24 February 2025

Probability
Objectives:

1. LA: By the end of the lesson all students will

know what probability is.
2. MA: By the end of the lesson most students
will be understood how to use the probability scale.
3. HA: By the end of the lesson some students
will know how to calculate simple probabilities.
What is probability?
https://
www.youtube.com/
watch?v=TseGryr1JdE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GM-
LNvndeG0
 What is probability?
• Probability is the chance that
something will happen.
• Eg1: Ms Vy doesn’t look well today, it is likely that
she will be absent tomorrow.
• Eg2: The weather is very nice today, it is very
unlikely that it will be raining today.
• Eg3: My aunt is pregnant, she likes to have a
baby boy, but it is a 50-50 chance (even chance).
 24 February 2025

Probability
Objectives:

1. LA: By the end of the lesson all students will

know what probability is.
2. MA: By the end of the lesson most students
will be understood how to use the probability scale.
3. HA: By the end of the lesson some students
will know how to calculate simple probabilities.
How do we measure
probability?
Probability scale

0 0.5 1

LIKELY IMPOSSIBLE CERTAIN UNLIKELY EVEN

 Probability scale

0 0.5 1
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

7
 Activity 2
• Read the question, discuss with your
partner and write down your answer on the
paper. There are 6 questions for you to
complete.
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

1 EATING JUNK FOOD

AND AVOIDING EXERCISE
WILL MAKE YOU LOSE WEIGHT
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

2
EATING 5 FRUIT AND VEGETABLES PER
DAY HELPS PREVENT DISEASE
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

3
GOOD ATTENDANCE AT SCHOOL HAS A
POSITIVE EFFECT ON ACHIEVEMENT.
 IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

4
THE NEXT BABY TO BE BORN IN HO CHI
MINH CITY
IS GOING TO BE A BOY.
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

FEBRUARY 28TH FALLS ON A

5 SATURDAY IN 2024.
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

6 I WILL BE ABLE
TO SPEAK
FLUENT
RUSSIAN
IN THE
NEXT 5 MINUTES
Answer
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

1 UNLIKELY
EATING JUNK FOOD
AND AVOIDING EXERCISE
WILL MAKE YOU LOSE WEIGHT
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

2 LIKELY
EATING 5 FRUIT AND VEGETABLES PER
DAY HELPS PREVENT DISEASE
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

3 LIKELY
GOOD ATTENDANCE AT SCHOOL HAS A
POSITIVE EFFECT ON ACHIEVEMENT.
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

4 EVEN
THE NEXT BABY TO BE BORN IN BURY
IS GOING TO BE A BOY.
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

5 IMPOSSIBLE
FEBRUARY 28TH FALLS ON A
SATURDAY IN 2024.
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

IMPOSSIBLE
6
I WILL BE ABLE
TO SPEAK
FLUENT
RUSSIAN
IN THE
NEXT 5 MINUTES
 24 February 2025

Probability
Objectives:

1. LA: By the end of the lesson all students will

know what probability is.
2. MA: By the end of the lesson most students
will be understood how to use the probability scale.
3. HA: By the end of the lesson some students
will know how to calculate simple probabilities
using probability scale.
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=iLaSpfgVmCA
 The Probability Scale
Impossible Certain

0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1

0 25% 50% 75% 1
1 1 3
0 4 2 4
1
 Mark these events on the probability scale.

A baby is born male.(51%) It will rain in the amazon tomorrow.(15/20)

Twins are born. (0.05) A dice will land on a 6.(1/6)

0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1

0 25% 50% 75% 1
1 1 3
0 4 2 4
1
 Activity 3
• Read the question, discuss with your
partner and write down your answer on the
paper. There are 6 questions for you to
complete.
1.Match the event with a letter on the probability scale.

P=
Peter will play football tomorrow.

A C B D
Impossible Certain

Answer
C
2.Match the event with a letter on the probability scale.

P=
Mary will win her tennis match.

C B A
Impossible Certain

Answer
A
3.Match the event with a letter on the probability scale.

P=
There will be a test next lesson.

A D BC
Impossible Certain

Answer
B
4.Match the event with a letter on the probability scale.

P=
It will snow this winter.

C D A B
Impossible Certain

Answer
D
5.Match the event with a letter on the probability scale.

P=
United will win their next match.

D A B C
Impossible Certain

Answer
A
6.Match the event with a letter on the probability scale.

P=
It will be hot tomorrow.

A C B
Impossible Certain

Answer
C
 Answer

1) C
2) A
3) B
4) D
5) A
6) C
 24 February 2025

Equally likely outcomes

Objectives:

1. LA: By the end of the lesson all students will know the definition
of events, outcome, total possible outcomes, equally likely outcome.
2. MA: By the end of the lesson most students will be able to find the
probability of a simple equally likely outcomes event.
3. HA: By the end of the lesson some students will be able to find the
probability of events for more complex outcomes.
 A Fair Coin

Heads and tails are

equally likely.

A Fair Die
All sides are
equally likely.

