Lesson 4.

1:
Computing the Point
Estimate of a
Population Mean
 Lesson Objectives:
 Understand the concept of estimation;

 Distinguish between point estimate and interval

estimate; and

 Find the point estimates of population means and

proportions.
ENTRY
CARD
1. What do you call the set of all people,
objects, events, or ideas you want to
investigate?
A. Sample
B. Population
C. Data
D. Statistics
2. A sample refers to _________ of a
population.

A. a subset
B. a list
C. a description
D. another name
3. What is the mean of 13, 27, 29, 17, and
14?

A. 29
B. 28
C. 20
D. 13
4. What do you call a number that
describes a population characteristics?

A. Sample Statistics
B. Parameter
C. Variable
D. Decimal
5. Which of the following symbols
denotes population mean?

A.
B.
C.
D.
6. Which of the following symbols
denotes population standard deviation?

A.
B.
C.
D.
7. In Statistics, error refers to:

A. mistake resulting in wrong decisions

B. mistake resulting from computation
C. difference between two parameter values
D. difference between an observed value and a parameter.
 Proper
Discussion
 Activity 1:
Number of Hours Tally Frequency fX

9
TOTAL
“The mean of the means is equal to the population
 What is “estimate”?
Meaning based in
Literal Meaning
Statistics

To judge tentatively or A numerical value obtained

approximately the value, from a statistical sample
worth, or significance of. and assigned to a population
Source: Merriam-Webster parameter.
 Activity 2:
“Restaurant Service Quality” MEAN

8 8 10 18 10 13 8 10 8 10 103

12 10 16 16 12 15 12 12 9 15 129

10 20 20 12 10 10 16 10 18 12 138

15 12 15 14 15 16 15 12 8 8 130

45 50 61 60 47 54 51 44 43 45 500
 Activity 2: SD
“Restaurant Service Quality” (Standard Deviation)
𝟐
8 6 48 8 – 12.5 = -4.5 121.5
𝒔 =Σ 𝑓 ∙¿¿
9 1 9 9 – 12.5 = -3.5 12.25 𝟐 454
𝒔 =
10 9 90 10 – 12.5 = -2.5 56.25 40 − 1
12 8 96 12 – 12.5 = -0.5 2
𝟐 454
13 1 13 13 – 12.5 = 0.5 0.25 𝒔 =
14 1 14 14 – 12.5 = 1.5 2.25
39
𝟐
15
16
6
4
90
64
15 – 12.5 = 2.5
16 – 12.5 = 3.5
37.5
49
𝒔 =𝟏𝟏 . 𝟔𝟒
18
20
2
2
36
40
18 – 12.5 = 5.5
20 – 12.5 = 7.5
60.5
112.5
√ 𝒔 =√ 𝟏𝟏 . 𝟔𝟒
𝟐

𝒔=𝟑 . 𝟒𝟏
 Two Types of Estimation
1 POINT ESTIMATE
 It is a specific
numerical value of
population parameter.
INTERVAL ESTIMATE
2
 It is a range of values
that may contain the
parameter of a
population.
 An estimator is a statistic that estimates
some fact about the population.

Source: https://www.statisticshowto.com/estimator/
A good estimator has the following
properties:
1. When the mean of a sample statistic from a large
number of different random samples equals the true
population parameter, then the sample statistic is an
unbiased estimate of the population parameter.

2. Across the many repeated samples, the estimates are

not very far from the true parameter value.
 Effect of Bias on the Estimate of the
Population Mean

𝝁 𝝁 𝝁
Negative Bias Unbiased Positive Bias
(Underestimate) (On target estimate) (Overestimate)
 Activity 3:
Mr. Santiago’s company sells bottled coconut juice. He
claims that a bottle contains 500 mL of such juice. A
consumer group wanted to know if his claim is true. The
members took six random of 10 such bottles and obtained
the capacity, in mL, of each bottle.

What is the point estimate of the population mean?

 Activity 3:
Sample 1 500 498 497 503 499 497 497 497 497 495

Sample 2 500 500 495 494 498 500 500 500 500 497

Sample 3 497 497 502 496 497 497 497 497 497 495

Sample 4 501 495 500 497 497 500 500 495 497 497

Sample 5 502 497 497 499 496 497 497 499 500 500

Sample 6 496 497 496 495 497 497 500 500 496 497
 Method 1:
Using the MS Excel program

Method 2:
Manual Estimation of the Population Mean
 Sample 1 500 498 497 503 499 497 497 497 497 495

500+ 498+ 497+503 + 499+497 + 497+ 497+ 497 + 495

𝑿 𝒓 𝟏=
10
4980
𝑿 𝒓 𝟏=
10

𝑿 𝒓 𝟏=𝟒𝟗𝟖
 Sample 2 500 500 495 494 498 500 500 500 500 497

500+500+ 495+ 494 + 498+500+ 500+500+500 + 497

𝑿 𝒓 𝟐=
10
4984
𝑿 𝒓 𝟐=
10

𝑿 𝒓 𝟐=𝟒𝟗𝟖 .𝟒
 Sample 3 497 497 502 496 497 497 497 497 497 495

497 + 497+502+ 496+ 497 + 497+ 497+ 497 +497 + 495

𝑿 𝒓 𝟑=
10
4972
𝑿 𝒓 𝟑=
10

𝑿 𝒓 𝟑=𝟒𝟗𝟕 .𝟐
 Sample 4 501 495 500 497 497 500 500 495 497 497

501+ 495+500+ 497 +497 +500+ 500+ 495+ 497+ 497

𝑿 𝒓 𝟒=
10
4979
𝑿 𝒓 𝟒=
10

𝑿 𝒓 𝟒=𝟒𝟗𝟕 .𝟗
Sample 5 502 497 497 499 496 497 497 499 500 500

502+497 + 497+ 499+ 496+ 497 +497 + 499+500+ 500

𝑿 𝒓 𝟓=
10
4984
𝑿 𝒓 𝟓=
10

𝑿 𝒓 𝟓=𝟒𝟗𝟖 .𝟒
 Sample 6 496 497 496 495 497 497 500 500 496 497

496 + 497+ 496+ 495+ 497 +497 +500+ 500+ 496+ 497
𝑿 𝒓 𝟔=
10

4971
𝑿 𝒓 𝟔=
10

𝑿 𝒓 𝟔=𝟒𝟗𝟕 .𝟏
Manual Estimation of the Population
Mean
Sample Row Sum of Scores Mean
1 4980 498
2 4984 498.4
3 4972 497.2
4 4979 497.9
5 4984 498.4
6 4971 497.1
Overall Mean 497.83
 Using the
MS Excel program
78 75 86 82 70 85 83 86

80 92 82 85 80 88 84 86

90 88 90 78 83 90 86 84

75 85 77 88 85 90 85 83

83 86 83 84 86 92 85 80

76 88 79 84 80 88 80 88
 78 75 86 82 70 85 83 86 645

80 92 82 85 80 88 84 86 677

90 88 90 78 83 90 86 84 689

75 85 77 88 85 90 85 83 668

83 86 83 84 86 92 85 80 679

76 88 79 84 80 88 80 88 663

482 514 497 501 484 533 503 507 4,021

𝟒𝟖𝟐+𝟓𝟏𝟒+𝟒𝟗𝟕+𝟓𝟎𝟏+𝟒𝟖𝟒+𝟓𝟑𝟑+𝟓𝟎𝟑+𝟓𝟎𝟕 𝟒 , 𝟎𝟐𝟏
𝟒𝟖
¿
𝟒𝟖 𝑿=𝟖𝟑. 𝟕𝟕