Topic 2 Finance Ratios 1
Topic 2 Finance Ratios 1
Topic 2 Finance Ratios 1
• The operating cycle is the length of time from when a company makes an
investment in goods and services to the time it collects cash from its accounts
receivable.
• The net operating cycle is the length of time from when a company makes an
investment in goods and services, considering the company makes some of its
purchases on credit, to the time it collects cash from its accounts receivable.
• The length of the operating cycle and net operating cycle provides information
on the company’s need for liquidity: The longer the operating cycle, the greater
the need for liquidity.
Number of Days of Inventory Number of Days of Receivables
| | | |
Operating Cycle
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TOOLS FOR FINANCIAL
STATEMENT ANALYSIS
Ansbert Kishamba
CPA(T), MSc. (A&F)
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1. INTRODUCTION
Financial analysis is a process of selecting, evaluating, and interpreting
financial data, along with other pertinent information, in order to formulate an
assessment of a company’s present and future financial condition and
performance.
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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS TOOLS:
DESCRIPTION
• Graphics
• Regression
• Common-Size Analysis
• Financial Ratio Analysis
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2. COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
Common-size analysis is the restatement of financial statement
information in a standardized form.
- Horizontal common-size analysis uses the amounts in accounts in
a specified year as the base, and subsequent years’ amounts are
stated as a percentage of the base value.
- Useful when comparing growth of different accounts over time.
- Vertical common-size analysis uses the aggregate value in a
financial statement for a given year as the base, and each account’s
amount is restated as a percentage of the aggregate.
- Balance sheet: Aggregate amount is total assets.
- Income statement: Aggregate amount is revenues or sales.
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EXAMPLE: COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
Consider the CS Company, which reports the following financial information:
Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash $400.00 $404.00 $408.04 $412.12 $416.24 $420.40
Inventory 1,580.00 1,627.40 1,676.22 1,726.51 1,778.30 1,831.65
Accounts receivable 1,120.00 1,142.40 1,165.25 1,188.55 1,212.32 1,236.57
Net plant and equipment 3,500.00 3,640.00 3,785.60 3,937.02 4,094.50 4,258.29
Intangibles 400.00 402.00 404.01 406.03 408.06 410.10
Total assets $7,000.00 $6,713.30 $6,934.12 $7,162.74 $7,399.45 $7,644.54
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EXAMPLE: COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
Vertical Common-Size Analysis:
Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Inventory 23% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22%
Accounts receivable 16% 16% 16% 15% 15% 15%
Net plant and equipment 50% 50% 51% 51% 52% 52%
Intangibles 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Total assets 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Graphically:
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EXAMPLE: COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
Horizontal Common-Size Analysis (base year is 2008):
Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash 100.00% 101.00% 102.01% 103.03% 104.06% 105.10%
Inventory 100.00% 103.00% 106.09% 109.27% 112.55% 115.93%
Accounts receivable 100.00% 102.00% 104.04% 106.12% 108.24% 110.41%
Net plant and equipment 100.00% 104.00% 108.16% 112.49% 116.99% 121.67%
Intangibles 100.00% 100.50% 101.00% 101.51% 102.02% 102.53%
Total assets 100.00% 103.08% 106.27% 109.57% 112.99% 116.53%
Graphically:
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3. FINANCIAL RATIO ANALYSIS
• Financial ratio analysis is the use of relationships among financial statement
accounts to gauge the financial condition and performance of a company.
• We can classify ratios based on the type of information the ratio provides:
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ACTIVITY RATIOS
• Turnover ratios reflect the number of times assets flow into and out of the
company during the period.
• A turnover is a gauge of the efficiency of putting assets to work.
• Ratios:
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OPERATING CYCLE FORMULAS
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OPERATING CYCLE FORMULAS
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LIQUIDITY
• Liquidity is the ability to satisfy the company’s short-term obligations using
assets that can be most readily converted into cash.
• Liquidity ratios:
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SOLVENCY ANALYSIS
• A company’s business risk is
determined, in large part, from the
company’s line of business.
• Financial risk is the risk resulting from
a company’s choice of how to finance
the business using debt or equity.
• We use solvency ratios to assess a
company’s financial risk.
• There are two types of solvency ratios:
component percentages and coverage
ratios.
- Component percentages involve
comparing the elements in the
capital structure.
- Coverage ratios measure the ability
to meet interest and other fixed
financing costs.
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SOLVENCY RATIOS
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PROFITABILITY
• Margins and return ratios provide information on the profitability of a company
and the efficiency of the company.
