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CHAPTER THREE
FIXED INCOME SECURITIES
• Fixed-income securities are exactly what the name suggests: securities that promise to make fixed payments according to some preset schedule. • The other key characteristic of a fixed-income security is that, like a money market instrument, it begins life as a loan of some sort. • Fixed-income securities are therefore debt obligations. They are typically issued by corporations and governments. Unlike money market instruments, fixed-income securities have lives that exceed 12 months at the time they are issued. (marg. def. • fixed-income securities Longer-term debt obligations, often of corporations and governments, that promise to make fixed payments according to a preset schedule.) • The potential gains from owning a fixed-income security come in two forms. First, there are the fixed payments promised and the final payment at maturity. • In addition, the prices of most fixed income securities rise when interest rates fall, so there is the possibility of a gain from a favorable movement in rates. An unfavorable change in interest rates will produce a loss. • Another significant risk for many fixed-income securities is the possibility that the issuer will not make the promised payments. This risk depends on the issuer. It doesn't exist for government bonds, but for many other issuers the possibility is very real. • Finally, unlike most money market instruments, fixed-income securities are often quite illiquid, again depending on the issuer and the specific type. Bond Characteristics • A bond is basically a loan issued by a corporation or government entity. The issuer pays the bondholder a specified amount of interest for a specified time, usually several years, and then repays the bondholder the face amount of the bond. • A bond can be characterized based on (1) its intrinsic features, (2) its type, (3) its indenture provisions, or (4) the features that affect its cash flows and/or its maturity. • Intrinsic Features; The coupon, maturity, principal value, and the type of ownership are important intrinsic features of a bond. The coupon of a bond indicates the income that the bond investor will receive over the life (or holding period) of the issue. This is known as interest income, coupon income, or nominal yield. • Sometimes, however, zero-coupon bonds are issued that make no coupon payments. In this case, investors receive par value at the maturity date, but receive no interest payments until then: The bond has a coupon rate of zero. • These bonds are issued at prices considerably below par value, and the investor’s return comes solely from the difference between issue price and the payment of par value at maturity. We will return to these bonds below. • The term to maturity specifies the date or the number of years before a bond matures (or expires). There are two different types of maturity. The most common is a term bond, which has a single maturity date. Alternatively, a serial obligation bond issue has a series of maturity dates, perhaps 20 or 25. Each maturity, although a subset of the total issue, is really a small bond issue with generally a different coupon. Municipalities issue most serial bonds. • The principal, or par value, of an issue represents the original value of the obligation. This is generally stated in $1,000 increments from $1,000 to $25,000 or more. Principal value is not the same as the bond’s market value. • The market prices of many issues rise above or fall below their principal values because of differences between their coupons and the prevailing market rate of interest. • Finally, bonds differ in terms of ownership. With a bearer bond, the holder, or bearer, is the owner, so the issuer keeps no record of ownership. Interest from a bearer bond is obtained by clipping coupons attached to the bonds and sending them to the issuer for payment. In contrast, the issuers of registered bonds maintain records of owners and pay the interest directly to them. • Types of Issues: In contrast to common stock, companies can have many different bond issues outstanding at the same time. Bonds can have different types of collateral and be senior, unsecured, or subordinated (junior) securities. • Secured (senior) bonds are backed by a legal claim on some specified property of the issuer in the case of default. For example, mortgage bonds are secured by real estate assets; equipment trust certificates, which are used by railroads and airlines, provide a senior claim on the firm’s equipment. • Unsecured bonds (debentures) are backed only by the promise of the issuer to pay interest and principal on a timely basis. As such, they are secured by the general credit of the issuer. • Subordinate (junior) debentures possess a claim on income and assets that is subordinated to other debentures. Income issues are the most junior type because interest on them is paid only if it is earned. Bond Price • A bond’s coupon and principal repayments all occur months or years in the future, the price an investor would be willing to pay for a claim to those payments depends on the value of dollars to be received in the future compared to dollars in hand today. • This “present value” calculation depends in turn on market interest rates. The nominal risk-free interest rate equals the sum of (1) a real risk- free rate of return and (2) a premium above the real rate to compensate for expected inflation. • To value a security, we discount its expected cash flows by the appropriate discount rate. The cash flows from a bond consist of coupon payments until the maturity date plus the final payment of par value. Therefore, • Bond value = Present value of coupons + Present value of par value • If we call the maturity date T and call the discount rate r, the bond value can be written as • Example, XYZ Company issues 8% coupon, 30-year maturity bond with par value of Birr 1,000 paying semiannual coupon payments. Suppose that the interest rate is 8% annually, and ABC Company wants to purchase this asset, by how much birr should ABC purchase the financial assets? • Solution: Given r= 8%, semiannually 8%/2 =4% T= 30 year, the coupon paid twice in year, 30*2 = 60 Coupon= 1000*0.04= 40 Principal = 1000
