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Statistics and Probability
Lesson 1: Introduction to Statistics
Why do we study statistics?
• The field of statistics is the science of learning from data. Statistical
knowledge helps you use the proper methods to collect the data, employ the correct analyses, and effectively present the results. Statistics is a crucial process behind how we make discoveries in science, make decisions based on data, and make predictions. Statistics allows you to understand a subject much more deeply. Statistics is the science of conducting studies that collect, organize, summarize, analyze, and draw conclusion from data. It is used in almost all fields of human endeavor. In public health, a doctor may be interested with a number of residents in an area who contract a new strain of flu virus in a certain number of months. In education, a researcher might want to know if new methods of teaching are better than the traditional ones. In sports, a statistician may keep record of the number of hits a basketball player gets in a season of games. In business, a car dealer may look at past sales records for a specific month to decide what types of automobiles and how many of each type to order for that month of next year. Statistics and probability are sections of mathematics that deal with data collection and analysis. Probability is the study of chance and is a very fundamental subject that we apply in everyday living, while statistics is more concerned with how we handle data using different analysis techniques and collection methods. These two subjects always go hand in hand and thus you can't study one without studying the other. In machine learning, we often deal with uncertainty and stochastic quantities, due to one of the reasons being incomplete observability — therefore, we most likely work with sampled data. Now, suppose we want to draw reliable conclusions about the behavior of a random variable, even though we only have limited data and we simply do not know the entire population. Hence, we need way to generalize from the sampled data to the population, or in other words — we need to estimate the true data- generating process. Understanding the probability distribution, allows us to compute the probability of a certain outcome by also accounting for the variability in the results. Thus, it enables us to generalize from the sample to the population, estimate the data-generating function and predict the behavior of a random variable more accurately. A population is the entire group that you want to draw conclusions about. A sample is the specific group that you will collect data from. The size of the sample is always less than the total size of the population. One of the ways to appreciate what is being studied is to know its origin and how it developed and helped mankind. Statistics as a field of knowledge proved so much in the world as a very powerful tool in almost all fields of work. It can be found in the field of sciences, in business and economics, education, politics, psychology and research. In social sciences, particularly in the field of education and psychology, statistics is an indispensable tool. In education, the school administration and staff, the faculty and the students use statistics as a tool in performance of their respective functions and responsibilities. In psychology, statistical methods are used to analyze and interpret data on intelligence test scores, aptitude tests, personality test ratings, entrance examinations, etc. for the better understanding of the individual tested, and for better administration and management. In government, statistics provides the various government agencies organized and systematic records of data needed in the formulation of national policies for the betterment of the nations' well being. In research, many scientific investigations produce large quantities of raw data that are overwhelming and difficult to interpret hence, statistical tools are employed. In agriculture, statistics was also used to identify the varieties of plants we should grow and the best combinations of fertilizers, pesticides and densities of planting. ESSENTIAL QUESTIONS
• Why is statistics an inseparable partner of research?
• In what way is statistics used in information technology, business, education and medicine? • What is the role of statistics in public health especially now in the midst of pandemic? Explain briefly.