Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
General Normal
Random Variables
General Normal Variable X ~ N(μ, σ2)
General Normal Variable X ~ N(μ, σ2)
General Normal Variable X ~ N(μ, σ2)
We’re going to need probabilities for normal distributions whose means
are not 0 and standard deviations are not 1.
If a continuous random variable X represents a normal distribution
with mean μ and standard deviation σ then we write:
X ~ N(μ, σ2)
The value σ2 is known as the variance of X and is equal to the
standard deviation squared, or (standard deviation)2
In order to calculate probabilities for a general normal variable we use
standard normal tables. To do this we must change our general X
values to standard Z values. The process of doing so is known as
standardisation.
μ
The area under any normal curve is always equal to 1, since it
represents the total probability
If we increase the value of σ then the curve becomes wider but the
peak becomes lower
When we decrease the value of σ then the curve becomes narrower
and the peak becomes higher
Standardising a Normal Variable
To standardise a normal curve we must first move it to the left so the
mean is at zero. To achieve this, we subtract μ from all values:
X→X–μ
Now our normal curve has its mean at 0.
The next step is to change the standard deviation from σ to 1. We
need
the distance from X = 0 to X = σ to be equal to 1,
the distance from X = 0 to X = 2σ to be 2, . . .
and so on
To achieve this, we divide each of the X – μ values by σ.
X
Hence: Z
Our general normal variable has now been standardised.
To transform the other way, or to destandardise, notice that:
Z X X Z
The Standard Normal Variable Z ~ N(0, 1)
We saw previously the standard normal variable, Z ~ N(0, 1), had
mean 0 and standard deviation 1.
We saw also how to use standard normal tables to calculate
probabilities for the standard normal variable:
Notice that changes
P(a < Z < b) = P(Z < b) – P(Z < a) always occur in pairs.
Perform two of:
For k > 0: reverse the inequality,
P(Z < k) = value from normal tables change to 1 – P(Z),
P(Z > k) = 1 – P(Z < k) change from k to –k.
For k < 0:
P(Z < k) = P(Z > –k) = 1 – P(Z < –k)
P(Z > k) = P(Z < –k)
The Standard Normal Variable Z ~ N(0, 1)
Example 1
The normal random variable X satisfies X ~ N(100, 52).
Calculate:
(a) P(X < 110) (b) P(X > 112)
(c) P(X > 95) (d) P(95 < X < 110)
Solution
• Clearly μ = 100 and σ = 5, so . . .
(a)
110 110 100
P ( X 110 ) P Z P Z P ( Z 2)
5
• Looking this value up in our standard normal tables we see that:
P ( X 110 ) P ( Z 2) 0.9772
112 100
(b) P( X 112 ) P Z P( Z 2.4)
5
95 100
(c) P ( X 95) P Z P ( Z 1)
5
• P(Z > –1) = P(Z < 1)
• Hence:
P ( X 95) P ( Z 1) P ( Z 1)
P ( X 95) 0.8413
(d) P (95 X 110) P ( X 110) P ( X 95)
= –
95 110 110 95
=
• so P( X 77 ) 1 P( Z 0.949) 1 0.8264 0.0023 0.1713
P( X 77 ) 0.1713
X
• We have seen that: Z so Z X
• Our z-value is 0.253, so:
k = 80 + (√10)x0.253 = 80.8
• So k = μ + σZ = 80 + (√10)(–0.674) = 77.9
Example 3
Given that X ~ N(10, 4), calculate:
(a) P(X < 12) (b) P(X > 14.5) (c) P(X > 8)
(d) P(X < 8.5) (e) P(9.5 < X < 11.5)
(f) the value of k if: (i) P(X < k) = 0.85 (ii) P(X > k) = 0.72
Solution
(a)
12 10
P ( X 12) P Z P ( Z 1) 0.8413
2
(b) 14.5 10
P ( X 14.5) P Z P ( Z 2.25)
2
P ( X 14.5) 1 P ( Z 2.25) 1 0.9878 0.0122
(c) 8 10
P ( X 8) P Z P ( Z 1)
2
P ( X 8) P ( Z 1) 0.8413
(d) 8.5 10
P ( X 8.5) P Z P ( Z 0.75)
2
P ( X 8.5) P ( Z 0.75) 1 P ( Z 0.75)
P ( X 8.5) 1 0.7734 0.2266
(e)
= –
9.5 11.5 11.5 9.5
• From tables, P(Z < xxx) = 0.8499, and this is the closest probability to
0.85, so we take z = xxx as our z-value
• X = μ + σZ k = 10 + 2 x xxx = 12.08