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Chapter 13.
The Cost of Production
• So far we have studied supply and demand in a market. • In this chapter we will focus solely on the suppliers and their decisions to produce. • Suppliers are the ones who provide much needed goods to our society and hence important to understand how they optimize their decisions. Firm’s Objective • Firms want to maximize their profit (earnings).
• Depending on the firms, firms face/choose difference price.
• Perfectly competitive firms • Monopolies • Oligopolies Perfectly Competitive Firms • Many sellers and Many buyers • Sellers and Buyers take price as given Monopolies • Monopolies take up huge (or all) of the market share; • Have more flexibility in setting price • Monopolies face regulations due to its potential to: • Practice predatory pricing • Create barriers to entry • Buying up competitors (M & A) Oligopolies • A few firms dominates the market. • The pricing strategy is perhaps the most complex (Game Theory) Oligopolies and Game Theory • In the example of Coke, when deciding how to price, it takes into account the competitors’ response to its decision. • One strategy is to mirror the competitors’ price. • Assume both Coke and Pepsi initially set price of coke at $1/can. • Coca-cola sets the price of a soda at $.75/can. • Pepsi then sets the price at $.75/can. • There is however an incentive to further deviate and lower price.. • But knowing that Pepsi will follow suit, Coke will probably not lower further and vice versa. • Sometimes Oligopolistic firms join hands to form cartels Some definitions of Cost and Inputs • In cost accounting, there are several key definitions and categorizations we need to be aware of Type of Costs: • Fixed Costs: One time investments that do not change with more output in the short run. (factory buildings, heavy machinery) • Variable Costs: Costs that gets incurred for every extra unit of production (electricity, oil, labor,..,etc.) Time Horizon: • The Short run: At least one input is fixed. • The Long run: All inputs are variable. Capital & Labor (two types of inputs) • Although not in our textbook, it helps to understand yet another distinction in the firm’s input for production: Capital and Labor
Capital includes: Labor includes:
1. Factories 1. Machine Operators 2. Machines 2. Service Workers 3. Building 3. Teachers 4. Land 4. Engineers.. 5. Technologies.. Capital - Labor Trade-off • Virtually all the products we use are some combination of capital and labor. • Theories about the relationship between capital and labor: • First, the idea that capital and labor are substitutes • Second, the idea that capital and labor are complements • A high skilled labor was thought to complement capital but.. Firm’s Objective in competitive markets • Firms want to maximize their profit (earnings).
• In competitive firms, firms take market price as given.
• As an owner of the firm you observe the market price and decide: • Shut down? or open? • If open, produce more? Or less? • Keep producing until producing more incurs a loss • We need to first understand the firms cost function Fixed cost: $30 oven Variable cost: $10/hour of labor
# of Workers Output Marginal Fixed Cost Variable Cost Total Cost
(production) Productivity of (marginal cost) Labor 0 0 - $30 $0 $30 1 50 50 30 10 40 2 90 40 30 20 50 3 120 30 30 30 60 4 140 20 30 40 70 5 150 10 30 50 80 6 155 5 30 60 90 Various Definition of Costs output Fixed Costs Var. Cost Total Cost Marg. Cost AFC AVC ATC 0 $3 $0 $3 - - - - 1 3 0.3 3.3 0.3 3 0.3 3.3 2 3 0.8 3.8 0.5 1.5 0.4 1.9 3 3 1.5 4.5 0.7 1 0.5 1.5 4 3 2.4 5.4 0.9 0.75 0.6 1.35 5 3 3.5 6.5 1.1 0.6 0.7 1.3 6 3 4.8 7.8 1.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 7 3 6.3 9.3 1.5 0.43 0.9 1.33 8 3 8.0 11 1.7 0.38 1 1.38 9 3 9.9 12.9 1.9 0.33 1.1 1.43 10 3 12.0 15 2.1 0.3 1.2 1.5 Short-Run Cost Curves output AFC AVC ATC 0 - - - 1 3 0.3 3.3 2 1.5 0.4 1.9 3 1 0.5 1.5 4 0.75 0.6 1.35 5 0.6 0.7 1.3 6 0.5 0.8 1.3 7 0.43 0.9 1.33 8 0.38 1 1.38 9 0.33 1.1 1.43 10 0.3 1.2 1.5 Long-Run Cost Curve • In the long run firms no longer have fixed inputs and can scale up. • However, scaling up doesn’t always decrease ATC. Long Run ATC Segments • Economies of Scale • Where ATC falls due to specialization that comes with scaling up. (automobile manufacturing, schools with different dept.) • Constant Returns to Scale • The company can no longer reduce ATC it has hit a plateau. • Decreasing returns to Scale • Once a company gets too large, it starts experiencing problems such as • Communication problem, Coordination problem, Employee Morale falls Chapter 14. Firms in Competitive Markets • In chapter 13, we merely learned about the cost structure of the firm. This information is useful in this chapter. • So how do firms exactly maximize their profits in a competitive market if they don’t have any power over setting price? • The answer is setting quantity of production instead of price. • Since cost is not constant but exhibits an increasing marginal cost. • In this chapter we will learn how firms set quantity to maximize profit both in the short and the long term. Motivation • Suppose Fred and Jane are co-owners of an ice-cream shop. Fred is a bit lost on how to manage the business. Jane who is an economics major is explaining to Fred how he should best manage his business. Here is a list of Fred’s doubts. • How much ice cream should we produce to maximize profit? • Will we be profitable at this quantity? • What should we do if that output makes a loss in the long run? • Should we keep operating in the short run? How much ice cream should we produce to maximize profit?
