Proposal by at Kearney2
Proposal by at Kearney2
Proposal by at Kearney2
A Proposal
March, 2001
Contents
The Indian auto component industry Global trends and implications The challenge Project objective, scope and deliverables Project approach, team Professional fees A.T. Kearney qualifications Selected CVs
The auto component industry in India has grown at about 22% over the past decade, but represents just 0.64% of global sales and 0.11% of total global trade in components
India: Turnover of component industry
~Rs. 2,200,000 cr
Rs. 14,000 cr
The global trade in auto components represent 68% of total turnover, which suggests that auto value chains are truly global While the total Indian industry turnover represent 0.6% of global turnover, exports represent a miniscule 0.11% of global trade in components
22% CAGR
Rs. 2,400 cr
1990-91
1999-00
Global sales
Global trade = Rs. 1,500,000 cr
This implies that the Indian auto component industry is largely domestic focused and has not exploited the global trade opportunities
The development path followed by the Indian automotive industry has led to the fragmentation of the component industry structure and sub-scale operations compared to global firms
Rs. lakhs
Top 10 firms
<Rs. 50 cr
India
The Indian industry has cost advantages (and no pronounced disadvantages vis--vis other emerging countries) which can be leveraged to build globally competitive industry
Japan
Profit ~ 5%
India
Supplier Skills 20 %-30%1
Quoting and competitiveness Professionalism Price Service/logistics Inventory mangmt. Shipping Order management Sales/administration Communication Certification procedures Delivery process Engineering design Standards Specifications Quality Processes Performance Testing, approval Other Dies, patterns Packaging Transport Production technology High Low
A.T. Kearney 23/3603/6
CR
Rus
India
Labour ~ 32%
Labour 8%10%
Material ~ 30%
Material 55%60%
1 - Despite 50-60% lower productivity Source : JICA, Mining and Industrial Development Studies Department of Japan. Indian industry interviews. A.T. Kearney analysis of Indian component companies cost chain
While the component industry has been better at share holder value preservation than OEMs, it compares poorly to many other industries and thus domestic players will find it difficult to attract investment for growth
80.0
PE (average for year 2000)
So ft ware
60.0
Fo o d Beverag es and To b acco
40.0
Cement
20.0
Aut o Aut o ancillary Banking
Rub b er
Price reduction programmes of Indian OEMs will put further pressure on the suppliers bottom-line
Source: Prowess financial database of CMIE. Intrinsic Value creation: (Free cash flow/1+discount rate)1+(free cash flown/1+discount rate)n + market capn/(1+discount rate)n
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Global trends
Global overview
Key trends in the automotive industry are driving changes in OEM purchasing strategies
Globalization OEMs continually look to new regions for both low-cost production and sales growth Consolidation among vehicle manufacturers Top five auto makers account for over half of total global production More centralized purchasing and global supply requirements Rationalization of supply sources Focus on suppliers working in partnership with OEMs in the design and development of components Increasing focus on modular construction and subcontracting of systems management Reduction in the number of vehicle platforms Further cost reduction by building more vehicles based on a single platform that is interchangeable between models (increase components commonality) Impact of the Internet Some OEMs moving their entire purchasing programs on-line OEMs forming joint-venture to create virtual marketplace for all commodity purchases
Global overview
As a result, the supplier base is also being restructured by strategic changes driving the OEMs
Impact on component industry
Changing roles and responsibilities for suppliers Industry structure is consolidating Suppliers must face up to profound strategic issues
Suppliers must increase knowledge and expertise base rapidly Increased responsibility with potential offers of larger and longer supply agreements, but also greater financial risk OEM-owned suppliers must reduce reliance on sales to parent company Increased focus on the aftermarket
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Auto component firms are aggressively increasing their global footprint and system supply capability through mergers and acquisitions to meet these strategic thrusts
Magna
Global
Johnson Controls
Becker (US) Steyr-Daimler-Puch (Austria) Roltra Morse Ymos (Germany) (Italy) Tricom (UK) Douglas & Lomason (US) MultiGeorg Naher (Germany) regional Caradon Rolinex (UK) Pebra (Germany) Marley (UK) Eybl Durmont (Austria) Zipperle (Germany) KSA (Germany) Aggressive investment in Emerging Markets (esp. South America)
Regional First tier/ system supplier Full service module/system development First tier/ system supplier Full service module/system development
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Consequently, automotive component industry in emerging markets are potential targets for takeovers
Brazil - % Sales of Local vs Global suppliers India - No. of foreign players 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 47
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
70
75
30
25
14 9 0 1995 1999
Brazil auto component industry restructured through Mergers, acquisitions and majority owned JVs with Brazilian suppliers As the industry consolidated, the number of suppliers dropped from 1400 in 1994 to about 700 in 1999
Given these supply chain trends, analysis of successful global suppliers suggest that they have adopted different strategic thrusts for growth
1
25%
