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Correlational Designs

Causal Modeling
Quasi-Experimental Designs
How do quasi-experiments differ from actual
experiments?

Quasi means “seeming like.” Quasi-


experiments superficially resemble
experiments, but lack their required
manipulation of antecedent conditions
and/or random assignment to
conditions.

Correlational Designs
How do quasi-experiments differ from actual
experiments?

They may study the effects of preexisting


antecedent conditions—life events or
subject characteristics—on behavior.
A quasi-experiment might compare the
incidence of Alzheimer’s disease in
patients who used ibuprofen since age 50
and those who did not.

Correlational Designs
How do quasi-experiments differ from actual
experiments?

In experiments, researchers randomly


assign subjects to antecedent conditions
that they create.
An experiment might randomly assign
subjects to either daily ibuprofen or aspirin
use, and then measure their incidence of
Alzheimer’s.

Correlational Designs
When should we use quasi-experiments instead of
experiments?

We should use quasi-experiments when we


cannot or should not manipulate antecedent
conditions.

Example:
Quasi-experiments could study the effect of
spouse abuse on the frequency of child abuse.

Correlational Designs
Examples:
•Non-equivalent groups: A school implements a new
teaching method in one class but not another. Researchers
compare academic performance between the two classes to
assess the method's effectiveness. However, pre-existing
differences between the classes might influence the results.
•Interrupted time series: A hospital measures patient
readmission rates before and after implementing a new
discharge program. While an increase in readmissions could
indicate a problem with the program, other factors like
seasonal trends might also play a role.
Describe the properties of a correlation.

A Pearson correlation coefficient is used to


calculate simple correlations (between two
variables) and may be expressed as: r (50) =
+.70, p = .001.

Simple correlation- use to determine the strength


and correlation between the two variables

Correlation coefficients have four properties.


linearity, sign, magnitude, and probability.

Correlational Designs
Interpretation: There is a very high positive
correlation between the water that we intake
to the color of our skin.
Describe the properties of a correlation.

Linearity means how the relationship between x


and y can be plotted as a line (linear
relationship) or a curve (curvilinear relationship).

Sign refers to whether the correlation coefficient


is positive or negative.

Correlational Designs
Describe the properties of a correlation.

Magnitude is the strength of the correlation


coefficient, ranging from -1 to +1.

Probability is the likelihood of obtaining a


correlation coefficient of this magnitude due to
chance.

Correlational Designs
What does a scatterplot show?

Scatterplots are a graphic display of pairs


of data points on the x and y axes.

A scatterplot illustrates the linearity, sign,


magnitude, and probability (indirectly) of a
correlation.

Correlational Designs
How does range truncation affect correlation
coefficients?

Range truncation is an artificial restriction of the


range of X and Y that can reduce the strength of
a correlation coefficient.

Correlational Designs
How do outliers affect correlations?

Outliers are extreme scores. They usually affect


correlations by disturbing the trends in the data.
Range truncation removes outliers.

Correlational Designs
Why should we compute the coefficient of
determination?

The coefficient of determination (r2) estimates


the amount of variability that can be explained by
a predictor variable.
For example,
Chaplin et al. (2000) showed that handshake
firmness accounted for 31% of the variability of
first impression positivity.

Correlational Designs
Why doesn't correlation prove causation?

Since correlational studies do not create multiple


levels of an independent variable and randomly
assign subjects to conditions, they cannot
establish causal relationships.

Correlational Designs
Why doesn't correlation prove causation?

There are three additional reasons that


correlations cannot prove causation:
(1) causal direction
(2) bidirectional causation
(3) the third variable problem

Correlational Designs
Why doesn't correlation prove causation?

Causal direction
Since correlations are symmetrical, A could
cause B just as readily as B could cause A.
Does insomnia cause depression or does
depression cause insomnia?

Correlational Designs
Why doesn't correlation prove causation?

Bidirectional causation
Two variables—insomnia and depression—
may affect each other.

Correlational Designs
Why doesn't correlation prove causation?

Third variable problem


A third variable—family conflict—may create the
appearance that insomnia and depression are
related to each other.

Correlational Designs
When do researchers use multiple correlation (R)?

Researchers use multiple correlation (R) when


they want to know whether there is a relationship
among three or more variables.

We could measure age, television watching, and


vocabulary and find that R = +.61.

Correlational Designs
Types of Correlation
1. Simple correlation: Under simple correlation problem
there are only two variables are studied.

2. Multiple Correlation: Under Multiple Correlation three


or more than three variables are studied.

3. Partial correlation: analysis recognizes more than two


variables but considers only two variables keeping the
other constant.
Factor Analysis
Factor Analysis
Factor Analysis
When should we compute a partial correlation?

We should compute a partial correlation when


we want to hold one variable (age) constant to
measure its influence on a correlation between
two other variables (television watching and
vocabulary).

Correlational Designs
When do researchers use multiple regression?

Researchers use multiple regression to predict


behavior measured by one variable based on
scores on two or more other variables.

We could estimate vocabulary size using age


and television watching as predictor variables.

Correlational Designs
What is causal modeling?

Causal modeling is the creation and testing


of models that suggest cause-and-effect
relationships between behaviors.

Path analysis and cross-lagged panel


designs are two forms of causal modeling.

Causal Modeling
Explain path analysis.

In path analysis, a researcher creates and tests


models of possible causal sequences using
multiple regression analysis where two or more
variables are used to predict behavior on a third
variable.

Causal Modeling
What is a cross-lagged panel design?

In cross-lagged panel design, a researcher


measures relationships over time and these are
used to suggest a causal path.

Causal Modeling
Summary of Correlation and
Correlation-Based Designs

• Correlation
• Multiple Correlation
• Linear Regression Analysis
• Multiple Regression Analysis
• Factor Analysis
• Path Analysis
• Cross-lagged Analysis
What is an ex post facto design?

Ex post facto means “after the fact.” A


researcher examines the effects of already
existing subject variables (like gender or
personality type), but does not manipulate them.

Quasi-Experimental Designs
What is a nonequivalent groups design?

A nonequivalent groups design compares the


effects of treatments on preexisting groups of
subjects.
A researcher could install fluorescent lighting in
Company A and incandescent lighting in
Company B and then assess productivity.

Causal Modeling
Describe the longitudinal and cross-sectional
approaches.

In longitudinal designs, the same group of


subjects is measured at different points of time
to determine the effect of time on behavior.

In cross-sectional studies, subjects at different


developmental stages (classes) are compared at
the same point in time.

Causal Modeling
What is a pretest/posttest design?

In pretest/posttest designs, a researcher


measures behavior before and after an event.
This is quasi-experimental because there is no
control condition.
For example: Practice GRE test 1  six-week
preparation course  Practice GRE test 2.

Causal Modeling
Which problems reduce its internal validity?

There is no control group which receives a


different level of the IV (no preparation course).

The results may be confounded by practice


effects (also called pretest sensitization) due
to less anxiety during the posttest and learning
caused by review of pretest answers.

Causal Modeling
What is a Solomon 4-group design?

This variation on a pretest/posttest design


includes four conditions:
(1) a group that received the pretest, treatment
and posttest
(2) a nonequivalent control group that
received only the pretest and posttest

Causal Modeling
What is a Solomon 4-group design?

(3) a group that received the treatment and


a posttest
(4) a group that only received the posttest

Causal Modeling

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