Serial Correlation
Serial Correlation
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Serial Correlation
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Serial Correlation (cont.)
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Serial Correlation (cont.)
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Positive Serial Correlation
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No Serial Correlation
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Negative Serial Correlation
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Serial Correlation
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Serial Correlation (cont.)
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The Consequences of Serial
Correlation
• The existence of serial correlation in the error term of an equation
violates Classical Assumption, and the estimation of the equation with
OLS has at least three consequences:
1. Serial correlation does not cause bias in the coefficient estimates
2. Serial correlation causes OLS to no longer be the minimum variance
estimator (of all the linear unbiased estimators)
3. Serial correlation causes the OLS estimates of the SE to be biased,
leading to unreliable hypothesis testing. Typically the bias in the SE
estimate is negative, meaning that OLS underestimates the standard
errors of the coefficients (and thus overestimates the t-scores)
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
Durbin Watson Statistics
A number that tests for autocorrelation in the residuals from a statistical
regression analysis.
The Durbin-Watson statistic is always between 0 and 4.
A value of 2 means that there is no autocorrelation in the sample.
Values approaching 0 indicate positive autocorrelation and values toward 4
indicate negative autocorrelation.
We cannot use more than one lag in our model which means Durbin Watson
Statistics is not suitable for autoregressive models.
LM test statistics or Q statistics
We can use number of lags.
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
LM test statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
Q statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
Q statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
Q statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
Q statistics
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Eviews: Serial Correlation
Test
• File Name: how to detect serial correlation
Q statistics
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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Removal of Serial Correlation
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