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Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
▪ What is Regression?
▪ Regression Use-case
▪ Types of Regression – Linear vs Logistic Regression
▪ What is Linear Regression?
▪ Finding best fit regression line using Least Square Method
▪ Checking goodness of fit using R squared Method
▪ Implementation of Linear Regression using Python
▪ Linear Regression Algorithm using Python from scratch
▪ Linear Regression Algorithm using Python (scikit lib)
Agenda for Today’s Session
“Regression analysis is a form of predictive modelling
technique which investigates the relationship between
a dependent and independent variable”What is
Regression?
Uses of
Regression
Three major uses for regression analysis are
▪ Determining the strength of predictors
▪ Forecasting an effect, and
▪ Trend forecasting
Linear vs
Logistic
Regression
Basis Linear Regression Logistic Regression
Core Concept The data is modelled
using a straight line
The probability of some
obtained event is
represented as a linear
function of a combination of
predictor variables.
Used with Continuous Variable Categorical Variable
Output/Prediction Value of the variable Probability of occurrence of
event
Accuracy and
Goodness of fit
measured by loss, R
squared, Adjusted R
squared etc.
Accuracy, Precision, Recall,
F1 score, ROC curve,
Confusion Matrix, etc
“Linear Regression is a method to predict dependent variable (Y)
based on values of independent variables (X). It can be used for the
cases where we want to predict some continuous quantity.”
What is Linear
Regression?
▪ Classification and Regression Capabilities
▪ Data Quality
▪ Computational Complexity
▪ Comprehensible and Transparent
Linear Regression
Selection
Criteria
▪ Evaluating Trends and Sales Estimates
▪ Analyzing the Impact of Price Changes
▪ Assessment of risk in financial services and
insurance domain
Where is
Linear
Regression
used?
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Line
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
+ve
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
-ve
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Line
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Linear Regression
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Observation
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Regression Line
Least Square Method
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Estimated Value
Actual Value
error
error
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Minimize the error
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Distance
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
+ve Relationship
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Distance
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = mx + c
Distance travelled in a
fixed duration of time
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Distance
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = mx + c
Speed of Vehicle
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Distance
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = mx + c
m = +ve slope of line
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Distance
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = mx + c
c = y - intercept of the line
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Time
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
-ve Relationship
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Time
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = - mx + c
Time taken to travel a
fixed distance
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Time
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = - mx + c
Speed of Vehicle
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Time
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = - mx + c
m = -ve slope of line
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Speed
Time
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = - mx + c
c = y - intercept of the line
Understanding
Linear
Regression
Algorithm
Independent Variable
DependentVariable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
y = mx + c
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean: ഥ𝒙 3 18/53.6 mean : ഥ𝒚
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6( , )
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean3( , )3.6
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
1
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
1
3
−
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
1
3
−
3
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
1
3
−3
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
2
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
2
−
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
2 −
3
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
2 − 3
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
3
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
3.6
3
−
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
3.6
3 −
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
3 −3.6
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.4
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
3
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
-2y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
where m = 𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
-1
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
2
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+cy = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-2
-1
0
1
2
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
=
4
10
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
=
4
10
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
3.6
y = mx+c
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
=
4
10
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m =
𝛴
𝛴
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m = 𝛴 =
4
10
0.4
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m = 𝛴 =
4
10
3
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m = 𝛴 =
4
10
3.6=0.4x3 + c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m = 𝛴 =
4
10
3.6 = 1.2+ c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m = 𝛴 =
4
10
3.6 - 1.2 = c
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m = 𝛴 =
4
10
c = 2.4
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
mean 3 3.6
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥
-2
-1
0
1
2
𝑦 − ത𝑦
-0.6
0.4
-1.6
0.40.4
1.4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
4
1
0
1
4
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
-1
0
2
1.2
0.4
-1.6
0.4
1.4
-0.4
2.8
0.4
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 3 4 5 6
1
2
3
4
5
0 3
y = mx+c
(𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)
𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4
𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2
m = 𝛴 =
4
10
c = 2.4
m = 0.4
c = 2.4
y = 0.4x + 2.4
Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
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Mean Square Error
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
m = 0.4
c = 2.4
y = 0.4x + 2.4
For given m = 0.4 & c = 2.4, lets
predict values for y for x = {1,2,3,4,5}
y = 0.4 x 1+ 2.4 = 2.8
y = 0.4 x 2+ 2.4= 3.2
y = 0.4 x 3+ 2.4= 3.6
y = 0.4 x 4+ 2.4= 4.0
y = 0.4 x 5+ 2.4= 4.4
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Mean Square Error
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Regression Line
m = 0.4
c = 2.4
y = 0.4x + 2.4
For given m = 0.4 & c = 2.4, lets
predict values for y for x = {1,2,3,4,5}
y = 0.4 x 1+ 2.4 = 2.8
y = 0.4 x 2+ 2.4= 3.2
y = 0.4 x 3+ 2.4= 3.6
y = 0.4 x 4+ 2.4= 4.0
y = 0.4 x 5+ 2.4= 4.4
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Mean Square Error
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Regression Line
m = 0.4
c = 2.4
y = 0.4x + 2.4
For given m = 0.4 & c = 2.4, lets
predict values for y for x = {1,2,3,4,5}
y = 0.4 x 1+ 2.4 = 2.8
y = 0.4 x 2+ 2.4= 3.2
y = 0.4 x 3+ 2.4= 3.6
y = 0.4 x 4+ 2.4= 4.0
y = 0.4 x 5+ 2.4= 4.4
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Mean Square Error
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Regression Line Distance between actual
& predicted value
error
error
error
error
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Finding the
best fit line
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Let’s check the Goodness of fit
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What is R-
Square?