• A margin is a portion of revenues that is a profit.
• A return is a comparison of a profit with the investment necessary to generate
the profit.
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PROFITABILITY RATIOS: MARGINS
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PROFITABILITY RATIOS: RETURNS
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THE DUPONT FORMULAS
• The DuPont formula uses the
relationship among financial statement
accounts to decompose a return into
components.
• Three-factor DuPont for the return on
equity:
- Total asset turnover
- Financial leverage
- Net profit margin
• Five-factor DuPont for the return on
equity:
- Total asset turnover
- Financial leverage
- Operating profit margin
- Effect of nonoperating items
- Tax effect
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FIVE-COMPONENT DUPONT MODEL
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EXAMPLE: THE DUPONT FORMULA
Suppose that an analyst has noticed that the return on equity of the D
Company has declined from FY2012 to FY2013. Using the DuPont
formula, explain the source of this decline.
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EXAMPLE: THE DUPONT FORMULA
2013 2012
Return on equity 0.20 0.22
Return on assets 0.13 0.11
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OTHER RATIOS
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OTHER RATIOS
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EXAMPLE: SHAREHOLDER RATIOS
Calculate the book value per share, P/E, dividends per share,
dividend payout, and plowback ratio based on the following
financial information:
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EXAMPLE: SHAREHOLDER RATIOS
Book value per share $1.00 There is $1 of equity, per the books, for
every share of stock.
P/E 16.67 The market price of the stock is 16.67
times earnings per share.
Dividends per share $0.12 The dividends paid per share of stock.
Dividend payout ratio 40% The proportion of earnings paid out in the
form of dividends.
Plowback ratio 60% The proportion of earnings retained by the
company.
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EFFECTIVE USE OF RATIO ANALYSIS
• In addition to ratios, an analyst should describe the company (e.g., line of
business, major products, major suppliers), industry information, and major
factors or influences.
• Effective use of ratios requires looking at ratios
- Over time.
- Compared with other companies in the same line of business.
- In the context of major events in the company (for example, mergers or
divestitures), accounting changes, and changes in the company’s product
mix.
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4. PRO FORMA ANALYSIS
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PRO FORMA INCOME STATEMENT
Imaginaire Company Income Statement (in millions)
One Year
Year 0 Ahead
Sales revenues €1,000.0 €1,050.0 Growth at 5%
Cost of goods sold 600.0 630.0 60% of revenues
Gross profit €400.0 €420.0 Revenues less COGS
SG&A 100.0 105.0 10% of revenues
Operating income €300.0 €315.0 Gross profit less operating exp.
Interest expense 32.0 33.6 8% of long-term debt
Earnings before taxes €268.0 €281.4 Operating income less interest exp.
Taxes 93.8 98.5 35% of earnings before taxes
Net income €174.2 €182.9 Earnings before taxes less taxes
Dividends €87.1 €91.5 Dividend payout ratio of 50%
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PRO FORMA BALANCE SHEET
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GRAPHICS: EXAMPLE
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GRAPHICS: EXAMPLE
$ millions
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GRAPHICS: EXAMPLE
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REGRESSION: EXAMPLE
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COMMON-SIZE ANALYSIS
• Vertical common-size
- Balance sheet: Each item as a percent of total assets.
- Income statement: Each item as a percent of total net revenues.
- Cash flow: Each line as a percent of sales, assets, or total in and out.
- Highlights composition and identifies what’s important.
• Horizontal common-size
- Percentage increase or decrease of each item from the prior year or
showing each year relative to a base year.
- Highlights items that have changed unexpectedly or have
unexpectedly remained unchanged.
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COMMON-SIZE BALANCE SHEET EXAMPLE:
SINGLE COMPANY, TWO PERIODS
Partial common-size balance sheet
Period 1 Period 2
% of Total % of Total
Assets Assets
Cash 25 15
Receivables 35 57
Inventory 35 20
Fixed assets, net of 5 8
depreciation
Total assets 100 100
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COMMON-SIZE BALANCE SHEET EXAMPLE:
CROSS-SECTIONAL, TWO COMPANIES, SAME TIME
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USE OF COMPARATIVE GROWTH
INFORMATION: EXAMPLE
Revenue +19%
Receivables +38%
Inventory +58%
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FINANCIAL RATIOS
• Ratios
- Express one number in relation to another.
- Standardize financial data in terms of mathematical
relationships expressed as percentages, times, or days.
- Facilitate comparisons—trends and across companies.
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RATIO ANALYSIS
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RATIO ANALYSIS
How profitable was company X?
