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Analyzing Geographic
Distributions and Point Patterns
Analyzing Geographic Distributions: Centro-graphy • Centro-graphic statistics are tools used to analyze geographic distributions by measuring the center, dispersion and directional trend of a spatial arrangement. Analyzing Geographic Distributions: Centrography • Mean Center • Median Center • Central Feature • Standard Distance • Standard Deviational Ellipse • Locational Outliers and Spatial Outliers Mean Center
• Mean center is the geographic center for a set
of spatial features. It is a measure of central tendency and is calculated as the average of the xi and yi values of the centroids of the spatial features. • The mean center can be calculated considering weights Median Center • Median center is a point that minimizes the travel cost from the point itself to all other points in the dataset. It is a measure of central tendency, calculated as shown in Central Feature
• Central feature is the object with the
minimum total distance to all other features. It is a measure of central tendency. Standard Distance • Standard distance is a measure of dispersion (spread) that expresses the compactness of a set of spatial objects. • It is represented by a circle the radius of which equals the standard distance, centered on the mean center of the distribution. Standard Deviational Ellipse • Standard deviational ellipse is a measure of dispersion (spread) that calculates standard distance separately in the x and y directions. Locational Outliers and Spatial Outliers • A locational outlier is a spatial object that lies far away from its neighbors. • One simple method is “an object whose distance to its nearest neighbor exceeds 2.5 deviations from the mean nearest neighbor average (computed for the entire dataset) is considered the locational outlier, as in Geo-marketing analysis: • Locational outliers might not be desirable. For example, if a bank wants to locate a new branch, the existence of locational outliers might place the location point in an area that will not be convenient for most of its clientele. • The temporary exclusion of the locational outlier will allow for a better branch location. The outlier will then be included in the dataset for other analyses. In other words, when we exclude an outlier, we usually exclude it only for certain spatial statistical procedures, but we include it again because it might be helpful for another type of analysis. Crime analysis: • Identifying if locational outliers in crime incidents exist may reveal abnormal, unexpected behavior that might need additional surveillance. For example, if a credit card that is usually used in specific Mean center Mean center • (A) Mean center without any locational outlier. • (B) Mean center when the outlier is included in the calculation. The mean center is shifted toward the direction of the locational outlier, distorting the real center of the distribution. 160 Analyzing Geographic Distributions and Point Patterns locations of a city (e.g., shops, restaurants, a house) is also used the same day at a location miles away, that would be a strong indication of fraud. • (A) Mean center without any locational outlier. • (B) Mean center when the outlier is included in the calculation. The mean center is shifted toward the direction of the locational outlier, distorting the real center of the distribution Analyzing Spatial Patterns: Point Pattern Analysis • A spatial outlier is a spatial entity whose non- spatial attributes are considerably different from the non-spatial attributes of its neighbors Spatial outlier detection can be used for the following: • Crime analysis: One could identify if a postcode has a high crime rate while all the neighboring ones have low rates. This might indicate a ghetto. • Geo-marketing analysis: Identifying a specific postcode where people buy a certain product considerably less often than in adjacent ones might indicate where access to the product is not easy or where a better marketing campaign is required. Analyzing Spatial Patterns: Point Pattern Analysis • Spatial point pattern S is a set of locations S = {s1, s2, s3,...sn} • Event is the occurrence of a phenomenon, a state, or an observation at a particular location. • Spatiotemporal point pattern is a spatial pattern of events that evolves over time. In spatiotemporal point patterns, multiple sets of events occur diachronically. Spatial Process Spatial process is a description of how a spatial pattern can be generated. • There are three main types of spatial process 1. Complete spatial randomness process 2. Competitive process 3. Aggregating process Spatial Arrangement/Pattern There are three main types of spatial arrangement/pattern associated with the above spatial processes. 1. Random spatial pattern 2. Clustered 3. Dispersed First- and Second-Order Effects • First-order spatial variation effect occurs when the values or locations of spatial objects vary from place to place due to a local effect of space. For example, stroke event locations may vary from place to place inside a city. • Second-order spatial variation effect occurs when there is interaction among nearby locations. Here, the location, or the value of an observation, is highly influenced by a nearby location or the value of a neighboring observation. Stationary Process • First-order stationary process • Second-order stationary process • Intensity of a spatial process • Stationary spatial process. • Anisotropic process • Specific directions • Isotropic process • Spatial heterogeneity Point Pattern Analysis Methods • There are two main (interrelated) methods of analyzing point patterns, namely the distance- based methods and the density-based methods. • Distance Based • Density Based Nearest Neighbor Analysis • Nearest neighbor analysis (also called average nearest neighbor) is a statistical test used to assess the spatial process from which a point pattern has been generated. It is calculated based on the formula Ripley’s K Function and the L Function Transformation • Ripley’s K function is a spatial analysis method of analyzing point patterns based on a distance function. The outcome of the function is the expected number of events inside a radius of d. • It is calculated as a series of incremental distances d centered on each of the events in turn Kernel Density Function Kernel density estimation is a nonparametric method that uses kernel functions to create smooth maps of density values, in which the density at each location indicates the concentration of points within the neighboring area. Lab 3 Spatial Statistics • Overall Progress • Scope of the Analysis: Crime Analysis • Measuring Geographic Distributions • Point Pattern Analysis • Kernel Density Estimation • Locational Outliers Measuring Geographic Distributions Point Pattern Anaysis Ripley’s Function Kernel Density