Geographic expansion and/or scope expansion (more products and systems) e.g. Tennecco
2
20%
Lear
JCI Eaton Calsonic Standard GKN Simpson Caterpillar Products 15% Amer TRW ican Eaton MascoTech Textron Lucas Dana Axle Average = Borg Warner Varity UTA Tenneco 12.0% Tower Showa Donnelly Hayes Sommer Denso 10% Bosch Allibert Collins & Aikman Delphi DDC Federal Rieter Aisin Mogul NSK Size of Circle Represents Magneti 1998 Automotive Revenue 5% NHK Marelli North America Siemens Cummins TS Tech Europe Yazaki Tokico Asia
0% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 100%
Increasing ownership of value chain (design, engineering, assembly, testing, etc.), e.g.Magna
3
The challenge
Implications for on Indian industry Opportunity for $ sales and Re costs Growing global trade Indian cost competitiveness, no major disqualifications P/E of Indian component exporters are higher Lack of scale and scope leaves the Indian firms open to potential threat from the M&A route taken by global players to enter emerging markets Relatively poor shareholder value creation has led to weakening of investor support Hightens take-over threat from global players Investment support for own growth will be difficult to get
How should the Indian component industry re-structure itself to exploit global opportunity, minimise take-ver threats and garner investor support?
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Indian component suppliers have to identify the growth levers specific to their business and develop/implement the appropriate restructuring strategy supported by institutional processes to overcome structural roadblocks
Growth drivers
1 Geographic expansion and/or scope expansion (more products and systems)
Institutional support
Export marketing
2 Increasing ownership of value chain (design, engineering, assembly, testing, etc.) 3 Innovation - breakthrough in technology/product or processes 3 Execution play - leadership in process cost
Indian
2 Technology development
3 ACMA role
Restructuring options
Objective
Deliverables
Outline the strategic options for the restructuring of the Indian automotive component industry to exploit global opportunities, minimise take-over threat and garner investor support
Scope
The project would have two deliverables A report with the recommendations Presentations to ACMA members on the recommendations Regional meetings AGM (scheduled for September 2001)
The project scope would focus mainly on: Global trends - success factors in the auto component industry and emerging structures and implications for India Indian industry structure (size, tiering, etc.) and performance vs global standards Strategic options for different component groups Potential export areas and current roadblocks Institutional roles required to support individual strategic options for restructuring (export marketing, R&D, ACMA)
Project approach
12 weeks Conduct secondary research on the industry and map individual firm - its scale, scope and performance Conduct primary research through questionnaire (with ACMA support) secondary Conduct interviews with selected OEMs, suppliers, and industry associations
Key Deliverables
Domestic demand1 Restructuring options/strategies by component groups Structural and Performance Benchmarking and strategic growth options development for identified component groups
Segment automotive parts and components into logical and manageable categories for analysis
Develop high level industry map of scale and scope by parts categories
Conduct secondary research with global perspective (case studies in other markets Brazil, Spain, Thailand)
1. We will use our database (based on projects with automotive clients in India) to estimate future demand, rather than project the demand afresh
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We will segment automotive parts/components into logical and manageable categories for analysis
Example
Engines
Drivetrain
Suspension
Steering
Safety
Body Work
Interior
Electrical & Electronics Climate control Lighting & lamps Relays & switches Sensors & electronic control Wire harness
Cylinder head & liners Pistons Exhaust systems Camshafts Crankshafts Pumps Belts
Brakes ABS Drums & Discs Lining, pads & shoes Restraint systems
Seats Airbags Carpet & floor mats Instrument panels Interior trim
Export opportunities and current roadblocks would be analysed through a survey of current and potential customers
Survey Questionnaire
Company Address : :
Respondents1
1. Leverage A.T. Kearneys global auto practice relationships with global OEMs and suppliers
Project time-line
Key Steps 1. Generate Segmentation Insights 2. Conduct Primary/Secondary Research and Interviews 3. Develop Domestic Demand Scenarios 4. Conduct Structural and Performance Benchmarking 5. Evaluate Restructuring and Export Options 6. Develop Insights on Institutional Roles Required
Weeks 2 4 6 8 10 12
Project team
Steering Committee
ACMA Vishnu Mathur ATK Z. Momin A. Bhattacharya
Project Management
ACMA The project would be carried out under the direct supervision of Zafar Momin (Vice President, and head of Automotive practice in Asia and Arindam Bhattacharya, (Head of automotive practice in India). The project team would be supported by Dr. Gerald Weber from our Stuttgart office and Steve Young from London office. Project Manager ATK Project Manager
Core Team
ACMA 2 member ATK 2 consultants
The project would be supported by the large core auto team of A.T. Kearney and the global database and information specialists in different offices as appropriate
Professional fees
Our professional fees for carrying out the project would be Rs. 90 lakhs In addition, ACMA will have to bear all out of pocket expenses which typically is about 15% of the professional fees. We would also charge all applicable government of India taxes (currently at 5%).
