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9709 LessonSlides 6 1 PoissonApproximation v1

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22 views8 pages

9709 LessonSlides 6 1 PoissonApproximation v1

Uploaded by

axiscissor
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Lesson slides

Topic: 6.1 The Poisson Distribution


Lesson 3: The Poisson distribution as an approximation to the binomial
distribution

Version 1
Starter

Calculate the probabilities on


Worksheet G.
Dice investigation

• Each member of the class needs a pair of die to roll


• A ‘success’ will be to roll two sixes
• The total number of successes in the class should be recorded each
time
• We will repeat the experiment 20 times.

Then calculate the relative frequencies, the exact binomial probabilities


using and the approximate Poisson probabilities using .
Dice investigation

Frequency, Relative Frequency, Binomial Probability Poisson Probability

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
……….
Total = 20
Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution

To use the Poisson distribution as an approximation to the binomial


distribution we require to be large and to be small, approximately and
.

We use
Example

It is known that 1% of seeds of a particular plant do not germinate. The


random variable denotes the number of seeds that do not germinate in
a random sample of 500 seeds.
a) State the distribution of
b) State, with a reason, a suitable approximate distribution.
c) Use the approximation to find the probability that the sample with
contain at least three seeds that do not germinate.
Example

It is known that 1% of seeds of a particular plant do not germinate. The


random variable denotes the number of seeds that do not germinate in
a random sample of 450 seeds.
a) State the distribution of

b) State, with a reason, a suitable approximate distribution.


As is large and is small, we can use a Poisson approximation.
Example

It is known that 1% of seeds of a particular plant do not germinate. The


random variable denotes the number of seeds that do not germinate in
a random sample of 500 seeds.
c) Use the approximation to find the probability that the sample with
contain at least three seeds that do not germinate.

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