Chapter 7 - 02
Chapter 7 - 02
November , 2023
By : Behailu Mamo
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Failure Rate & Mean Time Between Failures
Failure Rate
Assume a batch of N items out of which a number k have failed
T t1 t 2 t k N k t 2
Definition:
For a stated period in the life of an item, the ratio of the total
ˆ T ˆ 1
MTBF , or ,
k ˆ
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Observed Mean Time to Fail (MTTF)
Definition
For a stated period in the life of an item, the ratio of
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The difference between MTBF and MTTF :
For Simple failure model:
Mean Time To Failure – the average time to failures of a component (no
repairs)
component.
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The difference between MTBF and MTTF : general
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Reliability Function
Consider the probability of an item failing in the
interval between t and t+dt.
Given the failure rate λ(t), the probability that the item
may fail in the interval t to t+dt, provided it has
survived until time t, is given by the conditional
probability
PE2 t dt
E1
Rt PE1
And, E2 is item failing between time t and t+dt.
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The probability of failure in the interval t to t+dt
unconditionally is f(t)dt
where f(t) is the failure probability density function.
This probability is obtained by the multiplication
theorem which states that
f t
t
Rt
The probability that an item may fail between running
times 0 and t is
F t f t dt 1 Rt
t
dR t
f t
dt
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Substituting for f(t) in the equation for λ (t),
1 dRt
t
Rt dt
Integrating both sides gives
R t dRt
t dt
t
0 1 Rt
Which gives the reliability function
0
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Assuming constant failure rate ,
Rt exp t e t
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MTBF
Consider the (N-k) items that survived at t. Let (N-k) be
Ns(t). Then
N s t
Rt
N
In each time interval dt, the time accumulated is
N s t dt
At time t the total time accumulated is
N s t dt
0
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MTBF is then given by
1 N s t dt
MTBF N s t dt
N 0 0 N
R t dt
0
For constant λ,
1
MTBF Rt dt e dt t
0 0
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1.
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2..
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System Reliability with Weibull Failure Probability
Distribution
In Weibull probability distribution of failure, the failure rate
varies with time. The failure rate and reliability function are
given by, respectively.
Where :
t t t0 1 β = shape parameter (slope)
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Maintainability
the probability that an item will conform to specified conditions within a given
period of time, when maintenance action is performed in accordance with
prescribed procedures and resources.
essential that the test method and the conditions under which it is to be carried
out
24 are carefully defined. Achievement of specified Mean Time to Repair is rather
Maintainability design features include:
downtime.
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Maintainability Function (Exponentially disritibuted)
The time-to-restore probability density function g(t) for the
g t e t
distribution is
M t1 Pt t1 g t dt
t1
0
t1
e dt t
0
t1
1 e
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Determination of Mean Time To Repair MTTR
easy.
MTTR is the mean of the distribution of equipment repair time
n
and can be estimated from T i i
MTTR i 1
n
i 1
i
Where :
Ti is the time needed to repair the equipment when the ith part
fails
λi is the constant failure rate of the ith repairable part of the
equipment
n is the number of repairable parts in the equipment 28
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Availability:
a) Steady State Availability (inherent availability)
Availability is the available up-time of an
equipment. This is the probability that an
equipment, when used under stated conditions and
ideal support environments, will operate
satisfactorily at any given time.
Ass
where Ass = steady state availability
= system constant repair rate
= system constant failure rate
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Substituting for repair rate and failure rate, steady state
availability is
MTBF
Ass
MTBF MTTR
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b) Operational Availability:
MTBM
Ao
MTBM MDT
where
MTBM = Mean Time Between Maintenance actions
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