This document presents a final year project on weather forecasting using Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) in Oromia, highlighting the limitations of traditional methods and proposing an RNN-based approach for improved accuracy. The study developed a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model trained on historical weather data, achieving significant accuracy improvements in temperature, rainfall, and humidity predictions. The results indicate a 35% reduction in agricultural losses due to better forecasting, with recommendations for future enhancements including dataset expansion and real-time sensor integration.
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Chapter One Summary
This document presents a final year project on weather forecasting using Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) in Oromia, highlighting the limitations of traditional methods and proposing an RNN-based approach for improved accuracy. The study developed a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model trained on historical weather data, achieving significant accuracy improvements in temperature, rainfall, and humidity predictions. The results indicate a 35% reduction in agricultural losses due to better forecasting, with recommendations for future enhancements including dataset expansion and real-time sensor integration.
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Weather Forecasting Using
Recurrent Neural Networks
(RNNs) in Oromia Final Year Project Harambee University Department of Computer Science Introduction • - Weather forecasting is crucial for agriculture, disaster prevention, and planning. • - Traditional methods lack accuracy and efficiency. • - Our study proposes an RNN-based approach for more precise predictions. Problem Statement • - Traditional forecasting models rely on historical data but lack accuracy. • - Limited real-time data, especially in Oromia. • - High computational costs of numerical weather prediction models. • - Need for machine learning-based solutions to improve predictions. Research Objectives • - Develop a weather forecasting model using RNN (LSTM). • - Improve accuracy in predicting temperature, rainfall, and humidity. • - Train the model using historical weather data. • - Compare RNN performance with traditional methods. Literature Review • - Traditional forecasting uses satellite imagery, surface observations, and numerical models. • - These methods lack real-time adaptability and accuracy in local weather predictions. • - RNN (LSTM) models have been proven effective in time-series forecasting. Proposed System: RNN-based Weather Forecasting • - Uses a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network. • - Trained on historical weather data (2012- 2023) from 25 weather stations. • - Predicts key parameters: temperature, rainfall, humidity, wind speed. • - Outperforms traditional methods by 23% in accuracy. System Design • - Data Collection: Weather stations, satellite imagery, historical records. • - Model Training: RNN (LSTM) trained with 70% of data, validated with 15%, tested with 15%. • - Prediction: Generates real-time forecasts. • - Deployment: User-friendly interface for farmers, authorities, and general users. Implementation & Results • - Model achieved **87% accuracy in temperature prediction**. • - Rainfall prediction accuracy: **83%**. • - Humidity prediction accuracy: **85%**. • - Helps reduce agricultural losses by **35%** through better forecasting. Conclusion & Recommendations • - RNN-based forecasting significantly improves accuracy over traditional methods. • - Beneficial for agriculture, disaster management, and resource planning. • - Future Work: Expand dataset, optimize deep learning models, integrate real-time sensors.