Scribd
Upload
0 views

Experimental_Probability_Lesson2

This document provides an overview of experimental probability, emphasizing its calculation through actual data rather than theoretical models. It discusses the importance of sample size and the Law of Large Numbers, which states that experimental probability approaches theoretical probability as trials increase. The document also includes practical examples and exercises for applying experimental probability in real-world scenarios.

Uploaded by

Michael C
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0 views

Experimental_Probability_Lesson2

This document provides an overview of experimental probability, emphasizing its calculation through actual data rather than theoretical models. It discusses the importance of sample size and the Law of Large Numbers, which states that experimental probability approaches theoretical probability as trials increase. The document also includes practical examples and exercises for applying experimental probability in real-world scenarios.

Uploaded by

Michael C
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 10

Experimental Probability –

Lesson 2
Solving Problems Using Experimental
Probability (Extension)
Review of Experimental Probability
• • Experimental Probability = Frequency ÷ Total
Trials
• • Based on actual data, not theory.
• • More trials = better prediction.
• • Helps us make real-world predictions.
Vocabulary (Quick Review)
• • Experimental
• • Relative Frequency
• • Predict
• • Proportion
• • Frequency
• • Long Run
• • Observation
• • Survey
Predicting with Experimental Data
• You roll a die 60 times. It lands on 4 exactly 15
times.
• What is the probability of getting a 4? → P(4)
= 15 ÷ 60 = 0.25
• If you roll the die 200 more times, how many
times would you expect a 4?
• → 200 × 0.25 = 50
Compare: Experimental vs.
Theoretical
• • Theoretical for rolling a 4: 1/6 ≈ 0.167
• • Experimental (from data): 0.25
• • Why is there a difference?
• → Sample size, randomness, fairness of die,
etc.
Application: Survey Results
• A survey of 1,000 people:
• Walk = 360, Car = 540, Bus = 100
• P(Walk) = 360 ÷ 1000 = 0.36
• If 5,000 more people are surveyed, how many
will likely walk?
• → 5000 × 0.36 = 1,800
What Happens in the Long Run?
• • As the number of trials increases,
experimental probability should approach
theoretical probability.
• • This is called the Law of Large Numbers.
Let's Practice
• 1. You flip a coin 80 times. You get heads 45
times.
• a) What is P(Heads)?
• b) Predict how many heads in 200 more flips.

• 2. A spinner lands on 'Red' 24 out of 60 spins.


• a) P(Red)?
• b) How many reds in 150 spins?
Student Task – Try It Yourself!
• Design your own experiment (dice, spinner,
coin, etc).
• • Do at least 30 trials.
• • Record results.
• • Calculate experimental probabilities.
• • Predict outcomes for 100 trials.
Lesson Summary
• • Use experimental data to solve real
problems.
• • Predict future results with proportions.
• • Understand experimental vs. theoretical
probability.
• • Practice builds understanding!

You might also like