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Normal Distribution

This document discusses the normal distribution and how to calculate probabilities for normal random variables. It explains how to standardize a normal variable by shifting the mean to 0 and changing the standard deviation to 1. It then provides examples of calculating probabilities for general normal variables using standardization and normal probability tables.

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Keyur Gala
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
29 views21 pages

Normal Distribution

This document discusses the normal distribution and how to calculate probabilities for normal random variables. It explains how to standardize a normal variable by shifting the mean to 0 and changing the standard deviation to 1. It then provides examples of calculating probabilities for general normal variables using standardization and normal probability tables.

Uploaded by

Keyur Gala
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Mathematics S1

The Normal Distribution

General Normal
Random Variables
General Normal Variable X ~ N(μ, σ2)
General Normal Variable X ~ N(μ, σ2)
General Normal Variable X ~ N(μ, σ2)
We’re going to need probabilities for normal distributions whose means
are not 0 and standard deviations are not 1.
If a continuous random variable X represents a normal distribution
with mean μ and standard deviation σ then we write:
X ~ N(μ, σ2)
The value σ2 is known as the variance of X and is equal to the
standard deviation squared, or (standard deviation)2
In order to calculate probabilities for a general normal variable we use
standard normal tables. To do this we must change our general X
values to standard Z values. The process of doing so is known as
standardisation.

The formula to change from a general to a standard normal variable is:


Z=X–μ
σ
This formula does not appear in the formula book and MUST be
learned.
General Normal Probability Curve
The diagram shows a probabilities (y-axis) against values of X (x-axis)
for a normal random variable with mean μ and standard deviation σ.
Smaller standard deviation,
taller peak

Larger standard deviation,


lower peak

μ
The area under any normal curve is always equal to 1, since it
represents the total probability
If we increase the value of σ then the curve becomes wider but the
peak becomes lower
When we decrease the value of σ then the curve becomes narrower
and the peak becomes higher
Standardising a Normal Variable
To standardise a normal curve we must first move it to the left so the
mean is at zero. To achieve this, we subtract μ from all values:
X→X–μ
Now our normal curve has its mean at 0.
The next step is to change the standard deviation from σ to 1. We
need
the distance from X = 0 to X = σ to be equal to 1,
the distance from X = 0 to X = 2σ to be 2, . . .
and so on
To achieve this, we divide each of the X – μ values by σ.
X 
Hence: Z

Our general normal variable has now been standardised.
To transform the other way, or to destandardise, notice that:
Z  X    X    Z
The Standard Normal Variable Z ~ N(0, 1)
We saw previously the standard normal variable, Z ~ N(0, 1), had
mean 0 and standard deviation 1.
We saw also how to use standard normal tables to calculate
probabilities for the standard normal variable:
Notice that changes
P(a < Z < b) = P(Z < b) – P(Z < a) always occur in pairs.
Perform two of:
For k > 0: reverse the inequality,
P(Z < k) = value from normal tables change to 1 – P(Z),
P(Z > k) = 1 – P(Z < k) change from k to –k.

For k < 0:
P(Z < k) = P(Z > –k) = 1 – P(Z < –k)
P(Z > k) = P(Z < –k)
The Standard Normal Variable Z ~ N(0, 1)
Example 1
The normal random variable X satisfies X ~ N(100, 52).
Calculate:
(a) P(X < 110) (b) P(X > 112)
(c) P(X > 95) (d) P(95 < X < 110)
Solution
• Clearly μ = 100 and σ = 5, so . . .

(a)
 110     110  100 
P ( X  110 )  P Z    P Z    P ( Z  2)
    5 
• Looking this value up in our standard normal tables we see that:
P ( X  110 )  P ( Z  2)  0.9772
 112  100 
(b) P( X  112 )  P Z    P( Z  2.4)
 5 

• Recall that P(Z > k) = 1 – P(Z < k)

• Hence: P( X  112 )  1  P( Z  2.4)  1  0.9918  0.0082

 95  100 
(c) P ( X  95)  P Z    P ( Z  1)
 5 
• P(Z > –1) = P(Z < 1)
• Hence:
P ( X  95)  P ( Z  1)  P ( Z  1)
P ( X  95)  0.8413
(d) P (95  X  110)  P ( X  110)  P ( X  95)

= –
95 110 110 95

 110  100   95  100 


• Hence P (95  X  110)  P Z    P Z  
 5   5 
P (95  X  110)  P ( Z  2)  P ( Z  1)
• We can get the values for these last two probabilities from our
answers to (a) and (c), so:
P (95  X  110 )  0.9772  1  0.8413  0.9772  0.1587

