Dow Theory

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Dow Theory

by Charles Dow
• The Dow Theory is one of the most popularly used concepts of charting
& Technical Analysis. It happens to be one of the oldest technical analysis
tools as well. Dow Theory days back to as early as 1900 to 1902 when
Charles Dow laid the basic principles. The Theory named after him as
Dow Theory. It helps investors in the stock market to understand the
health of the trade condition. The father of Dow Theory, Mr Charles Dow
died in 1902 but after his death work of Dow Theory was continued by
William Hamilton.
• The Dow Theory helps investors to know how the stock market used to
understand the business environment’s health. It was the first theory of
technical analysis that explains the trends of market moves.
• HISTORY REPEATS EVERYTHING

• MARKET DISCOUNT EVERYTHING

• A TREND IS SAID TO BE CONTINUOUS UNTIL A REVERSAL IS


CONFIRMED
Market Trends are of three types
The primary, secondary and minor trends that affect
the stock market
•Primary Trend: The primary trend is one of the major trends for the
market, which indicates how the market moves in the long-term. It can
occur in both rising and falling market.
•Secondary Trend: It is considered for correction to a primary trend. It’s an
opposite action to the primary trend. This secondary trend has a range of 10
days to three months.
•Minor Trend: In this trend, the market movement fluctuated on a daily
basis. And these trends last usually less than three weeks. Minor trends are
short term trends.
The market has three phases
These three phases in the market are accumulation, public participation, and distribution or panic phase.

I
• In bullish markets, the phases described as below
• Accumulation Phase: The accumulation market phase is when investors
feel the change in the current market direction when they are entering
the market.

• Public Participation Phase: In this phase, investors enter the market


just when the condition of the market improves and positive sentiments
become noticeable.

• Distribution or Panic Phase: This phase begins when the entire bullish
news headline is carried by media, there is buying on huge volume
which is base on speculation. During the distribution phase, the trade
news is bullish than ever, business value begins to advance quickly, &
the community flock to the market in expectation of catching the
movements.
Now talk about the bear market phases:
• Distribution Phase: Usually the bear market starts when the bull
market going to end.

• Panic selling phase is: According to the name – best described by panic
& fear. As a market price begins to failure and buyers become limited,
people want to leave the market urgently when the very sharp drop
occurs in the price of the market.

• Discouragement phase: It occurs when the sharpest failures are finish.


Stock investors thought that the market would improve, sell their
portfolios which discouraged by the condition. This phase may follow
through a lengthy horizontal range, but after some time (sooner or
later) things start to look positive and a new accumulation phase occurs
in the market.

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