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▪ R-squared value is a statistical measure of how close
the data are to the fitted regression line
▪ It is also known as coefficient of determination, or the
coefficient of multiple determination
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Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
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Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Actual Value
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑥 𝑦
mean
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
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1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Actual Value
mean
distance = actual - mean
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
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1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Predicted Value
1
2
3
4
5
2.8
𝑥
3.2
4.0
3.6
4.4
Regression line
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑦𝑝
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
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Distance actual - mean
Distance predicted - mean
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Actual vs Predicted Value
Regression line
vs
This is nothing but 𝑅2
=
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦
2
𝛴
𝛴
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Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
– 0.6
0.4
–1.6
0.4
1.4
𝑦 − ത𝑦
mean y
3.6
𝑅2
=
𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦
2
𝛴
𝛴
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Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
– 0.6
0.4
–1.6
0.4
1.4
𝑦 − ത𝑦
mean y
3.6
𝑦𝑝𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
3.6
1.6
2.56
1.6
1.96
2.8
3.2
3.6
4.0
4.4
(𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦)
-0.8
-0.4
0
0.4
0.8
𝑅2
=
𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦
2
𝛴
𝛴
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Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
– 0.6
0.4
–1.6
0.4
1.4
𝑦 − ത𝑦
mean y 3.6
𝑦𝑝𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
3.6
1.6
2.56
1.6
1.96
2.8
3.2
3.6
4.0
4.4
(𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦)
-0.8
-0.4
0
0.4
0.8
𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦
2
6.4
1.6
0
1.6
6.4
𝑅2
=
𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦
2
𝛴
𝛴
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Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
– 0.6
0.4
–1.6
0.4
1.4
𝑦 − ത𝑦
mean y 3.6
𝑦𝑝𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
0.36
0.16
2.56
0.16
1.96
2.8
3.2
3.6
4.0
4.4
(𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦)
-0.8
-0.4
0
0.4
0.8
0.64
0.16
0
0.16
0.64
1.6
𝑅2
=
𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
(𝑦𝑝 −ത𝑦
2
𝛴
𝛴
5.2𝛴 𝛴
1.6
5.2
=
𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦
2
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑥
1
2
3
4
5
3
4
2
4
5
𝑦
– 0.6
0.4
–1.6
0.4
1.4
𝑦 − ത𝑦
mean y 3.6
𝑦𝑝𝑦 − ത𝑦 2
3.6
1.6
2.56
1.6
1.96
2.8
3.2
3.6
4.0
4.4
(𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦)
-0.8
-0.4
0
0.4
0.8
(𝑦𝑝 −−ത𝑦
2
6.4
1.6
0
1.6
6.4
11.32 16
𝑅2
≈ 0.3
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑅2
≈ 0.3
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Actual vs Predicted Value
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑅2
≈ 0.7
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Actual vs Predicted Value
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑅2
≈ 0.9
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Actual vs Predicted Value
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑅2
≈ 1
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Actual vs Predicted Value
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
𝑅2
≈ 0.02
Independent Variable
Dependent Variable
X
Y
1 2 4 5 60 3
1
2
3
4
5
Actual vs Predicted Value
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Are
Low R-squared
values always
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Are
High R-squared
values always
Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
DEMO
Let’s learn to
code
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Linear Regression Algorithm | Linear Regression in Python | Machine Learning Algorithm | Edureka

  • 1. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 3. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. ▪ What is Regression? ▪ Regression Use-case ▪ Types of Regression – Linear vs Logistic Regression ▪ What is Linear Regression? ▪ Finding best fit regression line using Least Square Method ▪ Checking goodness of fit using R squared Method ▪ Implementation of Linear Regression using Python ▪ Linear Regression Algorithm using Python from scratch ▪ Linear Regression Algorithm using Python (scikit lib) Agenda for Today’s Session
  • 4. “Regression analysis is a form of predictive modelling technique which investigates the relationship between a dependent and independent variable”What is Regression?