= 95.06 + 904.94= 1000
• In this example, the coupon rate equals the market interest rate, and the bond price equals par value. If the interest rate were not equal to the bond’s coupon rate, the bond would not sell at par value. • For example, if the interest rate were to rise to 10% (5% per six months), the bond’s price would fall by 189.29, to 810.71, as follows • 40 * Annuity factor (5%, 60) + 1,000 * PV factor (5%, 60) • = $757.17 + $53.54 = $810.71 • The effect of interest rate changes on bond prices will vary from bond to bond and will depend upon a number of characteristics of the bond. • The maturity of the bond - Holding coupon rates and default risk constant, increasing the maturity of a straight bond will increase its sensitivity to interest rate changes. • The coupon rate of the bond - Holding maturity and default risk constant, increasing the coupon rate of a straight bond will decrease its sensitivity to interest rate changes. • Since higher coupons result in more cash flows earlier in the bond's life, the present value will change less as interest rates change. • Bond Yields: the current yield of a bond measures only the cash income provided by the bond as a percentage of bond prices and ignores any prospective capital gains or losses. • The yield to maturity (YTM) is defined as the discount rate that makes the present value of a bond’s payments equal to its price. This rate is often viewed as a measure of the average rate of return that will be earned on a bond if it is bought now and held until maturity. • Yield to Call: Callable bonds, some corporate bonds are issued with call provisions, allowing the issuer to repurchase the bond at a specified call price before the maturity date. • For example, if a company issues a bond with a high coupon rate when market interest rates are high, and interest rates later fall, the firm might like to retire the high-coupon debt and issue new bonds at a lower coupon rate to reduce interest payments. • The proceeds from the new bond issue are used to pay for the repurchase of the existing higher coupon bonds at the call price. This is called refunding. • Puttable bonds while the callable bond gives the issuer the option to extend or retire the bond at the call date, the extendable or put bond gives this option to the bondholder. • Floating-rate bonds Floating-rate bonds make interest payments that are tied to some measure of current market rates. • For example, the rate might be adjusted annually to the current T-bill rate plus 2%. If the one-year T-bill rate at the adjustment date is 4%, the bond’s coupon rate over the next year would then be 6%. • Horizon Yield • This measures the expected rate of return of a bond that you expect to sell prior to its maturity. • It is therefore a total return measure which, allows the portfolio manager to project the performance of a bond on the basis of a planned investment horizon, his expectations concerning reinvestment rates and future market yields. • This allows the portfolio manager to evaluate which of several potential bonds considered for investment will perform best over the planned investment horizon. Risks in bond • Credit risk: Credit risk occurs when the issuer default on the payment of the coupon, and even the principal amount • Interest Rate risk: The value of the bond is affected by interest rate changes. • This makes it particularly important for investors to consider interest rate risk when they purchase bonds in a low-interest rate environment. We can summarize the observations about interest rate change in the following propositions: • Bond prices and yields are inversely related: As yields increase, bond prices fall; as yields fall, bond prices rise. • An increase in a bond’s yield to maturity results in a smaller price change than a decrease in yield of equal magnitude. • Prices of long-term bonds tend to be more sensitive to interest rate changes than prices of short-term bonds. • The sensitivity of bond prices to changes in yields increases at a decreasing rate as maturity increases. In other words, interest rate risk is less than proportional to bond maturity. • Interest rate risk is inversely related to the bond’s coupon rate. Prices of low-coupon bonds are more sensitive to changes in interest rates than prices of high-coupon bonds. • The sensitivity of a bond’s price to a change in its yield is inversely related to the yield to maturity at which the bond currently is selling. • Market Risk: The value of the bond is also subject to demand and supply forces. Should the bond market as a whole decline, the value of individual bonds may be brought down by market sentiments regardless of their fundamental characteristics. As such, this market risk is relevant if the investor decides to sell