P(95  X  110 )  0.8185


Example 2
Given that X ~ N(80, 10),
(a) calculate P(X < 77)
(b) find the value of k if:
(i) P(X < k) = 0.6 (ii) P(X < k) = 0.25
Solution
• The mean, μ, is 80, but this time we know that the variance is 10, so
the standard deviation, σ, is √10
(a)  77  80 
P( X  77 )  P Z    P(Z  0.949)
 10 

P( X  77 )  P(Z  0.949)  P(Z  0.949)  1  P(Z  0.949)

=
• so P( X  77 )  1  P( Z  0.949)  1  0.8264  0.0023  0.1713

P( X  77 )  0.1713

(b) (i) We’re looking for a value of k so P(X < k) = 0.6


• From our standard normal tables, we see that:
P(Z < 0.253) = 0.5987 + 0.0012 = 0.5999

• We call the value 0.253 our z-value

X 
• We have seen that: Z so   Z  X

• Our z-value is 0.253, so:
k = 80 + (√10)x0.253 = 80.8

• ie P(X < 80.8) = 0.6


(b) (ii) We need k such that: P(X < k) = 0.25

• When we look in our standard probability tables we see that the


probability of 0.25 does not appear. Instead we look for the probability
of 0.75

• From our tables: P(Z < 0.674) = 0.7486 + 0.0013 = 0.7497

• Hence: P(Z < –0.674) = 1 – 0.7497 = 0.2503

• Our z-value is therefore z = –0.674

• So k = μ + σZ = 80 + (√10)(–0.674) = 77.9
Example 3
Given that X ~ N(10, 4), calculate:
(a) P(X < 12) (b) P(X > 14.5) (c) P(X > 8)
(d) P(X < 8.5) (e) P(9.5 < X < 11.5)
(f) the value of k if: (i) P(X < k) = 0.85 (ii) P(X > k) = 0.72
Solution
(a)
 12  10 
P ( X  12)  P Z    P ( Z  1)  0.8413
 2 

(b)  14.5  10 
P ( X  14.5)  P Z    P ( Z  2.25)
 2 
P ( X  14.5)  1  P ( Z  2.25)  1  0.9878  0.0122

(c)  8  10 
P ( X  8)  P Z    P ( Z  1)
 2 
P ( X  8)  P ( Z  1)  0.8413
(d)  8.5  10 
P ( X  8.5)  P Z    P ( Z  0.75)
 2 
P ( X  8.5)  P ( Z  0.75)  1  P ( Z  0.75)
P ( X  8.5)  1  0.7734  0.2266

(e)
= –
9.5 11.5 11.5 9.5

P (9.5  X  11 .5)  P ( X  11 .5)  P ( X  9.5)


 11.5  10   9.5  10 
P(9.5  X  11.5)  P Z    P Z  
 2   2 
Notice we’ve
P(9.5  X  11.5)  P( Z  0.75)  P( Z  0.25) made two
changes here

P(9.5  X  11 .5)  P ( Z  0.75)  1  P ( Z  0.25)  -0.25 to


+0.25 and
P(9.5  X  11 .5)  0.7734  1  0.5987  0.3721
p to (1 – p)
(f) (i) P(X < k) = 0.85

• From tables, P(Z < xxx) = 0.8499, and this is the closest probability to
0.85, so we take z = xxx as our z-value
• X = μ + σZ  k = 10 + 2 x xxx = 12.08

(f) (ii) P(X > k) = 0.72


• From tables, P(Z < 0.yy) = 0.7190, and this is the closest probability
to 0.72
• Remembering that changes to z-probabilities must occur in pairs we
can say that P(Z > –0.yy) = 0.7190
and our z-value is –0.58
• Hence, k = 10 + 2 x (–0.yy) = 8.84

(a) 0.8413 (b) 0.0122 (c) 0.8413


Answers
(d) 0.2266 (e) 0.7734 – 0.4013 = 0.3721
f(i) k = 12.08 f(ii) k = 8.84
The Normal Distribution - Summary
The standard normal variable Z has mean 0 and standard deviation
1, and is written Z ~ N(0, 1)
Standard normal tables give P(Z < k) for the standard normal
variable, where k ≥ 0
For other values of k or for upper tail probabilities, use
P(Z < k) = P(Z > – k) and P(Z > k) = 1 – P(Z < k)
A general normal random variable X has mean μ and standard
deviation σ, and we write X ~ N(μ, σ2)
To find probabilities of a general normal random variable we must first
standardise it, using the formula X 
Z

This formula does not appear on the CIE list of formulas and must
be learned

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