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EBE Ch2

This document discusses various functional forms of regression models, including log-linear, double log, constant elasticity, log-lin, growth, lin-log, reciprocal, and polynomial models. It provides the general forms of these models and how to interpret the slope coefficients and elasticities. The document also discusses how to compare models with different dependent variables, using standardized variables, and measures of goodness of fit like R-squared, adjusted R-squared, AIC, and SIC.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
64 views10 pages

EBE Ch2

This document discusses various functional forms of regression models, including log-linear, double log, constant elasticity, log-lin, growth, lin-log, reciprocal, and polynomial models. It provides the general forms of these models and how to interpret the slope coefficients and elasticities. The document also discusses how to compare models with different dependent variables, using standardized variables, and measures of goodness of fit like R-squared, adjusted R-squared, AIC, and SIC.
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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CHAPTER 2

FUNCTIONAL FORMS
OF REGRESSION MODELS

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
LOG-LINEAR, DOUBLE LOG, OR
CONSTANT ELASTICITY MODELS
 The Cobb-Douglas Production Function:
Qi  B1 Li K iB2 B3

can be transformed into a linear model by taking natural


logs of both sides:
ln Qi  ln B1  B2 ln Li  B3 ln K i
 The slope coefficients can be interpreted as elasticities.
 If (B2 + B3) = 1, we have constant returns to scale.
 If (B2 + B3) > 1, we have increasing returns to scale.
 If (B2 + B3) < 1, we have decreasing returns to scale.

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
LOG-LIN OR GROWTH MODELS
 The rate of growth of real GDP:
RGDPt  RGDP1960 (1  r )t
can be transformed into a linear model by taking natural
logs of both sides:
ln RGDPt  ln RGDP1960  t ln(1  r )
 Letting B1 = ln RGDP1960 and B2 = ln (l+r), this can be
rewritten as:
ln RGDPt = B1 +B2 t
 B2 is considered a semi-elasticity or an instantaneous growth rate.
 The compound growth rate (r) is equal to (e B2 – 1).

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
LIN-LOG MODELS
 Lin-log models follow this general form:

Yi  B1  B2 ln X i  ui

 Note that B2 is the absolute change in Y responding to a


percentage (or relative) change in X
 If X increases by 100%, predicted Y increases by B2 units
 Used in Engel expenditure functions: “The total expenditure
that is devoted to food tends to increase in arithmetic
progression as total expenditure increases in geometric
proportion.”

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
RECIPROCAL MODELS
 Lin-log models follow this general form:
1
Yi  B1  B2 ( )  ui
Xi
 Note that:
1
 As X increases indefinitely, the term B2 ( ) approaches zero and Y approaches
Xi
the limiting or asymptotic value B1.
 The slope is: dY 1
  B2 ( 2 )
dX X
 Therefore, if B2 is positive, the slope is negative throughout, and if B2 is negative,
the slope is positive throughout.

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
POLYNOMIAL REGRESSION MODELS
 The following regression predicting GDP is an example of
a quadratic function, or more generally, a second-degree
polynomial in the variable time:
RGDPt  A1  A2time  A3time 2  ut

 The slope is nonlinear and equal to:


dRGDP
 A2  2 A3time
time

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
SUMMARY OF FUNCTIONAL FORMS
MODEL FORM SLOPE ELASTICITY
dY dY X
( ) .
dX dX Y
X
Linear Y =B1 + B2 X B2 B2 ( )
Y
Y
Log-linear lnY =B1 + ln X B2 ( ) B2
X

Log-lin lnY =B1 + B2 X B2 (Y ) B2 ( X )

1 1
Lin-log Y  B1  B2 ln X B2 ( ) B2 ( )
X Y
1 1 1
Reciprocal Y  B1  B2 ( )  B2 ( )  B2 ( )
X X2 XY

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
COMPARING ON BASIS OF R2
 We cannot directly compare two models that have different
dependent variables.
 We can transform the models as follows and compare RSS:
 Step 1: Compute the geometric mean (GM) of the dependent variable, call
it Y*.
 Step 2: Divide Yi by Y* to obtain:
Yi ~
*
 Yi
Y
 Step 3: Estimate the equation with lnYi as the dependent variable using
in lieu of~ Yi as the dependent variable (i.e., use ln as the dependent
~
Y
variable).i Yi
 Step 4: Estimate the equation with Yi as the dependent variable using as
the dependent
~ variable instead of Yi.
Yi
Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
STANDARDIZED VARIABLES
 We can avoid the problem of having variables measured
in different units by expressing them in standardized
form:
 _
Yi  Y Xi  X
Yi 
*
; Xi 
*

SY SX
where SY and SX are the sample standard deviations and
_ _
and Y are the
X sample means of Y and X, respectively
 The mean value of a standardized variable is always
zero and its standard deviation value is always 1.

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example
MEASURES OF GOODNESS OF FIT
 R2: Measures the proportion of the variation in the regressand explained
by the regressors. 
 Adjusted R2: Denoted as R,2it takes degrees of freedom into account:
_
n 1
R 2  1  (1  R 2 )
nk
 Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC): Adds harsher penalty for adding
more variables to the model, defined as:
2k RSS
ln AIC   ln( )
n n
 The model with the lowest AIC is usually chosen.
 Schwarz’s Information Criterion (SIC): Alternative to the AIC
criterion, expressed as: k RSS
ln SIC  ln n  ln( )
n n
 The penalty factor here is harsher than that of AIC.

Damodar Gujarati
Econometrics by Example

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