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Unit II - Idea Generation and Screening

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GENERATION &

SCREENING
OF
PROJECT IDEAS
CONTENTS
• What Is Project Management
• Steps In Generation And Screening Of A Project
Idea
• Generation Of Idea
• Monitoring Of Environment
• Corporate Appraisal
• Tools For Identfying Investment Opportunities
• Scouting For Project Ideas
• Preliminary Screening
• Project Rating Index
• Sources Of Positve NPV
WHAT
IS
PROJECT
MANAGEMENT
? Project management is the
practice of initiating,
planning, executing,
controlling, and closing the
work of a team to achieve
specific goals and meet
specific success criteria at the
specified time.
TASKS INVOLVED
GENERATION OF IDEA
IN GENERATION
AND SCREENING MONITORING OF ENVIRONMENT
OF A PROJECT
IDEA CORPORATE APPRAISAL

TOOLS FOR IDENTFYING INVESTMENT


OPPORTUNITIES

SCOUTING FOR PROJECT IDEAS

PRELIMINARY SCREENING

PROJECT RATING INDEX

SOURCES OF POSITVE NPV


1. GENERATION OF IDEA
Most of the project idea involve combining existing field of
technology or offering variants of present product & services.

A panel is formed for the purpose of identifying investment


opportunities. It involves the following tasks which must be carried
out in order to come up with a creative idea –

(a) SWOT analysis


(b) Determination of objectives
Setting up operational objectives like cost reduction, productivity
improvement, increase in capacity utilization, improvement in
contribution margin
(c) Creating Good environment
atmosphere motivates employees to be more creative and encourages
techniques like brainstorming, group discussion
2. MONITORING OF ENVIRONMENT
An Organization should systematically monitor the environment and assess its competitive abilities in
order to profitably exploit opportunities present in the environment. The key sectors of the environment
that are to be studied are :-
(a) Economic Sector –
i. State of economy
ii. Overall rate of Growth
iii. Growth of primary, secondary and tertiary sectors
iv. Inflation rate
v. Linkage with world economy
vii. Trade Surplus/Deficit

(b) Government Sector –


i. Industrial policy
ii. Government programmes and projects
iii. Tax framework
iv. Subsidies, incentives, concessions
v. Import and export policies
(c) Technological Sector –
i. State of technology
ii. Emergence of new technology
iii. Receptiveness(acceptance) of the industry
iv. Access to technical know how

(d) Socio-demographic sector –


i. Population trends
ii. Income distribution
iii. Educational profile
iv. Employment of women
v. Attitude towards consumption and investment

(e) Competition Sector –


i. No. of firms and their market share
ii. Degree of homogeneity(unity) and production differentiation
iii. Entry barriers
iv. Marketing policies and prices
v. Comparison with substitutes in terms of quality/price/appeal etc.

(f) Supplier Sector – Availability and cost of raw material, energy and money
3. CORPORATE
APPRAISAL –
It involves identification of corporate strengths and weaknesses. The important aspects that are to be considered
(a) Market and Distribution –
are:-
i. Market Image & Market share.
ii. Product line
iii. Marketing and Distribution cost
iv. Distribution Network

(b) Production and Operations –


i. Condition and capacity of plant and machinery
ii. Availability of raw materials and power
iii. Location advantage
iv.Cost structure – Fixed and Variable costs

(c) Research and Development –


i. Research capabilities of a firm
ii. Track record of new product developments
iii. Laboratories and testing facilities
iv. Coordination between research and other departments of the organization
(d) Corporate Resources and Personnel –
i. Corporate Image
ii. Clout with government and regulatory agencies
iii. Dynamism(active) of top management
iv. Competence and commitment of employees
v. State of industrial relations

(e) Finance and Accounting –


i. Financial leverage and borrowing capacity
ii. Cost of capital
iii. Tax situation
iv. Relations with shareholders and creditors
v. Accounting and control system
vi. Cash flows and liquidity
4. TOOLS FOR IDENTIFYING INVESTMENT
OPPORTUNITIES–

(a) Porter 5 forces Model –


It helps in analyzing profit potential of an
industry depending upon strength of –
i. Threat of new entrants
ii. Rivalry(competition) amongst
existing companies
iii. Pressure from substitute products
iv. Bargaining power of buyer
v. Bargaining power of seller
(b) Life cycle Approach → There are four stages a
product goes through during his life cycle:
(a)Pioneering Stage – In this stage the technology
and product is new, there is high competition and very
few entrants survive this stage.
(b)Rapid Growth Stage – This stage witnesses a
significant expansion in sales and profit.
(c)Maturity Stage – It marks developed industries
with mature product and steady growth rate.
(d)Decline Stage – Due to introduction of new
products and changes in customer preference the
industry incurs a decline in market share and profits.
(c) Experience Curve → Experience curve analyzes
how
cost per unit changes with respect to accumulated volume
of production.
5. SCOUTING FOR PROJECT IDEAS –

Various sources to look for good project ideas include:-


i. Trade fairs and exhibitions
ii. Studying Government plans and guidelines
iii. Suggestion of financial institutions and development agencies
iv. Investigating local materials and resources
v. Analyzing performance of existing industries
vi. Analyzing social and economic trends
vii. Analyzing new technological developments
viii. Studying the consumption pattern of people abroad
ix. Stimulating creativity to produce
6. PRELIMINARY SCREENING –

It refers to elimination of project ideas which are not promising. The factors to be considered while screening
for ideas are:-
• Compatibility with the promoter – The idea must be consistent with the interest, personality and resources
of entrepreneur.
• Consistency with Government priorities – The idea must be feasible with national goals and
government regulations.
• Availability of inputs – Availability of power, raw material, capital requirements, technology.
• Adequacy of Market – Growth in market, prospect of adequate sale, reasonable Return on Investment.
• Reasonableness of cost – The project must be able to make reasonable profits with respect to the costs
involved.
• Acceptability of risk level – The desirability of the project also depends upon risks involved in executing
it.
7. PROJECT RATING INDEX –
It is a tool used for evaluating large number of project ideas. It helps in streamlining the process of preliminary
screening. Hence a preliminary evaluation may be converted in project rating index.

Steps to calculate project rating index:


I. Identifying the factors relevant for project rating
II. Assigning weights to these factors according to their relative importance(FW)
III.Rate the project proposal on various factors using suitable rating scale
(FR) (5 point scale or 7 point scale)
IV.For each factor multiply the factor rating with factor weight to get factor
scores (FR X FW = FS)
V. All the factor scores are added to get the overall project rating
index.Organization determines a cut off value and
the project below this cut off value are rejected.
8. SOURCES OF THE NET PRESENT VALUE

In order to select a profitable and feasible project, a project manager must carry out a fundamental analysis of the
product and factor market to know about entry barriers which lead to positive net present value. There are six
entry barriers which result in a positive NPV project. They are –
i. Economies of scale
ii. Product differentiation
iii. Cost advantage
iv. Marketing reach
v. Technological edge
vi. Government policy

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