A.T. Kearney is one of the worlds leading high value added management consultancies
70 offices in 35 countries 70 years experience Since 1926 in the USA Since 1964 in Europe Since 1966 in Italy 4,800 employees US $1,9 M revenues in 2000 Management consulting subsidiary of EDS, since September 1995 Atlanta Baltimore Boston Buenos Aires Caracas Chicago Cleveland Dallas Denver Detroit Houston Los Angeles Mexico City Miami Minneapolis New York Ottawa Philadelphia Phoenix Pittsburgh Richland San Diego San Francisco So Paolo Southfield Toronto Washington D.C. Amsterdam Barcelona Beijing Berlin Brussels Copenhagen Dsseldorf Frankfurt Helsinki Hong Kong Istanbul Johannesburg Kuala Lumpur Lisbon London Madrid Melbourne Milan Moscow Munich New Delhi Oslo Paris Prague Rome Seoul Singapore Stockholm Stuttgart Sydney Tokyo Warsaw Wellington Zug
Our global network of functional practices and industry groups enables us to develop and deploy expertise and know-how
Industry groups
Aerospace Auto& Defense motive Chemical Consumer Health- Financial Telecom TransOil & Gas & Retail care institutions portation Public Sector Utilities
Functional practices
Strategy/ PMI Manufacturing/ Supply Chain Finance & Economics SITP Strategic Sourcing
Marketing Strategy
Financial Strategy
Distribution Strategy
Restructuring
Implementation of strategies defined with the client in order to achieve tangible results
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A.T. Kearney has become the largest management consultancy in the automotive industry, because we help clients get results Over 400 assignments in the last 3 years Identified over $ 8 billion in tangible profit impact through revenue enhancement, cost reduction and balance sheet improvements Helped leaders to grow their business globally Proprietary, proven databases help us understand our clients' business faster and in greater detail Manufacturing database - over 400 plants Database of best practices in procurement and database of 20,000 suppliers world-wide Customized approach base on deep understanding of global automotive industry issues and proven methodologies help us deliver superior value An approach of the automotive sector combining strategy, operation improvement, strategic information technology and change management Distribution economics and effectiveness New brand product development and design Brand management Operations and logistics efficiency improvement
A.T. Kearney is the global leader in automotive industry management consulting (cont'd)
With over 400 professionals who specialize in automotive consulting, A.T. Kearney has the largest automotive management consulting in the world West/East Europe: 40% North/South America: 40% Asia: 20% Numerous professionals with consulting and automotive background Managed as a fully integrated global practice to provide the best mix of people for a given assignment Teams are routinely global Offices often exchange consultants Serves the world's leading global manufacturers and suppliers 8 of the top 10 vehicle manufacturers 5 of the top 10 component manufacturers 4 of the top 10 motorcycle manufacturers 3 of the top 5 construction and farm equipment manufacturers 2 of the top 5 vehicle financing companies
UK Spain
Canada
USA China
Korea Japan
India Malaysia
Singapore
South Africa
Australia
A.T. Kearney is actively contributing to the research on the current Automotive Industrys issues
Research & Development Consulting for institutional organizations Publishing Conferences Web pages
(www.atkearney.com/automotive)
University of Michigan
Study on the 3 liter vehicles for the European Community Strong relationships with organizations in the Automotive industry
Forum of the Automotive Practice "White papers" on the current trends in the Automotive industry Articles
Sponsoring and participation to - Automotive News Conference - Financial Times Conference - Handelsblatt Conference - Confrence Automobile "Les Echos"
- Study on the future Marketing and Distribution trends in the Automotive Industry
Our client list includes the leading vehicle manufacturers and suppliers, most of whom we serve globally
Europe Opel Fiat Porsche Ford Mercedes-Benz PSA Renault North America Allison Transmission Caterpillar Cummins Engine Delphi Detroit Diesel Ford General Motors Honda ITT Automotive John Deere Saab
Saab Vauxhall Volvo Asia-Pacific PT Astra Caterpillar Daewoo General Motors Honda Ingersoll Rand John Deere Komatsu Mitsubishi Nissan Diesel Proton Saturn Subaru Toyota TRW UMW Volvo
Latin and South America Allison Transmission BMW General Motors Mercedes-Benz Renault
Strategy
Market, customer and distribution Market/product assessment Market entry strategy Distribution strategy and effectiveness Distribution network restructuring Distribution and dealership economics Aftermarket strategy Customer segmentation satisfaction and retention Database marketing Product development and design Competitor profiling
