Chapter 1

Foundations Of
Engineering
Economy

Lecture slides to accompany

Engineering Economy
7th edition

Leland Blank
Anthony Tarquin

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved

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 Instructor Profile
 Name: Najam ul Qadir
 Office: DME Building 207
 Email: [email protected]
 Phone: 9085-6039

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved

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 Reference Books
 Engineering Economy, 16th Edition, by W.G.
Sullivan, E.M. Wicks, C.P. Koelling, Pearson,
ISBN-13: 978-0-13-343927-4

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved

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 LEARNING OUTCOMES

1. Role in decision
7. Economic equivalence
making
8. Simple and compound
2. Study approach
interest
3. Ethics and economics
9. Minimum attractive rate
4. Interest rate of return
5. Terms and symbols 10. Spreadsheet functions
6. Cash flows

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 Why Engineering Economy is
Important to Engineers

 Engineers design and create

 Designing involves economic decisions
 Engineers must be able to incorporate economic
analysis into their creative efforts
 Often engineers must select and implement from
multiple alternatives
 Understanding and applying time value of money,
economic equivalence, and cost estimation are vital
for engineers
 A proper economic analysis for selection and
execution is a fundamental task of engineering

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Why Engineering Economy is
Important to Engineers

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Why Engineering Economy is
Important to Engineers

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U.S. airlines bankruptcy filings

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U.S. airlines bankruptcy filings

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U.S. airlines bankruptcy filings

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U.S. airlines bankruptcy filings

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U.S. airlines bankruptcy filings

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 Time Value of Money (TVM)

Description: TVM explains the change in the amount of

money over time for funds owed by or owned
by a corporation (or individual)

 Corporate investments are expected to earn a return

 Investment involves money
 Money has a ‘time value’

The time value of money is the most important

concept in engineering economy

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 Engineering Economy
 Engineering Economy involves:
 Formulating
 Estimating, and
 Evaluating
expected economic outcomes of alternatives
designed to accomplish a defined purpose
 Easy-to-use math techniques simplify the
evaluation
 Estimates of economic outcomes can be
deterministic or stochastic in nature
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General Steps for Decision Making Processes

1. Understand the problem – define objectives

2. Collect relevant information
3. Define the set of feasible alternatives
4. Identify the criteria for decision making
5. Evaluate the alternatives and apply sensitivity
analysis
6. Select the “best” alternative
7. Implement the alternative and monitor results

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Steps in an Engineering Economy Study

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 Ethics – Different Levels
 Universal morals or ethics – Fundamental
beliefs: stealing, lying, harming or murdering
another are wrong
 Personal morals or ethics – Beliefs that an
individual has and maintains over time; how a
universal moral is interpreted and used by each
person
 Professional or engineering ethics – Formal
standard or code that guides a person in work
activities and decision making

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 Code of Ethics for Engineers
All disciplines have a formal code of ethics. National Society of
Professional Engineers (NSPE) maintains a code specifically for engineers;
many engineering professional societies have their own code

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 Interest and Interest Rate
 Interest – the manifestation of the time value of money
• Fee that one pays to use someone else’s money
• Difference between an ending amount of money and
a beginning amount of money

 Interest = amount owed now – principal

 Interest rate – Interest paid over a time period

expressed as a percentage of principal

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 Rate of Return

 Interest earned over a period of time is expressed as a

percentage of the original amount (principal)
interest accrued per time unit
Rate of return (%) = x 100%
original amount

 Borrower’s perspective – interest rate paid

 Lender’s or investor’s perspective – rate of return earned

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Interest paid Interest earned

Interest rate Rate of return

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 Commonly used Symbols

t = time, usually in periods such as years or months

P = value or amount of money at a time t designated as present
or time 0
F = value or amount of money at some future time, such as at t
= n periods in the future
A = series of consecutive, equal, end-of-period amounts of
money
n = number of interest periods; years, months
i = interest rate or rate of return per time period; percent per
year or month

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 Cash Flows: Terms
 Cash Inflows – Revenues (R), receipts, incomes,
savings generated by projects and activities that flow
in. Plus sign used
 Cash Outflows – Disbursements (D), costs, expenses,
taxes caused by projects and activities that flow out.
Minus sign used
 Net Cash Flow (NCF) for each time period:
NCF = cash inflows – cash outflows = R – D
 End-of-period assumption:
Funds flow at the end of a given interest period

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 Cash Flows: Estimating
 Point estimate – A single-value estimate of a cash flow
element of an alternative
Cash inflow: Income = $150,000 per month

 Range estimate – Min and max values that estimate the

cash flow
Cash outflow: Cost is between $2.5 M and $3.2 M

Point estimates are commonly used; however, range estimates

with probabilities attached provide a better understanding
of variability of economic parameters used to make
decisions

