Draft CMK - Partnerships Proposal v24!70!30
Draft CMK - Partnerships Proposal v24!70!30
Draft CMK - Partnerships Proposal v24!70!30
TRANSACTION
SUMMARY &
INVESTMENT THESIS
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Ownership
• Initially owned by PT Waskita Toll Road (WTR), the assets was fully transferred to its current owner due to pandemic situation which forced to ceased the
construction effort;
• The current owner, PT Akses Pelabuhan Indonesia (PT API), received mandate from the government to continue the construction where it deemed as one of
the national strategic project;
• This divestment transaction was initiated because the construction progress is nearly finished and it is not within PT API core business.
35% 65%
Tender Result:
• PT CMK has been awarded as a preferred bidder in 26 October 2022 with IDR 7.0 Trillions purchase price for acquiring 65% of PT CTP shares.
• The Conditional Shares Purchase Agreement (CSPA) is signed in the 15 November 2022. The indicative payment terms are specified below:
o Term 1 – IDR 350 billion at 16 December 2022 with the following sub-schemes:
Term 1A – At least IDR 25 billion will be paid on cash at 16 December 2022
Term 1B – The rest of IDR 325 billion can be paid later until 31 March 2022 with bank instrument requirement from 16 December 2022.
o Term 2 – IDR 1,75 trillion at April 2023
o Term 3 – IDR 2,10 trillion at July 2023
o Term 4 – IDR 2,80 trillion at October 2023
KEY INVESTMENT THESIS
Business Sustainability Prospect (1/6) – Access to the Industrial Areas
In addition to comprehensive rest area facilities, the premise will offer attractive end-to-end logistics services particularly
suited for heavy vehicles
KEY INVESTMENT THESIS
Business Sustainability Prospect (2/6) - Interconnectivity
Business Certainty
• Section 1, 2 and 3 has been
in commercially operated
since 2021 with daily traffic
New Priok East Access JORR E2, E3
37.353 trx of 24,000.
Jakarta – (NPEA)
Tangerang Toll
Operate Q1 2021 daily (2019) • Section 4 expected to
54.246 trx daily
Road operate in December 2022
(Q3 2022)
376.798 trx and expected to reach a
daily (2019) daily traffic of 30,000 in 2023
and to ramp up to 40,000 in
2027. [Brownfield
JORR W2
91.389 trx daily (2019) Infrastructure]
Traffic
from Jakarta –
Suma Captive Traffic
tera Cikampek
(Trans Java)
• CTP’s traffic volume is
432.364 trx poised to benefit from its
Operate Q4 2019 JORR S
163.028 trx daily (2019)
daily (2019) interconnectedness with
53.223 trx daily various existing toll roads,
(Q3 2022)
such as Jakarta-Cikampek
T
fro raffic and Jakarta Outer Ring
mT
Operate Q1 JORR E1 Fu Par
ll O tia Jav rans Road 2 JORR toll network
22
a
4 ,
pe l O p
Q n
ra
t i o er at
t i o ra
(Q3 2022) 02
O al
2
l l rti
(
se 11) N
gm e
thus Cibitung – Cilincing toll
a ffic c o e n g le c
op ns t, u ta road will be able to ease the
Congested Interchange in Tr om i er tru nk ble
ati
fr raw on ctio now current load by bypassing
Kp. Rambutan, Cawang & Cikunir go Jagorawi Toll Road, tim n & n
Ja Toll 413.856 trx daily (2019)
el i
ne the mentioned interchange.
KEY INVESTMENT THESIS
Business Sustainability Prospect (3/6) - Urbanization
Compared to other toll road rest areas, CTP's rest area & logistic park offers differentiated end-to-end services aimed at heavy transport
vehicles passing through CTP
Warehouse Rental Warehouse Handling Container Warehouse Container Handling Container Carwash
Warehousing for goods Transports/handles For safekeeping of Container lifting For empty
that will be transported by Goods from and to the containers service containers
heavy transport vehicles warehouse
Government policy on integrated port ecosystem and its connectivities (NPEA and The Toll Roads)
Inflation-Based Tariff Adjustment:
Considering the mechanism of toll road infrastructure tariff determination during the start of the operation as well as
tariff adjustment once every two years, investors in this space stand to benefit from:
• Initial Tariff Determination: Base tariff is determined before commercial operation commences and typically
determined by considering various factors which include:
• Toll Tariff Adjustments: According to Indonesian Law No.2/2022 about Road, toll road operators are eligible to
request for tariff adjustment every 2 years based on inflation rate
• Other Adjustments: If the Ministry of Public Works and Housing fails to adjust the toll road tariff on time, the Toll
Road Concession Company may: 1) Demand for tariff adjustments and/or 2) Request for extension of the
concession period.
