Meade constructed a neoclassical model of economic growth to explain steady-state growth. The model shows how income, capital, labor, and technology influence growth. It establishes a relationship between population and income growth. The growth rate depends on capital stock, labor force, technology, and is expressed as a production function. The model achieves steady growth when the capital stock growth rate equals the income growth rate.
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Chapter-3 Meade's Model
Meade constructed a neoclassical model of economic growth to explain steady-state growth. The model shows how income, capital, labor, and technology influence growth. It establishes a relationship between population and income growth. The growth rate depends on capital stock, labor force, technology, and is expressed as a production function. The model achieves steady growth when the capital stock growth rate equals the income growth rate.
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CHAPTER-3
cont’ B. MEADE’S NEO CLASSICAL MODEL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Professor J. E. Meade has constructed a neoclassical model of
economic growth. Meade has put forward a model intended to explain the process of equilibrium growth (i.e., the steady-state growth). This model is designed to show the way in which the simplest form of economic system would behave during a process of equilibrium growth. This model provides the relation to increase the income and population. It analyses the influence of income, capital, labour and technology on development. It also gives the conditions under which the growth of economy is possible. He tries to establish a relationship between population growth and income growth.
It is based on the following assumptions :
The economy is closed and laissez-faire Perfect competition in the product and input markets
The economy is producing in two types of commodities- consumption
goods and capital goods. The consumption goods satisfy all the human needs of consumption and the capital goods are used to produce capital goods. (There is perfect substitutability between the two commodities- consumption goods and capital). Labour and capital (machines) have homogeneous units. Machines are the only form in which the capital is assumed. The ratio of labour to machinery can be changed both in the short and long run. Factors are paid according to their marginal productivity Flexibility of wages and interest rates. All savings are invested via flexibility of interest rate and all workers can be fully employed via flexibility of wages. Elasticity of factor substitution is unity. The economy is classed as having no economic or financial relations with other countries. In Meade’s model, the net output produced depends upon four factors. (Determinants of Economic Growth or Explanation of the Model):
The net stock of capital available in the form of machines
The amount of labour force available The availability of land and natural resources The state of technical knowledge which continues to improve through time. This relationship is expressed in a production function as: Y= f(K,L,N,t) Where Y is net output or net national income, K is the existing stock of capital
L the labour force
N Land & natural resources
t is time, signifying technical progress
Assuming the amount of land to be fixed, output can
increase when there is an increase in K, L and t. This relationship is shown as: ΔY= VΔK + WΔL + ΔY' ………………………….e1 Where: ΔY= change in output ΔY'= change in output due to technological progress ΔL & ΔK= changes in labour and change in capital respectively V= marginal product of capital W= marginal product of labour Dividing both side of e1 by Y, we get proportional growth rate of output. That is ΔY/Y = VΔk/Y + wΔL/Y + ΔY׀/Y………………e2
Equation e2 can be rewritten as:
ΔY/Y = Vk/Y. ΔK/K + WL/Y. ΔL/L + ΔY׀/Y……..e3
ΔY/Y= proportionate growth rate of output
ΔK/K= proportionate change in capital ΔL/L= proportionate change in labour ΔY׀/Y= proportionate change in output due to technical progress Vk/Y= relative elasticity of capital WL/Y= relative elasticity of labour Equation e3 shows that the rate of growth of output or the economic growth rate is equal to the sum of: the elasticity of output with respect to capital (or the relative contribution of capital to output) multiplied by the rate of growth of capital stock plus the elasticity of output with respect to labour (or the relative contribution of labour to output) multiplied by the rate of growth of labour force plus the rate of growth of output due to technological change Assuming y stands for ΔY/Y, l for ΔL/L, k for ΔK/K, U for Vk/Y, Q for WL/Y, r for ΔY׀/Y, then equation e3 can be rewritten as Y=Uk + QI + r The real index of growth of an economy is the growth rate of real income per head rather than the growth rate of income (y). The growth rate of real income per head is given by subtracting the growth rate of population (l) from the growth rate of income (y). Example, if income grows by 8% and population grows by 3%, then the growth rate of per capita income is 5%. **The state of Steady Growth: is a state in which the growth rate in total output (income) is constant and so is the growth rate in income per head. It is assumed that population is growing at a constant proportionate rate (1) and the rate of technical progress does not change. The state of steady economic growth requires the existence of the following three conditions to ensure a constant growth rate in total income: Elasticity of substitution between the various factors are equal to unity Technical progress is neutral towards all factors The proportion of profit saved, wages saved, and of rent saved are all constant Given that: the growth rate of income is y=Uk + QI+ r and U, Q, I, and r are assumed to be constant Therefore, for y to be constant (as required by the steady economic growth), k should be constant. We know that k=SY/K. But S is assumed to be constant above. So k will be constant if Y/K is constant. Y/K will be constant if the rate of growth of Y and K is the same which implies the equality of y and k itself, i.e., y=k. Therefore, Meade came into the obvious conclusion that the growth rate of income will be constant if the growth rate of capital stock (k) is equal to the growth rate of national income (y). **Critical Growth Rate: The equilibrium position ultimately depends upon the rate of accumulation of the capital stock.
According to Meade, there is a critical growth rate of the capital
stock which makes the growth rate of income equal to the growth rate of capital stock. A higher or lower growth rate in capital than this critical growth rate will not equalize Y and K and the state of steady growth is not achieved. If we denote the critical growth rate by ‘a’ then the basic relationship will be a= Ua + QI+r a-Ua= QI+r a(1-U)= QI +r a= (QI + r)/1-U It is this critical rate which will make y=k and keep the growth rate of the national income constant at the steady growth level.
If at any time there is any deviation from this level of steady
growth, forces will set in to bring the growth rate of the capital stock at the equilibrium level of (Ql + r)/1-u. Suppose k or SY/K > (Ql+r)/1-U. In this situation income will be growing at a lower rate than the capital stock. As a result savings will decline, so will the growth rate of capital. The converse is also true when SY/K<Ql+r/1-U. CRITICISM OF MEADE’S MODEL Meade’s model has been severely criticized due to its unrealistic assumptions. Its assumption of the classical tradition of perfectly competitive economy is unrealistic. The assumption that capital is homogenous is unrealistic. The assumption of only constant returns to scale is also defective. In the growth process, there are increasing returns to scale rather than constant returns to scale. The model also completely neglects the role of institutional factors in the development process. Despite to these defects, the Meade model has the chief merit of demonstrating the influences of population growth, capital accumulation and technical progress on the growth rate of national income and per capita real income over time.