S.Chapter 2 TVM
S.Chapter 2 TVM
S.Chapter 2 TVM
Chapter 2
THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY
1
Learning objectives
• Calculate the future value (FV) and the present value (PV) of a single
decisions in practice.
Contents
5.3
2.1. The timeline and the time value of money
2.1.1. The timeline
Cash flows
A timeline shows when cash flows occur and they are cash inflows
or cash outflows.
????? How to draw a timeline
2.1.1. The timeline
Example 2.1. Mr. Nam has VND 1, 000 million today. He lend
this money to his friend - Ms. Hoa. Ms. Hoa will have to pay
VND 600 million one year later and VND 700 million in the
second year.
5.5
2.1.1. The timeline
Today
0 1 2 Timeline
Th
y e e en
a d
the r 1 o of
- VND 1,000 million be r
g
of i nni
+ VND 600 ymillion
e a ng + VND 700 million
r2
Example 2.2. Mr. Nam has VND 1million today. He deposits this amount of
money to the bank. During a course of one year, an investment of VND 1
million would grow to VND 1.2 million.
Hence, VND 1 million today is equivalent to VND 1.2 million one year later.
Example 2.3. Mr. Nam puts VND 1,000 million in a saving account in a bank
at the annual interest rate of 10%. The bank calculates interest once a year.
How much money will he receive after three years?
10%
0 1 2 3 timeline
Deposit
The future value
- VND 1,000 million ????
2.2.1. The future value of a single cash flow
The compound
The simple
interest
interest
calculation or
calculation
compounding
2.2.1. The future value of a single cash flow
10%
0 1 2 3 timeline
investment.
1 1,000 0 100 0
Example 2.4. Mr. Nam invests VND 1,000million in year 1, VND 2,000million in year
2. If the interest rate is 10% per year, how much money will he have in his investment
account after two years?
2.2. The future value
2.2.2. The future value of a cash flow stream
Example 2.4. Mr. Nam invests VND 1,000million in year 1, VND 2,000million in year
2. If the interest rate is 10% per year, how much money will he have in his investment
account after two years?
0 1 2 time line
- VND 1,000 m. - VND 2,000 m.
2.2.2. The future value of a cash flow stream
The future value of a cash flow stream over particular periods is the
sum of the future value of each individual cash flow.
Other speaking, it is the total amount of money the holder/investor will
receive after some periods when investing into assets.
If we use CFt to denote the CF at the end of the period t, the CF stream as:
… timeline
0 1 2 n-1 n
FVn
Future value (FV)
FVn-1
…
FV2
FV1
2.2.2. The future value of a cash flow stream
The future value of a cash flow stream over particular periods is the
sum of the future value of each individual cash flow.
Other speaking, it is the total amount of money the holder/investor will
receive after some periods when investing into assets.
If we use CFt to denote the CF at the beginning of the period t, the CF stream as:
CF1 CF2 CFn
… timeline
0 1 2 n-1 n
FV2
FV1
2.3. The present value
Example 2.3. Mr. Nam puts VND 1,000million in a saving account in a bank
at the annual interest rate of 10%. The bank calculates interest once a year.
How much money will he receive after three years?
Back to the slide 14, after 3 years, VND 1,000 m becomes VND 1,321 m
If you want to get VND 1,321 m after 3 years, you have to invest VND 1,000 m
PV = FV / (1+r)n FV
… timeline
0 1 2 n-1 n
Today Future
From the equation of the future value: the present value is:
Example 2.5. Mr. Nam is considering an investment which can bring in VND
1,000million at year 1, and VND 2,000 million at year 2. If the interest rate is
10% per year. How much money does he have to invest today to receive these
cash flows?
2.3.2. The present value of a cash flow stream
The present value of a cash flow stream is the sum of the present value
of each amount of money.
Other speaking, it is the cost the investor/holder has to pay to receive the
same cash flow stream in the future .
If we use CFt to denote the CF at the end of the period t, the CF stream as:
CF1 CF2 CFn-1 CFn
1 … timeline
0 2 n-1 n
If we use CFt to denote the CF at the beginning of the period t, the CF stream as:
0 1 … timeline
2 n-1 n
Present value
PV1
PV2
PVn
2.4. Perpetuity and Annuity
Growing Growing
Perpetuity Annuity
Perpetuity Annuity
2.4. Perpetuity and Annuity
2.4.1. Perpetuity
… …
0 1 2 n-1 n n + T … Forever
PV1
PV2
…
PV PVn-1
PVn
…
PVn+T
…
2.4. Perpetuity and Annuity
2.4.1. Perpetuity
0 1 … n-1 n+T …
2 n
timeline
PV1
PV2 …
PV PVn-1
PVn
…
PVn+T
…
(with r > g)
2.4. Perpetuity and Annuity
2.4.2. Growing perpetuity
Example 2.7. Mr. Nam receives an offer from your bank about the collection
of the future cash flow. He will get VND 2 million in one year, the endless
payment will continuously increase by 7%. The interest rate is 12%. How
much money is Mr. Nam willing to pay the bank today to get this offer?
2.4. Perpetuity and Annuity
2.4.3. Annuity
An annuity is a set of equal cash flows occurs in a particular fini number of periods.