  • 5. Uses of Regression Three major uses for regression analysis are ▪ Determining the strength of predictors ▪ Forecasting an effect, and ▪ Trend forecasting
  • 6. Linear vs Logistic Regression Basis Linear Regression Logistic Regression Core Concept The data is modelled using a straight line The probability of some obtained event is represented as a linear function of a combination of predictor variables. Used with Continuous Variable Categorical Variable Output/Prediction Value of the variable Probability of occurrence of event Accuracy and Goodness of fit measured by loss, R squared, Adjusted R squared etc. Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1 score, ROC curve, Confusion Matrix, etc
  • 7. “Linear Regression is a method to predict dependent variable (Y) based on values of independent variables (X). It can be used for the cases where we want to predict some continuous quantity.” What is Linear Regression?
  • 8. ▪ Classification and Regression Capabilities ▪ Data Quality ▪ Computational Complexity ▪ Comprehensible and Transparent Linear Regression Selection Criteria
  • 9. ▪ Evaluating Trends and Sales Estimates ▪ Analyzing the Impact of Price Changes ▪ Assessment of risk in financial services and insurance domain Where is Linear Regression used?
  • 10. Independent Variable DependentVariable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Line Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 17. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Independent Variable DependentVariable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Regression Line Least Square Method
  • 18. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Independent Variable DependentVariable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Estimated Value Actual Value error error
  • 21. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Speed Distance X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = mx + c Distance travelled in a fixed duration of time
  • 22. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Speed Distance X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = mx + c Speed of Vehicle
  • 23. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Speed Distance X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = mx + c m = +ve slope of line
  • 24. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Speed Distance X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = mx + c c = y - intercept of the line
  • 26. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Speed Time X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = - mx + c Time taken to travel a fixed distance
  • 27. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Speed Time X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = - mx + c Speed of Vehicle
  • 28. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Speed Time X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = - mx + c m = -ve slope of line
  • 29. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Speed Time X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = - mx + c c = y - intercept of the line
  • 30. Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm Independent Variable DependentVariable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python y = mx + c Independent Variable Dependent Variable
  • 31. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 32. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 33. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 34. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean: ഥ𝒙 3 18/53.6 mean : ഥ𝒚 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 35. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6( , ) Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 36. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean3( , )3.6 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 37. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 38. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 1 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 39. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 1 3 − Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 40. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 1 3 − 3 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 41. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 1 3 −3 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 42. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 2 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 43. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 2 − Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 44. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 2 − 3 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 45. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 2 − 3 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 46. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 47. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 48. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 49. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 50. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 3 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 51. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 3.6 3 − Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 52. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 3.6 3 − Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 53. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 3 −3.6 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 54. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 55. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 56. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 57. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.4 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 58. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 59. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 3 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 -2y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 where m = 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 60. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 -1 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 61. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 62. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 63. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 2 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 64. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+cy = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 65. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 66. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -2 -1 0 1 2 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 67. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦)𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 68. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 69. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 = 4 10 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 70. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 = 4 10 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 71. