This document discusses equity style analysis and active portfolio management. It defines equity style analysis as a system to classify stocks into segments based on distinguishing characteristics like growth versus value and market capitalization. It also discusses Lipper classifications, approaches to analyzing style, and the uses of style analysis in portfolio formation and customizing benchmarks. The document then covers tracking error, its determinants like portfolio composition differences from the benchmark, and how tracking error can be minimized and evaluated in passive and active portfolio management.
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This document discusses equity style analysis and active portfolio management. It defines equity style analysis as a system to classify stocks into segments based on distinguishing characteristics like growth versus value and market capitalization. It also discusses Lipper classifications, approaches to analyzing style, and the uses of style analysis in portfolio formation and customizing benchmarks. The document then covers tracking error, its determinants like portfolio composition differences from the benchmark, and how tracking error can be minimized and evaluated in passive and active portfolio management.
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Investment Analysis
and Portfolio Management
Active Portfolio Management
Equity Style analysis • What is it? • System of classification by market segments that have distinguishing characteristics • Within segment returns are correlated and between segments returns are uncorrrelated • Usually along the dimension of growth (focus on earning growth)/value (focus on price rise) and size • Growth may be consistent or earnings momentum and Value may be low P/E, contrarian or yield – mixture of categories also does exist 2 Continued…….. • A system of style description: Lipper Classification • Small capitalization: invests in companies with market capitalization < $ 1 billiion • Middle capitalization: market capitalization < $ 5 billion • Growth & Income: combines a growth-of-earnings orientation and an income requirement for level and/or dividends • Growth: companies with long-term earnings expected to grow significantly faster than stocks in major indices • Equity income: seeks relatively high current income and growth of income by investing 60% or more of its portfolio in equities • Capital appreciation: aims at maximum capital appreciation, frequently by means of 100% or more portfolio turnover, leveraging, purchasing unregistered securities, purchasing options etc. – may take large cash positions 3 Continued…… • How to classify? • Based on P/B ratio – problem at the margin and switching between categories • Multiple criteria like dividend yield, cash flow yield, ROE, earning growth forecast etc. • Scoring system may be used and the universe of stocks may be sorted based on capitalisation-weighted scores • A middle category may be isolated to prevent switching • Does style pay? • Empirical studies find equity style rotation with perfect foresight is quite profitable • Value stocks usually outperform growth – periods of exception are there 4 Continued….. • How to analyse style? • Returns based - excess return regressed on style indices or asset class returns with intercept suppressed • Characteristics based – portfolio characteristics in terms of market cap, PE ratio, PB ratio, ROE etc. are compared against the characteristics of different style indices • Factor based – Factor analysis is used to identify the factors out of all available fundamental factors that affect equity returns • What is the use of style analysis? • Portfolio formation • Customizing benchmark • Determining portfolio or index style • Style rotation 5 Tracking error • Uncorrelated fluctuation in returns • Standard deviation of difference in actual returns between portfolio and the benchmark • Usually expressed in annual term • In passive portfolio management, tracking error can be minimized by rebalancing the portfolio more frequently; objective is to balance tracking error with lower cost of portfolio management • In active management, tracking error needs to be compared with alphas earned as the error may be due to all positive or negative alphas 6 Determinants of Tracking Error – Vardharaj, Fabozzi & Jones • Inverse relationship with number of stocks – that are in the benchmark index – included in portfolio • Positive relationship with number of stocks – that are not in the benchmark – included in portfolio • Increases as the portfolio style or market capitalization deviates from that of index • When both style and capitalization deviates from the index, they seem to have identical impact on tracking error • Increases with the deviation in sector weights from that of the benchmark 7 Determinants continued….. • Increases with benchmark volatility • Increases as portfolio beta deviates from 1 either way • Decomposition of tracking error helps performance evaluation • Sensitivity of Tracking Error – Marginal contribution to Tracking Error for small change in portfolio excess weight – positive for overweight and negative for underweight stocks – help reduce tracking error • Reliability of Predicted Tracking Error 8
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