Capital Structure Decisions
Capital Structure Decisions
DECISIONS
∞ FCFt
V = ∑
t=1 (1 + WACC)t
(Continued…)
D.Duressa revised 2022 9
The Effect of Additional
Debt on WACC
Debt-holders have a prior claim on cash flows
relative to stockholders.
Debt-holders’ “fixed” claim increases risk of
stockholders’ “residual” claim (less certain)
As result Cost of stock, rs, goes up.
Firm’s can deduct interest expenses.
As result reduces amount of taxes paid
Frees up more cash for payments to investors
(both debt-holders and stockholders)
Consequently reduces after-tax cost of debt
D.Duressa revised 2022 10
The Effect on WACC
(Continued)
Debt increases risk of bankruptcy
Causes pre-tax cost of debt, rd, to increase
Adding debt increase percent of firm
financed with low-cost debt (wd) and
decreases percent financed with high-
cost equity (ws)
Net effect on WACC = uncertain. Why?
WACC= wd (1-T) rd revised
D.Duressa
+ w2022srs 11
Continued, The Effect of Additional Debt
on FCF
(Continued…)
D.Duressa revised 2022 13
Cont’d, bankruptcy risk affects
agency cost
Additional debt can affect the behavior of
managers.
Reductions in agency costs: debt “pre-commits,”
or “bonds,” free cash flow for use in making
interest payments. Thus, managers are less likely
to waste FCF on perquisites or non-value adding
acquisitions.
Increases in agency costs: debt can make
managers too risk-averse, causing
“underinvestment” in risky but positive NPV
projects.
coefficient,
Stand alone risk which includes elements
(More...)
Rev. Rev.
$ $
TC } EBIT
TC
F
F
Quantity sold Fixed cost , birr Total cost , birr Revenues, birr
20 200 400 300
30 200 500 450
40 200 600 600
60 200 800 900
80 200 1000 1200
100 200 1200 1500
120 200 1400 1800
D.Duressa revised 2022 23
Plan B, Fixed cost=Birr 400
Total cost,
Quantity Fixed cost, Birr Birr Revenues, birr
20 400 600 300
30 400 700 450
40 400 800 600
60 400 1000 900
80 400 1200 1200
100 400 1400 1500
120 400 1600 1800
D.Duressa revised 2022 24
Business Risk versus Financial
Risk
Business risk:
Uncertainty in future EBIT, NOPAT, and ROIC.
Depends on business factors such as competition,
operating leverage, etc.
Financial risk:
Additional business risk concentrated on common
stockholders when financial leverage is used.
Depends on the amount of debt and preferred
stock financing.
NI $3,000 $1,800
VL
TD
VU
Debt
0
(1 - Tc)(1 - Ts)
VL = VU + 1− D
(1 - Td)
Tc = corporate tax rate.
Td = personal tax rate on debt income.
Ts = personal tax rate on stock income.
(1 - 0.40)(1 - 0.12)
VL = VU + 1− D
(1 - 0.30)
= VU + (1 - 0.75)D
= VU + 0.25D.
VL
VU
0 Debt
Distress Costs
D.Duressa revised 2022 42
Signaling Theory
MM assumed that investors and managers
have the same information.
But, managers often have better information.
Thus, they would:
Sell stock if stock is overvalued.
Sell bonds if stock is undervalued.
Investors understand this, so view new stock
sales as a negative signal.
Implications for managers?
(Ignore rounding differences; see Ch15 Mini Case.xls for actual calculations).
D.Duressa revised 2022 75
Number of Shares after a
Repurchase, nPost
At wd = 20%:
nPost = nPrior(VopNew−DNew)/(VopNew−DOld)
nPost = 10($265.96 −$53.19)/($265.96 −$0)
nPost = 8
wd = 30% gives:
Highest corporate value
Lowest WACC
Highest stock price per share
But wd = 40% is close. Optimal range is
pretty flat.
Economy
Bad Avg. Good
Prob. 0.25 0.50 0.25
EBIT $2,000 $3,000 $4,000
Interest 0 0 0
EBT $2,000 $3,000 $4,000
Taxes (40%) 800 1,200 1,600
NI $1,200 $1,800 $2,400
Firm L: Leveraged
Economy
Bad Avg. Good
Prob.* 0.25 0.50 0.25
EBIT* $2,000 $3,000 $4,000
Interest 1,200 1,200 1,200
EBT $ 800 $1,800 $2,800
Taxes (40%) 320 720 1,120
NI $ 480 $1,080 $1,680
*Same as for Firm U.
D.Duressa revised 2022 80
Firm U Bad Avg. Good
BEP 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%
ROI* 6.0% 9.0% 12.0%
ROE 6.0% 9.0% 12.0%
8
8
8
TIE
Firm L Bad Avg. Good
BEP 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%
ROI* 8.4% 11.4% 14.4%
ROE 4.8% 10.8% 16.8%
TIE 1.7x 2.5x 3.3x
*ROI = (NI + Interest)/Total financing.
D.Duressa revised 2022 81
Profitability Measures:
U L
E(BEP) 15.0% 15.0%
E(ROI) 9.0% 11.4%
E(ROE) 9.0% 10.8%
Risk Measures:
ROE 2.12% 4.24%
CVROE 0.24 0.39
8
E(TIE) 2.5x
D.Duressa revised 2022 82
Conclusions
Basic earning power = BEP = EBIT/Total
assets is unaffected by financial leverage.
L has higher expected ROI and ROE
because of tax savings.
L has much wider ROE (and EPS) swings
because of fixed interest charges. Its
higher expected return is accompanied
by higher risk.
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D.Duressa revised 2022 83
In a stand-alone risk sense, Firm L’s
stockholders see much more risk than
Firm U’s.
U and L: ROE(U) = 2.12%.
U: ROE = 2.12%.
L: ROE = 4.24%.
L’s financial risk is ROE - ROE(U) = 4.24%
- 2.12% = 2.12%. (U’s is zero.)
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D.Duressa revised 2022 84
Cont’d
For leverage to be positive (increase
expected ROE), BEP must be > kd.
If kd > BEP, the cost of leveraging will be
higher than the inherent profitability of the
assets, so the use of financial leverage will
depress net income and ROE.
In the example, E(BEP) = 15% while interest
rate = 12%, so leveraging “works.”
Dividends/kS = (EBIT)(1-T)/kS
= 500,000 (1 - 0.40)/k S
Debt(000s) D/E bL kS
0 0 2.25 15.00%
250 0.142 2.44 15.77
500 0.333 2.70 16.80
750 0.600 3.06 18.24
1,000 1.000 3.60 20.40
D.Duressa revised 2022 88
Value of Equity at Each Debt
Level
Equity Value = Dividends/kS
Debt(000s) kD Divs kS E
0 na 300 15.00% 2,000
250 10% 285 15.77 1,807
500 11% 267 16.80 1,589
750 13% 241.5 18.24 1,324
1,000 16% 204 20.40 1,000
D NI n EPS
$ 0 $300 100.00 $3.00
250 285 87.85 3.24
500 267 76.07 3.51
750 242 63.84 3.78
D.Duressa revised 2022 91
EPS continues to increase beyond the
$500,000 optimal debt level.
Does this mean that the optimal debt
level is $750,000, or even higher?
(More...)
D.Duressa revised 2022 97
Forecasting models can generate
results under various scenarios, but the
financial manager must specify
appropriate input values, interpret the
output, and eventually decide on a
target capital structure.
In the end, capital structure decision
will be based on a combination of
analysis and judgment.