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 3.6 y = mx+c 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 = 4 10 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 𝛴 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 72. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 = 4 10 0.4 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 73. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 = 4 10 3 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 74. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 = 4 10 3.6=0.4x3 + c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 75. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 = 4 10 3.6 = 1.2+ c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 76. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 = 4 10 3.6 - 1.2 = c Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 77. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 = 4 10 c = 2.4 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 78. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 mean 3 3.6 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 -2 -1 0 1 2 𝑦 − ത𝑦 -0.6 0.4 -1.6 0.40.4 1.4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 4 1 0 1 4 (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) -1 0 2 1.2 0.4 -1.6 0.4 1.4 -0.4 2.8 0.4 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 0 3 y = mx+c (𝑥 − ҧ𝑥)(𝑦 − ത𝑦) 𝛴 = 10 𝛴 = 4 𝑥 − ҧ𝑥 2 m = 𝛴 = 4 10 c = 2.4 m = 0.4 c = 2.4 y = 0.4x + 2.4 Understanding Linear Regression Algorithm
  • 79. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Mean Square Error Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 m = 0.4 c = 2.4 y = 0.4x + 2.4 For given m = 0.4 & c = 2.4, lets predict values for y for x = {1,2,3,4,5} y = 0.4 x 1+ 2.4 = 2.8 y = 0.4 x 2+ 2.4= 3.2 y = 0.4 x 3+ 2.4= 3.6 y = 0.4 x 4+ 2.4= 4.0 y = 0.4 x 5+ 2.4= 4.4
  • 80. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Mean Square Error Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Regression Line m = 0.4 c = 2.4 y = 0.4x + 2.4 For given m = 0.4 & c = 2.4, lets predict values for y for x = {1,2,3,4,5} y = 0.4 x 1+ 2.4 = 2.8 y = 0.4 x 2+ 2.4= 3.2 y = 0.4 x 3+ 2.4= 3.6 y = 0.4 x 4+ 2.4= 4.0 y = 0.4 x 5+ 2.4= 4.4
  • 81. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Mean Square Error Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Regression Line m = 0.4 c = 2.4 y = 0.4x + 2.4 For given m = 0.4 & c = 2.4, lets predict values for y for x = {1,2,3,4,5} y = 0.4 x 1+ 2.4 = 2.8 y = 0.4 x 2+ 2.4= 3.2 y = 0.4 x 3+ 2.4= 3.6 y = 0.4 x 4+ 2.4= 4.0 y = 0.4 x 5+ 2.4= 4.4
  • 82. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Mean Square Error Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Regression Line Distance between actual & predicted value error error error error
  • 83. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Finding the best fit line Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
  • 84. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Let’s check the Goodness of fit
  • 85. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. What is R- Square? Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python ▪ R-squared value is a statistical measure of how close the data are to the fitted regression line ▪ It is also known as coefficient of determination, or the coefficient of multiple determination
  • 86. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Actual Value 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑥 𝑦 mean
  • 87. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Actual Value mean distance = actual - mean Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐
  • 88. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Predicted Value 1 2 3 4 5 2.8 𝑥 3.2 4.0 3.6 4.4 Regression line Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑦𝑝
  • 89. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Distance actual - mean Distance predicted - mean 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Actual vs Predicted Value Regression line vs This is nothing but 𝑅2 = Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦 2 𝛴 𝛴
  • 90. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 – 0.6 0.4 –1.6 0.4 1.4 𝑦 − ത𝑦 mean y 3.6 𝑅2 = 𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦 2 𝛴 𝛴
  • 91. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 – 0.6 0.4 –1.6 0.4 1.4 𝑦 − ത𝑦 mean y 3.6 𝑦𝑝𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 3.6 1.6 2.56 1.6 1.96 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.4 (𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦) -0.8 -0.4 0 0.4 0.8 𝑅2 = 𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦 2 𝛴 𝛴
  • 92. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 – 0.6 0.4 –1.6 0.4 1.4 𝑦 − ത𝑦 mean y 3.6 𝑦𝑝𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 3.6 1.6 2.56 1.6 1.96 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.4 (𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦) -0.8 -0.4 0 0.4 0.8 𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦 2 6.4 1.6 0 1.6 6.4 𝑅2 = 𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦 2 𝛴 𝛴
  • 93. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 – 0.6 0.4 –1.6 0.4 1.4 𝑦 − ത𝑦 mean y 3.6 𝑦𝑝𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 0.36 0.16 2.56 0.16 1.96 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.4 (𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦) -0.8 -0.4 0 0.4 0.8 0.64 0.16 0 0.16 0.64 1.6 𝑅2 = 𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 (𝑦𝑝 −ത𝑦 2 𝛴 𝛴 5.2𝛴 𝛴 1.6 5.2 = 𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦 2
  • 94. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑥 1 2 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 5 𝑦 – 0.6 0.4 –1.6 0.4 1.4 𝑦 − ത𝑦 mean y 3.6 𝑦𝑝𝑦 − ത𝑦 2 3.6 1.6 2.56 1.6 1.96 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.4 (𝑦𝑝 − ത𝑦) -0.8 -0.4 0 0.4 0.8 (𝑦𝑝 −−ത𝑦 2 6.4 1.6 0 1.6 6.4 11.32 16 𝑅2 ≈ 0.3
  • 95. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑅2 ≈ 0.3 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Actual vs Predicted Value
  • 96. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑅2 ≈ 0.7 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Actual vs Predicted Value
  • 97. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑅2 ≈ 0.9 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Actual vs Predicted Value
  • 98. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑅2 ≈ 1 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Actual vs Predicted Value
  • 99. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python Calculation of 𝑹 𝟐 𝑅2 ≈ 0.02 Independent Variable Dependent Variable X Y 1 2 4 5 60 3 1 2 3 4 5 Actual vs Predicted Value
  • 100. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Are Low R-squared values always Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
  • 101. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Are High R-squared values always Machine Learning Training with Python www.edureka.co/python
  • 102. Copyright © 2017, edureka and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. DEMO Let’s learn to code © MadeByShape Ltd. Web Design Manchester 2018. All Rights Reserved.
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