Counters
Each counter is
equally likely.
Event is an activity. Eg: Throwing a dice or flipping a coin.
Total possible outcomes: Total results from an event. Eg The
total possible outcomes of throwing a dice is six or the total
outcomes from flipping a coin is 2.
Outcome: is a result of an event. Eg: Head is an outcome of
throwing a coin or 5 is an outcome of throwing a dice.
Equally likely outcomes: a set of outcomes that has equal
value of probability. Eg: When throwing a dice, numbers
1,2,3,4,5,6 are all equally likely outcomes.
Random: when the outcomes vary and are often equally likely.
Eg the card is chosen at random, it means the cards have the
same chance of being selected.
 Coins
Different sized coins
are not equally likely.

The Weather

The weather from

day-to-day is not
equally likely.
 Activity 1
• Discuss in your group, give one examples
of equally likely outcome event, and
answer these questions:
– What is the total possible outcomes?
– List all the outcomes.
• You have 3 minutes for discussion and
write down the answer on the paper.
 24 February 2025

Equally likely outcomes

Objectives:

1. LA: By the end of the lesson all students will know the definition
of events, outcome, total possible outcomes, equally likely outcome.
2. MA: By the end of the lesson most students will be able to find the
probability of a simple equally likely outcomes event.
3. HA: By the end of the lesson some students will be able to find the
probability of events for more complex outcomes.
In equally likely event, the probability
all outcomes must be equally likely.
Eg1: The probability of getting number
1,2,3,4,5, or 6 from throwing a fair dice is
1/6.
Eg2:The probability of getting a head or a
tail when throwing a coin is ½.
P(Red) = 3 can be a fraction.
8
= 0.375can be a decimal.
= 37.5%
can be a percentage.
 5 cards numbered 1 to 5 are put face down and mixed up.

1 2 3 4 5

1
What is the probability of picking…
…the 5 card?
5
0.2 20 %
1
…the 1 card?
5
0.2 20 %
To express the probability of an event happening we can use a formula:

P(outcome) =

Tom picks a counter randomly from the bag.

3
What is P(blue counter)?
5
0.6 60 %
2
What is P(yellow counter)?
5
0.4 40 %
0
What is P(green counter)?
5
0 0%
 Activity 2
• Read the question, discuss with your
partner and write down your answer on the
paper. There are 9 questions for you to
complete.
 A button is
picked at random.

P (blue) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

3
5
 A button is
picked at random.

P (green) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

2
5
 A button is
picked at random.

P (black) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

0
 A button is
picked at random.

P (yellow) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

3
4
 A button is
picked at random.

P (pink) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

2
5
 A button is
picked at random.

P (pink) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

1
3
 A button is
picked at random.

P (blue) = ?
×4
×8 Express the probability as
a fraction in its simplest form.
× 12
1
6
 A button is
picked at random.

P (green) = ?
×9
× 15 Express the probability as
a fraction in its simplest form.
× 21
1
3
 A button is
picked at random.

P (green) = ?
×8
×8 Express the probability as
a fraction in its simplest form.
× 20
2
9
 24 February 2025

Equally likely outcomes

Objectives:

1. LA: By the end of the lesson all students will know the definition
of events, outcome, total possible outcomes, equally likely outcome.
2. MA: By the end of the lesson most students will be able to find the
probability of a simple equally likely outcomes event.
3. HA: By the end of the lesson some students will be able to find the
probability of events for more complex outcomes.
 5 cards numbered 1 to 5 are put face down and mixed up.

1 2 3 4 5

2
What is the probability of picking… an even card ?
5
0. 4 40 %
3
an odd card ?
5
0. 6 60 %
3
a card that bigger than 2 ?
5
0. 6 60 %
 Calculating Probabilities

P(outcome) =

At random a counter is picked from the bag.

What is P( not yellow counter)? What is P(red and blue counter)?

5 4
0 .625 %
8
0 .5 5 0 %
8
 Activity 3
• Read the question, discuss with your
partner and write down your answer on the
paper. There are 10 questions for you to
complete.
 A button is
picked at random.

P (not red) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

4
5
 A button is
picked at random.

P (not green) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

7
10
 A button is
picked at random.

P (yellow or green) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

3
5
 A button is
picked at random.

P (pink or yellow) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

7
12
 A button is
picked at random.

P (not black) = ?

Express the probability as

a fraction in its simplest form.

5
6
 A button is
picked at random.

P (green or yellow) = ?
×8
×8 Express the probability as
a fraction in its simplest form.
× 20
7
9
 A button is
picked at random.

P (not blue) = ?
×4
×8 Express the probability as
a fraction in its simplest form.
× 12
5
6
 A button is
picked at random.

P (not blue or green) = ?

×9
× 15 Express the probability as
a fraction in its simplest form.
× 21
7
15
 A button is
picked at random.

P (yellow or blue) = ?
× 15
× 20 Express the probability as
a fraction in its simplest form.
× 35
5
7
 A button is
picked at random.

P (pink or green) = ?
× 14
× 22 Express the probability as
a fraction in its simplest form.
× 28
11
32
LEARNER BOOK
PAGE 264-265: ALL
QUESTIONS
Page 268,269,270:
Question 3,4,5,6,9,10