Debt Limit Deal: Where $136 Billion in Cuts Will Come From". The New York Times. May 29, 2023. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 19, 2023.
- ^ "Biden-Harris Administration Announces Final Transmission Permitting Rule and Latest Investments To Accelerate the Build Out of a Resilient, Reliable, Modernized Electric Grid". Energy.gov. April 25, 2024. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
- ^ "Debt Ceiling Deal: Details & Analysis". Tax Foundation. May 31, 2023. Archived from the original on June 2, 2023. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
- ^ "Roll Call 241". May 31, 2023. Archived from the original on June 1, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
- ^ "Roll Call 243". May 31, 2023. Archived from the original on June 1, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
- ^ "Roll Call Vote 118th Congress - 1st Session". June 1, 2023. Archived from the original on June 2, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
- ^ Hulse, Carl; Edmondson, Catie (May 30, 2023). "G.O.P. Revolts Over Debt Limit Deal as Bill Moves Toward a House Vote". The New York Times. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
- ^ Kim, Ellis; MacFarlane, Scott (June 6, 2023). "House GOP rules vote on gas stoves goes up in flames". CBS News. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
- ^ Morgan, David (June 12, 2023). "McCarthy, US House hardliners reach deal to allow votes". Reuters. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
External links
edit- Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 as amended (PDF/details) in the GPO Statute Compilations collection