… timeline
0 1 2 n-1 n
The annuity due
A A A
… timeline
0 1 2 n-1 n
FV= FV=
PV= PV=
2.4. Perpetuity and Annuity
2.4.3. Annuity
Example 2.8. Ms. Lan won a local lottery with two payout options. The first
option is to get VND 150 million immediately. The other option is the lottery
company will pay her VND 20 million at the end of each year in 20 years.
Which offer should she choose today if the interest of the Treasury Bond is at
10%?
2.4. Perpetuity and Annuity
2.4.4. Growing annuity
• Growing annuity is the ordinary annuity which the payment increases by
instant rate in each period
When:
All the payments are equal to A
The interest rate r is kept at constant
The discount rate (r) is higher than the growing rate (g)
Example 2.9. Ms. Lan asks Mr. Nam for his investment into her cafeteria.
She promises to pay him VND 10 million in year 1, and the growth rate at
8%. The first payment occurs at the end of year 1. The payments last 15
years. The interest rate is 12%. What is the present value of this planned
investment?
2.5. Interest Rate
2.5.1. Effective Annual Rate and Nominal Interest Rate
Nominal interest rate (stated annual interest rate) is a rate of interest based
on the face value of the security.
Effective annual rate is the rate at which a unit of currency will grow in a year
with interest on interest included.
If today you invest VND 1 million in 10 years at the annual rate of 15%.
The future value of the initial investment PV at the end of year n with
continuously compounding at constant yearly interest rate r is:
What will you have after ten years with continuous compounding?
2.5. Interest Rate
2.5.1. Effective Annual Rate and Nominal Interest Rate
period (rk) less than one year. The effective annual rate for a
year is:
The future value of the initial investment PV at the periodic interest rate r k
The relationship between the nominal interest rate, the real interest rate, and
(Fisher, 1930)
Remember:
The nominal cash flows in the future should be discounted at the nominal rate
The real cash flows should be discounted at the real interest rate
2.5. Interest Rate
2.5.2. Inflation rate and the real interest rate
rate for the next year is 6%. What is the real interest rate?
How much money should she put in the saving account today
In this case, we can calculate the money she put in the saving account
today to receive VND 10 million in one year in two ways:
(1) PV =
(2) PV =
2.6. The application of the time value of money
2.6.1. Calculating the discounted interest rate
machine. The supplier also allows ABC Company to pay VND 191.8
million after receiving the machine and 180 million VND at the end of
each year in the next 8 years. What is the discounted rate of the
Option 1:
Pay VND 1,000m at t = 0
ABC Company
is going to
invest in a new
Discount
processing rate?
machine
Option 2:
+ Pay VND 191.8m at t = 0
+ Pay VND 180m at the end
of the next 8 years
2.6. The application of the time value of money
2.6.1. Calculating the discounted interest rate
2.6. The application of the time value of money
2.6.2. Calculating the number of periods
Example 2.14. Ms. Lan deposits VND 100 million in a saving account in a bank
at the annual interest rate of 10%. The bank calculates interest once a year. How
long does it take for her money to grow to VND 161.05 million?
2.6. The application of the time value of money
Then, we make the payment plan as the table in the next slide
2.6. The application of the time value of money
1
2
3
4
5
2.6. The application of the time value of money
2.6.4. Discounted cash flow model (DCF)
Where
DCF model can be used for Capital Budgeting or Valuing the securities
2.6.The application of the time value of money
2.6.4. Discounted cash flow model (DCF)
Capital budgeting
Example 2.16. An investment project will produce the following cash flows:
Today cost is VND 6,000 million to conduct the project. If the discounted
interest rate is kept at 10% per period in six periods, is this investment
valuable?
2.6.The application of the time value of money
2.6.4. Discounted cash flow model (DCF)
Capital budgeting
The present value of the future cash flows from this investment is:
Security Valuing
Security Valuing
Example 2.18. ABC Company will pay VND 20,000 of dividend next year
and its dividen increases 6% per year. If the required rate of return is 15%.
• The present value (PV) answers the question of how much money invested today
to get a particular money in the future. PV = FV / ( 1+r)n
PV of a single CF
PV of a stream of CF is the sum of PV of a single CF
• Perpetuity is a set of identical payments occurring each period in an infinite future
The PV of perpetuity = A /r
The PV of growing perpetuity = A / (r-g)
Summary
• Annuity is a set of fixed payments occurs in a particular finite number of periods
Ordinary annuity: the first CF occurs after one period from today
Annuity due: the first CF occurs immediately
• The growing annuity is an ordinary annuity which the payment increases by instant rate
in each period
PV = 𝐹𝑉 = 𝐴 ∗ [
(1+ 𝑟 )𝑛 − ( 1+𝑔 )𝑛
𝑟 −𝑔 ]
• The stated annual interest rate or nominal interest rate (NIR) is the annual rate without
information on compounding. The effective annual interest rate (EAR) refers to the compounding
EAR =
• The relation between NIR, the real interest rate, and the inflation rate is:
(1+ NIR ) = (1+ the real interest rate)*(1+the inflation rate)
• Use the time value of money to solve the actual problems when making financial decision