The document outlines the project life cycle, detailing its phases from project identification to evaluation, emphasizing the importance of planning and stakeholder influence throughout the process. It highlights the World Bank and UNIDO project cycles, which include stages such as project preparation, appraisal, implementation, and evaluation. Key features include cost dynamics, risk management, and the need for thorough analysis to ensure project success.
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Project PPT Chapter 2
The document outlines the project life cycle, detailing its phases from project identification to evaluation, emphasizing the importance of planning and stakeholder influence throughout the process. It highlights the World Bank and UNIDO project cycles, which include stages such as project preparation, appraisal, implementation, and evaluation. Key features include cost dynamics, risk management, and the need for thorough analysis to ensure project success.
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UNIT TWO
PROJECT LIFE CYCLE
The ‘project cycle’ is a way of viewing the main elements that projects have in common, and how they relate to each other in sequence. The cycle starts with the identification of an idea and develops that idea into a working plan that can be implemented and evaluated. Project planning proceeds from inception to an implementation. It crosses various stages are often called “Project Cycle Phases. It is the life cycle though which a project advances from infancy to maturity. 2.1 Features of project Life Cycle Most project life-cycle descriptions share a number of common characteristics. 1. Cost and staffing levels are low at the start, higher toward the end, and drop rapidly as the project draws to a conclusion. 2. The probability of successfully completing the project is lowest, and hence risk and uncertainty are highest, at the start of the project. 3. The probability of successful completion generally gets progressively higher as the project continues. The ability of the stakeholders to influence the final characteristics of the project’s product and the final cost of the project is highest at the start and gets progressively lower as the project continues. N.B. Care should be taken to distinguish the project life cycle from the product life cycle For example, a project undertaken to bring new banking.` 2.3 .1 World Bank Project Cycle • A series of activities carried out by the World Bank in collaboration with government to ensure that the most important development issues for the country and that loans are used for purposes for which they were intended activities collectively are referred to as the World Bank’s “project cycle. • The World Bank suggested some stages in the project activities. • This project cycle is divided into the Stage 1: Project Identification Project identification is the initial stage of a project. Identification of promising investment opportunities requires imagination, sensitivity to environmental changes, and a realistic assessment of what the firm can do. A project idea may originate from multiple sources. Many of the most important projects in developing countries emerge from political commitments of national leaders, as response to crises, emergencies of external threats or to foreign government’s policies and assistance Identified projects can be for infrastructure, housing, education, health, and government financial management, among others. The World Bank and governments agree on an initial project concept and its beneficiaries, and the Bank’s project team outlines the basic elements in a Project Concept Note. Once some project ideas have been put forward, the first step is to select one or more of them as potential viable. A. Preliminary Screening • Project planning is process of elimination of inferior alternatives. • Once some project ideas have been put forward, the first step is to select one or more of them as potential viable. At this stage, the analyst should eliminate proposals that: are technically unsound and risky; have no market for the output; have inadequate supply of inputs in relation to benefits; assume over ambitious sales and B. Pre-Feasibility Study • Sophisticated analysis of the technical, financial, social and institutional aspects of the project is postponed to a later stage. • To enable the relevant authorities to decide on the merits of various project options, the studies should contain: The structure and objective of the project. The nature and size of the demand of the output or the needs that it would Basic alternative technologies available and their merits and drawbacks. Approximate investment and operation costs. Rough estimates of financial and economic returns. Any major factor that is likely to have an impact on the project . What further information on the technical, financial, economic or institutional aspects of the project should be acquired through special studies and surveys? Stage 2 :Project Preparation (Feasibility Studies) • the project enters the next stage for more and sophisticated analysis supported by accurate information in the study all aspects, technical and non-technical, should receive the attention to serve without postponing any consideration to a later stage. • Project preparation necessitates a teamwork approach with professionals investigating different aspects of the They should exchange views and check their conclusions under the coordination of an expert working as team leader. Time spent on project preparation is not a lost time. There is tradeoff between project preparation and implementation. The better a project is prepared, the easier and faster its implementation and lowers the probability of cost over runs. • There are two key areas where the analyst has choices to be made, the technological area and institutional area. • World Bank staff may determine that a proposed project could have environmental or social impacts that are included under the World Bank’s Safeguard Policies. (a) Technological Choices • Certain technical aspects that seek alternatives considerations may be: i. Building a new plant or facilities as against improving the capability of existing ones. ii. Indigenous against imported technologies, labor intensive against capital intensive one and technologies with high initial costs but low maintenance requirements against those with low initial costs but high maintenance needs and iii. Possibility of implementing the project in stages and the merits of one big Plant in the center versus a number of smaller regional ones. (b) Institutional Choices
• Professionals may consider many institutional
aspects where alternatives are feasible like. • Consider the merits of establishing a new agency to implement and operate the projects as against using an existing one. Stage 3 : Project Appraisal and Investment Decision