KEY INVESTMENT THESIS
The Corporate Enlargement (6/6) – More Than IDR 20 Trillions Potential Opportunities
PROFILE OF THE
TARGET COMPANY
PROJECT COST & CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Project Cost
Construction 2,678 7,707 9,561 8,317 9,239 923
Supporting Capex 238 258 322 205 308 104
VAT 312 796 988 753 955 202
Overhead Cost 25 98 133 155 159 4
Land Acquisition 288 288 288 288 288 -
Contigency 201 - - - - -
Financing Cost & IDC 479 1,658 1,623 1,672 1,832 160
Total 4,220 10,805 12,915 11,390 12,781 1,391
Project Financing
Equity 1,266 3,241 3,874 3,874 3,874 -
Debt 2,954 7,563 9,040 6,159 7,321 -
Unused •
Credit Top-up
Required Line Facility
(Jun -22) - Interest Rate - Tenor - Following the Declared
1,356 Project Cost 1,585
in PPJT Evaluation, which
1,391
Total
Tranche A 4,220 10,805 12,915 is amounting10,034
to IDR 12,91 Trillions,12,781
The Debt to Equity Ratio is
1,391
ATD 3 Months + 4.15% 180 months
set on 70% (seventy percent) debt portion and 30% (thirty
1. Bank BRI 1,500 285
2. Bank Mandiri 1,500 334 (Construction Period) (Senior Loan) percent) equity portion.
3. Bank BNI 46 900 170 ATD 3 Months + 3.90% • However, PT CTP current line of credit is only IDR 7.32
4. CIMB Niaga 1,000 189 (Operation Period) Trillions or equals to 57% of the Declared Project Cost, which
5. Panin Bank 500 93 was obtained on December 2018 or before the Declared
6. Bank Jatim 200 38 Project Cost escalation in as stipulated in the Minutes of
7. Bank DKI 200 38 Evaluation of Changes in Cibitung-Cilincing Toll Road
5,800 1,147 Concession Business Plan on 2020.
Tranche B • Thus, PT CTP is now looking for additional line of credits of
1. PT SMI 1,000 4 ATD 3 Months + 6.80% 204 months
(Construction Period) (Subordinated 13% of the Declared Project Cost, or equals to IDR 1.4 - 1.7
2. IIF 521 22 ATD 3 Months + 6.55% Loan) Trillions as a result of the Declared Project Cost increasing in
(Operation Period) PPJT 2020. PT CTP expect the new line of credits will be
1,521 26 obtained by 2Q-23.
PROJECTED TRAFFIC & TARIFF
The traffic volume is expected to grow with a CAGR of 10.8% on the growth period start from 2022 until 2054, in line with the construction of the New
Priok Eastern Access (NPEA) as one of the catalysts. From 2054F onwards, traffic growth is expected to be stabilize. The traffic will be dominated by the
Type-I vehicles. The sources of the Traffic Generator including 22 New industrial & Housing around the tollroad, NPEA, New Rest Area & Logistic Park,
New Interchange due to Metland-Cibitung property development, & JORR 2 toll road connectivity. This traffic projection is much more conservative
than seller’s version.
The tariff of JTCC is based on the PPJT agreement, at IDR Section Base Tariff (Type I) References
1,987/km for Type I, with a multiplier of 1.5x for Types II &
III, and a multiplier of 2.0x for Types IV & V. Tariff rates are
Section 1
Section 2
IDR 5.500
IDR 20.000
Need Upgrade
Ministry Decree No. 838 2021
Ministry Decree No. 750 2022
assumed to increase every 2 years (8 quarters) at an
escalation rate of 4% p.a. Section 3 IDR 28.500 Ministry Decree No. 750 2022
Section 4 IDR 15.000 Estimates based on Section Length (7.5 km)
MAJOR MAINTENANCES & FUTURE CAPEX
• As regulated by Ministry of Public Works Decree No 16/2014, PT CTP must plan and schedule the Periodic Major Maintenance for every 3 years period, 5 years period, and
10 years period.
• The total Major Maintenance cost for the entire concession period is estimated to be IDR 15.1 Trillions (incl. VAT 11%). Those are equal to IDR 5.09 Trillions present value if
it is discounted on the 4.0% inflation rate.
• PT CTP will make a provision account on the P&L following this major maintenance planning, as standardized in PSAK 57 (Provision, Liability, Contingency, & Contingent
Assets). This accounting treatment will affect the P&L bottom line and the dividend eventually.
