After Trump’s decisive win on November 6th, Bitcoin, the USD, and yields (or interest rates) moved higher. In fact, these markets began moving upward in September, more than a month before Donald Trump became the 47th President of the United States. We will study the direction of interest rates based on the actual market sentiment as reflected in U.S. bond...
In September, we discussed the potential of silver forming a 'Cup & Handle' pattern, similar to what we observed with gold at the end of 2023. We saw how gold performed in 2024. If the Silver can settle at around here at the end of this year, establishing this formation, we should be able to see the rising trend of the Silver in 2025. In this tutorial, we will...
Gold is likely to continue its upward trend. And how I have been managing it both as an investor and a trader for the Gold. I hope this tutorial will be helpful for two groups of people: 1. Those who already have some positions and would like to know how to accumulate more, and 2. Those who do not yet have a position but are considering getting in and trading...
The Fed is using the Copper / Gold ratio in tracking economy and its growth. Currently, the copper / gold ratio is still trending downward, which indicates that the economy may not be recovering that soon. Copper Oil Futures & Options Ticker: HG Minimum fluctuation: 0.0005 per pound = $12.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a...
The Fed is using this Crude Oil vs Gold ratio in tracking inflation. The one in white is the inflation and the one in yellow is the Crude Oil vs Gold ratio. We saw that when inflation peaked at 9% in June 2022, so did this ratio. Although we recently saw a cut in interest rates, the yields are now moving higher, and gold has maintained its high point. This...
Do Japanese stocks have room for move upside? It has been one of the best-performing markets since COVID. And what is the key reason for this rally? A falling Yen. Where is the Yen heading and do the Japanese stocks have room for more upside? Nikkei (JPY) Futures Ticker: NIY Minimum fluctuation: 5.00 index points = ¥2500 Disclaimer: • What...
Copper is next to move because the Chinese consumers may be coming back. In last December's tutorial, we discussed how Gold was breaking above $2K and set to move higher, which it did. In April, we anticipated that Silver would soon catch up, and it did as well. Now, I believe Copper will be next, not just based on technical but also on fundamentals. Micro...
The USD may be weaker, but it does mean that its bad. Because a softer USD, some assets are starting to trend higher. We will do a comparison between the USD and some of these assets or commodities, to see how reactive they are when the USD has trended lower in the recent months. Soybean Oil Futures & Options Ticker: ZL Minimum fluctuation: 1/100 of one cent...
Silver has just formed a Cup and Handle pattern, suggesting it may begin trending significantly higher soon. This pattern is very similar to what we saw with Gold at the end of last year, where we also discussed the Cup and Handle set-up. At that time, my projection for Gold was that it would start trending much higher soon. From USD 2,000, it has now reached...
In July, most markets reached their peak, followed by a three-day global meltdown after the Bank of Japan announced a 25 basis point rate hike. Since then, all have recovered, but only the Dow Jones has surpassed its July high, while the others have not. AI and tech stocks, particularly those in the Nasdaq, have lost their shine compared to traditional stocks...
An example of Crude Oil and Palm Oil in my intermarket analysis to demonstrate how I identify potential upcoming trends and why I believe both are about to move. To help narrow down potential opportunities in other markets, you can apply the techniques I am about to share. Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options Ticker: MCL Minimum fluctuation: 0.01 per barrel =...
This is a classic bull market—smooth and trendy. However, it has become a cautious bull, moving within a much wider range, similar to what we observed after March. Especially in July and August: For the Nasdaq, it was down by 17%, but it has since recovered within a two-month period. Is this good or bad? It really depends on how we've positioned ourselves. If...
Lower inflation and interest rates do not necessarily mean that prices will decrease. If I annualize the inflation numbers instead of focusing on the monthly figures, the overall picture becomes much clearer. 2 and 10 Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY, 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • ...
A lowering of U.S. interest rates may be necessary, but the downside risk is a weaker USD. And a significantly weaker dollar may cause inflation to creep back up again. Today, I will share a little hack on how to track and preempt the U.S. dollar’s direction. To conclude: Long-term - Down Mid-term - Range to a breaking point Currencies Futures and Options...
When the Bank of Japan hiked its interest rate at the end of July, global markets went into turbulence. We will discuss what currency carry trade is, why the yen carry trade has caused this global volatility, and, importantly, whether the market will resume its uptrend. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points...
What is moving lately? Tech stocks in Nasdaq and S&P are down, whereas traditional stocks in the Dow Jones and the smaller-cap stocks in the Russell are holding well. Micro E-Mini Russell Futures and Options Ticker: M2K Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your...
What is moving lately? The US unemployment rate has edged up. We can see from past cycles that when unemployment numbers started breaking above their downtrend, crisis occurred. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please...
How will the market perform if either Biden or Trump wins? That should be an easy question to answer, as we can track the market performance on the first day each became President of the United States. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a...