Lecture 5
Lecture 5
Chen Zhao
University of Hong
Kong
Example: RMB appreciation
• Will the China’s trade balance (export – import) deteriorate if RMB
depreciates (say, from 1USD=6.8RMB to 1USD=7.2RMB)?
• Government would like to raise tax revenue from cigarette sales. How
much tax rate should the government raise?
Example: Soda tax
o Soda consumption has been noted as a contributing factor to obesity.
Medical costs related to obesity is substantial. The government targets to
reduce soda consumption by 5% by levying a soda sales taxes.
Q Q
Why elasticity?
o Sometimes we do not have the luxury of estimated supply and demand, but
estimated elasticity can be computed relatively easily.
o The concept of elasticity may also help us understand the shape of demand
and supply curves.
Elasticity of Demand
o We know there is an inverse relationship between price and quantity
demanded.
o But how much does quantity demanded change when price changes?
Elasticity of Demand
o A demand curve is elastic when an increase in price reduces the quantity
demanded a lot (and vice versa).
o When the same increase in price reduces quantity demanded just a little,
then the demand curve is inelastic.
Elasticity of Demand
Price The More Responsive Quantity
Demanded is to a Change in Price,
the More Elastic is the Demand
Curve
Elastic Demand
Inelastic Demand
Quantity
20 75 80
o BUT:
o If two linear demand (or supply) curves run through a common point,
then at any given quantity the curve that is FLATTER is MORE ELASTIC.
Determinants of the Elasticity of Demand: a preview
1. Availability of Substitutes (Fundamental Determinant)
2. Time Horizon
3. Category of product (specific or broad)
4. Necessities vs. Luxuries
5. Purchase Size
Determinants of the Elasticity of Demand
1. The availability of substitutes is very important.
vs.
Determinants of the Elasticity of Demand
4. The nature of the good to the consumer can also affect the elasticity of
demand.
o For necessities, we do not change Q much when P changes
o For luxuries, we are more sensitive to P changes
vs.
Determinants of the Elasticity of Demand
5. The size of the purchase (relative to our budget) matters.
o We are less sensitive to price changes when the good feels cheap
(occupies only a small % of our budget)
o We are more sensitive to price changes when the good feels expensive
(occupies only a large % of our budget)
Budget Budget
Good X Good X
Others Others
Example: Price Elasticity Estimates
Good or service Price elasticity
Green peas -2.80
Restaurant meals -1.63
Automobiles -1.35
Electricity -1.20
Beer -1.19
Movies -0.87
Air travel (foreign) -0.77
Shoes -0.70
Coffee -0.25
Theater, opera -0.18
5%
0.5
10%
or 0.5 (in absolute terms)
Mathematics of the Elasticity of Demand
o Elasticity of demand is always negative, so we typically drop the negative
sign and use absolute value instead.
Elastic inelastic
-3 -2 -1 0
Mathematics of the Elasticity of Demand
(90 − 100 )
% Δ 𝑄 𝑑= × 100 %=− 10 . 5 %
(100 +90 )/ 2
(20 − 10 )
% Δ 𝑃= × 100 %=66 . 6 %
(10 +20 )/ 2
η=
Point Formula for Elasticity
(Q1 – Q0) / Q0
o Original definition: η=
(P1 – P0) / P0
(Q1 – Q0) / [(Q1 + Q0)/2]
o Midpoint formula: η=
(P1 – P0) / [(P1 + P0)/2]
o They are approximately the same if (P0, Q0) and (P1, Q1)
are very close.
o Hence, when the change is small:
𝑃 1
𝐸 𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑎𝑡 𝐴= ×
𝑄 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒
A
P
Price
P+ P
Q
Q Q+ Q
Quantity
Calculating the Elasticity of Demand
𝑃 1 𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑝𝑡 20
𝜂= × 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒= =− =− 4
𝑄 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒 ℎ𝑜𝑟𝑖𝑧𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑝𝑡 5
20
D
8 1 8 2
16 η= × =− =−
3 (− 4) 12 3
12
Price
A Question:
8
What is the elasticity
of demand when P = $8?
4
1 2 3 4 5
Quantity
Elasticity of Demand: Along a linear demand
𝑃 1
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 = ×
12 𝑄 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒
When P = $4
4 1
η= × =− 2
4 (−6 / 12) When P = $1
1 1 1
η= × =−
6 10 (−6 / 12) 5
Price
4 Observation
Price elasticity varies at every
D
point along a straight-line
1 demand curve
4 6 10 12
Quantity
Elasticity of Demand: Along a linear demand
𝑃 1 Observation
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 = ×
𝑄 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒 Price elasticity varies at
every point along a straight-
line demand curve
a η <−1
η=− 1
Elastic
Price
a/2 η >−1
Inelastic
b/2 b
Quantity
Elasticity of Demand: at common point
What is the price elasticity of Demand for D1 & D2 when P = $4?
On D1 𝑃 1
12 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 = ×
4 1 1 𝑄 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒
η= × =−
D1 4 (−12/ 6) 2
Observation
On D2 If two demand curves
6 4 1
η= × =− 2 have a point in
4 (−6 / 12)
common, the steeper
Price
4 6 12
Quantity
Perfectly Elastic Demand Curve
𝑃 1
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 = ×
𝑄 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒
Perfectly elastic
demand (elasticit y - )
Price
Quantity
If the price increases a little, the quantity demanded will drop to zero.