PROJECTED EBITDA & DIVIDEND
• EBITDA projection is estimated to keep spiking
EBITDA & Interest Expenses
30,000 up start from 2022 until the end of the
concession period due to the exponentially
25,000 EBITDA higher revenue in the future. The EBITDA
Interest Expenses Margin is estimated to be above 90% start from
20,000 2030. This is fair as most of the operational
expenditures in the CTP is categorized as the
15,000
fixed costs.
10,000 • Start from 2024, both the interest coverage and
the Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) are
5,000 expected to be more than 1.0x, and from 2028
onwards will be >2.0x.
-
• Strong EBITDA performance in the future
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
2042
2044
2046
2048
2050
2052
2054
2056
2058
2060
2062
2064
2066
2068
promises strong profitability and liquidity to
support the loan repayment and investment
Dividend & Free Cash Flow to Equity returns.
25,000 • Assuming that the existing loan facilities have
Dividend been restructured thus the dividend distribution
20,000 FCFE restrictions are removed, the first dividend
payment from PT CTP to the shareholders is
15,000 estimated to be executed in 2027, by using
2026 financial statement. This estimation have
10,000 included the major maintenance sinking fund
and the allocation of appropriate retained
5,000 earnings amounting to 20% of the share
capital.
- • From 2030 onwards, the dividend payable is
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
2042
2044
2046
2048
2050
2052
2054
2056
2058
2060
2062
2064
2066
2068
assumed to be at least equals to cash flow
(5,000) available for dividend payment.
PROFITABILITY & BANKABILITY
Interest Coverage
180.0 • PT CTP looks bankable in 2024, showed by more than 1.0x DSCR and
160.0 156.9 Interest Coverage.
140.0 • PT CTP bankability is heavily supported by PT CTP’s profitability,
120.0
specifically start from 2024. EBITDA Margin in 2024 hit more than 80%,
96.3 and will be stable at more than 90% years ahead.
100.0
77.7 • The refinancing structure is proposed to give PT CTP one year grace
80.0 68.2
60.3 period for stabilizing its cash flow
60.0 52.8
40.0
20.0
3.3 4.0 4.7 6.2 7.5 9.9 13.1
1.5 2.4 2.5 3.0
0.0
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
INDICATIVE FAIR VALUE
IDR 7.0 Trillions
- 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00
• The valuation range should not be relied on as assumptions and market condition may change from time to time.
• The purchase price decision will be relied on the buyer’s risk appetite to execute the deal.
• The market approach based on the Transaction Multiples provided wider range following the comparable data availability.
CHAPTER III
PROPOSED FINANCING
STRUCTURE
PROPOSED FINANCING STRUCTURE
PARTNERSHIPS OFFERING
Strategic
Partners • With the business potential, PT CMK would like to offer
the 75% of SPV ownerships worth IDR 2,6 Trillion with
the following breakdowns:
a. Amounting to IDR 2,1 Trillions will be used to
25% 75% Network finance the equity portion of the PT CTP
Engagement acquisition
b. Amounting to IDR 150 billions will be used to
SPV/JV finance the set-up cost and first year operation of
Co PT CMK
c. Amounting to IDR 350 billions will be recorded as
a transaction premium for the PT CMK goodwill in
winning the M&A tender.
65% 35% • To comply with the seller’s governance, PT CMK to set
up the SPV with majority ownerships in the early of
December 2022.
• The strategic partners can inject its capital by using
1. Required Major Maintenance of the
both Equity Injection and the Convertible Notes.
Cibitung-Cilincing Toll Road, worth IDR
• The strategic partners will have an option to convert its
15,1 Trillion
2. Financing Opportunity: NPEA Access notes to the equity after the entire 65% of the PT
Road Project, worth IDR 5 Trillion CTP’s shares is transferred to the SPV.
3. Financing Opportunity: Dry Port
Potential Financing, worth IDR 1.6 Trillion
Opportunities 4. Financing Opportunity: Panjang Sea
Port Access Project, worth IDR 2 Trillion
5. Financing Opportunity: Dumai Sea Port
Access Project, worth IDR 3 Trillion
PROPOSED EQUITY FINANCING SCHEME (2 OF 2)
Stage 1: SPV Establishment Stage 2: Zero-Coupon Short- Stage 3: Debt Financing Stage 4: Conversion Option
• To comply with the seller’s term Convertible Notes • Banks are assumed to Execution
governance, PT CMK needs Issuances finance IDR 4.9 Trillion or • The Short-term Convertible
to set up the SPV with 55% • The SPV will issue the Zero equals to 70% of the total Notes holder will have an
ownerships in the early of Coupon Short-term transaction value option to convert its notes
December 2022. Convertible Notes in • The Debt financing is into the new SPV shares
• PT CMK will invite the February-March 2023 assumed to be disbursed • The conversion will be
Strategic Partners to initially amounting to IDR 1.23 trillion during the 3rd and 4th executed once the entire
invest as equity for 45% • The Zero Coupon Short-term 65% of the PT CTP’s shares
ownerships. Convertible Notes will be is transferred to the SPV.