• Appraisal is the comprehensive and
systematic assessment of all aspects of the proposed project. • The project is viewed from different perspectives; technical, commercial, financial, economic, managerial and organizational. . • Project approval Once all project details are negotiated and accepted by both sides, the Bank prepares the Project Appraisal Document (for investment lending) or the Program Document (for development policy lending), along with other financial and legal documents, for submission to the Bank’s Board of Executive Directors for consideration and • The Project Information Document is updated and publicly released when the project is approved. • When funding approval is obtained, conditions for effectiveness are met, and the legal documents are accepted and signed, the implementation phase begins. Stage 4 :Project Implementation, Supervision and Follow Up • It is the stage to which the conclusions reached and decisions made are put into action and the agreed resources are used to carry out the planned activities and achieve objectives. • Detailed designs and specifications should be drawn, tender documents to be prepared, bids should be invited and evaluated, orders for inputs have to be placed, contract to be signed, workers to be hired and put to work, materials to be moved to site, etc Stage 5:Project Evaluation • Evaluation is a time-bound exercise that attempts to assess the relevance, performance and success of current or completed projects, systematically and objectively. • Evaluation, more than monitoring, asks fundamental questions on the how and why of the overall progress and results of an intervention in order to improve performance and generate lessons learned. • Evaluations at the midpoint of the project or programme also provide timely learning that can suggest mid-course adjustments. 2.3.2. UNIDO Project Cycle
• According to UNIDO, a project’s cycle can be
divided into the following phases A. Pre-Investment Phase Project Identification (Opportunity Study) Pre-Selection (Pre-feasibility Study) Preparation (Feasibility Study) Appraisal (Appraisal Report B. Investment Phase (Implementation) C. Operational Phase 3.5.1. Pre-Investment Phase • (a) Project Identification / Opportunity Studies • Identification of investment potentials in developing countries generates interesting data required to develop project idea into a project proposal (opportunity study), which should consider analyzing the following. 1) Availability of natural resources 2) Existing agricultural pattern 3) Future demand for goods, increasing population, purchasing power. 4) Imports and import substitutions 5.Environmental impact 6) Functioning of similar project in other countries. 7) Possible inter linkage with other industries. 8) Extension by backward and forward linkages 9) Industrial policies of the local government Investment Phase • The investment phase can be divided into the following stages. Establishing the legal, financial and organizational basis for the implementation of the Project Technology acquisition and transfer, including basic engineering Acquisition of land, construction work and installation Pre-production marketing, including the securing of supplies and setting up the administration of the firm Recruitment and training of personnel. Plant commissioning and start-up. Operating Phase: UNIT 3 PROJECT IDENTIFICATION • Definition: Project identification refers to finding project which could contribute towards achieving specific development objectives. • In the case of development projects, national and sub national plans serve as a frame of reference. • In principle project identification is supposed to be an integral part of the macro economic planning exercise with sectorial information and strategies as the main sources of project ideas. • The search for promising project ideas is the first step towards establishing a successful venture. • In practice, however, projects do not always stem from national and sectorial plans. • Project ideas may originate from various sources with the aim of: Overcoming the constraints to the national development efforts, and/or Meeting unsatisfied needs and demands for goods and services Sources of project ideas
• Classification of project ideas
• Depending on the level of details, project ideas can be categorized as; • Macro Level • Micro Level A. Macro level project ideas Include possible sources of project ideas at national and sectorial levels. It is more of general idea. Such sources include: National policies, strategies and priorities as pronounced by government National, sectorial, sub-sectorial and regional plans and strategies as supplemented by special opportunity studies with objective of translating the plans and strategies in to actions. General survey, resource potential survey regional studies, master plans, and statistical publications which directly or indirectly indicate investment opportunities. Constraints on the development processes due to shortage of critical materials infrastructures, or facilities. Government decisions to correct social and economic imbalances or inequalities. Micro level project ideas • Project ideas which emanates from community level, woreda level and individual levels. • Some possible sources at this level includes. • Identification of unsatisfied needs and demands • Perception of unused or underutilized resources and initiation to make use of them. • Initiatives of private or public enterprise in response for incentives provided by a government. • The necessity to supplement or expand the already undertaken projects. • The desires of local group to enhance their economic status and living standards (social welfares). • Systematic and unsystematic sources A. Systematic – this includes all project ideas which are part of the formal planning process. • Such sources includes: • Policy review and development plans • Sectoral strategies and sub sectoral programs • Surveys by local governments and regional organizations • Reviews of past projects • Such project ideas are very predictable, and expected B. Unsystematic • these categories of project idea sources are outside the formal planning mechanisms. • It may come from some powerful individuals, visionary person. • Usually, such sources are unpredictable and may come to light at any time. Such project ideas may emanate from: Resource based- existence of unutilized resources available in the country or in the organization Demand based –based on unsatisfied need for certain goods and services. Need based sources Opportunity studies; it enables us to know what types of investment is possible in the region, or particular area. It can be general or specific