The document discusses the transformative impact of technology on consumer behavior and financial systems, emphasizing the rise of digital payments, e-commerce, and mobile commerce. It highlights the shift towards inclusive banking models and the emergence of FinTech disruptors that leverage low-margin, asset-light, and scalable approaches to provide financial services. Additionally, it explores the implications of blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies in enhancing transaction security and efficiency in the financial landscape.
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Week 1 Lecture Notes
The document discusses the transformative impact of technology on consumer behavior and financial systems, emphasizing the rise of digital payments, e-commerce, and mobile commerce. It highlights the shift towards inclusive banking models and the emergence of FinTech disruptors that leverage low-margin, asset-light, and scalable approaches to provide financial services. Additionally, it explores the implications of blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies in enhancing transaction security and efficiency in the financial landscape.
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Chapter 1.
Reshaping the Financial Order
Handbook of Blockchain, Digital Finance, and Inclusion 1.1 Megatrends and New Alternatives • How technology has shifted consumer preferences and opened new doors for greater competition? – Information technology and mobile connectivity have changed everything. – The boundaries between the virtual and physical worlds continue to blur. – Smartphone technology has fundamentally changed consumer behavior. – E-commerce is rapidly eclipsing face-to-face transactions, growing three times faster than traditional commercial activities. 1.1 Megatrends and New Alternatives • How technology has shifted consumer preferences and opened new doors for greater competition? – Any consumer or business product can be equipped with sensors and wireless connectivity features. – Anything can be made to communicate and interface with anyone or anything else through, what is called, the Internet of Things. – Digital payments need to be integrated into these networks for it all to be commercially viable. 1.2 Digital Implications • Consumers demand ever-higher levels of responsiveness, immediacy, convenience and customization. – Instantaneous access to information, entertainment and services, – Interacting and engaging with customers requires a much more integrated and digital approach. 1.2 Digital Implications • The survival of incumbent firms depends on three essential factors – Assets that are vital to ensuring scale and relevance as an organization steps into the digital domain. – Critical capabilities that enhance and augment these core assets. – Collaboration and securing where one operates in an ecosystem. 1.3 Historical Context • 1950s and 60s – credit cards • 1970s – A nationwide credit system became possible – Visa and MasterCard emerged • 1980s – Electronic funds transfers (EFT) became mainstream – ATM machines and debit cards made their debut • 1990s – In 1998 the popularity of debit cards reached a tipping point in which they were used considerably more often than checks – prepaid gift cards 1.4 E-commerce and P2P • New entrants from outside the traditional banking – Non-traditional non-bank P2P payment methods. – P2P payment methods relied on cash or wire-transfers through companies like Western Union. – These methods were inconvenient for e-commerce activities, like participating in eBay’s online auction house. – PayPal answered this demand by easing the risks and costs of online transactions between buyers and sellers. 1.4 E-commerce and P2P • Non-bank intermediaries did not engage in fractional reserve banking and were therefore not subject to the same stringent financial regulation as banks. • In the mid-2000s commercial banks and non-bank intermediaries expanded their payments capabilities by developing applications for customers to manage accounts and make transactions on mobile devices. 1.5 The Rise of M-commerce • Tech companies and traditional payments companies begin to partner in 2010s. – Smartphone manufactures began installing network approved near field communication (NFC) chips for contactless payments onto all of their phones. – Digital wallets were mobile device applications that make use of NFC or other communication technology to make wireless transactions. – Mobile phone is transformed into an open loop prepaid card. • Apple Pay 1.6 Weapons of Mass Consumption • Cash is expensive to manage and access to a digital payments network unlocks new markets and increases the velocity of money. • Emerging market countries often consider digital payment networks as co-infrastructure in their development strategies. • Alibaba in China: it has empowered millions of SMEs to act globally by linking buyers and sellers from all over the world. Facilitating all these transactions is a digital payments network. • In almost every market, smartphone penetration is nearly complete. – Consumers that were previously unbanked can now receive banking services through their smartphones. 1.6 Weapons of Mass Consumption • Merchants and consumers that rely only on cash are penalized to just one, single limited form of payment. • However, cash does have certain advantages. It is universally accepted (practically), anonymous and versatile. • The peer-to-peer sharing economy is quickly making traditional corporate models obsolete. – Crowdfunding (Kickstarter), ridesharing (Uber), apartment/house sharing (Airbnb), co-working (The Coop), reselling and trading (Craigslist), knowledge and talent sharing (TaskRabbit) – These companies are transcending national boundaries and innovating faster than regulation can contain them. 1.7 Banking 2.0 • Inclusive business models are the new frontier in banking – More than two billion people in the world remain unbanked or under banked. – Traditional banks have been reluctant to cater to this segment. • Unknown risk profile, low income, limited wealth and geographic dispersion of their potential customers. • They are simply too expensive to service, the returns are too low. • FinTech is disrupting the established regime. • The market potential is huge, and it’s not limited to emerging markets. 