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Deterministic Mathematical Model

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31 views15 pages

Deterministic Mathematical Model

Uploaded by

apaghunda
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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INTRODUCTION

TO
DETERMINISTIC
MATHEMATICAL
MODELS
▪ Deterministic models are mathematical models where the outcome is
completely determined by the input values and equations.
▪ These models have no randomness; the same inputs will always yield the
same results.
▪ Common in areas where outcomes are predictable and controlled.
KEY COMPONENTS OF
DETERMINISTIC MODELS
▪ Inputs: The starting values or conditions we use.
▪ Assumptions: Rules or conditions we accept as true for the model to work.
▪ Equations: Mathematical relationships that describe how inputs are
transformed
▪ Outputs: The result that we get from applying the equations to our inputs.
WHY DETERMINISTIC
MODELS ARE USEFUL
▪ Key Points:
▪ Predictable: With fixed inputs, we always get the same output.
▪ Simplifies Complex Systems: Helps break down complicated situations into
simpler, solvable parts.
▪ Useful for Planning: Helps make accurate predictions for future events
(e.g., costs, time, resources).
EXAMPLE MODEL - PREDICTING
SAVINGS IN A MONTH
▪ Scenario: Suppose you want to calculate your savings for a month.
▪ Inputs: Monthly income, total monthly expenses.
▪ Assumptions: Income and expenses remain the same each month.
▪ Equation: Savings = Income - Expenses.
▪ Output: Predicted savings.
BUILDING A SIMPLE
DETERMINISTIC MODEL
▪ Step-by-Step Process:
▪ Define a problem or goal.
▪ Identify all necessary inputs and make assumptions.
▪ Set up the equation that connects the inputs to the outputs.
▪ Calculate the output.
Deterministic Mathematical Models
1. Distance-Travelled Model
Distance =Speed×Time
2. Simple Interest Model:
Interest=Principal×Rate×Time
3. Area of a Rectangle Model
Area=Length×Width
4. Monthly Savings Model
Savings=Income−Expenses
5. Population Growth Model (Exponential Growth)
Population future=Population
initial×e (growth rate×time)
6. Cost of Goods Model
Total Cost =Quantity ×Price per Item
7. Perimeter of a Square Model
Perimeter = 4×Side Length
8. Energy Consumption Model
Energy =Power×Time
Example question
A baker runs a small bakery and has the following information about his daily operations:

● The baker bakes 40 loaves of bread each day.


● Each loaf of bread sells for $2.00.
● On average, the baker incurs a cost of $1.00 for each loaf produced.

a) Formulate an equation to represent the total profit PPP from selling bread in a day, where profit is defined as total revenue
minus total costs.

b) Calculate the total profit if all the loaves of bread produced in one day are sold.
REAL-WORLD APPLICATIONS
OF DETERMINISTIC MODELS
▪ Finance: Budget planning and loan repayment calculations.
▪ Manufacturing: Predicting product output based on fixed inputs.
▪ Engineering: Calculating stress on materials under fixed forces.
LIMITATIONS OF
DETERMINISTIC MODELS
Challenges:
▪ Assumes no unexpected changes.
▪ Doesn’t account for random events or variability.
▪ Limited accuracy when assumptions don’t hold true.
ACTIVITY - CREATING A
PERSONAL MODEL

▪ create a deterministic model based on a task they perform regularly (e.g.,


calculating how much study time they need to prepare for a test).
▪ Example Structure:
▪ Inputs: Available study time each day.
▪ Assumptions: Consistent study time daily.
▪ Equation: Total study time = Daily study time x Number of days.
▪ Output: Total hours needed to prepare for the test.
QUIZ - IDENTIFYING
DETERMINISTIC MODELS
Which of the following is a deterministic model?
A) Predicting the weather using historical patterns and current conditions

B) Calculating monthly savings using income minus expenses

C) Estimating student exam performance based on previous grades

D) Determining stock prices based on market trends


Question 2: What are the key components of a deterministic model?
A) Inputs, assumptions, random variables, outputs

B) Inputs, assumptions, equations, outputs

C) Variables, guesses, equations, outcomes

D) Hypotheses, variables, statistical data, equations

Question 3: Which situation is NOT suitable for a deterministic model?


A) Calculating the time needed to drive a set distance at a constant speed

B) Estimating the total cost of a meal by adding up each item on the bill

C) Predicting the winner of a sports game based on team rankings

D) Calculating the total surface area of a cube given its side length
Question 4: Which of these statements best describes a deterministic model?
A) It relies on random variables and probabilities to make predictions.
B) It gives a different outcome every time you change the inputs slightly.
C) It produces the same output every time for the same set of inputs.
D) It only works when there are no assumptions.
Question 5: When is a deterministic model most useful?
A) In situations where the outcome has many random variables.
B) In situations where the inputs are consistent and predictable.
C) When analyzing the effects of random chance.
D) In social science research on unpredictable human behavior.
RECAP AND TAKEAWAYS
▪ Deterministic models provide predictable results when inputs and
assumptions are fixed. - They are helpful in planning and analysis but
may be limited in unpredictable situations. - Knowing when to use
deterministic models is crucial for accurate predictions.

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