Organizational effectiveness Organizational design Business process reengineering Revenue enhancement Merger integration Top management structure/role Cost reduction/ reconfiguration Sales force management Process management
Information technology Global IT strategy, architecture and implementation Data warehousing Electronic links with suppliers Management information systems Productivity improvement Outsourcing
Manufacturing, supply chain and sourcing Manufacturing and assembly benchmarking, reengineering and cost reduction Supply chain and logistics cost reduction, effects and re-engineering Global strategic sourcing
Strategy setting Portfolio analysis Shareholder value creation Globalization and regionalization strategies Business unit strategy Strategic alliances Transfer pricing strategy
A.T. Kearneys services for car and truck manufacturers are covering the whole value chain
Strategy
Value creation Internal/External growth strategy Company evaluation in a context of merger / acquisitions New market entry strategy Optimization of product portfolio Services strategy (technical, financial, ..) Restructuring Brand management Profitability improvement Make or Buy policy Definition of partnership/joint ventures
R&D
R&D portfolio management Simultaneous engineering Development process reengineering Joint supplier development Platform program management & definition Complexity reduction Modular development Technical data management Standardization policy Key competencies identification
Purchasing
Global purchasing Strategy per commodities Suppliers differentiated management Supplier performance assessment Process Reengineering Best Practice development
Manufacturing
Benchmarking Industrial layout definition Plant productivity improvement Lean manufacturing Automatization
Logistics / Distribution
Logistics strategy Stock level reduction Transportation costs reduction Delivery time improvement
Client Services
Development of customer loyalty Development of new services Review of operational standards
A.T. Kearney India has completed over 30 engagements in India in the last 3 years, and has built extensive experience in the automotive industry Sample
A sample of client engagements in the past three years A.T. Kearney Client Leading passenger car company Leading commercial vehicle manufacturer Leading two-wheeler manufacturer Society of Indian Automotive Manufacturers Multinational FMCG company Leading component supplier Indian family owned conglomerate Indian industrial enterprise Indian telecom and IT company Indian industrial enterprise Indian oil and gas public sector enterprise Korean consumer electronics company US automobile manufacturer US apparel manufacturer US motor cycle and apparel manufacturer Indian petrochemicals company Indian private bank Indian family owned conglomerate Project completed in India New business strategy, Customer service improvement Strategic sourcing, Supply chain, manufacturing strategy Strategic sourcing, procurement transformation Recommendations for development of auto industry Distribution network optimization strategy Business restructuring strategy for growth B2C portal launch strategy B2B chemicals exchange launch strategy Software sector growth strategy IT-enabled outsourcing business strategy Corporate vision and strategic plan development Market entry and sales & distribution strategy Market assessment and entry strategy Market assessment and entry strategy Market assessment and entry strategy Supply chain optimization Process reengineering and IT systems improvement E-business opportunities assessment and entry A.T. Kearney 23/3603/37 strategy
Recommendation for development of Indian Automotive Industry for Society of Indian Automotive Manufacturers (at that time AIAM) The study covered industry wide issues and specific issues and challenges faced by competitive commercial vehicle, passenger cars, two-wheelers, and component segments ACMA representative were members of the task force and interacted with the project team Study on Foreign Direct Investment in India (later published as a white paper)
Selected CVs
Education Northwestern University, Kellogg Management School Purdue University Industry Experience United Technologies Corp. General Motors Corp. Ford Motor Company
General Management, Southeast Asia Product development, manufacturing, marketing Business planning
