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AI and Machine Learning For Disaster Prediction

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227 views18 pages

AI and Machine Learning For Disaster Prediction

Uploaded by

vachi.says.hi
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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AI and Machine Learning for

Disaster Prediction
A Summer Holiday Homework Project
Vachi
IX-E
01.06.2024
Introduction
• This project explores the use of AI and
machine learning to predict natural disasters,
such as earthquakes, hurricanes, and floods.
The primary objective is to enhance disaster
preparedness and response by providing
accurate predictions of these events.
Predicting natural disasters can help save lives,
reduce economic losses, and improve the
effectiveness of emergency response efforts.
Research and Data Collection
• Types of natural disasters studied:
• - Earthquakes
• - Hurricanes
• - Floods
• Data sources:
• - USGS (United States Geological Survey) for
seismic data
• - NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration) for weather data
• - OpenWeatherMap for additional weather
data
• Data preparation and cleaning:
• - Removing missing values
• - Normalizing data to ensure consistency
Methodology
• 1. Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA):
• - Identify key features and patterns in the data using statistical analysis and
visualization tools (matplotlib, seaborn).

• 2. Model Selection:
• - Choose machine learning algorithms suitable for prediction: Random Forest,
Support Vector Machines, Neural Networks.

• 3. Data Split:
• - Divide the dataset into training and testing sets to evaluate model performance.

• 4. Model Training and Validation:


• - Train models on the training set and validate them using the testing set to
ensure accuracy.
Model Training and Evaluation
• Training models on historical disaster data:
• - Earthquake occurrence and magnitude
• - Hurricane paths and wind speeds
• - Flood levels and impacted areas
• Evaluation metrics:
• - Accuracy: How often the model's predictions
are correct
• - Precision: How many of the predicted
disasters were actual disasters
• - Recall: How many of the actual disasters were
correctly predicted
• - F1-score: A balance between precision and
recall
• Optimization:
• - Tuning hyperparameters to improve model
performance
Results and Analysis
• Performance of different models:
• - Random Forest: High accuracy but slower predictions
• - Support Vector Machines: Good precision but complex tuning
• - Neural Networks: Best overall performance but requires more data

• Key findings:
• - Significant patterns identified in historical data
• - High accuracy in predicting the occurrence of earthquakes and hurricanes

• Visualizations:
• - Graphs and charts showing model performance
• - Heatmaps indicating disaster-prone areas

• (Include sample images or screenshots of your visualizations here)


Disaster Scenario Simulation
• Simulation of disaster scenarios using trained
models:
• - Predicting the likelihood and impact of future
earthquakes, hurricanes, and floods

• Visual representation:
• - Heatmaps, risk maps, and impact zones
• Predicted scenarios:
• - Earthquake hotspots and expected
magnitudes
• - Hurricane paths and intensity forecasts
• - Flood-prone areas and potential water levels
• Visual representation:
• - Heatmaps, risk maps, and impact zones
Integration with Monitoring Systems
• Interface development for real-time data
processing:
• - API connections to continuously update
models with new data

• Benefits:
• - Improved real-time monitoring and prediction
accuracy
• - Faster response times during emergencies
• - Real-time alerts and notifications

• Use of APIs:
• - Integrating with USGS and NOAA APIs for live
data feeds
• Benefits:
• - Improved real-time monitoring and
prediction accuracy
• - Faster response times during emergencies
Conclusion
• Summary of project outcomes:
• - Successfully developed and validated predictive models for natural disasters
• - Identified significant patterns in historical data

• Implications for disaster management:


• - Enhanced preparedness and response capabilities
• - Potential to save lives and reduce economic losses

• Future work:
• - Improve model accuracy with more data
• - Extend the project to include other types of disasters
• - Collaborate with disaster management authorities for real-world application
References
• - USGS (United States Geological Survey) for
seismic data: https://www.usgs.gov/
• - NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration) for weather data:
https://www.noaa.gov/
• - OpenWeatherMap for additional weather
data: https://openweathermap.org/

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