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 Cash Flow Diagrams

What a typical cash flow diagram might look like

Draw a time line Always assume end-of-period cash flows

Time
0 1 2 … … … n-1 n
One time
period
F = $100
Show the cash flows (to approximate scale)

0 1 2 … … … n-1 n
Cash flows are shown as directed arrows: + (up) for inflow
P = $-80
- (down) for outflow
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 Cash Flow Diagram Example
Plot observed cash flows over last 8 years and estimated sale next
year for $150. Show present worth (P) arrow at present time, t = 0

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 Economic Equivalence

Definition: Combination of interest rate (rate of

return) and time value of money to determine
different amounts of money at different points in
time that are economically equivalent

How it works: Use rate i and time t in upcoming

relations to move money (values of P, F and A)
between time points t = 0, 1, …, n to make them
equivalent (not equal) at the rate i

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 Example of Equivalence
Different sums of money at different times may be
equal in economic value at a given rate

$110

Year

0 1
Rate of return = 10% per year

$100 now

$100 now is economically equivalent to $110 one year

from now, if the $100 is invested at a rate of 10% per
year.
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 Simple and Compound Interest

 Simple Interest
 Interest is calculated using principal only
Interest = (principal)(number of periods)(interest rate)
I = Pni

Example: $100,000 lent for 3 years at simple interest i = 10% per

year. What is repayment after 3 years?

Interest = 100,000(3)(0.10) = $30,000

Total due = 100,000 + 30,000 = $130,000

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 Simple and Compound Interest
 Compound Interest
 Interest is based on principal plus all accrued interest
 That is, interest compounds over time

Interest = (principal + all accrued interest) (interest rate)

 Interest for time period t is:

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 Compound Interest Example
Example: $100,000 lent for 3 years at i = 10% per year
compounded. What is repayment after 3 years?

Interest, year 1: I1 = 100,000(0.10) = $10,000

Total due, year 1: T1 = 100,000 + 10,000 = $110,000

Interest, year 2: I2 = 110,000(0.10) = $11,000

Total due, year 2: T2 = 110,000 + 11,000 = $121,000

Interest, year 3: I3 = 121,000(0.10) = $12,100

Total due, year 3: T3 = 121,000 + 12,100 = $133,100

Compounded: $133,100 Simple: $130,000

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 Minimum Attractive Rate of Return
 MARR is a reasonable rate
of return (percent)
established for evaluating
and selecting alternatives
 An investment is justified
economically if it is
expected to return at least
the MARR
 Also termed hurdle rate,
benchmark rate and cutoff
rate

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 MARR Characteristics

 MARR is established by the financial

managers of the firm
 MARR is fundamentally connected to the cost
of capital
 Both types of capital financing are used to
determine the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) and the MARR
 MARR usually considers the risk inherent to a
project

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 Types of Financing

 Equity Financing –Funds either from retained

earnings, new stock issues, or owner’s infusion of
money.
 Debt Financing –Borrowed funds from outside
sources – loans, bonds, mortgages, venture capital
pools, etc. Interest is paid to the lender on these
funds

For an economically justified project:

ROR ≥ MARR > WACC

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 Opportunity Cost
 Definition: Largest rate of return of all projects not
accepted (forgone) due to a lack of capital funds
 If no MARR is set, the ROR of the first project not
undertaken establishes the opportunity cost

Example: Assume MARR = 10%. Project A, not

funded due to lack of funds, is projected to have
RORA = 13%. Project B has RORB = 15% and is
funded because it costs less than A
Opportunity cost is 13%, i.e., the opportunity to
make an additional 13% is forgone by not funding
project A
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Introduction to Spreadsheet Functions
MS Excel financial functions
Present Value, P: = PV(i%,n,A,F)
Future Value, F: = FV(i%,n,A,P)
Equal, periodic value, A: = PMT(i%,n,P,F)
Number of periods, n: = NPER((i%,A,P,F)
Compound interest rate, i: = RATE(n,A,P,F)
Compound interest rate, i: = IRR(first_cell:last_cell)
Present value, any series, P: = NPV(i%,second_cell:last_cell) + first_cell

Example: Estimates are P = $5000 n = 5 years i = 5% per year

Find A in $ per year
Function and display: = PMT(5%, 5, 5000) displays A = $1154.87
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 Chapter Summary
 Engineering Economy fundamentals
 Time value of money
 Economic equivalence
 Introduction to capital funding and MARR
 Spreadsheet functions
 Interest rate and rate of return
 Simple and compound interest
 Cash flow estimation
 Cash flow diagrams
 End-of-period assumption
 Net cash flow
 Perspectives taken for cash flow estimation
 Ethics
 Universal morals and personal morals
 Professional and engineering ethics (Code of Ethics)
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© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved