Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 33
CHAPTER EIGHT
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT Learning Objectives
• Explain the major requirements do clients expect from their portfolio
managers. • Discuss what can a portfolio manager do to attain superior performance. • Show the peer group comparison method of evaluating an investor’s performance. • Discuss the Treynor portfolio performance measure. • Discuss the Sharpe portfolio performance measure. • Identify the critical difference between the Treynor and Sharpe portfolio performance measures. • Discuss the Jensen portfolio performance measure and how can it be adapted to include multifactor models of risk and expected return? The Concept of Portfolio Performance Evaluation • Investors always are interested in evaluating the performance of their portfolios. • The portfolio management process can be viewed in three steps: 1) Analysis of Capital Market and Investor-Specific Conditions; Strategic Asset Allocation Decision 2) Formation of Asset Class-Specific Portfolios; Security Selection Decision 3) Analysis of Investment Performance; Performance Measurement Analytics Need for Portfolio Evaluation
• Whenever an investor employs resources, be it in
the form of hiring employees for his company, establishing a charitable fund or investing money in an investment fund he will want to measure the performance of his investment. • The investment manager will be bound to the investment policy and subject to a constant evaluation of his achievements. His achievement will be the return on the capital the investor provided. Cont…
• At this point one will have to determine whether
the achieved return was good or poor and whether it was skill or luck? This is the punch line investors are always facing when entrusting their money to an investment manager. • The evaluation now boils down to two main questions. The first question the investor will want to address is the question of performance. Cont…
• What is good and what is poor performance
and where is the line in between – the benchmark – and what to take as the benchmark. • Should we employ the performance of a riskless asset e.g. a T-bond, a generic like the S&P 500 or other portfolio manager's performance as the benchmark? Cont…
• Unfortunately, these simplistic measures of
performance generally do not produce the desired degree of specification. • The investor will also want to find out whether his investment manager is skillful of fortunate through an evaluation process, which can be applied to his manager and thereby finding what kind of constraints may help to get the investment manager to achieve the goal set by the investor. 8-7 Composite Portfolio Performance Measures • There are four portfolio performance evaluation techniques (referred to as composite performance measures) that consider return and risk. • These measures are: 1) Peer group comparisons (simple performance measure) 2) Treyor portfolio performance measure 3) Sharpe portfolio performance measure 4) Jensen portfolio performance measure. Peer Group Comparisons (Simple Performance Measure) • The most straightforward way to evaluate the investment performance of a particular portfolio manager is a peer group comparison. • This is accomplished by calculating a portfolio’s relative return ranking compared to a collection of similar funds. • It is the most common manner of evaluating portfolio managers, collects the returns produced by a representative universe of investors over a specific period of time and displays them in a simple boxplot format. Advantages of a peer group comparison • It is relatively simple to produce. • The goal is to compare the return generated by a given fund relative to other portfolios that follow the same investment mandate. Disadvantages of a peer group comparison • It requires the designation of a peer group, which may be difficult depending on the degree of specialization for the fund in question. • It does not make an explicit adjustment for risk differences between portfolios in the peer group. • Risk adjustment is implicit assuming that funds with the same objective should have the same level of risk. Treynor Portfolio Performance Measure • Treynor developed the first composite measure of portfolio performance that included risk. • He postulated two components of risk: 1) risk produced by general market fluctuations and 2) risk resulting from unique fluctuations in the portfolio securities. • To identify risk due to market fluctuations, he introduced the characteristic line, which defines the r/p b/n the rates of return for a portfolio over time and the rates of return for an appropriate market portfolio. Cont…
• He noted that the characteristic line’s slope
measures the relative volatility of the portfolio’s returns in relation to returns for the aggregate market. • The slope of characteristic line is the portfolio’s beta coefficient. • A higher slope (beta) characterizes a portfolio that is more sensitive to market returns and that has greater market risk. Cont…
• Deviations from the characteristic line indicate
unique returns for the portfolio relative to the market. • These differences arise from the returns on individual stocks in the portfolio. • In a completely diversified portfolio, these unique returns for individual stocks should cancel out. • As the correlation of the portfolio with the market increases, unique risk declines and diversification improves. Cont…
• Treynor was interested in a measure of performance
that would apply to all investors regardless of their risk preferences. • Building on developments in capital market theory, he introduced a risk-free asset that could be combined with different portfolios to form a straight portfolio possibility line. • He showed that rational, risk-averse investors would always prefer portfolio possibility lines with larger slopes because such high-slope lines would place investors on higher indifference curves. Cont…
• The slope of this portfolio possibility line
(designated T) is equal to: Cont…
• As noted, a larger T value indicates a larger
slope and a better portfolio for all investors (regardless of their risk preferences). • Because the numerator of this ratio (R─RFR) is the risk premium and the denominator is a measure of risk, the total expression indicates the portfolio’s risk premium return per unit of risk. • All risk-averse investors would prefer to maximize this value. Cont…
• Note that the risk variable beta measures
systematic risk and tells us nothing about the diversification of the portfolio. • It implicitly assumes a completely diversified portfolio, which means that systematic risk is the relevant risk measure. Cont…
• Comparing a portfolio’s T value to a similar
measure for the market portfolio indicates whether the portfolio would plot above the SML. • Calculate the T value for the aggregate market as follows: Example: Treynor Portfolio Performance Measure • To understand how to use and interpret this measure of performance, suppose that during the most recent 10-year period, the average annual total rate of return (including dividends) on an aggregate market portfolio, such as the S&P 500, was 14 percent (RM = 0.14) and the average nominal rate of return on government T-bills was 8 percent (RFR= 0.08). Cont…
• Assume that, as administrator of a large
pension fund that has been divided among three money managers during the past 10 years, you must decide whether to renew your investment management contracts with all three managers. To do this, you must measure how they have performed. Cont…
• Assume you are given the following results:
Cont…
• You can compute T values for the market
portfolio and for each of the individual portfolio managers as follows: Sharpe Portfolio Performance Measure • Sharpe likewise conceived of a composite measure to evaluate the performance of mutual funds. • The measure followed closely his earlier work on the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), dealing specifically with the capital market line (CML). Cont…
• The Sharpe measure of portfolio performance
(designated S) is stated as follows: Cont…
• The following examples use the Sharpe
measure of performance. Again, assume that RM = 0.14 and RFR = 0.08. • Suppose you are told that the standard deviation of the annual rate of return for the market portfolio over the past 10 years was 20 percent (σM = 0.20). Cont…