Chapter 18
Chapter 18
Financial Planning
Slides by
Matthew Will
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Topics Covered
What is Financial Planning?
Financial Planning Models
Example: Executive Cheese
Planners Beware
External Financing and Growth
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Financial Planning
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Financial Planning
Planning Horizon - Time horizon for a financial plan.
Departments are often asked to submit 3 alternatives
Optimistic case = best case
Expected case = normal growth
Pessimistic case = retrenchment
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Financial Planning
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Executive Cheese
Current Income Statement and Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Sales $1,200
Costs 1,000
Net Income 200
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Executive Cheese
Pro forma Income Statement and Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Sales $1,320
Costs 1,100
Net Income 220
Balance Sheet
Assets $2,200 Debt $ 800
Equity 1,320
Total $2,200 Total $2,200
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Executive Cheese
Pro forma Balance Sheet with dividends fixed at
$180 and debt used as the balance item.
Panel A Panel B
Balance Sheet Balance Sheet
Assets $2,200 Debt $ 960 Assets $2,200 Debt $ 900
Equity 1,240 Equity 1,300
Total $2,200 Total $2,200 Total $2,200 Total $2,200
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Executive Fruit
2002 Financial Statements
Income Statement
Revenue $ 2,000
COGS 1,800 90% of sales
EBIT 200 Difference = 10% of sales
Interest 40 10% of debt at start of year
Earnings before taxes 160 EBIT-interest
State and federal tax 64 40% of (EBIT-interest)
Net income 96 EBIT-interest-taxes
Dividends 64 Payout ratio=2/3
Retained earnings 32 Net income - dividends
Balance Sheet
Assets
Net working capital 200 10% of sales
Fixed assets 800 40% of sales
Total assets 1,000 50% of sales
Liabilities and shareholders' equity
Long term debt 400
Shareholders' equity 600
Total Liab + Equity 1,000 Equals total assets
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Executive Fruit
2003 Pro Forma Statements
Income Statement
Revenue $ 2,200 10% higher
COGS 1,980 10% higher
EBIT 220 10% higher
Interest 40 unchanged
Earnings before taxes 180 EBIT-interest
State and federal tax 72 40% of (EBIT-interest)
Net income 108 EBIT-interest-taxes
Dividends 72 Payout ratio=2/3
Earnings retained 36 Net income - dividends
Balance Sheet
Assets
Net working capital 220 10% higher
Fixed assets 880 10% higher
Total assets 1,100 10% higher
Liabilities and shareholders' equity
Long term debt 400 Temp held fixed
Shareholders' equity 632 Increased by RE
Total Liab + Equity 1,032 Sum of debt plus equity
Required external financing 68
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Planners Beware
Many models ignore realities such as
depreciation, taxes, etc.
Percent of sales methods are not realistic
because fixed costs exist.
Most models generate accounting numbers
not financial cash flows
Adjustments must be made to consider
these and other factors.
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retained earnings
Internal growth rate =
assets
retained earnings net income equity
= x x
net income equity assets
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Web Resources
Click to access web sites
Internet connection required
www.jaxworks.com/zscore2.htm
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