• Ice cream should be produced up until the MR= MC.
• This is where the profit is maximized. • Marginal Revenue is the extra utility, Marginal Cost is the extra cost. • When MR>MC, you should keep going • When MR=MC, you should stop there • When MR<MC, you should scale back • We are going to approach the solution both numerically and graphically Numerical Analysis Output Price Total Total Cost Profit Marginal Marginal MR –MC (Quantity) Revenue (TR-TC) Revenue (MR) Cost(MC) Or Marginal Profit 0 $6 $0 $3 $-3 $6 - - 1 6 6 5 1 6 $2 4 2 6 12 8 4 6 3 3 3 6 18 12 6 6 4 2 4 6 24 17 7 6 5 1 5 6 30 23 7 6 6 0 6 6 36 30 6 6 7 -1 7 6 42 38 4 6 8 -2 8 6 48 47 1 6 9 -3
Output of 5 is the Profit Where P=MR=MC
Maximizing Output Graphical Analysis Should we keep operating in the short run? • So far we have assumed that the firms are always open for business. There will be instances where firms either want to shut-down temporarily (in the short-run) or shut- down permanently (in the long-run). • Let’s talk about the short-run first. In the short-run, firms take into account the myriads of variable costs they have incurred such as (raw materials, electricity, wages). • Why not the fixed cost? -> fixed costs are sunk cost (not relevant) • Shut down if Total Rev.(TR)<Total Variable Cost(VC) • Dividing both sides by Q we get • • P > AVC Remain Open and produce where P=MC • P< AVC Close temporarily until conditions become more favorable Sunk Cost Fallacy • A sunk cost is a cost that has already been incurred and cannot be recovered. Because it can't be changed by any future decisions, it shouldn't factor into current decision-making. • The sunk cost fallacy occurs when someone continues a project or investment based on the amount already invested, rather than on future benefits or costs. • Example: • Imagine you buy a non-refundable ticket to a concert for $100. Your benefit of watching a concert is $110. On the way to the concert, you lose the ticket. Should you buy another ticket? • Suppose you buy a non-refundable ticket to a concert for $100. You are sick on the day of the concert and want to resell your ticket at a black market. What should be the lowest amount you are willing to sell it for? Short-run decision to shut-down Should we keep operating in the Long Run? • Note in the long run since fixed costs are also variable, the firm considers that total cost (fixed cost + variable cost) • Instead of temporarily shutting down, they exit the market if, • Total Rev.(TR)<Total Cost(TC) • Dividing both sides by Q we get • • P > ATC Remain Open and produce where P=MC • P< ATC Permanently Exit the Market Profit in the Long Run = 0 • Free entry and exit.. • The Profit is given by the area above the ATC and below price multiplied by the profit maximizing quantity. (why?) • Profit = TR- TC = (TR – TC) * (Q/Q) = (P-ATC) * Q Free Entry and Exit • After a demand shocks, price rises. • Suppliers enter freely! • Price falls as a result
• After a negative demand
shocks, price falls. • Suppliers exit freely! • Price rises as a result Zero Long Run Profit • In the long run, profit is equal to zero, because price always goes down to where P=MC=minimum of ATC (where p=MC=ATC) • The reason for this is because of “free-entry and exit” which is a key characteristic of competitive market. How can there be zero long run profit? • What company would want to stay in the business long-run if their profit is zero? • Note we are concerned with economic profit not accounting. • Economics profit = Total Revenue – (Implicit + Explicit)cost • Labor is included in explicit cost (CEO pay, workers pay, etc..) • Implicit Cost = Opportunity cost (next best alternative) • If you pursue a EV business, you are forgoing profit from pursuing a AI business (next best alterative)