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RATIO ANALYSIS
How profitable was Company X?
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USING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS TOOLS
Computation ≠ Analysis
• Analysis goes beyond collecting data and computing numbers.
• Analysis encompasses computations and interpretations.
• Where practical, directly experience the company’s business.
• Analysis of past performance:
What aspects of performance are critical to successfully competing
in the industry?
How well did the company perform (relative to own history and
relative to competitors)?
Why? What caused the performance?
Does the performance reflect the company’s strategy?
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USING FINANCIAL ANALYSIS TOOLS
• Not every ratio is relevant in every situation.
- Some ratios are irrelevant for certain companies.
- Some ratios are redundant.
- Industry-specific ratios can be as important as general
financial ratios.
- Different users and questions (e.g., creditors, investors)
focus on different ratios.
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CATEGORIES OF FINANCIAL RATIOS
Category Description
Activity Activity ratios. How efficient are the firm’s operations
and the firm’s management of assets?
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PROFITABILITY AND OVERVIEW
Category Description
Activity Activity ratios. How efficient are the firm’s operations
and the firm’s management of assets?
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MEASURE OF PROFITABILITY:
RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE)
What rate of return has the firm earned on the shareholders’
equity it had available during the year?
Amount of return
Rate of return =
Amount invested
Net income
ROE =
Average equity
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DECOMPOSE ROE
Net income
ROE =
Average equity
= ROA × Leverage
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DECOMPOSE ROE
and/or
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RETURN ON ASSETS
What rate of return has the firm earned on the assets it had available to
use during the year?
Net income
ROA =
Average assets
In other words,
ROA can
be thought
of as:
To what extent
• . . . was it derived from selling a high margin product or keeping
expenses low—deriving more profits from each $1 of sales? (return
on sales, net profit margin)
• . . . was it derived from generating higher sales from a lower
investment in assets? (efficient use of assets, also known as
turnover or efficiency)
• . . . was it derived from investing a lower amount of equity—by
using more debt in its capital structure? (financial leverage)
Averag
Co. A Co. B Co. C e
Sales ($) 2,000 4,000 6,675 4,225
Net income (NI) ($) 200 200 200 200
Average assets ($) 1,000 2,000 1,500 1,500
Average equity ($) 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
Average liabilities ($) 0 1,000 500 500
ROE (NI/Equity)
Net profit margin
(NI/Sales)
Turnover
(Sales/Assets)
Leverage
(Assets/Equity)
Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 55
DECOMPOSING RETURN ON EQUITY:
STYLIZED COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS MINI-CASE
Co. A Co. B Co. C Average
Sales ($) 2,000 4,000 6,675 4,225
NI ($) 200 200 200 200
Average assets ($) 1,000 2,000 1,500 1,500
Average equity ($) 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
Average liabilities ($) 0 1,000 500 500
ROE (NI/Equity) 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Net profit margin
(NI/Sales) 10.0% 5.0% 3.0% 4.7%
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DISCUSSION BY CATEGORY
Category Description
Activity Activity ratios. How efficient are the firm’s operations
and the firm’s management of assets?
Numerator Denominator
Number of days in
Days of inventory on hand (DOH) Inventory turnover
period
Receivables turnover Revenue Average receivables
Number of days in Receivables
Days of sales outstanding (DSO)
period turnover
Average trade
Payables turnover Purchases
payables
Number of days in
Number of days of payables Payables turnover
period
• Cash cycle: How long does it take for the firm to go from cash to cash?
- Service company: sell service → receive cash.
- Merchandising company: buy inventory → sell inventory → receive
cash and pay for inventory.
- Manufacturing company: buy raw materials → make product → sell
product → receive cash and pay for materials and labor.
Category Description
Activity Activity ratios. How efficient are the firm’s operations
and the firm’s management of assets?
Coverage ratios
Interest coverage EBIT Interest payments
Fixed charge EBIT + Lease Interest payments + Lease
coverage payments payments
Price
P/E =
Earnings per share
Numerator Denominator
Valuation ratios
P/E Price per share Earnings per share
P/CF Price per share Cash flow per share
P/S Price per share Sales per share
P/BV Price per share Book value per share
Total debt to total debt Total debt Total debt plus equity
plus equity
Industry
GPM=25%
NPM=7%
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE OR CAPITALISATION
RATIOS
Debt/Equity
2010
2011
RELEVANT RATIOS
Important note: The calculations of the ratios in this illustration did not use “averages” for total assets, equity and
inventory. The 2010 and 2011 year end figures were used and this is a slight variation to the formulas provided.