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Conditional Probability 3

The document discusses conditional probability and tree diagrams. It provides formulas for calculating the probability of events A and B occurring together (P(A ∩ B)) and events A and B occurring (P(A ∪ B)). It then presents a word problem asking the reader to find the probability that two beads drawn from a bag without replacement are both yellow, instructing them to draw a tree diagram to solve it.

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10 views4 pages

Conditional Probability 3

The document discusses conditional probability and tree diagrams. It provides formulas for calculating the probability of events A and B occurring together (P(A ∩ B)) and events A and B occurring (P(A ∪ B)). It then presents a word problem asking the reader to find the probability that two beads drawn from a bag without replacement are both yellow, instructing them to draw a tree diagram to solve it.

Uploaded by

teeformee
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Conditional Probability 3 08/11/2023

𝑃 ( 𝐴∪ 𝐵 ) =𝑃 ( 𝐴 ) + 𝑃 ( 𝐵 ) − 𝑃 ( 𝐴∩ 𝐵) 𝑃 ( 𝐴∩ 𝐵 ) =𝑃 ( 𝐴) 𝑃 ( 𝐵| 𝐴 )

Tree Diagrams
You will have encountered
tree diagrams before.
Suppose we are considering So the probability of A and B happening will be given
events A and B… by multiplying the probabilities along its ‘route’

 This leads to the formula you learnt in the


previous section…

𝑃 (𝐵∨ 𝐴) 𝐵 𝑃 ( 𝐴∩ 𝐵 ) =𝑃 ( 𝐴) 𝑃 ( 𝐵| 𝐴 )

𝑃 ( 𝐴) 𝐴
𝑃 (𝐵 ′∨ 𝐴) 𝐵′
𝑃 (𝐵∨ 𝐴′ ) 𝐵
𝑃 ( 𝐴 ′) 𝐴′
𝑃 (𝐵 ′∨ 𝐴 ′) 𝐵′
2E
𝑃 ( 𝐴∪ 𝐵 ) =𝑃 ( 𝐴 ) + 𝑃 ( 𝐵 ) − 𝑃 ( 𝐴∩ 𝐵) 𝑃 ( 𝐴∩ 𝐵 ) =𝑃 ( 𝐴) 𝑃 ( 𝐵| 𝐴 )

Tree Diagrams 5
9 𝐺
A bag contains 6 green beads
and 4 yellow beads. A bead is
taken from the bag at random,
6
10
𝐺
the colour is recorded and it is 4
9
𝑌
not replaced. A second bead is
then taken from the bag and its
6
colour recorded. 9 𝐺
4
Given that both beads are the 10 𝑌
same colour, find the probability
that they are both yellow. 3
9
𝑌
Start by drawing a tree
diagram…
Complete Exercise 2E

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