Jeewalkunwar
Jeewalkunwar
Jeewalkunwar
SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING
MID-TERM DEFENSE
ON
POTENTIAL STUDY OF SETI KHOLA HYDROPOWER PROJECT
• Introduction
• Objectives, Scope and Limitations
• Methodology
• Work Schedule
• Work Progress
• Work Remaining
• References
Introduction
• Seti Khola Hydropower Project is an under-construction run-of-river (RoR) type
hydropower project.
• It is between 28° 05' 00” and 28° 08’ 05" latitudes north and between
84° 04’ 15” and 84° 05’ 28" longitude east.
Project Location
Salient Features of Seti River
Region/Province Gandaki Province
District Kaski
Name of River Seti Khola
Type of Scheme ROR type Hydropower Project
Catchment Area 876.92 km2
Average Annual Precipitation 3898mm
Objective, Scope and Limitations
Primary Objectives
• To study the potential of the Seti Khola Hydropower Project.
Secondary Objectives
• To study the site, alignment and components of the current project.
• To carry out hydrological analysis of the project.
• To carry out hydraulic design of the project components.
• To perform a economic analysis of the project.
• To further optimize the arrangement through development of alternatives
in alignment, project components and design.
Objective, Scope and Limitations
Scope
• Collection and review of available topographical maps, hydrological data
and information relevant to the project.
• Hydrological analysis.
• Hydraulic design and drawings of the hydropower components.
• Preparation of rate analysis, quantity estimate, and cost estimation for the
designed components.
• Project optimization through study of different alternative designs and
arrangements.
Objective, Scope and Limitations
Limitations
• Detailed survey of the site, geological study, and hydrological
measurements will not be performed directly, and project activities will be
based on secondary data
• Detailed design and structural detailing of the hydraulic structures will not
be performed.
• The obtained results, reports and other outcomes of the project will not be
utilized in the actual field and are limited to academic purposes only.
Methodology
Desk Study
Data Collection
Topographical and
Hydrological Study
Hydraulic Design
Economic Analysis
Work Progress
• Topographical Data Collection
• Hydrological Data Collection
• Alignment Selection
• Hydrological Analysis
• Catchment Area Calculation using QGIS
• Discharge Calculation
• Catchment Area Ratio(CAR) Method
• Preparation of Flow Duration Curve
• Preparation of Hydrograph
• Flood Frequency Analysis
• Log Pearson III Method
• Log Normal Method
• Gumbel Method
• Generalized Extreme Value Method
• Goodness of Fit Analysis
Hydrological Data
• Set 1:
Project Alignment
Catchment Area Calculation using QGIS
Intake
Powerhouse
Discharge of Intake =
Hydrograph
250
200
150
Discharge (Q)
100
50
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Month
Gandaki Phoolbari
2000
1500
Discharge(Q)
1000
500
0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000
Days
Figure: Daily Hydrograph
Flow Duration Curve
CAR from seti CAR from seti
CAR from seti phoolbari
Gandaki phoolbari Rank Frequency probability of excidence
Daily(Decending)
Monthly(Decending) Monthly(Decending)
200.00
Discharge (m3/sec
150.00
50.00
0.00
0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00
Probability of Exceedence %
Q40=69.932m^3/s
Rating curve
586
584
582
580
578
576
Rating curve
574
572
570
568
566
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000
Flood Frequency Analysis
1. Gumbel Method
2. Log Pearson III Method
3. Log Normal Method
4. Generalized Extreme Value Method
Gumbel Method
N 15.00 years SN Year Maxm Q
1 2000 668.19
686.528 2 2001 858.158
Mean ( X̅) m3/s
3 2002 792.147
4 2003 960.844
Standard 211.301 5 2004 471.62
Deviation m3/s 6 2005 604.378
𝑌 𝑇 =− ln ( ln ( 𝑇
𝑇 −1))
12
13
14
2011
2012
2013
970.379
987.27
683.593
5
10
1.500
2.250
0.9672
1.7025
890.902
1046.267
15 2014 581.64 20 2.970 2.4078 1195.298
)
50 3.902 3.3207 1388.202
100 4.600 4.0048 1532.757
𝑋 𝑇 = 𝑋 + 𝐾 ∗ 𝜎𝑛 200 5.296 4.6865 1676.785
500 6.214 5.5857 1866.802
1000 6.907 6.2654 2010.412
Flood Frequency Analysis by GUMBEL Method
2500
2000
Discharge (m3/s)
1500
1000
500
0
1 10 100 1000
RETURN PERIOD(years)
Log Pearson III Method
SN Year Maxm Q log(Q)
N 15 1 2000 668.19 2.8249
2 2001 858.158 2.933567
Mean of the Z variate sample 2.8140 3 2002 792.147 2.898806
Standard Deviation of the Z 4 2003 960.844 2.982653
5 2004 471.62 2.673592
variate sample 0.1526 6 2005 604.378 2.781309
Cofficient of skew of the Z 7 2006 297.788 2.473907
variate sample -0.9440 8 2007 755.473 2.878219
9 2008 583.107 2.765748
10 2009 360.866 2.557346
11 2010 722.467 2.858818 YT=mean+k*SDV
12 2011 970.379 2.986941
13 2012 987.27 2.994436 XT=10^YT
14 2013 683.593 2.834798
15 2014 581.64 2.764654
Mean(X) 686.528 2.81398
SDV 211.3012 0.152635 T K YT XT (m3/s)
𝑧 =log 𝑥 Skewness -0.94399
5 0.853 2.9442 879.418
√( )
( 𝑧 − 𝑧 )2 10 1.139 2.9878 972.245
𝜎 𝑧= ∑ 𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑓 𝑡h𝑒 𝑍 𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒
𝑁 −1 20 1.306 3.0132 1030.973
50 1.524 3.0466 1113.226
𝑁 ∗∑ ( ( 𝑧 − 𝑧 )3 )
𝐶 𝑠= 𝐶𝑜𝑓𝑓𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑘𝑒𝑤 𝑜𝑓 𝑡h𝑒 𝑍 𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒
( 𝑁 −1 ) ∗ ( 𝑁 − 2 ) ∗ 𝜎 3𝑧 100 1.628 3.0625 1154.832
200 1.712 3.0752 1189.133
500 1.798 3.0884 1225.606
Flood Frequency Analysis by Log Pearson Type-III Method
1400.0
1200.0
1000.0
Flood Q(m3/s)
800.0
600.0
400.0
200.0
0.0
1 10 100 1000
Return Period(years)
Log Normal Method
Generalized Extreme Value Method
GEV Distribution in R
Generalized Extreme Value Method
1600
Flood Qt
10 882.0385 1400
50 1137.619
100 1234.675 1200
200 1325.456
Discharge (Q)
1000 1514.995
800
Table: Flood Values for Time (t)
600
400
200
0
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
F(x)
Figure: GEV Fitting
Goodness of Fit: Gandaki
Goodness of Fit: Phoolbari
Goodness of Fit: Summary
Goodness of Fit – Summary (Gandaki)
Kolmogorov Smirnov Anderson Darling
# Distribution # Distribution
Rank Rank
1 Gen. Extreme Value 1 1 Gen. Extreme Value 1
2 Gumbel Max 3 2 Gumbel Max 4
3 Log-Pearson 3 2 3 Log-Pearson 3 2
4 Lognormal 4 4 Lognormal 3