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    Module Quantitative Risk Analysis Assignment 202110

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    Anita Sahoo

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    Module Quantitative Risk Analysis Assignment 202110

    Uploaded by

    Anita Sahoo
    4 views10 pages

    Original Title

    Module Quantitative Risk Analysis Assignment 202110 (1)

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    Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
    4 views10 pages

    Module Quantitative Risk Analysis Assignment 202110

    Uploaded by

    Anita Sahoo

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
    of 10

    MODULE: QUANTITATIVE RISK

    ANALYSIS - Assignment
    Loss of Containment Event

    Objectives

    The objectives of this case study are to:

    Determine the frequency or probability of an on-site


    explosion, resulting from; a major flammable product
    release, and;

    To identify and examine the consequences of such a


    release, whilst also commenting on risk acceptability,
    and mitigation.
    Operating System
    The operating system shown on the following slide
    consists of the following:

    1.A storage tank;


    2.A system control booth;
    3.An in line transfer pump;
    4.A pump activation button;
    5.A fuel pipeline system;
    6.De-canting station
    7.A manually operated shut off valve;
    8.Power supply lines, and;
    9.A level measuring system, which consists of the following; a float
    mechanism, a level transmitter relay and an indicator system situated
    within the control room (simple bulb type).
    Process Schematic

    Indicator Power line 2

    Start / Stop Button

    Control Booth
    Overflow
    Power line 1
    Tank
    Level
    Transmitter
    Float
    Valve

    Fuel inlet

    De-canting
    Fuel outlet Station
    Transfer pump
    Site Brief

    The facility is located near to; a small to medium sized community, the
    residential boundaries of which commence at a distance of 150 meters
    from the site, and lay in a “north easterly” direction.

    The operation is used as a buffer facility for the receipt and subsequent
    delivery of a highly flammable product. At one location adjacent to the
    tank there is a manual de-canting station.

    Surrounding the facility is a security fence, and fixed to the westerly


    facing side of the fence is a sprinkler system.
    Process Schematic

    Community

    Control Booth

    Pump Valve
    Tank
    Sprinkler
    System
    Questions
    1. Examine the potential failure modes of the operating system; using
    Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA)

    2. Construct a fault tree, starting with the top event of; an on-site
    “explosion”

    3. Use reliability data to calculate the expected frequency or


    probability of such an event.

    4. Using “Event Tree Analysis” (ETA) identify the “Pivotal Events” and
    “Consequences” of a large flammable product release, in relation
    to the community.

    5. Comment on the acceptability and level of risk, and recommend


    design or procedural changes to reduce that level.
    Essential Data
    Component Faults/year or probability of
    failure – FDT
    Level sensor (float) 0.15
    Level transmitter 0.25
    Level indicator (bulbs) 0.1
    Power failure 0.08
    Pump control switch 0.02
    Hand valve 0.05
    Pump 0.06
    Pipes 0.15
    Vessel defects 0.05
    De-canting station 0.25
    Sprinkler 0.4
    Spray pressure too low 0.12
    Wind from south-west 0.9
    Wind stability ‘good’ 0.8
    Source of ignition on site 0.5
    Source of ignition off site 0.9

    You should assume and or expand on any missing data!


    Assignment Format

    Index
    Introduction
    Process description
    Assumptions
    Questions 1 to 5
    References

    Assignment word count (3500) - Graphs, Tables, Charts, Index


    & Referencing do not constitute towards the word count.
    Assessment

    This element of the assignment attracts 100% of the


    final module mark. It will test all of the learning
    outcomes and will monitor development of the key
    skills indicated.

    Hand in date: 08/01/2024 (1pm)

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