the bond and not hold it to maturity. • Inflation risk • Liquidity Risk • Foreign exchange risk • Call risk Rating of bonds • If you invest in bonds, notes, or other debt instruments, you have probably come across credit ratings. These credit ratings usually appear in the form of alphabetical letter grades (for example, ‘AAA’ and ‘BBB’) and are intended to give you an estimation of the relative level of credit risk of a bond or a company or government as a whole. • Credit ratings can be a useful item of information to consider when evaluating an investment along with other information. • But if you use credit ratings, you should understand their limitations. You should not base your investment decision solely on a credit rating or treat a credit rating as if it were investment advice. • A bond rating is a grade given to bonds that indicates their credit quality. Private independent rating services such as Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch provide these evaluations of a bond issuer's financial strength, or it’s the ability to pay a bond's principal and interest in a timely fashion. • A credit rating is an assessment of an entity’s ability to pay its financial obligations. The ability to pay financial obligations is referred to as “creditworthiness.” Credit ratings apply to debt securities like bonds, notes, and other debt instruments (such as certain asset-backed securities) and do not apply to equity securities like common stock. Credit ratings also are assigned to companies and governments. • A typical credit rating scale, as shown in the table below, has a top rating of ‘AAA’ and may have a lowest rating of ‘D’ (indicating default). • some credit rating agencies’ scales distinguish between investment grade and non-investment grade (i.e., “speculative” or “high yield”) ratings and they draw this distinction between the ‘BBB’ and ‘BB’ rating categories (in other words, a rating that is ‘BBB-minus’ or higher is investment grade and a rating that is lower than ‘BBB-minus’ is non-investment grade). What a credit rating is not • A credit rating does not reflect other types of risk, such as market or liquidity risks, which may also affect the value of a security. • Nor does a credit rating consider the price at which an investor purchased a security, or the price at which the security may be sold. • You should not interpret a credit rating as investment advice and should not view it as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. A credit rating is not a guarantee that a financial obligation will be repaid. • For example, an ‘AAA’ credit rating on a debt instrument does not mean the investor will always be paid with absolute certainty—instruments rated at this level sometimes default. Determinants of Bond Safety • Bond rating agencies base their quality ratings largely on an analysis of the level and trend of some of the issuer’s financial ratios. The key ratios used to evaluate safety are: • Coverage ratios. Ratios of company earnings to fixed costs. For example, the times interest- earned ratio is the ratio of earnings before interest payments and taxes to interest obligations. The fixed-charge coverage ratio includes lease payments and sinking fund payments with interest obligations to arrive at the ratio of earnings to all fixed cash obligations. • Leverage ratio. Debt-to-equity ratio. A too-high leverage ratio indicates excessive indebtedness, signaling the possibility the firm will be unable to earn enough to satisfy the obligations on its bonds. • Liquidity ratios These ratios measure the firm’s ability to pay bills coming due with its most liquid assets. • Profitability ratios. Measures of rates of return on assets or equity. Profitability ratios are indicators of a firm’s overall performance. • The return on assets (earnings before interest and taxes divided by total assets) or return on equity (net income/equity) are the most popular of these measures. • Firms with higher return on assets or equity should be better able to raise money in security markets because they offer prospects for better returns on the firm’s investments. • Cash flow-to-debt ratio. This is the ratio of total cash flow to outstanding debt. Analysis of convertible bonds • Convertible bonds Convertible bonds give bondholders an option to exchange each bond for a specified number of shares of common stock of the firm. The conversion ratio gives the number of shares for which each bond may be exchanged. • Suppose a convertible bond is issued at par value of $1,000 and is convertible into 40 shares of a firm’s stock. • The current stock price is $20 per share, so the option to convert is not profitable now. Should the stock price later rise to $30, however, each bond may be converted profitably into $1,200 worth of stock. • The market conversion value is the current value of the shares for which the bonds may be exchanged. At the $20 stock price, for example, the bond’s conversion value is $800. • The conversion premium is the excess of the bond price over its conversion value. If the bond were selling currently for $950, its premium would be $150. • Convertible bondholders benefit from price appreciation of the company’s stock. Not surprisingly, this benefit comes at a price; convertible bonds offer lower coupon rates and stated or promised yields to maturity than nonconvertible bonds. • At the same time, the actual return on the convertible bond may exceed the stated yield to maturity if the option to convert becomes profitable.