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CH 3 Decision Making

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32 views19 pages

CH 3 Decision Making

Uploaded by

sumrun sahab
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Chapter 3

Managers
as
Decision Makers

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–1


Learning outcomes

• Describe the eight steps in the decision-


making process
• Explain the four ways managers make decisions
• Classify decisions and decision-making
conditions
• Classify decisions and decision-making
conditions
• Identify effective decision-making techniques
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education,
Management, Eleventh Edition by Stephen P. Robbins & Mary Coulter
Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall ©2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 7-2
Decision Making
• Decision
 Making a choice from two or more alternatives.
• The Decision-Making Process
 Identifying a problem and decision criteria and
allocating weights to the criteria.
 Developing, analyzing, and selecting an alternative
that can resolve the problem.
 Implementing the selected alternative.
 Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness.

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–3


The Decision-Making
Process

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–4


Step 1: Identifying the Problem
• Problem
 A discrepancy between an existing and desired state
of affairs.
• Characteristics of Problems
 A problem becomes a problem when a manager
becomes aware of it.
 There is pressure to solve the problem.
 The manager must have the authority, information, or
resources needed to solve the problem.

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–5


Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria
• Decision criteria are factors that are important
(relevant) to resolving the problem such as:
 Costs that will be incurred (investments required)
 Risks likely to be encountered (chance of failure)
 Outcomes that are desired (growth of the firm)

Step 3: Allocating Weights to the Criteria


• Decision criteria are not of equal importance:
 Assigning a weight to each item places the items in
the correct priority order of their importance in the
decision-making process.

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–6


Criteria and Weights for Computer Replacement
Decision

Criterion Weight
Memory and Storage 10
Battery life 8
Carrying Weight 6
Warranty 4
Display Quality 3

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–7


Step 4: Developing Alternatives
• Identifying viable alternatives
 Alternatives are listed (without evaluation) that can
resolve the problem.

Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives


• Appraising each alternative’s strengths and
weaknesses
 An alternative’s appraisal is based on its ability to
resolve the issues identified in steps 2 and 3.

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–8


Assessed Values of Laptop
Computers Using Decision Criteria

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–9


Step 6: Selecting an Alternative
• Choosing the best alternative
 The alternative with the highest total weight is
chosen.

Step 7: Implementing the


Alternative
• Putting the chosen alternative into action.
 Conveying the decision to and gaining commitment
from those who will carry out the decision.

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–10


Evaluation of Laptop Alternatives
Against Weighted Criteria

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–11


Step 8: Evaluating the Decision’s
Effectiveness
• The soundness of the decision is judged by its
outcomes.
 How effectively was the problem resolved by
outcomes resulting from the chosen alternatives?
 If the problem was not resolved, what went wrong?

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–12


Exhibit: Decisions Managers May Make

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education,


Management, Eleventh Edition by Stephen P. Robbins & Mary Coulter
Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall ©2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 7-13
Types of Problems and Decisions
• Structured Problems
 Involve goals that are clear.
 Are familiar (have occurred before).
 Are easily and completely defined—information about
the problem is available and complete.

• Programmed Decision
 A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine
approach.

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–14


Types of Programmed Decisions
• Procedure
 A series of interrelated steps that a manager can use
to respond (applying a policy) to a structured problem.
• Rule
 An explicit statement that limits what a manager or
employee can or cannot do.
• Policy
 A general guideline for making a decision about a
structured problem.

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–15


Policy, Procedure, and Rule
Examples
• Policy
 Accept all customer-returned merchandise.

• Procedure
 Follow all steps for completing merchandise return
documentation.

• Rules
 Managers must approve all refunds over $50.00.
 No credit purchases are refunded for cash.
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–16
Problems and Decisions (cont’d)
• Unstructured Problems
 Problems that are new or unusual and for which
information is ambiguous or incomplete.
 Problems that will require custom-made solutions.

• Nonprogrammed Decisions
 Decisions that are unique and nonrecurring.
 Decisions that generate unique responses.

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 6–17


Exhibit 7-7: Programmed Versus
Non-programmed Decisions

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education,


Management, Eleventh Edition by Stephen P. Robbins & Mary Coulter
Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall ©2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 7-18
Decision Making for Today’s World
• Guidelines for making effective decisions:
– Understand cultural differences
– Know when it’s time to call it quits
– Use an effective decision making process
• Habits of highly reliable organizations (HROs)
– Are not tricked by their success
– Defer to the experts on the front line
– Let unexpected circumstances provide the solution
– Embrace complexity
– Anticipate, but also anticipate their limits
Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education,
Management, Eleventh Edition by Stephen P. Robbins & Mary Coulter
Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall ©2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 7-19

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