Selected Consulting Experience Over 14 years of management and consulting experience - the last 8 in Asia Representative automotive experience includes: For one the world's largest automobile OEMs, completed an Asia Pacific study which involved detailed analysis of distribution channels and related economics of automotive dealers in Japan and the rest of Asia, assessment of competitive strategies, and success factors in various Asian markets For a large Asian automotive OEM, developed an innovative vehicle market-entry strategy for the US market built around target marketing and e-commerce applications For the after-sales division of a major OEM, developed an Asia-wide parts distribution strategy based on the economics of transport logistics, inventory and financial profitability. Developed and implementing web-enabled systems program across Asia For a large Indonesian group, developed a business process model and IT plan for the automotive business. Identified cost savings and top-line opportunities in manufacturing and distribution For a large automobile manufacturer, identified and implemented a cost reduction program which saved over $4 million per year in manufacturing costs for a leading car model For a major Japanese OEM, assessed and recommended Asia Pacific organization strategy Identified over $100 million in structural cost reduction opportunities for a major auto OEM
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Education Fraunhofer Society, Institute of Production Technology and Automation, IPA Stuttgart - doctorate in engineering Stuttgart University - graduate engineer, mechanical engineering, production technology, plant management Tool-maker Summary of experience Over 18 years of very broad scale Automotive Operations Experience primarily in Manufacturing, Logistics and product development with a global scope Prior Industry experience General Site Manager Volkswagen Plant, Wolfsburg Technical Vice President SKODA a.a.s, Czech Republic and Member of the Board Exec. Director of Central Manufacturing Volkswagen Group, Wolfsburg Planning Powertrain Operations Assistant Director, Technical Autolatina, Sao Paulo, Brazil and Industrial Planning (Volkswagen/Ford) Plant Manager Volkswagen, Taubate, Brazil Head of Logistics, logistic planning and AUDI AG, Neckarsulm and production methods planning Selected Consulting experience Projects in Research Institute (IPA) in German and Swiss industry, primarily in Automotive Since two years senior professional and Vice President with A.T. Kearney in its Global Automotive Practice, primarily responsible for manufacturing and operations strategy for OEMs and suppliers; e-business implementations in procurement,supply-chain and engineering
Summary of experience Steve is Vice President and joint Head of A.T. Kearneys European Automotive Practice, working with OEMs and suppliers in marketing strategy, operations, sourcing and distribution. Steve has particular expertise in supply chain issues, including the application of lean distribution in the industry. Prior work experience British Leyland, Senior Industrial Engineer Ford Motor Company, Production Management and Industrial Engineering Edwards High Vacuum (BOC), Production Manager Areas of expertise Strategy Operational cost reduction Supply chain management Marketing Business process reengineering Strategic Sourcing Selected Consulting Experience - Vehicle Manufacturers World Class Benchmarking of key European suppliers on behalf of a major vehicle manufacturer Platform strategy for global automotive leaders European operations European logistics strategy for inbound materials for a leading car company Cost reduction study on distribution of finished vehicles in four European markets Lean distribution planning and implementation for a leading European car manufacturer Evaluation of potential acquisition of a specialist car manufacturer, including market and investment forecasts Market entry strategy for a European car manufacturer into an East European market Prioritisation of key international mature and emerging markets for a premium car manufacturer Evaluation of sourcing opportunities in Central Europe for a global auto manufacturer Development and implementation of a global integrated supply chain for a leading agricultural and construction equipment manufacturer
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Education Eng Doc (Warwick University, UK), M.Sc. (Warwick University, UK) MBA (I.I.M. Ahmedabad), B.Tech. (Hons.) (I.I.T., Kharagpur) Areas of Expertise Business strategy Process re-engineering Manufacturing improvement Supply chain management Summary of Experience Over 11 years of consulting experience 4 years of industry experience in industry in manufacturing and TQM implementation Select Consulting Experience Led the team which carried out industry competitiveness study for the Association of Indian Automotive Manufacturers Led the team which is developing new revenue generation initiatives for Indias leading auto firm Led the team which developed the business plan for an innovative automotive product for a multilateral finance body Managed the team which carried out supply chain integration and strategic sourcing at a large commercial vehicle company Managed the team which carried out strategic sourcing, inbound supply chain re-design and procurement transformation assessment at leading two-wheeler firm Led the team that developed the strategy to restructure one of Indias leading component manufacturer