The document discusses various types of statistical and mathematical modeling, emphasizing their definitions, importance, and applications in decision-making and forecasting. It outlines the steps to build a statistical model, the differences between deterministic and stochastic models, and the characteristics of linear functions. Additionally, it touches on logical fallacies, critical thinking, and the relevance of logic in nursing.
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Statistical Modeling Presentation
The document discusses various types of statistical and mathematical modeling, emphasizing their definitions, importance, and applications in decision-making and forecasting. It outlines the steps to build a statistical model, the differences between deterministic and stochastic models, and the characteristics of linear functions. Additionally, it touches on logical fallacies, critical thinking, and the relevance of logic in nursing.
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Definition: A mathematical representation of data using random variables
and probabilities. Importance: - Helps in decision-making. - Provides insights into trends. - Aids forecasting and hypothesis testing.
STATISTICAL MODEL AND ITS
IMPORTANCE Linear Regression and Its Types • Definition: Models the relationship between dependent and independent variables. • Types: • - Simple Linear Regression: Y = b0 + b1X + e • - Multiple Linear Regression: Y = b0 + b1X1 + b2X2 + ... • - Ridge Regression: Addresses multicollinearity. • - Lasso Regression: Shrinks coefficients. Steps in Building a Statistical Model • 1. Define the problem. • 2. Collect and preprocess data. • 3. Choose a model. • 4. Fit the model. • 5. Validate the model. • 6. Interpret results. Statistical vs. Mathematical Modeling • Statistical: Focus on randomness and probabilities. • Mathematical: Deterministic relationships. • Data dependency and purpose differ significantly. Mathematical Modeling and Its Types • Definition: Using formulas to represent systems. • Types: • - Deterministic: Fixed outcomes. • - Stochastic: Randomness included. • - Dynamic: Time-dependent. • - Static: Time-independent. Finding Length and Width to Calculate Area • Formula: Area = Length x Width. • To find unknowns: • Length = Area / Width, Width = Area / Length. Computational Modeling and Its Uses • Definition: Using algorithms to analyze systems. • Uses: • - Climate modeling. • - Financial analysis. • - Engineering simulations. Deterministic vs. Stochastic Models • Deterministic: Predictable outcomes (e.g., Linear Equations). • Stochastic: Includes randomness (e.g., Stock Prices). • Applications: Engineering designs, population growth. Linear and Non-Linear Functions • Linear: Straight-line relationships (y = mx + b). • Non-Linear: Curved relationships (e.g., Exponential, Quadratic). Characteristics of Linear Functions • 1. Constant slope. • 2. Graph is a straight line. • 3. Linear relationship between variables. Formulas for Standard and Slope- Intercept Form • Standard: Ax + By = C. • Slope-Intercept: y = mx + b. Solving Linear Equations • 1 Variable: 3x = 6 → x = 2. • 2 Variables: Use substitution or elimination. • 3 Variables: Use matrices or substitution. Steps to Solve Linear Equations • 1. Simplify. • 2. Combine like terms. • 3. Isolate the variable. • 4. Solve. Derivatives and Applications • Definition: Measures rate of change. • Types: First (Slope), Second (Concavity). • Applications: Physics, Economics. Linear and Exponential Growth/Decay • Linear Growth: Constant increase (y = mx + b). • Exponential Growth: Proportional increase (y = ae^kt). Regression and Correlation • Regression: Predicts dependent variables. • Correlation: Measures relationship strength. Logical Fallacies and Critical Thinking • Logical Fallacies: Errors in reasoning (e.g., Ad Hominem, Strawman). • Critical Thinking: Evaluates arguments for clarity and validity. Logic in Nursing • Importance: Supports decision-making and patient care through reasoning and evidence. De Morgan's Theorem • ¬(A ∧ B) = (¬A ∨ ¬B), ¬(A ∨ B) = (¬A ∧ ¬B).