If the price drops a little, the quantity demanded will increase a lot.
Perfectly Inelastic Demand Curve
Perfectly inelastic
demand (elasticity 0)
Price
𝑃 1
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 = ×
𝑄 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒
Quantity
o The elasticity of demand directly influences revenues when the price of the
good changes.
4 1600
6 2 1000
0 0
4
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Quantity (100s of tickets/day)
Total Expenditure as a Function of Price
Total revenue is at a maximum at the midpoint
on a straight-line demand curve.
12
1,800
10 1,600
1,000
6
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Quantity (100s of tickets/day) Price ($/ticket)
Example: Expenditure on shelter
• What happens to total expenditure on shelter when the price is reduced from
$12/sq yd to $10/sq yd?
Quantity
Inference
If a fashionable clothing store raised its prices by 25 percent, what does that
tell you about the store’s estimate of the price elasticity of demand for its
products?
Q
A demand curve with constant elasticity
(dQ/dP) (P/Q)=-k
(dQ/Q)/(dP/P)=-k
(d lnQ)/(d lnP)=-k
lnQ = - k lnP + c
lnQ + k lnP = c
ln(QPk) = c
QPk = exp(c)
Q
Estimation of constant elasticity
lnQ = a + b lnP + e
Q
Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand
o The Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand measures how sensitive the demand
for good A is to the price of good B.
Price per
Unit Inelastic Supply
Quantity
80 85 170
…Causes a Small Increase in
Quantity Supplied if Supply is
Inelastic …Causes a Big Increase in Quantity
Supplied if Supply is Elastic
Elasticity
o Elasticity slope
o BUT:
o If two linear demand (or supply) curves run through a common point,
then at any given quantity the curve that is FLATTER is MORE ELASTIC.
Determinants of Elasticity of Supply
1. Change in Per-Unit Costs with Increased Production
2. Time Horizon
3. Share of Market for Inputs
4. Geographic Scope
Determinants of Elasticity of Supply
1. How quickly do per-unit costs increase when more is produced?
o If increased production is very expensive, then the supply curve will be
inelastic.
o If production can increase with little extra cost, then the supply curve will
be elastic.
o When considering a small change around a point (P 0, Q0), use the point
formula:
1. Elasticity >0
2. Elasticity >1 for linear supply curve
4 that has a positive Y-intercept.
3. Elasticity decreases as quantity
increases.
0 22 3 Quantity
A Supply Curve for Which Elasticity is unity
4 12
𝐴 : η= × =1
12 4
5 15 S
𝐵: η= × =1
15 5 𝑃 1
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑎𝑡 𝑎𝑝𝑜𝑖𝑛𝑡= ×
B 𝑄 𝑠𝑙𝑜𝑝𝑒
5
A
P The price elasticity of supply
4 will always equal 1 at any
Q
point along a straight-line
Price
0 12 15
Quantity
A Perfectly Inelastic Supply Curve
S
Price ($/acre)
Elasticity = 0 at every
point along a vertical
supply curve
0
Quantity of land in Central
(1,000s of acres)
A Perfectly Elastic Supply Curve
14 S
0
Quantity of lemonade
(cups/day)
Example: Slave redemption
o Does slave redemption create more slavery? How will slave traders respond
to an increase in demand for slaves?
What if we can
make it a national or
global buybacks?
Example: The SR and LR impact of an increase in demand
o A computer manufacturer makes an experimental computer chip that critics
praise, leading to a huge increase in the demand for the chip. How elastic
is supply in the short run? What about the long run? Graph both.
Example: The SR and LR impact of an increase in demand
Price
S (short run)
S (long run)
B
A C
D1
D0
S (inelastic)
S (elastic)
B
D1
D0
Q
Elasticity and Quick Predictions
P
S
D1(i)
D0(ii) D0(i)
D1(ii)
Q
Elasticity and Quick Predictions
o Two simple formulas allow for quick predictions of price
changes (using elasticities):
% change ∈demand
% Δ 𝑃 ¿ a shift ∈ demand =
¿ 𝜂 𝑑 ∨+𝜂 𝑠
% change ∈supply
% Δ 𝑃 ¿ a shift ∈ supply =−
¿𝜂 𝑑 ∨+𝜂 𝑠
Can verify the directions graphically. Do not worry about the mathematics.
Example: Why are the fares so different?
If you start in Kansas City and you fly to Honolulu round-trip, the fare is a lot
lower than if you start the same trip in Honolulu and fly to Kansas City round-
trip. Passengers travel on same planes, consuming the same fuel, the same in-
flight amenities, and so on. So why are the fares so different?
Example: Why are the fares so different?
• If you are starting in Kansas City and going to Honolulu, you are probably going on vacation.
You could go to lots of different places. You could go to Florida, to Barbados, to Cancun.
Because vacationers have many destinations to choose from, airlines must compete fiercely
for their business. Given economies of scale inherent in larger aircraft, carriers have a
strong incentive to fill additional seats by targeting lower prices to the people who are more
sensitive to price – vacationers.
• But if you are starting in Honolulu on a trip to Kansas City, you are probably not a
vacationer. More likely, you either have business or family reasons for traveling. So you
are probably not shopping for a destination if you are going to Kansas City.
• That is why the fares are so different.