Chapter 2 discusses the foundations of demand and supply, focusing on the characteristics of consumer demand and various approaches to analyzing it, such as cardinal and ordinal utility theories. It also covers concepts like marginal utility, the law of diminishing marginal utility, and demand estimation techniques, including consumer surveys and statistical methods. Additionally, it highlights how consumers react to risk and uncertainty in their purchasing decisions.
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Chapter 2 Eco
Chapter 2 discusses the foundations of demand and supply, focusing on the characteristics of consumer demand and various approaches to analyzing it, such as cardinal and ordinal utility theories. It also covers concepts like marginal utility, the law of diminishing marginal utility, and demand estimation techniques, including consumer surveys and statistical methods. Additionally, it highlights how consumers react to risk and uncertainty in their purchasing decisions.
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Chapter:2 Foundations of Demand and Supply
Characteristics of consumer demand
1. Dynamic in nature 2. Depends on price 3. Depends on supply 4. Demand depends on the competition 5. Demand is affected by multiple factors 6. Demand is based on willingness and ability to pay Demand analysis
Demand analysis is the process of assessing the demand for a
particular product or service in a market. It examines the factors influencing consumer purchasing decisions, such as price, preferences and the market conditions . Approaches to analyzing consumer demand 1) The cardinal utility approach 2) The ordinal utility approach 3) The indifference curve analysis 4) The budget line approach 5) The demand curve analysis 6) The revealed preference theory 7) The econometric approach The cardinal utility approach
The Cardinal Utility Approach is a concept in economics that assumes that
utility (satisfaction or happiness) derived from consuming goods and services can be measured in absolute, numerical terms, just like weight or height.
This approach is primarily associated with classical economists like Jeremy
Bentham and Alfred Marshall and forms the basis of the marginal utility theory. The ordinal utility approach
The Ordinal Utility Approach is an economic theory that assumes
consumers can rank their preferences but cannot assign exact numerical values to their satisfaction (utility). This theory was developed by John Hicks The indifference curve analysis
The Indifference Curve Analysis is a fundamental concept in consumer behavior theory,
introduced by Francis Y. Edgeworth and further developed by John Hicks and R.G.D. Allen. It is based on the Ordinal Utility Approach. An indifference curve represents all the combinations of two goods that provide the same level of satisfaction to a consumer. The consumer is indifferent between any of these combinations. Example: A consumer gets the same satisfaction from the following combinations of coffee and tea: •Bundle A: 3 cups of coffee + 5 cups of tea •Bundle B: 4 cups of coffee + 3 cups of tea •Bundle C: 2 cups of coffee + 7 cups of tea The budget line approach
The Budget Line Approach is an economic concept that
illustrates the combinations of two goods that a consumer can afford given their income and the prices of those goods. It is a fundamental part of consumer choice theory, helping to determine the optimal consumption bundle that maximizes satisfaction. The demand curve analysis
The demand curve approach is a fundamental concept in economics
that represents the relationship between the price of a good or service and the quantity demanded by consumers. The demand curve typically slopes downwards from left to right, reflecting the law of demand: as the price of a good or service decreases, the quantity demanded generally increases, and vice versa, assuming all other factors remain constant (ceteris paribus) The Revealed Preference theory Revealed Preference Theory is a way to understand what people like by looking at what they buy rather than asking them what they prefer. It was introduced by economist Paul Samuelson to explain consumer behavior without using the complex idea of utility. Revealed Preference Theory states that a consumer's choices and purchasing behavior reveal their true preferences, assuming they make rational and consistent decisions. Main Idea: Instead of asking people what they prefer, we observe their choices. If someone chooses one product over another, it means they like that product more. Their actual behavior reveals their preferences. The Econometric approach
The econometric approach involves using mathematical and
statistical methods to analyze economic data and test economic theories. It helps in making predictions, estimating relationships between variables, and validating economic models. Utility Utility refers to want satisfying power of a commodity. It is the satisfaction, actual or expected, derived from the consumption of a commodity. Utility differs from person- to-person, place-to-place and time-to-time. In the words of Prof. Hobson, “Utility is the ability of a good to satisfy a want”. Total utility Total utility refers to the total satisfaction obtained from the consumption of all possible units of a commodity. It measures the total satisfaction obtained from consumption of all the units of that good. For example, if the 1st ice-cream gives you a satisfaction of 20 utils and 2nd one gives 16 utils, then TU from 2 ice-creams is 20 + 16 = 36 utils. If the 3rd ice-cream generates satisfaction of 10 utils, then TU from 3 ice-creams will be 20+ 16 + 10 = 46 utils. Marginal Utility (MU):