• For this structure, PT CMK issued at discount level (90- • After the note conversion, the
will make a cash injection 95), and will be converted at ownerships of PT CMK to the
amounting to IDR 562.5 bio. the par level. SPV will be diluted to 25%.
• Meanwhile, Strategic • The conversion price will be
Partners will make a cash mirroring the discount level
injection, amounting to IDR on the Short-term Convertible
459.5 bio Notes
45% Convertible
Strategic Loan, held by
Partner the Partners: Bank Loan: IDR Bank Loan IDR
IDR 1,228 bn 4,900 bn 4,900 bn
EQUITY TRANSACTION
FOR STRATEGIC
PARTNER
CASH FLOW FOR LOAN REPAYMENT (IDR Billions)
The debt is assumed to be 70% of the total transaction cost. The cash available for debt repayment is calculated by using the ending cash balance after
reducing the cash receipt from dividend with the interest payment and any operation costs. Capitalization period is defined as the period which SPV has yet to
receive the dividend from PT CTP. The capitalization (grace) period is assumed to be 2 years, start from April 2023 until April 2025
SPV CF 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
Acquisition Cost (350) (6,650) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Set-up Cost - (67) (16) - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Equity Injection 400 1,011 119 60 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Convertible Notes - 1,098 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Loan Drawdown - 4,993 277 141 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Loan Repayment - - - (8) (15) (23) (34) (51) (76) (114) (171) (257) (385) (577) (866) (1,299) (1,536)
DSRA Proceed - - - 618 659 812 635 688 852 863 472 942 1,616 1,901 2,540 2,201 2,796
DSRA Released - (119) (273) (420) (426) (435) (449) (469) (500) (546) (616) (720) (876) (1,111) (1,463) (1,565) -
Dividend Payment - - 119 273 420 426 435 449 469 500 546 616 720 876 1,111 1,463 1,565
Interest Payment - (133) (395) (406) (405) (403) (401) (398) (393) (386) (375) (359) (335) (299) (245) (164) (29)
Operation Cost - - - (16) (17) (18) (18) (19) (20) (21) (21) (22) (23) (24) (25) (26) (27)
FreeLenders CF
Cash Flow 202250 2023
133 2024
(170) 2025
243 2026
217 2027
360 2028
168 2029
199 2030
332 2031
296 2032
(165) 2033
200 2034
716 2035
766 2036
1,052 2037
610 2038
2,769
Inv. Loan Proceed - (4,900) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Int. Loan Proceed - (93) (277) (141) - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Financing Income - 133 395 406 405 403 401 398 393 386 375 359 335 299 245 164 29
Loan Repayment - - - 8 15 23 34 51 76 114 171 257 385 577 866 1,299 1,536
Total Cash Flow - (4,860) 119 273 420 426 435 449 469 500 546 616 720 876 1,111 1,463 1,565
Notes:
• The SPV is expected to gain its first dividend from PT CTP at June 2025 based on the net profit by end of December 2024.
• The Financing Cost loan is assumed to be drawdown in accordance with the interest payment schedule.
• The Cash for Debt Repayment is assumed on scheduled payment mechanism, as specified on the key term sheet. The entire loan is expected to be fully
repaid at 2038 or 15 years loan period (including 2 years grace period).
• SPV will pay 30% of the accrued interest expenses by using its equity during the capitalization period. Thus, there will be still cash inflow for
the lenders during the capitalization period.
• According to the Indonesian Law No 7/2021 Dividend Revenue for an institutional investor is no longer classified as the income tax subject
INVESTMENT RETURN (IDR Billions)
14,000,000
SPV's FCFE
Strategic Partner's Free Cash Flow
12,000,000
PT CMK's Free Cash Flow
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
(2,000,000)
The picture describe SPV return with 30% equity portion of the Return Equity IRR Equity NPV
transaction, Strategic Partner’s return with 75% equity portion of the PT CTP (since-2018) 24.9% 6,983
SPV, and PT CMK’s return with 75% equity portion of the SPV. This is SPV/JV Co 20.0% 2,377
also included the transaction premium payment, amounting to IDR 350 Strategic Partner 16.7% 1,423
bn, paid by Strategic Partner to PT CMK
Thank You