Basic Economic Study Methods
Basic Economic Study Methods
Basic Economic Study Methods
A N N U A L W O RT H , I N T E R N A L R AT E
O F R E T U R N , E X T E R N A L R AT E O F
R E T U R N
BASIC ECONOMIC
STUDY METHODS
CONTENTS
Where:
i = effective interest rate, or MARR, per compounding period;
k = index for each compounding period (0 ≤ k ≤ N);
Fk = future cash flow at the end of period k;
N = number of compounding periods in the planning horizon (i.e., study period).
The relationship given in Equation is based on the assumption of a constant
interest rate throughout the life of a particular project.
Again, the project is shown to be a good investment (FW ≥ 0). The PW is a multiple
of the equivalent FW value:
To this point, the PW and FW methods have used a known and constant MARR
over the study period. Each method produces a measure of merit expressed in
dollars and is equivalent to the other. The difference in economic information
provided is relative to the point in time used (i.e., the present for the PW versus the
future, or end of the study period, for the FW).
ANNUAL
WORTH Definition: The Annual Worth
METHOD - (AW) Method simplifies
investment project evaluation by
KEY
converting all cash flows into a
CONCEPTS
uniform, equivalent annual
amount for a specified study
period.
ANNUAL
WORTH
METHOD - Objective: Determine the
financial viability of an
KEY
investment project by calculating
CONCEPTS
the equivalent annual worth of
cash inflows and outflows.
ANNUAL
WORTH Calculation: The AW is
METHOD - computed by transforming all
cash flows into an equivalent
KEY
annual payment over the study
CONCEPTS
period, using the Minimum
Acceptable Rate of Return
(MARR) as the interest rate.
Components of AW: AW
represents the difference between
ANNUAL annual equivalent revenues or
WORTH savings (R) and annual
METHOD - equivalent expenses (E), less the
KEY annual equivalent capital
CONCEPTS recovery (CR) amount, computed
over the study period.
AW Formula: The AW, as a
function of interest rate (i%), is
calculated as follows:
AW(i%) = R - E - CR(i%)
ANNUAL
WORTH Equivalent to PW and FW: The
METHOD - AW of a project is equivalent to
its Present Worth (PW) and
KEY
Future Worth (FW). Therefore,
CONCEPTS
AW = PW(A/P, i%, N) and AW =
FW(A/F, i%, N), allowing for
easy computation.
ANNUAL
WORTH Economic Attractiveness: If the
METHOD - AW, evaluated at the MARR, is
greater than or equal to zero, the
KEY
project is deemed economically
CONCEPTS
attractive; otherwise, it is not. An
AW of zero signifies an annual
return matching the MARR.
ANNUAL
WORTH Preference for Decision-
METHOD - Makers: The AW method is
often favored by decision-makers
KEY
familiar with annual income
CONCEPTS
statements and cash-flow
summaries due to its ease of
interpretation.
AW Decision Rule: If AW (i = MARR) ≥ 0, the project is economically justified.
The CR amount for a project is the equivalent uniform annual cost of the
capital invested. It is an annual amount that covers the following two items:
1. Loss in value of the asset
2. Interest on invested capital (i.e., at the MARR)
As an example, consider a device that will cost $10,000, last five years, and have a salvage (market) value of $2,000.
Thus, the loss in value of this asset over five years is $8,000. Additionally, the MARR is 10% per year.
It can be shown that, no matter which method of calculating an asset’s loss in value over time is used, the equivalent
annual CR amount is the same. For example, if a uniform loss in value is assumed ($8,000/5 years = $1,600 per year),
the equivalent annual CR amount is calculated to be $2,310, as shown in the Table below:
∗ The following two equations are alternative ways of calculating the CR amount:
Where:
I = initial investment for the project;∗
S = salvage (market) value at the end of the study period;
N = project study period.
Thus, by substituting the CR(i%) expression of Equation into the AW expression, Equation
becomes
When Equation is applied to the example in Table “Calculation of Equivalent Annual CR Amount”.
, the CR cost is
INTERNAL The IRR method is one of the
R AT E O F most commonly utilized rate-of-
RETURN return techniques for conducting
(IRR) engineering economic analyses.
METHOD - Known by various names,
KEY including the investor's method,
CONCEPTS discounted cash-flow method,
and profitability index.
INTERNAL Equating Cash Flows: This
R AT E O F method calculates the interest
RETURN rate at which the equivalent
(IRR) worth of cash inflows (receipts
METHOD - or savings) equals the equivalent
KEY worth of cash outflows
CONCEPTS (expenditures, including
investment costs).
