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Lecture 1 Introduction

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Lecture 1 Introduction

mathematics

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kia
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We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Lecture1

THE SCOPE OF MACROECONOMICS


DEFINITIONS OF MACROECONOMICS
• Macroeconomics is the study of the performance of the national
economy and the global economy (Parkin, 2008)
• Macroeconomics is the branch of economics that examines the
economic behavior of aggregates—income, employment , output and
so on—on a national scale (Case and Fair, 2004)
• Macroeconomics is the study of economy-wide phenomena, including
inflation, unemployment, and economic growth (Mankiw, 2017)
• Macroeconomics is the study of the structure and performance of
national economics and the policies that governments uses to try to
improve that performance (Abel and Bernanke, )
MACROECONOMICS
ANALYSIS
Macroeconomics analyses are grouped into 2 categories:
 Short-run analysis (Keynesian):
 Sticky price
 The economy has not achieved the full-employment level of production
 Long-run (Classical/Neo Classical):
 Flexible Price
 The economy at the full-employment level of production

The implication of that is the efficacy/impacts of macroeconomic


policies differ in the short run and in the long run.
MACROECONOMICS HISTORY
Before 1930s
 No separation between microeconomies and macroeconomics theories.
 Both theories discuss the decisions made by HH and firms
 This classical economics analysis believes that market mechanism works; P will adjust to bring the economy to the
equilibrium (D=S).
 The difference between the two merely on the level of analysis: individual vs. aggregate

Great Depression 1930s


 The 1920s was the period of economic prosperity. The economy practically operated close to the full-
employment level of production.
 In 1929 triggered by the stock market crash, the economy beginning to enter the period of great depression
 1933: output was mere 70% of the 1929’s output. Unemployment rate was 25%
 Until the next 10 years unemployment level remained high and output stayed low.
 Self-correcting mechanism (ascpredicted by the classical model) was never happened.
JM Keynes Revolutionary Thought
 In 1936, Keynes published his monumental book: The General Theory of Employment,
Interest and Money.
 Keynes’ revolutionary theory: It is neither P or W that determined the level of output and
employment, but aggregate demand.
 Hence, during the period of recession/depression private demand is low, in this situation the
government has to increase its spending to boost the aggregate demand, output and
employment.
 Since then macroeconomics analysis is separated from the microeconomics analysis.

1950-60 an
 Keynesian economics gained its popularity.
 Many governments around the word adopted Keynesian theory, they actively intervened
the economy through monetary and fiscal policy.
 Fine tuning: government’s role in regulating inflation and unemployment.
Early 1970s-early1980s (oil crises)
 US and many countries in the world experienced stagflation (stagnation and inflation)
 Keynes’ recipe could not be used to improve the economic condition.
 The believe on the efficacy of Keynesian model diminished.

2008
 Global economic crisis
 The rate of growth of the global economy that usually around 4-5 % per annum, turned into negative in 2009
 The crisis was caused by the inability of homeowners to pay their mortgage, and then followed by freefall
housing prices, financial crisis and economic crisis.
 Since then economist started to realized that they did not put sufficient attention on the role and effect of
financial system on the economy.

Macroeconomics is a relatively new body of knowledge, thus it will keep developing to keep
up with the global economy dynamic.

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