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Elfatih M. Malik (MBBS, MD, FPH-UK)
Sudan Medical Specialization Board Community Medicine Council Epidemiology, biostatistics and research methodology module Hand-washing # Patients # non- aOR (95%CI) Influenza and hand score patients washing 0 -3 (poorest) 42 (42%) 07 (07%) Ref
4 16 (16%) 11 (11%) 0.26 (0.075 – 0.89)
• Researchers (Liu M et al, 2016/ doi:
10.1097/MD.0000000000003046) 5 16 (16%) 19 (19%) 0.12 (0.032 – 0.44) conducted a study to test whether the risk of influenza transmission associated with 6 13 (13%) 24 (24%) 0.073 (0.019 – 0.28) self-reported hand-washing and unhealthy hygienic habits among residents in 7 06 (06%) 15 (15%) 0.044 (0.009 – 0.20) southeastern China. Laboratory confirmed seasonal influenza cases were 8 -9 (best) 07 (07%) 24 (24%) 0.029 (0.0068 -0.13) consecutively included in the study patients (n = 100). Negatively tested patients of similar age and city of residence were also included in the study. 1. What is the study design? Both were recruited at hospital. Telephone interview was used to collect information 2. What is/are the common types of bias in such a study? on hand-washing and hygienic habits in 3. How the researchers guard against the possible confounders? the preceding 2 weeks and the following 4. What is the conclusion of this study? were obtained. Results of 5 trials 1. Which trial you trust more? The 95% confidence interval (95%CI) for a. Trial 1 the difference in mean cholesterol b. Trial 2 (mg/dl) in a five trials of drugs used to c. Trail 3 lower serum cholesterol level is as d. Trial 4 follows Trial Drug Sample Difference in 95% CI no. used size mean 2. Why is the difference in confidence interval cholesterol 1 A 30 -40 (-118.4) – (38.4) in drug A in trials 1 and 2? 2 A 3000 -40 (-47.8) – (-32.2) a. Bias 3 B 4000 -02 (-8.5) – (4.5) b. Chance 4 C 5000 -05 (-8.9) – (-1.1) c. Sample size d. Wrong calculation Mean plasma volume 1. What is your interpretation of the results? a. There is a significance association between A researcher compared the mean body weight and plasma volume plasma volume between male and b. There is no association between body female using t-test, she further weight and plasma volume conducted linear regression. The c. Cannot tell table below shows the computer d. Too small sample size to interpret output for the linear regression of 2. What is the advantage of linear regression on plasma volume on gender in 8 t-test? healthy males. e. No added value f. The t-test shows the association and the its direction Plasvol Coefficient Std err t P>[t] 95% CI g. The linear regression shows the association Gender 0.0436 0.0153 2.857 0.029 0.0063 to 0.0810 and its direction (Female) h. The advantage cannot be thought from this Constant 0.0857 1.024 0.084 0.936 -2.420 to 2.591 example Fasting blood glucose and HbA1c A female doctor wanted to predict the laboratory HbA1c result from the fasting blood glucoses. On 12 consecutive diabetic patients she noted the fasting glucose and simultaneously drew blood for HbA1c. She compared the pairs of measurements and drew the graph on the right. Linear regression was used to estimate this relationship and the coefficient of determination, R2 is 77%.
1. The correlation coefficient, r ; can be
estimated from the figure to be: 2. How do you interpret the R2 ? a. The correlation coefficient is – 0.88 a. 77% of the variability can be explained by b. The correlation coefficient is 0.88 the model c. The correlation coefficient is 0.12 b. 77% of the HbA1c results can be projected d. The correlation coefficient is – 0.12 from the fasting blood glucose Sensitivity and specificity of a new test 1. The test sensitivity is: We have 1000 patients, a. 10% 100 with a disease and b. 45% 900 without. They are c. 90% all subjected to a new d. 100% test and 180 return a 2. The test specificity is: positive result (of them a. 10% 90 were having the b. 45% disease) and 820 return c. 90% a negative result. Using d. 100% this data answer the 3. The test positive predictive value is: following questions a. 10% (question 22 -24) b. 50% c. 90% d. 99% 4. Would you recommend the test?