2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

The 2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. District of Columbia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The District of Columbia has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the district neither gained nor lost a seat. Per the Constitution, the District of Columbia can not be apportioned more members of the Electoral College than the number apportioned to the state with the fewest.[1]

2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Projected electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 294,185 21,076
Percentage 90.28% 6.47%

Ward results
Harris
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

As an extremely blue urban district with an African American plurality and higher educational attainment than every state, Democrats have faced no challenge to earning the District of Columbia's electoral votes in presidential elections since it was first granted its electoral college representation. Starting with Lyndon B. Johnson's victory in 1964, every Democratic nominee for president has won the District by massive margins, including the 49-state landslide defeats of George McGovern and Walter Mondale in 1972 and 1984. Thus, the district was expected to be a certain lock for Kamala Harris in 2024.[2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for re-election to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[3][4] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[5] The Republican nominee was former president Donald Trump.[6]

On August 9, 2024, the Robert F. Kennedy Jr. presidential campaign announced that they submitted 19,000 signatures to put Kennedy on the ballot in the District of Columbia.[7] This total is more than the votes George W. Bush received in 2000, John McCain received in 2008, and Donald Trump received in 2016 and 2020. Kennedy suspended his campaign on August 23, 2024, and endorsed Trump.[8]

Harris won the district overwhelmingly with 90.28% of the vote. The district was both Harris' strongest electoral jurisdiction and county-equivalent jurisdiction, voting more Democratic than all state counties in the United States.[9] Trump won 6.47% of the vote, his best performance in terms of percentage of votes cast in all three of his runs.

Primary elections

edit

Republican primary

edit

The District of Columbia Republican presidential primary was held on March 1–3, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

The District of Columbia was one of only two jurisdictions not to be won by Trump in the 2024 Republican primaries, the other being Vermont.

District of Columbia Republican primary, March 1–3, 2024[10][11]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Nikki Haley 1,274 62.76% 19 0 19
Donald Trump 676 33.30% 0 0 0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 38 1.87% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 18 0.89% 0 0 0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 15 0.74% 0 0 0
David Stuckenberg 8 0.39% 0 0 0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 1 0.05% 0 0 0
Total: 2,030 100.00% 19 0 19

Democratic primary

edit

The 2024 District of Columbia was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in South Dakota, New Mexico, New Jersey, Montana.

District of Columbia Democratic primary, June 4, 2024[12]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 80,240 86.90% 16
Write-in votes 7,113 7.70%
Marianne Williamson 3,958 4.29%
Armando Perez-Serrato 1,030 1.12%
Total: 92,341 100.0% 20 32 52

Statehood Green primary

edit

The D.C. Statehood Green Party primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana. No candidate appeared on the ballot.

D.C. Statehood Green primary, June 4, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates
Scattered write-ins 317 58.81% 0
Under votes 222 41.19% 0
Total: 539 100.00% 5
Source: District of Columbia: Board of Elections[13]

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[14] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[15] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[17] Safe D December 14, 2023
CNalysis[18] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[19] Solid D January 14, 2024
The Economist[20] Safe D June 12, 2024
538[21] Solid D June 11, 2024
RCP[22] Solid D June 26, 2024
NBC News[23] Safe D October 6, 2024

Results

edit
2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia[24]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic 294,185 90.28 −1.87
Republican 21,076 6.47 +1.07
Independent
2,778 0.85
Write-in 7,830 2.40 +1.49
Total votes 325,869 100

See also

edit

References

edit
  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  3. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  4. ^ Levine, Sam; Gambino, Lauren (July 22, 2024). "Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  5. ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  6. ^ Gold, Michael; Nehamas, Nicholas (March 13, 2024). "Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  7. ^ "Kennedy Officially on Ballot in Texas, Submits Ballot Access Signatures in D.C." Kennedy24. August 9, 2024. Retrieved August 9, 2024.
  8. ^ "RFK Jr. suspends his presidential bid and backs Donald Trump before appearing with him at his rally". AP News. August 23, 2024. Retrieved November 22, 2024.
  9. ^ Leip, David. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  10. ^ "The DC GOP Presidential Primary Candidates Official Ballot". District of Columbia Republican Party. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
  11. ^ "District of Columbia Republican Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved August 2, 2024.
  12. ^ "District of Columbia Democratic Primary Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  13. ^ "Primary Election 2024 - Certified Results". District of Columbia: Board of Elections. Retrieved June 5, 2024.
  14. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  15. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  16. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  17. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  18. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  19. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  20. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  21. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  22. ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  23. ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  24. ^ "2024 Elections". District of Columbia Board of Elections. Retrieved September 23, 2024.