Marginal utility is the additional utility derived from the consumption
of one more unit of the given commodity. It is the utility derived from the last unit of a commodity purchased. As per given example, when 3rd ice-cream is consumed, TU increases from 36 utils to 46 utils. The additional 10 utils from the 3rd ice-cream is the MU. In the words of Chapman, “Marginal utility is addition made to total utility by consuming one more unit of a commodity”. Meaning of marginal utility theory According to marginal utility theory, consumer will continue to buy more of a good until the marginal utility of that good is equal to its price. Consumer try to get the most satisfaction of their money. If the marginal utility of a product is higher than the price, they will buy more. But if the marginal utility is lower than the price, they will stop buying it. Consumers aim to spend their money in a way that maximize total utility. Law of diminishing marginal utility If a consumer takes more and more units of a commodity, the additional utility he derives from an extra unit of the commodity goes on falling. Thus, according to this law, the marginal utility decreases with the increase in the consumption of a commodity. When marginal utility decreases, the total utility increases at a diminishing rate. Suppose Mr. X is hungry and eats apple one by one. The first apple gives him great pleasure (higher utility) as he is hungry; when he takes the second apple, the extent of his hunger will reduce. Therefore he will derive less utility from the second apple. If he continues to take additional apples, the utility derived from the third apple will be less than that of the second one. In this way, the additional utility (marginal utility) from the extra units will go on decreasing. If the consumer continues to take more apples, marginal utility falls to zero and then becomes negative. Assumptions 1. The units of consumption must be in standard units e.g., a cup of tea, a bottle of cool drink etc. 2. All the units of the commodity must be identical in all aspects like taste, quality, colour and size. 3. The law holds good only when the process of consumption continues without any time gap. 4. The consumer's taste, habit or preference must remain the same during the process of consumption. 5. The income of the consumer remains constant. 6. The prices of the commodity consumed and its substitutes are constant. 7. The consumer is assumed to be a rational economic man. As a rational consumer, he wants to maximize the total utility. 8. Utility is measurable. Demand under risk and uncertainty Consumers would react to risk and uncertainty while taking purchase decisions. When they face risk and uncertainty ,they often use certain strategies. These strategies are the ways to protect themselves from potential losses or bad choices because they unsure about what might happen in the future. •Sticking to essentials Diversifying choices •Seeking discounts and bargains postponing purchase •Saving more money relying trusted brands •Using insurance or warranties DEMAND ESTIMATION • Demand estimation may be defined as the process of finding current values of demand for various values of prices and other determining • Demand estimation refers to the process of determining the expected demand for a product or service in the market. It involves using historical data, statistical methods, and economic theories to predict how much of a good or service consumers will purchase at different price levels and under various market conditions Steps in demand estimation 1. Identification of the variables 2. Collection of data 3. Development of a model 4. Estimation of the parameters of the model 5. Development of estimates based on the model Tools of demand estimation • a) Consumer Survey Method • Involves directly asking consumers about their purchasing behavior and preferences. • Methods include structured questionnaires, interviews, and focus groups. • Useful for estimating demand for new products or in markets with limited historical data • b) Delphi Method • A panel of experts provides demand forecasts, and their opinions are refined through multiple rounds of surveys. • Helps in cases where historical data is unavailable or unreliable • c) Market Experimentation • Companies test different prices, promotions, or product variations in controlled environments. • Helps in understanding consumer responses before a full-scale launch. • Examples include test markets, A/B testing, and pilot projects • D.statistical methods • Statistical methods of demand estimation use mathematical models and historical data to analyze the relationship between demand and its influencing factors. • Regression analysis is a common method that quantifies how demand changes with variations in price, income, and other variables. • Time series analysis helps forecast future demand by identifying trends, seasonality, and cyclical patterns in past data. • Econometric models incorporate multiple variables to provide more accurate demand predictions, making them useful for policy-making and business strategy THANKYOU