1.7 Banking 2.0 • Inclusive business models are the new frontier in banking. – By ignoring those neglected by the financial system, banks have made room for tech companies. – Thus, the Internet companies, telecoms and start-ups (not banks) that were among the first to seize the opportunity and develop alternative, more efficient systems to provide banking and financial services at scale to the un-banked. – Starting with payments, they have moved into other financial services like savings, loans and investments. 1.8 Understanding the Model • The LASIC model of FinTech disruptors – Low margin • Revenue stream for FinTech alternatives has been based on small facilitation fees. – Asset light • They do not engage in fractional reserve banking. • The capital requirements imposed by Basel III does not apply to them. – Scalable • Inherent scalability with no need for brick and mortar branches, these reduced costs can be multiplied and passed on to millions of previously untapped consumers. – Innovative – Compliance easy • Alternative banking and financial services have far fewer compliance obligations. 1.8 Understanding the Model • The LASIC model of FinTech disruptors – FinTech companies attract more capital. • They grow by reaching out to the masses, diversifying service offerings and disrupting further up the value chain. – Alibaba • Offer low-cost loans to merchants for years. • They have since branched out into micro-loans for consumers. • Because transactions between buyers and sellers take place through an e-wallet like Alipay, Alibaba is able to quickly assess a company or individual’s cash cow in real time. • Low-interest rate loans of 30 days to a year are approved within 24-hours. A traditional bank would struggle to do that. 1.8 Understanding the Model • The LASIC model of FinTech disruptors – Service can be quickly scaled when they run on servers and software • In 2013, Facebook bought the start-up messaging service WhatsApp, with its 400 million active users, for US$22 billion, despite the acquired company earning a net loss of US$138.1 million that same year. However, this also represents 400 million users that could potentially be integrated into a FinTech platform. • On Nov 11, 2014, Alibaba recorded sales of more than US$9 billion in that one day, over half of which was facilitated by Alipay. – Overall, what has happened is that profit margins are so low that potential competitors find no incentives to go after new entrants. – With negligible margin cost, these disruptors grow the business exponentially with a very light balance sheet of liabilities and assets. 1.9 The Democratization of Banking and Finance • Technology is making centralized organizations obsolete • Lending Club – Online peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platform headquartered in San Francisco. – Facilitates direct lending between individuals. – Offers unsecured personal loans up to US$35,000. – Focuses on making borrowing accessible and straightforward. – Initially launched on Facebook. – Started as a social networking service for lending. – Originally matched lenders and borrowers based on social affinity. – Considered factors like education, geography, professional background, and social media connections. volved to include traditional financial metrics. 1.9 The Democratization of Banking and Finance • Lending Club – Current default rate stands at 3.39%. Slightly higher than the U.S. average consumer loan default rate of around 2%. – Despite higher default risks, reports solid returns. Lenders benefit from diversified investments and risk management. – Compliance costs are low. – The lending process has been democratized. – Borrowers get access to credit within hours and lenders earn returns in excess of most coupon rates. – This has proved to be an attractive model for capital investment. – In December 2014, Lending Club raised US$900 million in the largest tech IPO of 2014. – In 2015 the company signed a partnership agreement with Google to expand lending services to small companies using Google’s business services. 1.10 The Incumbents • In 2013 Visa, MasterCard and American Express began co- developing a new technology to supplement digital payments security – ‘Tokenization’ as it is called replaces a payment cards 16-digit number with an encrypted digital proxy, or token, that adds an additional layer of security that shields the personal account number. – It allows payment issuers to directly send account credential (tokens) in real time to customers through any device or application through any means of connection to make payment. – This technology enables partners and clients to secure payment authorization over the cloud through the device. 1.10 The Incumbents – What is different about tokenization is that digital payments companies are opening up their networks to app developers. – In the past, these networks have been closed. – This means that people around the world can develop applications and services with tailor-made payment experiences that utilize an established global payments network. – This is a clear signal that the traditional network payment companies are preparing for the total pervasiveness of the Internet. – The most successful players will be the ones that dream big and create new solutions that impact the lives of billions of consumers and merchants around the world that leverage the scale, reliability and network security. 1.11Cryptocurrencies and Blockchain – In a Blockchain, a transaction is transparently recorded simultaneously across an automated peer-to-peer computer network. – Transactions take place across numbered accounts, which are public. – Every transaction is verified through a distributed process that records the date, time, account number and amount for the transaction, where each network node (and there are thousands), contains a full copy of the ledger. – A transaction is only approved once the nodes reach a consensus on the state of the ledger. This keeps the system synchronized, and – in all practical terms – it is almost impossible to defraud. 1.11Cryptocurrencies and Blockchain – Blockchain based cryptocurrency can also be programmed to represent anything of value • a company share • tax • environmental credits • vouchers • cash • Votes – Embedded instructions can be programmed to perform any transaction determining how, when and where a transaction can take place 1.11Cryptocurrencies and Blockchain – Critical importance in building the necessary infrastructure to support the Internet of Things. – It also has extraordinary implications for banking systems, including the potential to better automate processes and thereby reduce operational and compliance costs.