INTERNAL
R AT E O F Equivalent Worth
RETURN Computation: The equivalent
(IRR) worth can be determined using
METHOD - any of the three methods
KEY mentioned earlier in the
CONCEPTS presentation.
INTERNAL
R AT E O F
RETURN Internal Rate of Return (IRR):
The result of this calculation is
(IRR)
termed the Internal Rate of
METHOD - Return (IRR). It is also referred
KEY to as the breakeven interest rate.
CONCEPTS
Conditions for Positivity: For a
INTERNAL single alternative from the
R AT E O F lender's perspective, the IRR is
RETURN not positive unless (1) both
receipts and expenses are present
(IRR)
in the cash-flow pattern, and (2)
METHOD - the sum of receipts exceeds the
KEY sum of all cash outflows.
CONCEPTS Checking these conditions is
crucial to avoid unnecessary
calculations.
INTERNAL Comparison with MARR:
R AT E O F Once i' (the IRR) is calculated, it
RETURN is compared with the Minimum
Acceptable Rate of Return
(IRR)
(MARR) to determine the
METHOD - acceptability of the alternative. If
KEY i' ≥ MARR, the alternative is
CONCEPTS deemed acceptable; otherwise, it
is not.
Using a present worth (PW) formulation, the IRR is determined as the interest rate at
which the following equation holds:
where
Rk = net revenues or savings for the kth year;
Ek = net expenditures, including any investment costs for the kth year;
N = project life (or study period).
Once i ′ has been calculated, it is compared with the MARR to assess whether the
alternative in question is acceptable. If i ′ ≥ MARR, the alternative is acceptable;
otherwise, it is not.
IRR Decision Rule: If IRR ≥ MARR, the project is economically justified.
A popular variation of Equation for computing the IRR for an alternative is to determine the i ′ at which h its net PW
is zero. In equation form, the IRR is the value of i′ at which
Plot of PW versus
Interest Rate
Reinvestment Assumption
Challenges: The IRR method's
reinvestment assumption may not
EXTERNAL
always hold in engineering economy
R AT E O F studies. For example, when a firm's
RETURN Minimum Acceptable Rate of Return
(MARR) is 20% per year and the IRR
(ERR)
for a project is 42.4%, it may not be
METHOD - feasible to reinvest cash proceeds from
KEY the project at a rate significantly higher
than 20%. These challenges, coupled
CONCEPTS
with computational demands and
potential multiple interest rates, have
led to the development of alternative
rate of return methods.
ERR Method Introduction: The ERR
(External Rate of Return) method is one
EXTERNAL
such alternative. It directly considers
R AT E O F the interest rate (∈) external to a
RETURN project at which net cash flows
generated or required by the project
(ERR)
over its life can be reinvested or
METHOD - borrowed. Typically, this external
KEY reinvestment rate aligns with the firm's
MARR. When the firm's MARR
CONCEPTS
matches the project's IRR, the ERR
method produces results identical to
those of the IRR method.
Calculation Procedure: The ERR
method involves three key steps:
EXTERNAL 1. Discounting all net cash outflows
R AT E O F to time zero (the present) at a rate
RETURN of ∈ per compounding period.
where
Rk = excess of receipts over expenses in period k;
Ek = excess of expenditures over receipts in period k;
N = project life or number of periods for the study;
∈ = external reinvestment rate per period.
Graphically, we have the following (the numbers relate to the three steps):
A project is acceptable when i ′ % of the ERR method is greater than or equal to the firm’s MARR.
ERR Decision Rule: If ERR ≥ MARR, the project is economically justified.
The ERR method has two basic advantages over the IRR method:
1. It can usually be solved for directly, without needing to resort to trial and error.
2. It is not subject to the possibility of multiple rates of return.
EXAMPLE: DETERMINING THE ACCEPTABILITY OF A PROJECT, USING ERR
When ∈ = 15% and MARR = 20% per year, determine whether the project (whose net cash-flow
diagram appears next) is acceptable. Notice in this example that the use of an ∈% different from the
MARR is illustrated. This might occur if, for some reason, part or all of the funds related to a project
are “handled” outside the firm’s normal capital structure.
SOLUTION:
E0 = $10,000 (k = 0),
E1 = $5,000 (k = 1),
Rk = $5,000 for k = 2, 3, ... , 6,
[$10,000 + $5,000(P/F, 15%, 1)](F/P, I’%, 6) = $5,000(F/A, 15%, 5);
i′% = 15.3%.
The i ′ % is less than the MARR = 20%; therefore, this project would be unacceptable according to
the ERR method.